2024 United States Senate election in Nevada
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County results Rosen: 50–60% Brown: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Nevada |
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Nevada portal |
The 2024 United States Senate election in Nevada was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Nevada. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jacky Rosen narrowly won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee Sam Brown.[1] Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump carried Nevada on the same ballot. Primary elections took place on June 11, 2024.[2]
Background
[edit]A typical swing state, Nevada is considered to be a purple state at the federal level, especially since in the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden carried Nevada by about two percentage points. Both parties have seen success in the state in recent years. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats, majorities in both state legislative chambers, and all but one seat in its congressional delegation, while Republicans flipped the governorship and lieutenant governorship in 2022.[3][4][5]
As of 2024, no Republican has won any U.S. Senate race in Nevada since 2012. This race was considered to be highly competitive given the state's nearly even partisan lean; however, most polls and ratings showed Rosen to be the favorite to win.[6]
Democratic primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]- Jacky Rosen, incumbent U.S. senator[7]
Eliminated in primary
[edit]- Mike Schaefer, member of the California State Board of Equalization from the 4th district (2019–present)[8]
- Troy Zakari Walker, business consultant[9]
Endorsements
[edit]U.S representatives
- Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district (2007–2012)[10]
Statewide officials
- Andy Beshear, Governor of Kentucky (2019–present)[11]
- Gretchen Whitmer, Governor of Michigan (2019-present)[12]
Individuals
- Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, labor organizer and president of NextGen America PAC (2021–present)[13]
Labor unions
- AFSCME Nevada[14]
- Culinary Workers Union[15]
- LiUNA Local 872[16]
- National Education Association[17]
- Nevada AFL-CIO[18]
Organizations
- 314 Action[19]
- American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC)[20]
- Bend the Arc[21]
- CHC BOLD PAC[22]
- Democratic Majority for Israel[23]
- EMILY's List[24]
- End Citizens United[25]
- Feminist Majority PAC[26]
- Giffords[10]
- Human Rights Campaign[27]
- Humane Society Legislative Fund[28]
- Jewish Democratic Council of America[29]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[30]
- League of Conservation Voters[31]
- National Organization for Women PAC[32]
- National Women's Political Caucus[33]
- Natural Resources Defense Council[34]
- NextGen America PAC[13]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[35]
- Population Connection Action Fund[36]
- Reproductive Freedom for All[37]
- Sierra Club[38]
- Silver State Equality[39]
- Swing Left[40]
Newspapers
- Las Vegas Sun (Democratic primary only)[41]
- Las Vegas Weekly (Democratic primary only)[42]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jacky Rosen (D) | $27,387,983 | $17,316,743 | $10,249,429 |
Troy Walker (D) | $705 | $675 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[43] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jacky Rosen (incumbent) | 144,090 | 91.51% | |
Democratic | Troy Zakari Walker | 5,899 | 3.75% | |
Democratic | None of These Candidates | 3,951 | 2.51% | |
Democratic | Mike Schaefer | 3,521 | 2.24% | |
Total votes | 157,461 | 100.0% |
Republican primary
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Nominee
[edit]Eliminated in primary
[edit]- William Conrad, former Modesto, California city councilor and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[46]
- Tony Grady Jr., Reno Air Races director of flight operations and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2022[47]
- Jeffrey Ross Gunter, former U.S. Ambassador to Iceland (2019–2021)[48]
- Edward Hamilton, businessman and perennial candidate[9]
- Ronda Kennedy, civil rights attorney and perennial candidate[49]
- Barry Lindemann, real estate developer and independent candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[50]
- Garn Mabey, former Minority Leader of the Nevada Assembly (2007) for the 2nd district (2003–2009) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010[9]
- Jim Marchant, former state assemblyman for the 37th district (2016–2018), founder of the America First Secretary of State Coalition, nominee for Secretary of State in 2022, and nominee for Nevada's 4th congressional district in 2020[51]
- Gary Marinch, real estate investor and perennial candidate[9]
- Stephanie Phillips, real estate broker[49]
- Vincent Rego, delivery driver[9]
Declined
[edit]- Mark Amodei, U.S. representative for Nevada's 2nd congressional district (2011–present) (ran for re-election)[52]
- April Becker, attorney and nominee for Nevada's 3rd congressional district in 2022[53] (ran for Clark County Commission)[54]
- Heidi Gansert, Minority Leader of the Nevada Senate[53][55]
