White Paper On Energy
White Paper On Energy
White Paper On Energy
MEETING THE
ENERGY CHALLENGE
May 2007
CM 7124 £40.00
© Crown Copyright 2007
Executive Summary 6
Chapter 1: Energy and climate security: a global challenge 28
Chapter 2: Saving energy 48
• Section 2.1 Fuel Poverty 76
Chapter 3: Heat and Distributed Generation 83
Chapter 4: Oil, Gas and Coal 105
Chapter 5: Electricity Generation
• Section 5.1 Investment Framework 125
• Section 5.2 Networks 138
• Section 5.3 Renewables 143
• Section 5.4 Cleaner Coal and Carbon Capture
and Storage for Fossil Fuels 170
• Section 5.5 Nuclear Power 180
Chapter 6: Research and Development,
Demonstration and Deployment, and Skills 216
Chapter 7: Transport 235
Chapter 8: Planning 253
Chapter 9: Devolved Administrations, English Regions
and Local Authorities 275
Chapter 10: Impact of our Measures 281
Chapter 11: Implementation 296
Annexes
Annex A: Fourth Annual report on progress towards
the 2003 Energy White Paper goals 306
Annex B: Summary of updated energy and
carbon emissions projections 328
Annex C: UK Position on the EU Emissions
Trading Scheme 334
Annex D: Consultations 338
3
Foreword by the
Rt Hon. Alistair Darling MP
The Energy Review last year spelt out the big
challenges we face: the need to work with other
countries to tackle climate change by cutting
greenhouse gas emissions, and the need to ensure
we have secure energy supplies. Both are vital for our
future prosperity. Both are global issues that call for
international and UK action.
The UK’s reserves of oil and gas are declining. While significant amounts still
remain in the North Sea, production has hit its peak and is now falling. We will
make the most of the reserves we have, but as our economy grows, we will
become increasingly dependent on imports in a world where supplies are
concentrated in less stable regions.
This White Paper sets out a framework for action to address these challenges
and help us manage these risks.
It sets out our international strategy which recognises that we need to tackle
climate change and energy security together. Influenced by the UK, Europe
has made a good start. The European Council agreed earlier this year to a new
strategy, including commitments to competitive markets and cuts in
greenhouse gas emissions, and a central role for the EU Emissions Trading
Scheme as the potential basis for a global carbon market.
The White Paper also sets out the measures we are taking here at home.
Our measures will help us all become more energy efficient, showing
consumers how they can cut their energy use, making big organisations like
supermarkets limit their emissions and setting tougher standards for the
homes we build and the products we buy.
But we shall still need large scale energy investments. Our aim will be to
ensure that companies have a wide range of low carbon options available so
we can retain a diverse energy mix, which is good for our security of supply,
and will help us to become a low carbon economy. This is why we are
strengthening our support for renewable electricity and will be launching a
competition for the demonstration of carbon capture and storage - which has
the potential to reduce carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel power
stations by as much as 90%. We are also proposing reforms to our planning
system, so that applications are handled in a more efficient way, both for
developers and the public.
This White Paper sets out the Government’s international and domestic
energy strategy to respond to these changing circumstances, address the
long-term energy challenges we face and deliver our four energy policy goals1.
It sets out how we are implementing the measures in the Energy Review
Report in 2006, as well as those announced since, including in the Pre-Budget
Report in 2006 and the Budget in 2007.
The causes and consequences of climate change are global, and while
national governments can and should take action, the ultimate solution must
be collective global effort. On current trends, global emissions are set to reach
double pre-industrial levels before 2050, with severe impacts on our climate
and the global economy. A key conclusion from the Stern Review2 was that in
the long-term the cost of inaction would be far higher than the cost of tackling
climate change now. It also makes clear that the costs are lowest if nations
act together.
