Public Disclosure Authorized

The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report

Somali Electricity Sector Recovery Project (P173088)

Somali Electricity Sector Recovery Project (P173088)

EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA | Somalia | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing (IPF) | FY 2022 | Seq No: 5 |
Archived on 10-Jun-2024 | ISR00289

Implementing Agencies: Federal Ministry of Energy and Water Resources (MoEWR), Ministry of Energy and Minerals,
Somaliland, Ministry of Finance, Federal Republic of Somalia, Ministry of Finance, Somaliland
Public Disclosure Authorized

1. OBJECTIVE

1.1 Development Objective

Original Development Objective (Approved as part of Approval package on 07-Dec-2021)
The Project Development Objective is to increase access to lower cost and cleaner electricity supply in project areas and
to reestablish the electricity supply industry.
Has the Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective?

No
Public Disclosure Authorized

2. COMPONENTS

Name
Component 1 –Subtransmission and distribution network reconstruction, reinforcement and operations efficiency in the
major load centers of Mogadishu and Hargeisa:(Cost 75,000,000.00)

Component 2 –Hybridization and battery storage systems for minigrids:(Cost 20,000,000.00)

Component 3 – Stand-alone solar off-grid access to public institutions (health and education):(Cost 40,000,000.00)

Component 4 -Institutional development and capacity building:(Cost 15,000,000.00)

Public Disclosure Authorized

3. OVERALL RATINGS

Name Previous Current

Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory

Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory

Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial

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4. KEY ISSUES & STATUS

4.1 Implementation Status and Key Decisions

The project was approved by World Bank Board on December 8, 2021; and the Grant Agreement between the World
Bank and Federal Government of Somalia was signed on December 17, 2021. The project has achieved effectiveness and
implementation is ongoing. The project is on track to meet its objectives.

5. SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL

Rating at Approval Last Approved Rating

Risk Category Approval Package - ISR Seq. 04 - 07 Dec Proposed Rating
08 Dec 2021 2023

Political and Governance High High High

Macroeconomic Substantial Substantial Substantial

Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate

Technical Design of Project or Program Moderate Moderate Moderate

Institutional Capacity for Implementation and

Substantial Substantial Substantial
Sustainability

Fiduciary Substantial Substantial High

Environment and Social High High High

Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate

Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial

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6. RESULTS

6.1 PDO Indicators by PDO Outcomes

Increase access to lower cost and cleaner electricity, re-establish the electricity supply industry
Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period
Indicator Name
Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 31-Oct-2023 237,000.00 Jul/2027
Comments on The indicator will track the additional electricity supply provided as a result a) technical loss
Increase in electricity supply achieving targets reduction and synchronization under component 1; b) increase in enegy supply from the
(Megawatt hour(MWh)) installed SPV+BESS under Component 2 and c) off-grid solar generation from component 3.
Based on on the preliminary designs completed for Componets 2&3, the systems will have
the capacity to suppy about 65,000MWh (target to be reviewed at the MTR stage)
Generation capacity of 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 23.00 Jun/2026
energy constructed or Comments on This will include (i) Capacity of SPV systems installed under Componnt 2&3. The preliminary
rehabilitated (Megawatt) achieving targets designs indicate that at least a capacity of 40MW shall be installed.
Renewable energy 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 23.00 Jun/2026
generation capacity Comments on This will include (i) Capacity of SPV systems installed under Componnt 2&3. The preliminary
(other than achieving targets designs indicate that at least a capacity of 40MW shall be installed.
hydropower)
constructed under the
project (Megawatt)
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 31-Oct-2023 604,000.00 Jun/2026
Annual GHG avoided (Metric
Comments on The indicator will track the reduction in GHG emissions resulting from improved efficiency of
ton)
achieving targets ESPs operations and establishment of renewable generation replacing diesel based one.
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 30.00 Jun/2026

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Comments on The indicator will track the decrease in the participating ESPs tariffs due to project
Decrease in tariffs under the
achieving targets intervention under Component 2. Preliminary feasibility assesments highlight a likely
project (Percentage)
reduction of upto 50% (Target to be reviewed at MTR)
No Jul/2021 No 30-May-2024 No 30-May-2024 Yes Jun/2026
Establishment of the
Comments on The indicator will track the reestablishment of the sector institutions with clear mandates.
Electricity Supply Industry
achieving targets Key milestones will include (a) Adaption of a new ESI Institutional Organization structure
institutions with clear roles
(achived); (ii) Establishment of the Somaliland Energy Regulatory Commission and the FGS
and responsibilities
National Electricity Authority (Achived); (iii) Enactment of FGS Electricity Law/Act (Achieved),
(Yes/No)
and (iv) Licenses issued for generation, transmission and distribution operations.