- Adam Laxalt, former Nevada Attorney General (2015–2019), grandson of former U.S. Senator Paul Laxalt, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2022, and nominee for governor in 2018[53]
- Brian Sandoval, president of University of Nevada, Reno (2020–present) and former governor of Nevada (2011–2019)[53]
Endorsements
[edit]Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[56]
U.S. senators
- Marsha Blackburn, U.S. senator from Tennessee (2019–present)[57]
- Tom Cotton, U.S. senator from Arkansas (2015–present)[58]
- Steve Daines, U.S. senator from Montana (2015–present)[59]
- Markwayne Mullin, U.S. senator from Oklahoma (2023–present)[60]
- John Thune, U.S. senator from South Dakota (2005–present)[58]
Statewide officials
- Joe Lombardo, Governor of Nevada (2023–present)[61]
Organizations
U.S. representatives
- Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative for FL-1 (2017–present)[65]
- Lee Zeldin, former U.S. representative for NY-1 (2015–2023)[66]
Executive branch officials
- Michael Flynn, former U.S. National Security Advisor (2017) and former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency (2012–2014)[67]
U.S. representatives
- Paul Gosar, U.S. representative for AZ-9 (2011–present)[68]
Individuals
- Dick Morris, commentator and former advisor to president Bill Clinton[68]
- Wayne Allyn Root, conservative TV host and conspiracy theorist[68]
Newspapers
- Las Vegas Sun (Republican primary only)[41]
- Las Vegas Weekly (Republican primary only)[42]
Polling
[edit]Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Sam Brown |
Tony Grady |
Jeff Gunter |
Jim Marchant |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Noble Predictive Insights[69] | June 4–5, 2024 | 424 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | 4% | 15% | 8% | 12%[b] | 12% |
Kaplan Strategies[70][A] | May 30, 2024 | 802 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 30% | 4% | 31% | 7% | 1%[c] | 27% |
Tarrance Group[71][B] | May 13–16, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 52% | – | 14% | 7% | – | 27% |
Tarrance Group[72][B] | April 7–10, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 58% | 3% | 3% | 6% | – | 29% |
Noble Predictive Insights[73] | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 296 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 39% | – | – | 26% | – | 35% |
Tarrance Group[74][B] | October 23–26, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 24% | 5% | 1% | 9% | – | 41% |
Public Opinion Strategies[75][C] | August 15–17, 2023 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.38% | 33% | 2% | 1% | 15% | 3%[d] | 44% |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Sam Brown (R) | $7,084,690 | $4,605,289 | $2,479,400 |
William Conrad (R) | $12,476[e] | $7,098 | $9,161 |
Tony Grady Jr. (R) | $278,061 | $255,593 | $22,467 |
Jeffrey Ross Gunter (R) | $3,317,546[f] | $2,980,286 | $337,260 |
Ronda Kennedy (R) | $27,786[g] | $18,620 | $9,165 |
Barry Lindemann (R) | $64,106 | $63,947 | $2,783 |
Jim Marchant (R) | $434,323 | $374,665 | $59,657 |
Stephanie Phillips (R) | $82,761 | $81,427 | $1,333 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[43] |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Sam Brown | 103,102 | 60.17% | |
Republican | Jeffrey Ross Gunter | 24,987 | 14.58% | |
Republican | Jim Marchant | 11,190 | 6.53% | |
Republican | Tony Grady Jr. | 9,565 | 5.58% | |
Republican | None of These Candidates | 7,164 | 4.18% | |
Republican | William Conrad | 6,038 | 3.52% | |
Republican | Stephanie Phillips | 3,828 | 2.23% | |
Republican | Garn Mabey | 1,818 | 1.06% | |
Republican | Ronda Kennedy | 1,786 | 1.04% | |
Republican | Barry Lindemann | 852 | 0.50% | |
Republican | Edward Hamilton | 478 | 0.28% | |
Republican | Vincent Rego | 311 | 0.18% | |
Republican | Gary Marinch | 231 | 0.13% | |
Total votes | 171,350 | 100.0% |
Third-party and independent candidates
[edit]Declared
[edit]- Chris Cunningham (Libertarian), ecommerce consultant and esports commentator[9]
- Joseph Destin (Independent), truck driver and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022[9]
- Janine Hansen (Independent American), former Constitution Party national treasurer and perennial candidate[9]
- Chris Mazlo (Independent)[9]
- Allen Rheinhart (Independent), artist and perennial candidate[9]
- Ed Uehling (Independent), real estate investor and perennial candidate[9]
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of May 22, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Chris Cunningham (L) | $800 | $16 | $809 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[43] |
General election
[edit]Predictions
[edit]Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[76] | Lean D | August 15, 2024 |
Inside Elections[77] | Lean D | October 18, 2024 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[78] | Lean D | November 9, 2023 |
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[79] | Lean D | October 3, 2024 |
Elections Daily[80] | Likely D | October 9, 2024 |
CNalysis[81] | Lean D | November 4, 2024 |
RealClearPolitics[82] | Tossup | October 18, 2024 |
Split Ticket[83] | Likely D | October 23, 2024 |
538[84] | Likely D | October 23, 2024 |
Post-primary endorsements
[edit]U.S. Representatives
- Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative from California's 30th congressional district (2001–2024)[85]
Individuals
- Bryan Cranston, actor[85]
- Harry Dunn, former U.S. Capitol Police officer[86]
Labor unions
Newspapers
Debates
[edit]No. | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Democratic | Republican |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
||||||
Rosen | Brown | |||||
1 | October 17, 2024 | KLAS-TV | YouTube | P | P |
Fundraising
[edit]Campaign finance reports as of October 16, 2024 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand |
Jacky Rosen (D) | $46,500,385 | $44,212,365 | $2,466,209 |
Sam Brown (R) | $20,000,962 | $17,751,273 | $2,249,688 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[43] |
Polling
[edit]Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Jacky Rosen (D) |
Sam Brown (R) |
Undecided [h] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight[89] | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 49.2% | 43.4% | 7.4% | Rosen +5.8% |
RealClearPolitics[90] | October 24 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.8% | 43.9% | 7.3% | Rosen +4.9% |
270toWin[91] | October 22 - November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.7% | 44.2% | 7.1% | Rosen +4.5% |
TheHill/DDHQ[92] | through November 4, 2024 | November 4, 2024 | 48.6% | 44.7% | 6.7% | Rosen +3.9% |
Average | 48.8% | 44.1% | 7.1% | Rosen+4.7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jacky Rosen (D) |
Sam Brown (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AtlasIntel[93] | November 3–4, 2024 | 707 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 43% | 4%[i] | 5% |
Patriot Polling (R)[94] | November 1–3, 2024 | 792 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 48% | – | – |
AtlasIntel[95] | November 1–2, 2024 | 782 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 46% | 5%[j] | 4% |
Emerson College[96][D] | October 30 – November 2, 2024 | 840 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 50% | 44% | 3%[k] | 3% |
NYT/Siena College[97] | October 24 – November 2, 2024 | 1,010 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 43% | – | 5% |
1,010 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 52% | 40% | – | 8% | ||
Emerson College[98][E] | October 29–31, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 45% | 2%[l] | 4% |
Noble Predictive Insights[99] | October 28–31, 2024 | 593 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | 5%[m] | 2% |
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[100] | October 28–31, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 47% | 5%[n] | 2% |
YouGov[101][F] | October 25–31, 2024 | 753 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 44% | – | 5% |
AtlasIntel[102] | October 27–30, 2024 | 845 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | 5%[j] | 3% |
Data for Progress (D)[103] | October 25–30, 2024 | 721 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | 4%[o] | 4% |
AtlasIntel[104] | October 25–29, 2024 | 1,083 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 44% | 4%[p] | 3% |
The Trafalgar Group (R)[105] | October 25–28, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 45% | 3%[q] | 6% |
CNN/SRSS[106] | October 21–26, 2024 | 683 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 50% | 41% | 8%[r] | 1% |
OnMessage Inc. (R)[107][G] | October 19–22, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 48% | 2%[s] | 3% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[108] | October 19–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 44% | 4%[t] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[109][H] | October 16–18, 2024 | 529 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 48% | 41% | 4%[u] | 6% |
AtlasIntel[110] | October 12–17, 2024 | 1,171 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 43% | 3%[v] | 6% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D)[111][I] |
October 8–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 44% | 4%[w] | 3% |
Morning Consult[112] | October 6–15, 2024 | 496 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 52% | 37% | – | 6% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[113][H] | October 12–14, 2024 | 838 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 41% | 5%[x] | 7% |
The Trafalgar Group (R)[114] | October 10–13, 2024 | 1,088 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 43% | 3%[q] | 6% |
Emerson College[115][J] | October 5–8, 2024 | 900 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 42% | 3%[y] | 5% |
RMG Research[116][K] | September 30 – October 3, 2024 | 782 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 56% | 40% | 1%[z] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[117][H] | September 27 – October 2, 2024 | 514 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 41% | 5%[aa] | 7% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[118] | September 29–30, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 42% | 2%[ab] | 7% |
AtlasIntel[119] | September 20–25, 2024 | 858 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | 3%[ac] | 3% |
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[120][L] | September 19–25, 2024 | 409 (LV) | – | 52% | 38% | 4%[ad] | 6% |