Even if we realise more potential for increasing low carbon sources of energy,
it is clear that coal, oil and gas will play a significant part in meeting the
world’s energy needs for the foreseeable future, and we need to find ways
to reduce their emissions. Also, with the UK increasingly reliant on imported
energy, we need to manage the risks arising from the concentration of fossil
fuel reserves in fewer and further away places, some of them in less stable
parts of the world.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that $20 trillion of investment
will be needed to meet these challenges by 2030. The investment decisions
that will be taken over the next two decades will be critical in determining the
world’s climate and the security of its energy supplies. At home it is likely that
the UK will need around 30-35GW of new electricity generation capacity over
the next two decades and around two thirds of this capacity by 2020. This is
because many of our coal and most of our existing nuclear power stations are
set to close. And energy demand will grow over time, despite increased
energy efficiancy, as the economy expands.
2 http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/independent_reviews/stern_review_economics_climate_change/
sternreview_index.cfm
3 World Energy Outlook, IEA, 2006. See http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/ 7
Executive Summary
Our strategy
To deliver energy security and accelerate the transition to a low carbon
economy requires urgent and ambitious action at home and abroad.
We need to:
• save energy;
• develop cleaner energy supplies; and
• secure reliable energy supplies at prices set in competitive markets.
Saving energy
The starting point for our energy policy is to save energy. It is often the
cheapest way of reducing carbon emissions, certainly in the short-term. It can
also contribute to security of supply, for example by reducing our need for
energy imports, and reduce fuel poverty through lower bills.
We need action here in the UK and internationally. Many of our energy using
products, like cars and domestic appliances, are traded internationally, so to
be fully effective we need international agreements on higher standards of
energy efficiency. We will therefore press for higher EU and international
standards to improve vehicles’ fuel efficiency and increase the energy
efficiency of products, including by reducing levels of stand-by power.
We support the Commission’s proposals to save 20% of the EU’s energy
consumption through improved energy efficiency by 2020. And we are
working with our G8 partners to deliver commitments to promote international
cooperation on product labelling and standards.
Executive Summary
scheme, a Carbon Reduction Commitment, which will apply to the largest
organisations in this sector; those whose mandatory half hourly metered
electricity consumption is greater than 6,000MWh per year. Such companies
generate the large majority of emissions from this sector. The Government
will shortly consult on how it can best be implemented.
10 4 www.energysavingtrust.org.uk
We will also introduce Energy Performance Certificates for new and existing
homes. Anyone selling, leasing or renting their property will need to provide
a Certificate setting out the energy performance of the building.
To maximise the impact of the Certificates we will better co-ordinate advice
and support to householders on energy efficiency and microgeneration.
The Government’s intention is that, by the end of the next decade, all
householders will have been offered help to introduce energy efficiency
measures, with the aim that, where practically possible, all homes will
have achieved their cost-effective energy efficiency potential.
5 http://ec.europa.eu/environment/co2/pdf/com_2007_19_en.pdf 11
Executive Summary
Saving energy: public sector
The Government must also play an important part. By 2012, we will have
made the central Government office estate carbon neutral. We will bring
forward plans for funding of energy efficient new social housing and public
sector buildings, and energy efficient procurement of new public sector cars
and energy using products:
• large public sector organisations will be required to reduce emissions
by participating in the Carbon Reduction Commitment scheme;
• we are making it a condition of Government funding that all new social
housing built by registered social landlords and other developers and all
new homes developed by English Partnerships comply with level 3 of
the Code for Sustainable Homes;
• buildings greater than 1,000m2 occupied by public authorities and by
institutions providing publicly funded services to large numbers of
people will be required to display a Certificate showing the energy rating
of the building and the steps that can be taken to improve its energy
performance; and
• from 2008, we will set challenging energy efficiency standards for all
new products and services that the Government procures.
The long-term possibilities for large scale alternatives to gas for the production
of heat may be through the production and use of hydrogen and low carbon
electricity. However, development of hydrogen as a heating source would
require costly new infrastructure to manufacture and distribute the hydrogen.
Similarly, a switch to low carbon electricity for heating would require existing
heating systems in homes and buildings to be replaced.