6.2 Intermediate Results Indicators by Components

Component 1 –Subtransmission and distribution network reconstruction, reinforcement and operations efficiency in the major load centers of Mogadishu
and Hargeisa
Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period
Indicator Name
Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 31-Oct-2023 331.00 Jun/2026
Distribution lines constructed Comments on The indicator will track progress in the length of distribution network rehabilitation and
or rehabilitated achieving targets extension. Designs for the Mogadishu and Hargeisa cities have been completed with the
(Kilometers) following indicative distribution line to be constructed: Mogadishu-166km and Hargeisa-
67.2km. Implementation of this sub-component is behind schedule.
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 52.00 Jun/2026
Sub-transmission lines Comments on The indicator will track progress in the establishment of the sub-transmission network in the
constructed under the achieving targets country. This will include proposed 132KV lines. The feasibility study has recomended the
project (Kilometers) following lines to be constructed: (i)Mogadishu-55km; Hargeisa-30km.Implementation of
this sub-component is behind schedule.
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 31-Oct-2023 48.00 Jun/2026

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Comments on The indicator will track the progress in the synchronization of existing generators improving
Generators synchronized achieving targets their efficiency in utilization of available installed capacity. A detailed technical assesment is
(Megawatt) planned to be undertaken to assess the compatability of the various generator sets that can
be synchonised.
40.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 32.00 Jun/2026
Comments on This indicator will track the reduction in technical losses for ESPs in the program areas
achieving targets resulting from distribution network interconnection and rehabilitation. The network design
Technical loss reduction
analysis has indicated an average total network losses of about 35 percent, that can be
(Percentage)
reduced to about 20 percent by implementing the proposed network reinforcements and
prudent revenue managment systems, especialy metering ( Target to be reviewed at the
MTR).
Number of people 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 3,150,000.00 Jun/2026
benefitting from improved Comments on This indicator will track the number of people benefitting from improved electricity service
electricity service delivery achieving targets delivery
under component 1
(Number)
Component 2 –Hybridization and battery storage systems for minigrids
Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period
Indicator Name
Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 18.00 Jun/2026
Generation capacity of
Comments on Feasibility asssesments indicate the potential to install at least 30MW under Components 2.
energy constructed or
achieving targets Preparation and Invitation for Bids for these activities are ongoing and most of the contracts
rehabilitated (Megawatt)
are expected to be awarded by end October, 2024.
Renewable energy 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 18.00 Jun/2026
generation capacity Comments on Feasibility asssesments indicate the potential to install at least 30MW under Components 2.
(other than achieving targets Preparation and Invitation for Bids for these activities are ongoing and most of the contracts
hydropower) are expected to be awarded by end October, 2024.
constructed under the
project (Megawatt)

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0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 14.00 Jun/2026

Capacity of solar PV installed Comments on The indicator will track the installed PV capacity in the program areas. Its estimated to install
(Megawatt) achieving targets about 30MW. Preparation and Invitation for Bids for these activities are ongoing and most of
the contracts are expected to be awarded by end October, 2024.
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 4.00 Jun/2026
Capacity of BESS installed Comments on The indicator will track the installed BESS capacity in the program areas. Preliminary
(Megawatt) achieving targets assesments indicate a total capacity of about 30MW. The indicator units to be revised at
MTR to MWh instead of MW.
Number of people to benefit 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 2,564,000.00 Jun/2026
from improved electricity Comments on This indicator will track the number of people benefitting from improved electricity service
service delivery under achieving targets delivery
component 2 (Number)
Component 3 – Stand-alone solar off-grid access to public institutions (health and education)
Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period
Indicator Name
Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 205.00 Jun/2026
Comments on The indicator will track the number of health facilities provided with SHS connectivity under
Health facilities connected
achieving targets the project. Todate, 194(FGS-150, Somaliland-44) health institutions have been assessed.
under the project (Number)
Contracts for the installations of the Solar PV systems are expected to all be awarded by end
December, 2024; with an expected contracts duration of 8 months.
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 30-May-2024 0.00 30-May-2024 380.00 Jun/2026
Education facilities Comments on The indicator will track the number of health facilities provided with SHS connectivity under
connected under the project achieving targets the project. A total of 273 (FGS-215; Somaliland-58) education institutions have been
(Number) assesed. Preparation of bid documents and the respective contracts' award expectd to be
completed by December 30, 2024.
Number of people 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 2,565,000.00 Jun/2026
benefitting from improved Comments on This indicator will track the number of people benefitting from improved electricity service
electricity service delivery achieving targets delivery through health and educational facilities
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through health and

