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Design of Experiment

CASE: Traffic Times

12/12/2007
Bryce Gantt Igor Uroic

Design of Experiments
CASE: Traffic Times
Bryce Gantt, Igor Uroic Agenda: Definition
Experiment Types Terminology

Procedure
Full-Factorial Experiment Graphs

Example: Traffic Times Minitab Procedure Excel Procedure

Definition
Design of Experiment (DOE) is a structured method for determining the relationship between process factors (x) and the process output (Y) A structured DOE has several benefits:
Identifies important factors Establishes process stability Allows simultaneous factor interaction analysis Determines optimal operating conditions

Experiment Types
Trial and Error
Random changes to factors

One Factor at a Time


Hold one factor constant and vary the other No ability to evaluate combined effect

Full-Factorial
Evaluate all possible combinations of factors at levels

Fractional-Factorial
Evaluate only a fraction of possible combinations Less information than a Full-Factorial

Terminology
Factor
Process variable (x)

Level
Settings at which a factor is being evaluated e.g. pressure settings (3psi, 5psi OR 10psi)

Interaction
Failure of a factor to produce identical results at ALL experiment levels (all three psi levels)

Response
A measurable process (Y)

Terminology (contd.)
Main Effect
(Avg. at high level) (Avg. at low level) Factor impact on the response variable (Y)

Interaction Effect
Combined effect of multiple factors on the response variable

Experimental boundaries
The range of all possible values

DOE Procedure
Establish and objective (e.g. minimize cost) Identify all factors (x)
Pick several factors (pick 2 or 3 are common) Select levels

Determine the sample size for each experiment Randomize order Run experiment Analyze the results

Full-Factorial Experiment
The nx experiment n=number or levels x=number of factors As the number of factors and levels increases, the complexity of the experiment increases exponentially
e.g of increasing complexity (22 vs. 33 vs. 37) 4 combinations, 27 combinations, and 2,187 combinations respectively

DOE Graphs
Main Effect
No effect
(-) Factor 1 (x) (+)

-- Strong Effect
(-) Factor 1 (x) (+)

Interaction Effect
No effect
Factor 2 (x)
Factor 2 (x)

-- Strong Effect

(-)

Factor 1 (x)

(+)

(-)

Factor 1 (x)

(+)
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Example: Traffic Times


Establish and objective
Minimize commute time

Identify factors (x)


Practical, feasible, measurable
Type Variable
A

Description
Category for day of work week Time leave for work School holiday or summer break

Levels
- Beginning (M-W) - Ending (R-F) - 8:00AM - 8:30AM - Yes - No Minutes from driveway to parking lot
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Input

B C

Output

Morning Commute

Example (contd.)
Determine the sample size
8 samples per run
Coding: -1 = low level +1) = high level

Randomize order
Standard order Trial Factor A
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1

Coding:

Leave for work on a M-W

Factor B
-1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1

Factor C
-1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1

at 8:00 AM on a school holiday

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Example (contd.)
Run experiment
Trial/ Run Response Factor A
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1

Factor B
-1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1

Factor C
-1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1

Duration
37 31 23 32 32 20 16 28

Average Duration of 8 samples


Trial/ Run Factor A
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1 -1 1

Factor B
-1 -1 1 1 -1 -1 1 1

Factor C
-1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 1 1

Avg. R
24.24 21.80 21.97 18.42 21.93 18.75 18.60 18.63

In total, 64 data points.


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 19 17 16 16 30 15 15 21

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Example (contd.)
Analyze the results
Important? Main effects have steep slopes. Interactions almost parallel.

Practical? Commute decreased when school was closed.

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Example (contd.)
Analyze the results
No significant factors

Main Factors

Significance line Interactions

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Minitab Procedure
Open Minitab and enter the data

Define the DOE

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Minitab Procedure (contd.)


Generate the effects plots

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Minitab Procedure (contd.)


Generate the Pareto and ANOVA

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Excel Procedure
Enter data

Review the ANOVA

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References
Dataset: http://www.omninerd.com/articles/attachments/Brandon/a50/commute_data.xls MGS 8020: http://www2.gsu.edu/~wwwkem/Lectures/DOE_Overview.pdf The Lean Six Sigma Pocket Toolbook
by M. George, D. Rowlands, M. Price, & J. Maxey

DOE at iSixSigma: http://www.isixsigma.com/tt/doe/ Meet Minitab: http://www.minitab.com/support/docs/rel15/MeetMinitab.pdf

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Questions

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