These measures will reinforce other steps we are already taking to boost
distributed energy, including:
• implementation of the Microgeneration Strategy, Our Energy Challenge:
Power from the people published in March 2006, with planning permission
for microgeneration becoming easier from autumn this year and financial
support to build the market for microgeneration;
• measures to encourage deployment of combined heat and power (CHP),
including: exemption from the Climate Change Levy; improved treatment
under Phase II of the EU ETS; and better planning guidance to ensure that
the CHP option is considered;
• our commitment to require all new homes to be zero carbon, from a date
to be fixed following consultation. Using low carbon distributed energy
technologies will be a key way for developers to meet this requirement.
Taken together, these measures will help to ensure that decentralised energy
can continue to grow alongside the centralised system6. We shall also carry
out further work on the options available for reducing the carbon impact of
heat and its use and we shall take into account the implementation of the
European Council agreement to a binding renewable energy target for 2020
(see ‘EU energy policy’ paragraphs later in this summary). However, the
current higher costs and low level of penetration of many of these
technologies will mean that, even with substantial growth, they will not keep
pace with the need for new electricity generation capacity, as existing coal
and nuclear power stations close.
Companies will need to make substantial new investments over the next 20
years, as many of our nuclear and coal power stations close. These investment
6 Alongside these measures, we have also established a Foresight Project that will help inform our
understanding of any long term issues arising from the parallel development of the centralised and
decentralised systems. This is due to report in summer 2008. 13
Executive Summary
decisions will affect our generation mix. In setting the market framework
in which these decisions are taken, the Government needs to ensure that,
over time, we also move towards a low carbon mix.
Renewable electricity
Renewables are key to our strategy to tackle climate change and deploy
cleaner sources of energy. We have a target that aims to see renewables
grow as a proportion of our electricity supplies to 10% by 2010, with an
aspiration for this level to double by 2020. The Renewables Obligation (RO) is
the main mechanism for incentivising this growth. This White Paper confirms
our intention to strengthen the RO, increasing the Obligation to up to 20%
as and when increasing amounts of renewables are deployed. We have also
decided to retain the link between the Retail Price Index (RPI) and the RO buy-
out price from 2015/16.
14 7 This will be subject to the availability of Parliamentary time and State Aids clearance.
We will continue to need fossil fuels as part of a diverse energy mix for some
time to come. But in order to meet our carbon reduction goals, sources such
as coal and gas must become cleaner. And it is in our own vital interests that
the technologies necessary to mitigate the emissions from burning fossil fuels
are developed and deployed as rapidly as possible – especially as fossil fuel
use by emerging economies, such as China and India, is growing rapidly as
their economies expand. Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is an emerging
combination of technologies which could reduce emissions from fossil fuel
power stations by as much as 90%.
CCS with electricity generation has not yet been proven on a commercial
basis, although some key elements of the process have been demonstrated.
So the next step is commercial scale demonstration. In the Budget in 2007
the Government therefore announced that it would launch a competition to
demonstrate commercial scale CCS on power generation in the UK. The
Government intends to launch the competition in November 2007, with the
aim of having the demonstration operating early in the next decade. When
operational, this will make the UK a world leader in this globally important
technology. Successful demonstration of CCS would be a major contribution
by the UK to global efforts to tackle climate change.
The Government has also set up a taskforce to examine the regulatory framework
to ensure that it facilitates CCS, with a consultation on the options for regulation
of the full chain of CCS technologies to be launched later this year.
Nuclear power
Nuclear power currently accounts for approximately 18% of our electricity
generation and 7.5% of total UK energy supplies. It is a low carbon source of
electricity and makes an important contribution to the diversity of our energy
supplies. Without our existing nuclear power stations, our carbon emissions
would have been 5 to 12% higher in 2004 than otherwise8. However, most
of the existing stations are due to close in the next 15 years or so, based on
published lifetimes.
