S1 January 2006 Mark Scheme

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January 2006

6683 Statistics 1 Mark Scheme

Question
Number

Scheme

1. (a)

Mode is 56

(b)

Q1 = 35, Q 2 = 52, Q3 = 60

(c)

x=

Marks
B1
(1)
B1,B1,B1
(3)

1335
4
= 49.4&or 49
27
9

exact or awrt 49.4

M1A1ft

71801 1335

= 214.5432...
27
27
= 14.6 or 14.9

2 =

(d)
(e)

awrt 14.6(5) or 14.9


awrt range -0.44 to -0.46

For negative skew;


Mean<median<mode
correctly
(49.4<52<56 not required)
correctly

compared

A1
compared M1
A1 ft

M1

(4)

2. (a)

Total 14
marks
B1
M1A1

p + q = 0.4
2 p + 4q = 1.3

(3)

Consider with (b).


M1

Attempt to solve

(d)

M1A1
(2)

8 and 17
Accept other valid reason eg. 3(mean-median)/sd as alt for M1A1

(c)

A1
(4)

49.4-56
= 0.448
14.6

Q3 -Q 2 <Q2 -Q1

(b)

B1

A1A1

p = 0.15, q = 0.25

(3)

If both seen, award 3.

E(X 2 ) = 12 0.10 + 22 0.15 + ..... + 52 0.30 = 14


Var( X ) = 14 3.52 = 1.75

M1A1ft
M1A1
(4)
M1A1ft
(2)

Var(3 2 X ) = 4Var( X ) = 7.00

Total 12
marks

January 2006
3. (a)

6683 Statistics 1 Mark Scheme

Sensible graph scales, labels, shape

B1,B1,B1

3(a) Scatter Diagram


120

100

18, 96

Evaporation Loss (y ml)

15, 90
16, 88
13, 82
12, 79

80
10, 69
8, 61

60
6, 53
5, 50
40

3, 36

20

0
0

10

15

20

Time (x w eeks)

(b)
(c)

(3)

Points lie close to a straight line

B1
(1)

106 704
S xy = 8354
= 891.6
10
1062
S xx = 1352
= 228.4
10
891.6
b=
= 3.903677...
228.4
704
106
a=
b
= 29.021015...
10
10

B1
B1
awrt 3.9

M1A1

awrt 29

M1A1

29.02, 3.90
(d)

For every extra week in storage, another 3.90 ml of chemical evaporates

(e)

(i) 103.12

(f)

(i) Close to range of x , so reasonably reliable


(ii) Well outside range of x ,
could be unreliable since no evidence that model will continue to hold

A1ft
(7)
B1
(1)

(ii) 165.52

B1B1
(2)
B1,B1
B1
B1
(4)
Total 18
marks

January 2006

6683 Statistics 1 Mark Scheme

8
11

4. (a)

9
12

Blue

Blue

3
11

Tree

Red

M1

A1

9
11

Blue

9 3
,
12 12
3
12

Complete & labels

5. (a)

P(Second ball is red)=

(3)

2
11

(b)

(c)

A1

Red

Red

M1A1
(2)

9 3 3 2 1
+ =
12 11 12 11 4

M1A

1
(2)

3 2

12
11 = 2
P( Both are red Second ball is red)=
1
11
4

Total 7
marks
exact or awrt

0.182
(b)

To simplify a real world problem


To improve understanding / describe / analyse a real world problem
Quicker and cheaper than using real thing
To predict possible future outcomes
Refine model / change parameters possible
Any 2
(i) e.g.s height, weight
die

(ii) score on a face after tossing a fair

B1B1
(2)
B1B1
(2)
Total 4
marks

January 2006

6683 Statistics 1 Mark Scheme

6. (a)

0.32

0.22

0.11
Venn

Diagram
0.35

A,B

0.22,0.35 &

(b)

box

(c)

P(A) = 0.32 + 0.22 = 0.54; P(B ) = 0.33

(d)

0.32,0.11 &

M1
A1
A1
(3)
M1A1ft;A1ft
(3)
M1A1
(2)

P(A B) 32
=
awrt 0.478
P(B)
67
For independence P(A B ) = P(A)P(B )
For these data 0.22 0.54 0.33 = 0.1782
2
(OR P( A B) P(A) for M1A1ft OR =P( A B ) P(A)=0.54 for M1A1ft)
3
NOT independent
P( A B) =

M1A1ft
A1ft
(3)
Total 11
marks

7. (a)
Let H be rv height of athletes, so H : N(180,5.22 )
(b)

(c)

(d)

P(H >188) = P(Z >

188 180
) = P(Z >1.54) = 0.0618 stand. , sq, awrt
5.2

0.062
Let W be rv weight of athletes, so W : N(85,7.12 )

P(W<97) = P(Z < 1.69) = 0.9545

M1A1A1
(3)
M1A1
(2)

standardise, awrt 0.9545

P(H >188 & W < 97) = 0.0618(1 0.9545)


= 0.00281

allow (a)x(b) for M


awrt 0.0028
Evidence suggests height and weight are positively correlated / linked
Assumption of independence is not sensible

M1A1ft
A1
(3)
B1
(1)
Total 9
marks

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