educational facilities
(Number)
Generation capacity of 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 5.00 Jun/2026
energy constructed or Comments on The total capacity of SPV to be installed is estimated at 10MW (to be confirmed after
rehabilitated (Megawatt) achieving targets assesment of all the targeted institutions).
Renewable energy 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 5.00 Jun/2026
generation capacity Comments on The total capacity of SPV to be installed is estimated at 10MW.
(other than achieving targets
hydropower)
constructed under the
project (Megawatt)
Component 4 -Institutional development and capacity building
Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Closing Period
Indicator Name
Value Month/Year Value Date Value Date Value Month/Year
Establishment of the No Jul/2021 No 06-Apr-2023 Yes Jun/2026
Somaliland Energy Comments on The indicator will track the establishment and operationalization of sector regulatory
Regulatory Commission and achieving targets authorities. Somaliland Energy Commission (SEC) and Somalia National Electricity Authority
the FGS National Electricity (NEA) have been established and are operational.
Authority (Yes/No)
Adoption of secondary No Jul/2021 No 06-Apr-2023 Yes Jun/2026
legislation stemming from Comments on The indicator will track the adoption of the secondary legislation for sector operations. Both
the Electricity Act (Yes/No) achieving targets SEC and NEA are in the process of issuing revised licences following their appointment.
No Jul/2021 No 06-Apr-2023 Yes Jun/2026
Comments on The indicator will track the adoption of the fundamental sector planning instruments for
Adoption of sector integrated
achieving targets sector recovery and development. This will partly be informed by the ongoing Somalia
Least-Cost Plan (Yes/No)
Generation and Transmission Development Plan that is under preparation (expected to be
completed by Septmebr 30, 2023)

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No Jul/2021 No 06-Apr-2023 Yes Jun/2026

Completion of the detailed
Comments on The indicator will track the completion of the Gender Diagnostic Assessment (GDA). The FGS-
Diagnostic Gender
achieving targets GDA final report is expted by June 30, 2024 whereas the contract for undetaking the
Assessment (Yes/No)
somaliland GDA was signed in April-2024 and final reports expected by end October 2024.
Increase in women's 0.00 Jun/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 20.00 May/2026
employment in the energy Comments on The indicator will track progress in the female workforce participation in energy sector
sector (Percentage) achieving targets institutions in the country as supported by project activities.
0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 50.00 Jun/2026
Beneficiaries that feel project
Comments on This is a Citizen Engagement indicator which will measure the satisfaction of project
investments reflected their
achieving targets beneficiaries (ESPs customers under Component 1 and 2, beneficiaries of improved services
needs (%) (Percentage)
of health and education facilities) with project activities.
Satisfaction of enterprises in 0.00 Jul/2021 0.00 06-Apr-2023 50.00 Jun/2026
beneficiaries survey Comments on This is a Citizen Engagement indicator which will measure the satisfaction of enterprises
(Percentage) achieving targets beneficiaries of project activities under Component 1 and 2.

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7. DATA ON FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

7.1 Cumulative Disbursements

7.2 Disbursements (by loan)

Loan/Credit/TF Status Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed

IDA-D9310 Effective 150.00 150.00 0.00 5.96 135.21 3.97%

7.3 Key Dates (by loan)

Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Signing Effectiveness Orig. Closing Rev. Closing

IDA-D9310 Effective 08-Dec-2021 17-Dec-2021 30-Mar-2022 31-Dec-2026 31-Dec-2026

8. KEY DATES

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Key Events Planned Actual

Approval 08-Dec-2021 08-Dec-2021

Effectiveness 30-Mar-2022 30-Mar-2022

Mid-Term Review No. 01 28-Feb-2025

Operation Closing/Cancellation 31-Dec-2026

9. RESTRUCTURING HISTORY

10. ASSOCIATED OPERATION(S)

There are no associated operations

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