4th Quarter 2001 Calulating The Cost of Terror
4th Quarter 2001 Calulating The Cost of Terror
4th Quarter 2001 Calulating The Cost of Terror
Volume 9 Issue 4
Imagine, Hurricane Andrew..twice. The city spent $1 Billion so far just to clear the 500,000 tons of concrete and steel. With 1.5 million more tons to go, thats another $3 billion just for cleanup!
Postmaster General, John E. Potter, estimated costs to the post office at $50 million for improved physical security and irradiation equipment, not to mention the massive cleanup bills. The damaged Pentagon wedge sections have to be torn down, cleared and rebuilt, and that will take about 18 months, said Walker Evey, Pentagon renovation project manager, further estimating it could cost around $1 Billion for repairs and renovations. Security costs have
Watch these numbers. Our debt ceiling is 5.9 trillion and were bumping against it. As for the money supply figures, we will exceed 8 trillion by January 25th, by my calculations. Of course, the amount of money added as a result of 09/11/01 has yet to be felt. See these numbers for yourself WWW.USGOLDCOINS.COM
The total elimination of remaining trade barriers in manufacturing. The Panel endorses the proposal of the Commission on Global Governance to create a global council at the highest political level to provide leadership on issues of global governance. Politically, taxing for the solution of global problems will be much more difficult than taxing for purely domestic purposes, new sources These sound like noble goals indeed, but like every of finance should be considered without other noble scheme, how do you pay for it? This prejudice by all parties involved. In particular, a highlights the major differences between this and currency transactions tax, and a tax on the all previous UN declarations. The Millennium consumption of fossil fuels, at rates that reflect Declaration highlighted the task of raising the the contribution of these fuels to CO2 emissions. financial resources needed to finance these lofty The Panel proposes an International Tax goals. At the upcoming Conference and Summit in Organization (ITO) to...sponsor a mechanism for Financing for Development, scheduled to be held multilateral sharing of tax information, so as to in March 2002, the UN will deal with these issues. curb the evasion and control the movement of These are the key areas identified: natural persons... Domestic Resource Mobilization. It is the actions Wow, now thats telling it like it is. A World Tax of domestic governments that determine the state Organization. One more bureaucracy to deal with of macroeconomic and microeconomic policies, the and one more hand in your pocket. Page 2
Depending on your carrier, you may see a major increase in your insurance premiums. Listed at right are the biggest losses as a result of the attacks. Many of the re-insurance companies like Munich Re and Swiss Re, provide a way for smaller companies to lay-off their risk. With these folks taking major losses, it is easy to see how they might be reluctant to provide an avenue for smaller companies to reduce their risk. The total insurance losses from the attack won't be known for some time, but current estimates range from $15 billion to $50 billion, surpassing Hurricane Andrew, which created losses of $19 billion. This stands against industry wide surplus premiums of $318 billion at the end of 2000, according to UBS Warburg. Warren Buffetts Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A) pegged its losses at $2.2 billion. General Re, a subsidiary of Berkshire and one of the world's largest reinsurers, estimates it will have to pay 5% of the total losses by itself .The losses are accounted for in Berkshire's third-quarter results. Typically, the industry has responded to catastrophes by raising rates to deal with the losses, which means firms with the highest profits could benefit from the industry-wide price increases.
Total 9 -11 Losses ( The companies provided these numbers - they are dubiously low)
Berkshire Hathaway Lloyd's of London Munich Re Swiss Re Allianz Zurich Financial AIG XL Capital St Paul Employers Re Axa Travelers (Citigroup) Partner Re Ace Hannover Re CNA Financial MetLife Scor Royal & Sun Alliance Fairfax Financial Cox One Beacon Brit Insurance Chubb Amlin Everest Re Wellington Underwriting Markel Hiscox Cigna Page 3
$975 Million $900 Million $820 Million $700 Million $700 Million $600 Million $550 Million $500 Million $350 Million $400 Million $365 Million $350 Million $300 Million $250 Million $290 Million $200 Million $179 Million $175 Million $119 Million $100 Million $87 Million $75 Million $74 Million $75 Million $43 Million $25 Million
The Bank for International Settlements, (BIS), has taken the time to figure the total amount of money, bet in one form of derivative or another. The figure is shocking. Consider that the total supply of money is just under 8 trillion. I find it appalling that the nations banks and institutions have allowed gamblers to bet the farm on derivatives or the future value of something. The notional or total value of on-the-books derivatives transactions is $98.835 trillion as of the end of June, 2001, of which $67 trillion were interest-rate contracts; $17 trillion were foreign exchange contracts; $1.9 trillion were equity contracts; $590 billion were commodity contracts; and $12 trillion in the other category. The total amount that could be lost on this total is about $1 trillion. The global on the books figure was $96 trillion at the end of 2000, and $88 trillion at the end of 1999. The reason I make the distinction is because there are untold trillions in off the books derivative transactions, which I believe will lead to ruin. To paraphrase; a trillion here a trillion there and pretty soon you are talking real money.
Important changes to our currency are just ahead. Keep yourself informed!
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