Decline Curve Analysis: Learning Objectives of Lecture 8
Decline Curve Analysis: Learning Objectives of Lecture 8
Decline Curve Analysis: Learning Objectives of Lecture 8
dq / dt q / t
D lim
q t 0 q
Decline Curve Analysis
n
3. Hyperbolic decline q
D Di
qi
where Di is the initial decline rate
Decline curve models
Producing rate during decline period for each
model are (derived in appendix C:
qi
harmonic rate decline q (t ) Eq .2
1 Di t
qi
hyperbolic rate decline q (t ) Eq .3
1 nD i t 1/ n
Decline curve models
Cumulative production as a function of q for each model
are determined as:
qi q
exponential decline Gp Eq .4
Di
qi
harmonic decline Gp ln(q i / q ) Eq .5
Di
q in 1 1
Gp n 1 Eq .6
hyperbolic decline D i (1 n ) q i q n 1
Decline curve models
Time at abandonment:
If we define the economic limit when the production rate is
qa then the exponential, harmonic and hyperbolic declines
would have the following abandonment times respectively:
1 qi 1 qi
ta ln Eq .7 ta 1 Eq .8
Di qa Di qa
1 qi
n
ta 1 Eq .9
nD i q a
Graphical Features of Models
Cartesian plots yields
Graphical Features of Models
Seilog plots yield
Graphical Features of Models
Cartesian q vs Gp plots yield
Graphical Features of Models
Semilog q vs Gp plots yield
Graphical Features of Models
2. A plot of q vs Np is
Towler also pointed out that linear regression impose more weight
on smaller values of production rates as it involves logs of
variables. Furthermore, the two suggested procedures on linear
regression do not produce equivalent results.