53% | 40% | – | 7% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports (R)[121][M] | September 19–22, 2024 | 738 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 40% | 4%[ae] | 7% |
Remington Research Group (R)[122][N] | September 16–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[123][H] | September 16–19, 2024 | 652 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 38% | 4%[af] | 11% |
The Tarrance Group (R)[124] | September 16–19, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 41% | 4%[ag] | 6% |
Emerson College[125][J] | September 15–18, 2024 | 895 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 48% | 41% | 3%[y] | 9% |
Morning Consult[112] | September 9–18, 2024 | 474 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 52% | 39% | – | 9% |
Noble Predictive Insights[126] | September 9–16, 2024 | 692 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 38% | – | 9% |
50% | 36% | 6%[ah] | 7% | ||||
812 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 52% | 34% | – | 15% | ||
49% | 33% | 8%[ai] | 10% | ||||
The Trafalgar Group (R)[127] | September 11–13, 2024 | 1,079 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 40% | 7%[aj] | 4% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[128][H] | September 6–9, 2024 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 47% | 39% | 5%[ak] | 9% |
Morning Consult[129] | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 516 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
YouGov[130][F] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
InsiderAdvantage (R)[131] | August 29–31, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 39% | 2%[ab] | 10% |
CNN/SRSS[132] | August 23–29, 2024 | 626 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50% | 40% | 9%[al] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[133][H] | August 25–28, 2024 | 490 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 43% | 39% | 4%[am] | 14% |
Emerson College[134][J] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,168 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 40% | 4%[w] | 6% |
Fox News[135] | August 23–26, 2024 | 1,026 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 41% | 3%[an] | 1% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[133][H] | August 12–15, 2024 | 536 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 37% | 5%[ao] | 19% |
NYT/Siena College[136] | August 12–15, 2024 | 677 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 37% | – | 15% |
677 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% | ||
Strategies 360[137] | August 7–14, 2024 | 350 (RV) | ± 5.2% | 50% | 38% | 5%[ap] | 6% |
Providence Polling[138] | August 3–5, 2024 | 991 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 40% | 9%[aq] | – |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[139][H] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 470 (LV) | ± 4.16% | 41% | 38% | 3%[ar] | 19% |
BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[140][L] | July 26 – August 2, 2024 | 403 (LV) | – | 54% | 36% | – | 10% |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[141][H] | July 22–24, 2024 | 435 (LV) | ± 4.14% | 45% | 40% | 3%[ar] | 10% |
Joe Biden withdraws from the presidential election | |||||||
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[142][H] | July 16–18, 2024 | 412 (LV) | – | 41% | 37% | 4% [as] | 16% |
YouGov[143][F] | July 4–12, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 47% | 40% | 1% | 11% |
731 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | 1% | 10% | ||
Remington Research Group (R)[144][N] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% |
National Public Affairs[145] | June 28 – July 1, 2024 | 817 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 33% | 8% | 18% |
Emerson College[146][J] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 38% | – | 13% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D)[147][I] |
June 12–18, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
Primary elections held | |||||||
The Tyson Group[148][O] | May 22–25, 2024 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 33% | 4%[at] | 16% |
Mainstreet Research/FAU[149] | May 19–21, 2024 | 522 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 35% | 8% | 9% |
494 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 37% | 7% | 8% | ||
NYT/Siena College[150] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 614 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | 38% | – | 22% |
614 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | – | 18% | ||
Emerson College[151][J] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | 37% | – | 18% |
Emerson College[152] | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | 39% | – | 21% |
Noble Predictive Insights[73] | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 41% | 35% | – | 24% |
Emerson College[153] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 40% | 38% | – | 22% |
Change Research (D)[154] | December 3–7, 2023 | 2,532 (V) | – | 39% | 38% | 0% | 23% |
Tarrance Group (R)[155][B] | October 23–26, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | 40% | 5% | 10% |
Jacky Rosen vs. Jim Marchant
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jacky Rosen (D) |
