Security in The Post-Cold War Era: MSE 193/293 Stanford University 12 October, 2005 William J. Perry
Security in The Post-Cold War Era: MSE 193/293 Stanford University 12 October, 2005 William J. Perry
Security in The Post-Cold War Era: MSE 193/293 Stanford University 12 October, 2005 William J. Perry
MSE 193/293
Stanford University
12 October, 2005
William J. Perry
REFERENCES—LECTURE E
• “Putin’s Russia”, Lilia Shevtsova;
Foreword and Prologue
• “Nuclear Terrorism”, Graham Allison;
Introduction and Chpt. 3
• “Preventive Defense” (Chapter 5), Carter
and Perry
• “Our Last Best Chance”, NTI docudrama
TWO MAJOR SECURITY ISSUES
POST-COLD WAR
• LOOSE NUKES
• CATASTROPHIC TERRORISM
LOOSE NUKES in EARLY 90s
• CYBERWARFARE---attack computers
and commo links
• INSURGENCY WARFARE
• TERRORISM
• INTENT
• CAPABILITY
• RESOURCES
• DEDICATION OF FOLLOWERS
• TRACK RECORD
The “WISDOM” of OSAMA BIN LADEN
• END OF SLAVERY
• DOWNFALL OF PLANTER ARISTOCRACY
• WATERSHED--NEW POLIT. / ECON. ORDER
• BEGINNING--BIG INDUSTRY/ BIG GOVT.
• ESTABLISH US--WORLD MILITARY POWER
• DEVELOP NEW MILITARY TECH. / TACTICS
EVOLUTION OF MILITARY TECHNOLOGY
5000 BC 3500 BC 1500 BC 0 1000 1600 1800 1850 1900
Military Civilian
Deaths Deaths
Kennan (X Paper)
Containment
Nuclear
Deterrence NATO
Demonstration of American Values
Marshall Plan
-and-
PATIENCE!!!
CW CHALLENGES OF USSR
• Berlin blockade
• Korean war
• Berlin wall
• Cuban Missile crisis
• Nuclear arms race
• Space race
RESULTS-CUBAN MISSILE CRISIS
(Life is full of unintended consequences)
WARHEADS 1 1 3
TOTAL W/H 100 100 3,000