The Government left open the question of nuclear power in 20039 and said
that before any decision to build new nuclear power stations, there would
need to be the fullest public consultation and proposals in a further White
Paper. Since then, we have:
8 Sustainable Development Commission, The Role of Nuclear Power in a Low Carbon Economy, Paper 2:
Reducing CO2 emissions – Nuclear and the Alternatives, March 2006
9 Energy White Paper, Our Energy Future – creating a low carbon economy, HMG Cm 5761 15
Executive Summary
• seen increasing evidence of climate change and wider international
recognition of the need for global action;
• made significant progress in tackling the legacy waste issue;
• observed significant changes in the economics of nuclear power relative
to other electricity generation technologies. This has been driven by two
main factors: greater than expected increases in fossil fuel prices; and the
introduction of a market price for carbon which requires investors to take
account of the cost of carbon emissions in their investment decisions. Both
of these factors have increased the relative costs of fossil fuel electricity
generation; and
• seen some energy companies expressing a strong interest in investing
in new nuclear power stations.
We are also now closer to the point where significant amounts of our existing
generation capacity, including nuclear power stations, will need to
be replaced.
The private sector will be best able to help us deliver our goals and manage
the associated risks when they have access to a wide range of low carbon
investment options. The Government’s role is therefore to provide a policy
framework that encourages the development of a wide range of low carbon
technologies, so we can minimise the costs and risks to the economy of
achieving our goals.
Section 5.5 of this document, contains the executive summary of the nuclear
consultation document10 published alongside this White Paper.
10 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper/consultations/nuclearpower2007 17
Executive Summary
The Government will introduce the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation
(RTFO) in 2008-09. It will require suppliers of transport fuel to ensure that a
proportion of the fuel we use in our vehicles comes from renewable sources.
By 2010-11 this proportion will rise to 5%, resulting in carbon emission
reductions – equivalent to taking a million cars off our roads. The Government
intends to go beyond this 5% level once important cost, standards and
especially sustainability concerns can be addressed.
Looking ahead, we shall also need to take into account the implementation
of the European Council agreement to a binding renewable energy target for
2020 (see ‘EU energy policy’ paragraphs later in this summary).
The Government is also publishing alongside this White Paper a Low Carbon
Transport Innovation Strategy which sets out our approach to stimulating
innovation in low carbon transport technologies. The Strategy reflects the
important role that new technology will play in delivering long-term carbon
emissions reductions in the transport sector, and provides a framework for
accelerated technology development across the whole innovation system. It
provides substantial new funds for research, development and demonstration
18
Security of supply
The UK faces two main security of supply challenges:
• our increasing reliance on imports of oil and gas in a world where energy
demand is rising and energy is becoming more politicised; and,
• our requirement for substantial, and timely, private sector investment over
the next two decades in gas infrastructure, power stations; and electricity
networks.
Many of the measures to tackle climate change set out in this White Paper
will also bring benefits to the UK’s security of energy supplies. For example,
our efforts to save energy in business, households and the public sector will
reduce the need for energy imports by reducing overall demand. Similarly,
saving energy will reduce the level of new investment we need in large scale
electricity generation; as will an increase in renewables and decentralised
energy, including microgeneration. Finally, by increasing the number of low
carbon generation investment options available to the private sector, we will
increase the diversity of our energy supplies, reducing electricity security of
supply risks.
Executive Summary
the confidence to make timely investments in new gas and electricity
infrastructure consistent with our energy goals.
Coal continues to play an important role in our energy mix. In autumn 2006,
we established the Coal Forum. This brings together the key players from
the coal industry and the power sector to develop strategies to maximise
economic production of UK coal. The Coal Forum has confirmed
the importance of a continuing role for coal as part of a diverse and resilient
energy mix and identified a number of potential benefits from use of UK
produced coal. Making the best use of UK energy resources, including coal
reserves, where it is economically viable and environmentally acceptable to
do so contributes to our security of supply goals. The Government believes
that these factors reflect a value in maintaining access to economically
recoverable reserves of coal.
