Operations Management 4

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Operations Management 4

Capacity Planning For Products and Services (Stevenson Ch 5)

Learning Objectives
Explain the importance of capacity planning. Discuss ways of defining and measuring capacity. Describe the determinants of effective capacity. Discuss the major considerations related to developing capacity alternatives. Briefly describe approaches that are useful for evaluating capacity alternatives

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Capacity Planning
Capacity is the upper limit or ceiling on the load that an operating unit can handle
physical units produced or services performed

Capacity includes

Equipments available and capacity of each Space available Employee skills available

Achieve a match between long term production or supply capabilities and long term demand, as far as predictable, considering changes in

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Technology Environment Perceived threats and opportunities

Capacity Planning
The basic questions in capacity handling are:

What kind of capacity is needed?

Products and services to be produced or provided

How much is needed?


Forecasts are key inputs Seasonality factors have to be considered


Stability of demand Rate of technological change in product design Rate of technological change in equipments Competitive factors Product life cycle

When is it needed? Depends on


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Importance of Capacity Decisions


Impacts ability to meet future demands
Make provisions in capacity for increased demand in future. Having capacity to meet demand is advantageous.

Affects operating costs


Matching supply and demand (ideal situation) Balance the costs of over and under capacity

Major determinant of initial costs


Initial costs are higher for larger units Per unit production cost of larger unit is less
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Importance of Capacity Decisions


Involves long-term commitment
Changing capacity decisions involves major cost

Affects competitiveness
Large capacity or ability to add capacity is entry barrier for competitors

Affects ease of management


Matched capacity is easier to manage

Globalization has made capacity decisions important and complex (uncertainty more) Impacts long range planning
Plan for power plants
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Capacity
Design capacity

maximum output rate or service capacity an operation, process, or facility is designed for Design capacity minus allowances such as personal time, maintenance, and scrap rate of output actually achieved--cannot exceed effective capacity.

Effective capacity

Actual output

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Efficiency and Utilization


Efficiency = Actual output

Effective capacity
Actual output Design capacity

Utilization =

Both measures expressed as percentages

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Efficiency/Utilization Example
Design capacity = 50 trucks/day Effective capacity = 40 trucks/day Actual output = 36 units/day

Actual output

36 units/day = 40 units/ day 36 units/day 50 units/day = 90%

Efficiency = Utilization =

Effective capacity Actual output Design capacity

= 72%

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Determinants of Effective Capacity


Design of facilities, size, expansion provision Production of similar products will be more than when successive products differ Service of limited items will be faster than of large variety (Ex. Restaurant) Process factors quantity capability, quality Human factors training, skill, experience Policy factors overtime, working in shifts
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Determinants of Effective Capacity


Operational factors scheduling with many m/c and inventory shortage Supply chain factors impact on suppliers External factors

Strategy Formulation
Capacity strategy for long-term demand Demand patterns Growth rate and variability Facilities
Cost of building and operating

Technological changes
Rate and direction of technology changes

Behavior of competitors Availability of capital and other inputs


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Key Decisions of Capacity Planning


1. Amount of capacity needed
Capacity cushion (100% - Utilization)

2. Timing of changes 3. Need to maintain balance 4. Extent of flexibility of facilities

Capacity cushion extra demand intended to offset uncertainty


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Steps for Capacity Planning


1. Estimate future capacity requirements 2. Evaluate existing capacity 3. Identify alternatives 4. Conduct financial analysis 5. Assess key qualitative issues 6. Select one alternative 7. Implement alternative chosen 8. Monitor results
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Forecasting Capacity Requirements


Long-term vs. short-term capacity needs Long-term relates to overall level of capacity such as facility size, trends, and cycles Short-term relates to variations from seasonal, random, and irregular fluctuations in demand

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Calculating Processing Requirements


Product Annual Demand Standard processing time per unit (hr.) Processing time needed (hr.)

#1 #2 #3

400 300 700

5.0 8.0 2.0

2,000 2,400 1,400 5,800

If annual capacity is 2000 hours, then we need three machines to handle the required volume: 5,800 hours/2,000 hours = 2.90 machines
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Planning Service Capacity


Need to be near customers
Capacity and location are closely tied

Inability to store services


Capacity must be matched with timing of demand

Degree of volatility of demand


Peak demand periods

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In-House or Outsourcing
Outsource: obtain goods or service from an external provider. Decision on outsourcing depends on the following considerations Available capacity dependency on capacity Expertise dependency on knowledge Core competence of the company Quality considerations Nature of demand Cost

1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.
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In-House or Outsourcing
Outsourcing: 1. Benefits : Economy of scale, risk pooling, reduced capital investment, focus on core competency, flexibility 2. Risks : Loss of competitive knowledge, conflicting interests.

Developing Capacity Alternatives


1.Design flexibility into systems 2.Take stage of life cycle into account 3.Take a big picture approach to capacity changes 4.Prepare to deal with capacity chunks 5.Attempt to smooth out capacity requirements 6.Identify the optimal operating level

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Bottleneck Operation
Machine #1 Machine #2
10/hr
Bottleneck operation: An operation in a sequence of operations whose capacity is lower than that of the other operations

10/hr

Bottleneck Operation
10/hr 10/hr

30/hr

Machine #3

Machine #4
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Bottleneck Operation
Bottleneck

Operation 1 20/hr.

Operation 2 10/hr.

Operation 3 15/hr.

10/hr.

Maximum output rate limited by bottleneck

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Economies of Scale
Economies of scale
If the output rate is less than the optimal level, increasing output rate results in decreasing average unit costs

Diseconomies of scale
If the output rate is more than the optimal level, increasing the output rate results in increasing average unit costs

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Optimal Rate of Output


Production units have an optimal rate of output for minimal cost. Average cost per unit

Minimum average cost per unit

Minimum cost

0
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Rate of output

Economies of Scale
Minimum cost & optimal operating rate are functions of size of production unit. Average cost per unit

Small
plant

Medium plant

Large plant

Output rate

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Evaluating Alternatives
Cost-volume analysis
Break-even point

Financial analysis
Cash flow Present value

Decision theory Waiting-line analysis

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Cost-Volume Relationships

Profit
Amount ($)

Fixed cost (FC) 0


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BEP Q (volume in units)

Break-Even Problem with Step Fixed Costs

3 machines

2 machines 1 machine Quantity


Step fixed costs and variable costs.
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Break-Even Problem with Step Fixed Costs


$
BEP 2 TC BEP
3

TC

3
TC 2 1

Quantity Multiple break-even points


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Assumptions of Cost-Volume Analysis


1.One product is involved 2.Everything produced can be sold 3.Variable cost per unit is the same regardless of volume 4.Fixed costs do not change with volume 5.Revenue per unit constant with volume 6.Revenue per unit exceeds variable cost per unit
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Financial Analysis
Cash Flow - the difference between cash received from sales and other sources, and cash outflow for labor, material, overhead, and taxes. Present Value - the sum, in current value, of all future cash flows of an investment proposal.

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Decision Theory
Helpful tool for financial comparison of alternatives under conditions of risk or uncertainty Suited to capacity decisions

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Waiting-Line Analysis
Useful for designing or modifying service systems Waiting-lines occur across a wide variety of service systems Waiting-lines are caused by bottlenecks in the process Helps managers plan capacity level that will be cost-effective by balancing the cost of having customers wait in line with the cost of additional capacity
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