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Division of Jagajaga

Coordinates: 37°43′44″S 145°07′01″E / 37.729°S 145.117°E / -37.729; 145.117
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Jagajaga
Australian House of Representatives Division
Division of Jagajaga in Victoria, as of the 2022 federal election
Created1984
MPKate Thwaites
PartyLabor
NamesakeThree Wurundjeri elders
Electors113,239 (2022)
Area137 km2 (52.9 sq mi)
DemographicOuter metropolitan

The Division of Jagajaga is an Australian Electoral Division in the state of Victoria. It is located in the north-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, and lies north of the Yarra River. It covers an area of approximately 137 square kilometres and comprises the suburbs of Bellfield, Briar Hill, Eaglemont, Eltham, Eltham North, Greensborough, Heidelberg, Heidelberg Heights, Heidelberg West, Ivanhoe, Ivanhoe East, Lower Plenty, Montmorency, North Warrandyte, Plenty, Rosanna, St Helena, Viewbank, Yallambie, Watsonia and Watsonia North; and parts of Bundoora, and Macleod.

The area is predominantly residential and light industrial, and includes the Australian Army's Simpson Barracks, the Heidelberg Repatriation Hospital, the Mercy Hospital for Women and the Austin Hospital.

Most of the City of Banyule and parts of the Shire of Nillumbik and City of Whittlesea local government areas are contained within the Division's boundaries. Four Legislative Assembly Districts are represented in the Division, namely Ivanhoe, Eltham, Bundoora, and Eildon. The Legislative Council Regions of North-Eastern Metropolitan and Northern Victoria are also represented.

Geography

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Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]

History

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The Wurundjeri Aboriginal Australian men who supposedly made the Batman Treaty with John Batman. The division's namesake comes from three of these elders.

The Division was proclaimed at the redistribution of 14 September 1984, and was first contested at the 1984 election. The division replaced the western half of the abolished Division of Diamond Valley, with the eastern half becoming the Division of Menzies. It was named after three Wurundjeri Aboriginal Australian men who supposedly made the Batman Treaty with the party of early colonial settler and one of the founders of Melbourne, John Batman in 1835.

The Division has always been a marginal-to-safe Labor seat. It was first held by Peter Staples, who served as a minister under Bob Hawke and Paul Keating. Staples retired in 1996 and was replaced by Jenny Macklin, who has held the seat prior to her retirement in 2018. Macklin served as Deputy Leader of the Australian Labor Party under Simon Crean, Mark Latham and Kim Beazley, as well as a minister under Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard. In 2018, Macklin announced her retirement from politics. Kate Thwaites replaced Macklin as Labor's candidate for the area and subsequently won the seat in the 2019 Australian federal election.

Members

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Image Member Party Term Notes
  Peter Staples
(1947–)
Labor 1 December 1984
29 January 1996
Previously held the Division of Diamond Valley. Served as minister under Hawke and Keating. Retired
  Jenny Macklin
(1953–)
2 March 1996
11 April 2019
Served as minister under Rudd and Gillard. Retired.[2]
  Kate Thwaites
(1980–)
18 May 2019
present
Incumbent

Election results

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2022 Australian federal election: Jagajaga[3]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labor Kate Thwaites 41,412 40.90 +0.00
Liberal Sahil Tomar 29,535 29.17 −10.04
Greens Liz Chase 16,855 16.65 +2.26
Liberal Democrats Maya Tesa 3,760 3.71 +3.71
United Australia Allison Zelinka 3,493 3.45 −0.04
Independent Zahra Mustaf 3,150 3.11 +3.11
One Nation John Booker 2,274 2.25 +2.25
Federation Brendan Palmarini 764 0.75 +0.75
Total formal votes 101,243 96.20 −0.74
Informal votes 4,003 3.80 +0.74
Turnout 105,246 93.00 −2.26
Two-party-preferred result
Labor Kate Thwaites 63,122 62.35 +6.46
Liberal Sahil Tomar 38,121 37.65 −6.46
Labor hold Swing +6.46
Alluvial diagram for preference flows in the seat of Jagajaga in the 2022 federal election. checkY indicates at what stage the winning candidate had over 50% of the votes and was declared the winner.
Primary vote results in Jagajaga (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted)
  Labor
  Liberal
  Greens
  Australian Democrats
Two-candidate-preferred results in Jagajaga

Opinion polling for the 2025 Australian federal election in Jagajaga

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Date Firm Sample
size
Margin
of error
Primary vote 2PP vote
L/NP ALP GRN IND OTH L/NP ALP
29 Oct 2024 - 20 Nov 2024 Accent Research/RedBridge Group ±4.0% 37% 41% 12% 10% 44% 56%
10 July – 27 August 2024 Accent Research/RedBridge Group[4][5] ±3.5% 35% 40% 16% 9% 41% 59%
Feb 2024 - May 2024 RedBridge Group ±3.3% 33% 39% 18% 10% 39% 61%
21 May 2022 2022 Federal Election 29.2% 40.9% 16.7% 3.1% 10.1% 37.6% 62.4%

References

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  1. ^ Muller, Damon (14 November 2017). "The process of federal redistributions: a quick guide". Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 19 April 2022.
  2. ^ "Hon Jenny Macklin MP". Senators and Members of the Parliament of Australia. Retrieved 3 November 2021.
  3. ^ Jagajaga, VIC, 2022 Tally Room, Australian Electoral Commission.
  4. ^ "Polls: Resolve Strategic, RedBridge/Accent MRP poll, Wolf & Smith federal and state (open thread) – The Poll Bludger". The Poll Bludger. Retrieved 18 December 2024.
  5. ^ "Labor facing minority with Liberals competitive in teal seats: poll". Australian Financial Review. 8 September 2024. Retrieved 18 December 2024.
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37°43′44″S 145°07′01″E / 37.729°S 145.117°E / -37.729; 145.117