20
Improved market information and reforms to the planning system will help
all energy infrastructure investment. In addition, this White Paper sets out
measures to strengthen and clarify the investment framework which are
specific to the gas market and to the electricity market.
11 http://www.communities.gov.uk/index.asp?id=1143104 21
Executive Summary
Improving electricity security of supply
Our strategy will address the risks to security of electricity supply and the
need for substantial new investment in power stations and networks in the
following ways:
• by encouraging the development of low carbon electricity generation
technologies and a market framework that encourages companies to invest
in them, thereby helping to ensure a more diverse and secure electricity
mix for the future. Specific measures include:
– reinforcing our commitment to building a more effective EU ETS to
provide companies with confidence in there being a price for carbon
over the long-term. While we are confident that our efforts to
strengthen the EU ETS will be successful and that the draft Climate
Change Bill demonstrates our long-term commitment to carbon
reductions, we will keep open the option of further measures to
reinforce the operation of the scheme in the UK should this be
necessary to provide greater certainty to investors;
– strengthening our policy on the Renewables Obligation, announcing
plans for demonstration of carbon capture and storage on a commercial
scale, and resolving, subject to the consultation we are publishing
alongside this White Paper, whether it is in the public interest for new
nuclear power stations to be an investment option for companies
investing in the UK; and
– the proposed publication of a new Planning Policy Statement on Climate
Change which will require planners and local authorities to recognise the
national need for renewable and low carbon electricity generation.
• in April 2007, we introduced new secondary legislation to update the
inquiry rules for large scale electricity generation projects and associated
infrastructure that should streamline the consenting process. We have
prepared new guidance to assist those considering investing in electricity
generation projects, combined heat and power projects and associated
infrastructure; and
• the recent Ofgem transmission price control and last year’s price control on
distribution networks will allow for substantial new investment to replace
ageing infrastructure and connect new generating capacity.
EU energy policy
Since the Energy Review Report in 2006, the European Council agreed in
March 2007 to a common European strategy for energy security and tackling
climate change. This includes further steps to complete the internal market
in gas and electricity, and endorsement of the objective to save 20% of the
EU’s energy consumption in 2020 compared with current projections. The
agreement commits the EU to a binding target of reducing greenhouse gas
emissions by 20% by 2020 and by 30% in the context of international action.
The agreement assigns the EU Emissions Trading Scheme the central role in
the EU’s long-term strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
All this means there is uncertainty as to the size and nature of the UK’s
contribution to the EU greenhouse gas and renewables targets. To inform
the decision we will need to analyse the full implications of the proposed UK
contributions including: technical feasibility, cost effectiveness, our existing
and potential capacity for deployment of low carbon technologies including
renewables, our overall energy mix and the wider implications for energy
policy including energy security and reliability.
After a decision has been reached on each Member State’s contribution to the
EU agreement, we will bring forward the appropriate measures, beyond those
set out in this White Paper, to make our contribution to meeting these targets,
and in particular to increase the share of renewable electricity, heat and
transport in our mix by 2020. In the meantime, the measures and market
framework set out in this White Paper allow us to make significant progress
on this important agenda.
Fuel poverty
Our policies to ensure sustainable and reliable supplies of energy through
competitive markets benefit all UK consumers. However, we also need to
consider the social implications of our policy. Our goal remains to ensure that
every home is adequately and affordably heated.
12 The UK figure is from the Digest of the United Kingdom Energy Statistics (DUKES), 2006. The European
figures come from Eurostat. http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/
page?_pageid=0,1136239,0_45571447&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL
13 The UK figure is based on DTI projections – for more detail see UK Energy and CO2 Emissions Projections,
May 2007 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper. The European figures come from the EU Commission
Renewable Energy Road Map. Renewable energies in the 21st century: building a more sustainable future,
COM(2006)848 final. 23
Executive Summary
A range of policies have been put in place to help achieve this, including the
Warm Front programme (and its equivalents in the Devolved Administrations)
and the Winter Fuel Payment. The Government has also introduced a number
of measures to help low income households including the Pensions Credit and
Working and Child Tax Credits.
