Sanchez Mendoza Brayan Serie 01
Sanchez Mendoza Brayan Serie 01
Sanchez Mendoza Brayan Serie 01
0.89
0.01
0.1
0.5
Reparación Mayor
0.5
Matriz de transición:
𝑝11 𝑝12 𝑝13 0.865 0.125 0.01
𝐴 = 𝑝21 𝑝22 𝑝23 = 0.89 0.01 0.1
𝑝31 𝑝32 𝑝33 0.5 0 0.5
Desarrollo:
Tiempo(semana) Operación Mantenimiento Reparación Mayor 15 trenes Costo por miles
O Mn RM 0 200 1000
0 1 0 0 15 0 0 0 0 0
1 0.865 0.125 0.01 12.975 1.875 0.15 0 375 150
2 0.864475 0.109375 0.02615 12.967125 1.640625 0.39225 0 328.125 392.25
3 0.0858189625 0.109153125 0.03265725 12.87284438 1.637296875 0.48985875 0 327.459375 489.85875
4 0.855808932 0.108365234 0.035825834 12.83713398 1.625478516 0.537387506 0 325.0957031 573.3875063
5 0.854632702 0.108059769 0.03730753 12.81949052 1.620896532 0.559612944 0 324.1793065 559.6129445
Sánchez Mendoza Brayan J. Grupo: 07 Serie 1: “Cadenas de Márkov” 01/04/2022
0.135 −125 1
𝐵 = 𝐶 =
−0.89 0.99 1
49.776785
𝐵 −1 𝐶 = [𝑠𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑎𝑠]
45.758928
𝑀13 = 49.776785
Sánchez Mendoza Brayan J. Grupo: 07 Serie 1: “Cadenas de Márkov” 01/04/2022
0.89
0.01
0.5 0.1
Reparación Mayor
1
0.1
0.5
No reparación