Jim Marchant (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[152] | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 34% | – | 22% |
Noble Predictive Insights[73] | February 27 – March 5, 2024 | 829 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 43% | 34% | – | 23% |
Emerson College[153] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | 36% | – | 22% |
Jacky Rosen vs. Jeff Gunter
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jacky Rosen (D) |
Jeff Gunter (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emerson College[151][J] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 33% | – | 21% |
Emerson College[152] | March 12–15, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 34% | – | 23% |
Emerson College[153] | February 16–19, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | 32% | – | 25% |
Results
[edit]Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jacky Rosen (incumbent) | 701,105 | 47.87% | −2.54% | |
Republican | Sam Brown | 677,046 | 46.22% | +0.84% | |
None of These Candidates | 44,380 | 3.03% | +1.46% | ||
Independent American | Janine Hansen | 21,316 | 1.46% | +0.73% | |
Libertarian | Chris Cunningham | 20,881 | 1.43% | +0.48% | |
Total votes | 1,464,728 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold |
See also
[edit]Notes
[edit]- ^ a b c d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ "Another candidate not listed" with 7%; "Refused/Would not vote" with 5%
- ^ Bill Conrad with 1%; Ronda Kennedy with 0%
- ^ Bill Conrad, Ronda Kennedy, and Barry Lindemann with 1%
- ^ $2,100 of this total was self-funded by Conrad
- ^ $2,725,000 of this total was self-funded by Gunter
- ^ $21,600 of this total was self-funded by Kennedy
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "None of these candidate" with 3%
- ^ "None of these candidates" with 2%
- ^ "None of these candidates" with 2%; Cunningham (L) and Hansen (IA) with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Refuse" with 4%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Hansen (IA) with 2%; "None of these candidates" with 2%
- ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 3%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b "Other" with 3%
- ^ "Other" with 7%; "Neither" with 1%
- ^ Cunningham (L) and Hansen (IA) with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 4%
- ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Cunningham (L) and Hansen (IA) with 1%
- ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 2%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b "None of these Candidates" with 4%
- ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Cunningham (L) and Hansen (IA) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b "None of these candidates" with 3%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Cunningham (L) with 1%; Hansen (IA) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ a b "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 3%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 4%
- ^ Hansen (IA), "Wouldn't vote if these are the candidates", Cunningham (L), and "Other" with 1%
- ^ "None of the above" with 3%; "Others" with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote for these candidates" with 3%; Cunningham (L) with 2%; Hansen (IA) with 1%
- ^ "Wouldn't vote for these candidates" with 5%; Cunningham (L) with 2%; Hansen (IA) with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 7%
- ^ Hansen (IA) and "Wouldn't vote if these are the candidates" with 2%; Cunningham (L) with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 7%; "Neither" with 2%
- ^ Hansen (IA) with 2%; Cunningham (L) with 1%; "Wouldn't vote if these are the candidates" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 2%; "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- ^ Janine Hansen (IA) and Chris Cunningham (L) with 2%; "Other (Another Third Party/Write-In)" with 1%
- ^ Chris Cunningham (L) with 3%; "None of These Candidates" with 2%
- ^ "None of These Candidates" with 6%; "Other Candidates" with 3%
- ^ a b Janine Hansen (IA) with 2%; Chris Cunningham (L) with 1%
- ^ Chris Cunningham (L) and Janine Hansen (IA) with 2%
- ^ Chris Cunningham (L) with 4%
Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Gunter's campaign
- ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee, which supports Brown
- ^ Poll sponsored by Duty First Super PAC, which supports Brown
- ^ Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media
- ^ Poll sponsored by RealClearWorld
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ Poll sponsored by Senate Opportunity Fund, a super PAC that primarily supports Republican candidates in U.S. Senate races
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by AARP
- ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by The Hill
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report
- ^ Poll sponsored by American Thinker
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
- ^ Poll sponsored by Breaking Battlegrounds
References
[edit]- ^ Riccardi, Nicholas; Yamat, Rio (November 9, 2024). "Democratic US Sen. Jacky Rosen is reelected in Nevada, securing battleground seat". Associated Press. Retrieved November 9, 2024.
- ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
- ^ Edelman, Adam (November 11, 2022). "Republican Joe Lombardo has won the race for governor in Nevada, defeating Democratic incumbent Steve Sisolak". NBC News. Retrieved March 14, 2023.
- ^ Sonner, Scott (November 11, 2022). "Nevada Democrats Sweep 3 Key House Seats in Close Battles". en. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
- ^ Anguiano, Dani (November 13, 2022). "Catherine Cortez Masto wins Nevada Senate race to hold Democratic seat". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved March 14, 2023.
- ^ Coleman, J. Miles (October 27, 2022). "The Senate: Race for Majority Remains a Toss-up as 2024 Looms – Sabato's Crystal Ball". Retrieved February 25, 2023.
- ^ "Rosen announces re-election bid for U.S. Senate, touts bipartisan record". April 5, 2023.
- ^ Birenbaum, Gabby (March 19, 2024). "Why is an elected official in California running for Nevada's Senate seat?". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 19, 2024.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Certified Candidate List". Nevada Secretary of State. March 4, 2024.
- ^ a b "GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Jacky Rosen for Reelection to the US Senate". Giffords. August 24, 2023. Retrieved August 24, 2023.
- ^ "Beshear's PAC issues first wave of endorsements". WKU Public Radio | The Public Radio Service of Western Kentucky University. March 26, 2024. Retrieved March 27, 2024.
- ^ A. O. L. Staff (May 17, 2024). "Whitmer's Fight Like Hell PAC releases initial Senate endorsements". www.aol.com. Retrieved June 14, 2024.
- ^ a b "NextGen PAC Endorses Senator Jacky Rosen Ahead of 2024 Elections". NextGen America PAC. May 10, 2023. Retrieved May 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Primary Endorsements". AFSCME Union Hall. April 15, 2024. Retrieved May 26, 2024.
- ^ "STATEMENT by Culinary Union Secretary-Treasurer Ted Pappageorge regarding 2024 Nevada Primary endorsements". Culinary Union Local 226. May 14, 2024. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ "2024 PRIMARY ELECTION". Local872. May 31, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
- ^ "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
- ^ "Nevada State AFL-CIO 2024 Primary elections endorsements" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on May 13, 2024. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ "314 Action Fund Endorses Nevada Senator Jacky Rosen for Re-Election. - 3.14 Action".
- ^ "AIPAC rolls out first 2024 endorsements, including vulnerable Senate Democrats". March 16, 2023.
- ^ "Bend the Arc Jewish Action PAC". Bend the Arc: Jewish Action. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
- ^ "CHC BOLD PAC Endorses Senator Jacky Rosen for Re-Election in Nevada". www.boldpac.com. December 18, 2023. Retrieved December 21, 2023.
- ^ Fernandez, Madison (May 20, 2024). "Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races". Politico. Retrieved May 20, 2024.
- ^ Chou, Lauren (April 5, 2023). "EMILYs List Endorses Jacky Rosen for Reelection to theUnited States Senate". EMILYs List. Retrieved October 2, 2023.
- ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Rosen for Reelection". End Citizens United. March 30, 2023. Retrieved April 5, 2023.
- ^ "2024 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 11, 2023.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign PAC Endorses Jacky Rosen for Re-Election to the U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign. June 5, 2024. Retrieved June 13, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
- ^ "JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs". jacpac.org. Archived from the original on September 1, 2023. Retrieved September 1, 2023.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Federal Endorsements". NOW PAC. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
- ^ Dison, Denis (September 20, 2023). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents". NRDC Action Fund. Retrieved September 20, 2023.
- ^ "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Reproductive Rights Champions Baldwin, Brown, Gillibrand, Rosen, Tester for Re-Election in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved July 31, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements". Population Connection Action Fund. Retrieved August 25, 2023.
- ^ "Reproductive Freedom for All Endorses Sen. Jacky Rosen for Reelection to the U.S. Senate for Nevada". Reproductive Freedom for All. February 20, 2024. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Endorsements | Sierra Club Independent Action". www.sierraclubindependentaction.org. Retrieved October 20, 2023.
- ^ Stahl, Shane (November 15, 2023). "Silver State Equality Endorses Four Pro-Equality Members of Congress for Re-Election in 2024". Silver State Equality. Retrieved January 2, 2024.
- ^ "Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama". Swing Left.
- ^ a b "Incumbent Democrats, rational Republicans deserve spots on general election ballot". Las Vegas Sun. May 26, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
- ^ a b "2024 primary election endorsements - Las Vegas Weekly". lasvegasweekly.com. May 23, 2024. Retrieved June 3, 2024.
- ^ a b c d "2024 Election United States Senate - Nevada". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved August 4, 2024.
- ^ a b "Nevada Senate Primary Results 2024". NBC News. July 21, 2024.
- ^ Vakil, Caroline (July 10, 2023). "Retired Army Captain Sam Brown launches second run for Nevada Senate". The Hill.
- ^ "Former ambassador, others enter Nevada's crowded GOP race for Senate". reviewjournal.com. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 12, 2023.
- ^ Haas, Greg (August 8, 2023). "Tony Grady announces Republican U.S. Senate bid, joining 3 other candidates in race for Rosen's seat". KLAS-TV.
- ^ "Jeff Gunter, a dermatologist who was Trump's ambassador to Iceland, is running for Nevada Senate". Associated Press. August 7, 2023. Retrieved August 7, 2023.
- ^ a b Hill, Jessica (April 5, 2023). "Rosen announces 2024 election plans with few Republican challengers so far". Las Vegas Review-Journal.
- ^ "Senate candidate Barry Lindemann finds common ground with Nevada Republicans". EIN News. August 21, 2023. Retrieved August 22, 2023.
- ^ Ritter, Ken; Cooper, Johnathan (May 2, 2023). "Jim Marchant to run for Senate in Nevada". KOLO. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
- ^ Birenbaum, Gabby (March 2, 2023). "Amodei says he won't run for Senate in 2024". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 2, 2023.
- ^ a b c d Hill, Jessica (March 9, 2023). "7 possible Republicans who may run against Jacky Rosen". Las Vegas Review-Journal. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
- ^ Haas, Greg (May 23, 2023). "April Becker announces run for County Commission seat held by Ross Miller". KLAS-TV.
- ^ Solis, Jacob (August 1, 2023). "GOP Senate leader Heidi Seevers Gansert won't run for re-election in 2024". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved August 1, 2023.
- ^ Gillespie, Brandon (June 9, 2024). "Trump announces major endorsement in crucial battleground Senate race". Fox News.
- ^ Phippen, Thomas (July 19, 2023). "Veteran Sam Brown wins Blackburn endorsement, raises major cash in Nevada Senate run". Fox News.
- ^ a b Lesniewski, Niels (August 3, 2023). "Senate GOP's favorite in Nevada did not trust McConnell last cycle". Roll Call. Retrieved October 23, 2023.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally; Garrity, Kelly (July 10, 2023). "Senate GOP lands a top recruit in Nevada". Politico.
- ^ Krehbiel, Randy (October 15, 2023). "D.C. Digest: Mullin says supporters of Palestinians ignorant". Tulsa World. Retrieved October 16, 2023.
