Credit Rating & Debt Policy

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Credit Rating &

Debt Policy

DR - 6
Qualitative
• Industry Dynamics
• Company Profile
• Brand Equity
Discussion
• Business Risk
• Litigation and Legislative Risks Outline
Quantitative
• Profitability Ratio Analysis
• Capitalization Ratio Analysis
• Coverage Ratio Analysis
Forbes: Most profitable company
(1997)

Past
Performance
5 year return on capital: 92.1%
Net Sales
$1,600.00

$1,400.00

$1,200.00

$1,000.00

$800.00

$600.00

$400.00

$200.00

$0.00
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
Past Performance
Sales Growth Gross Profit Margin
20.00%
82.00%
18.00%
80.00%
16.00%
14.00% 78.00%

12.00% 76.00%
10.00% 74.00%
8.00%
72.00%
6.00%
70.00%
4.00%
2.00% 68.00%

0.00% 66.00%
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000

03
UST - % Market Share
88.00%

86.00%

84.00%

82.00%

80.00%

78.00%

76.00%

74.00%

72.00%
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
Competitors - % Market Share
14.00%

12.00%

10.00%

8.00%
Conwood
Swedish Match
6.00% Swisher
Other Manufacturers
4.00%

2.00%

0.00%
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Industry Analysis
• Smokeless Tobacco Market of $2 Billion

• 1-3% Expected Market Growth

• Rise of Value Segment

• UST – Market Share

• Target Market

• Consumer Perception
Business Risk
• Litigation Risks

• Potential Legislative Restrictions

• Promotional Restriction

• Individual’s Perception

• Anti-Trust Laws

• Lack of Global Growth Opportunities


Brand Equity
• Strong Brand Presence
• A Premium Product
• Continued Growth for Moist Smokers Tobacco

Competitor Analysis
• Late Entry into Value Market
• Product Diversification
• Steady Returns
Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratios

• Net Profit Margin

• Return on Assets

• Return on Equity
Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratios
Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratios
Financial Ratios
Profitability Ratios
Financial Preparation for Millennials | EWCG 04

Financial Ratios
Capitalization Ratios

• Debt/Equity Ratio: 21% (1998)

• Debt/Capitalization Ratio
Financial Preparation for Millennials | EWCG

Financial Ratios
Coverage Ratios

• EBIT Interest Coverage (x) : 101.5

• EBITDA Interest Coverage (x) : 105.6


04

Rating Criteria
Adverse Effects due to:

• Litigation Risk

• Business Risk
Recommendations
Rating: AA-

Go Ahead with $1 Billion Borrowing

• Increase in Market Value of UST

• Shareholders value Increases

• Financial Leverage will Increase bringing down the Cost of

capital.

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