Mullin has endorsed Nevada U.S. Senate candidate Sam Brown.
- ^ "Nevada Gov. Lombardo endorses Sam Brown in tight U.S. Senate race". KRNV-DT. March 7, 2024. Retrieved March 7, 2024.
- ^ Emilee (July 19, 2023). "Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 U.S. Senate Races". AFP Action. Retrieved July 19, 2023.
- ^ Ortega, Israel (November 29, 2023). "Largest Center-Right Latino Political Organization Announces Senate & House Candidate Endorsements". Libre Action. Retrieved January 29, 2024.
- ^ "Senate Conservatives Fund". www.senateconservatives.com. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
- ^ Holmes, Kristen (April 9, 2024). "Trump world divided on Nevada Senate race as Sam Brown seeks endorsement from the former president". CNN. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
- ^ Vakil, Caroline (August 7, 2023). "Jeffrey Gunter, ambassador to Iceland under Trump, announces Senate run in Nevada". The Hill. Retrieved August 8, 2023.
- ^ Sheridan, Kevin (May 15, 2023). "Retired Army General Michael Flynn endorses Jim Marchant". KOLO-TV 8 ABC News Now. Retrieved May 15, 2023.
- ^ a b c Foreman, Naoka; Birenbaum, Gabby (May 2, 2023). "Former Nevada assemblyman, election denier Jim Marchant plans US Senate run". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved May 2, 2023.
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Kaplan Strategies
- ^ Tarrance Group
- ^ Tarrance Group
- ^ a b c Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Tarrance Group
- ^ Public Opinion Strategies
- ^ "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
- ^ "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 10, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
- ^ "2024 Senate prediction map". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. June 8, 2024. Retrieved June 8, 2024.
- ^ "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
- ^ "'24 Senate Forecast". CNalysis. Retrieved November 21, 2023.
- ^ "Battle for the Senate 2024". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 5, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Senate Forecast". Split Ticket. May 25, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 11, 2024. Retrieved October 23, 2024.
- ^ a b "'I am the one who knocks': Bryan Cranston channels 'Breaking Bad' persona in rallying support for Kamala Harris". Times of India. October 27, 2024. Retrieved October 30, 2024.
- ^ Kurtz, Josh (July 10, 2024). "Dunn's new PAC backs 10 Democratic Senate candidates, including Alsobrooks". Maryland Matters. Maryland Matters. Retrieved July 11, 2024.
- ^ "Actors' Equity Association Endorses Jacky Rosen for United States Senate". www.actorsequity.org. Actors' Equity Association. August 7, 2024. Retrieved September 11, 2024.
- ^ "Jacky Rosen is the leader Nevada needs in the US Senate". Las Vegas Sun. October 20, 2024. Retrieved October 20, 2024.
- ^ FiveThirtyEight
- ^ RealClearPolitics
- ^ 270toWin
- ^ TheHill/DDHQ
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Patriot Polling (R)
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ NYT/Siena College
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
- ^ YouGov
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Data for Progress (D)
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ CNN/SRSS
- ^ OnMessage Inc. (R)
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D) - ^ a b Morning Consult
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ RMG Research
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ AtlasIntel
- ^ BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ Rasmussen Reports (R)
- ^ Remington Research Group (R)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ The Tarrance Group (R)
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Noble Predictive Insights
- ^ The Trafalgar Group (R)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Morning Consult
- ^ YouGov
- ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
- ^ CNN/SRSS
- ^ a b Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fox News
- ^ NYT/Siena College
- ^ Strategies 360
- ^ Providence Polling
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ Redfield & Wilton Strategies
- ^ YouGov
- ^ Remington Research Group (R)
- ^ National Public Affairs
- ^ Emerson College
- ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/
Impact Research (D) - ^ The Tyson Group
- ^ Mainstreet Research/FAU
- ^ NYT/Siena College
- ^ a b Emerson College
- ^ a b c Emerson College
- ^ a b c Emerson College
- ^ Change Research (D)
- ^ Tarrance Group (R)
- ^ "Silver State 2024 General Election Results - U.S. Senate". Nevada Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2024.
External links
[edit]Official campaign websites