We will better target existing assistance to ensure those who are entitled
to support receive it, for example, by enabling the sharing of benefit data
between organisations responsible for tackling fuel poverty. We will also be
changing Warm Front to offer more benefit entitlement checks. We will be
working with energy companies to encourage all companies to put in place
an effective programme of assistance for vulnerable customers. Together with
the measures stimulated by the funding announced in the 2006 Pre-Budget
Report, we expect our new initiatives to take around 200,000 households
in the UK out of fuel poverty.
There are additional proposals under consideration which could deliver further
carbon savings e.g. surface transport in the EU ETS, the roll-out of smart
meters. In addition, we are consulting on whether it is in the public interest
to allow companies to invest in new nuclear power stations. Any additional
measures required to achieve the UK’s contribution to the EU’s Spring Council
agreement could further reduce UK carbon emissions.
24
Some existing policies to tackle climate change, including the EU ETS and
the Renewables Obligation are contributing to higher energy prices. We have
analysed the impact of our new measures on retail energy prices. On the
basis of this analysis, we estimate the overall impact of our package of
measures, (excluding EU ETS) as contributing an additional 4% to electricity
prices and 3% to gas prices by 2020. Many of our measures are targeted at
improving energy efficiency; such measures will have little impact on energy
bills, and in some cases will help reduce energy bills as consumers act to
realise their potential savings.
For this White Paper, building on Stern’s modelling on a global scale, we have
conducted economic modelling of the impacts on the UK economy of tackling
climate change. The analysis indicates that the costs of achieving a 60%
reduction in domestic carbon emissions could be between a 0.3% and 1.5%
reduction in the UK’s GDP in 205014. However, because it is more difficult for
the economy to adjust over the short to medium term, our modelling shows
that the cost of achieving a reduction in domestic emissions of 30% by 2020
could be higher, resulting in GDP being around 1.3% to 2% lower in 2020 than
it otherwise would have been depending on the level of fossil fuel prices.
Even if the cost were 2% of GDP in 2020, we would still see the economy
grow by 40% between now and 2020.
This should not be taken as analysis of the effects of the Energy White Paper
policies, but rather an estimate of the macroeconomic costs of achieving our
carbon goals. The measures in this White Paper are intended to harness the
14 All of the costs presented in this section represent the change in GDP in one year rather than a cumulative
impact or an impact on the GDP growth rate. In the case of the 2050 figures, the costs are compared to a
scenario in which there is no carbon constraint on the economy. In the case of the 2020 numbers, the
costs are compared to a scenario where no carbon price is applied to the economy. 25
Executive Summary
most cost-effective ways of making carbon savings. Moreover, the modelling
results presented here are based on domestic action. UK costs would be
lower in the context of multilateral action and if there is scope for the UK to
invest in more cost-effective abatement opportunities abroad, such as through
the EU ETS, as provided for in the draft Climate Change Bill. Therefore, we
believe that they will deliver significant carbon savings by 2020 at a lower
cost than the 1.3-2% range.
Delivery
Meeting the challenges of energy security and climate change will require
strong international co-operation as a priority, both in taking forward the
EU energy strategy and more widely. At home, it will require action by the
Government, business and individuals. It is the Government’s role to create
the right conditions and incentives so that everyone can play their part.
Success will require not only the right conditions for the large scale
investment we need but also the skills and experience in our workforce to
deliver that investment and ensure that our vital infrastructure is effectively
and safely run. We are asking the Sector Skills Councils to report on skills
gaps in the energy sector and action being taken to address them.
Some of the measures in this White Paper do not require legislation and
will be taken forward over the coming months. Some will require further
consultation. Other measures will require legislative changes: it is our
intention to bring forward those proposals as soon as Parliamentary time
allows. Plans for this will be closely co-ordinated with those for the Climate
Change Bill.
We will take forward the proposals and further work set out in this White
Paper, in accordance with the principles of better regulation. In keeping with
our better regulation agenda we are undertaking a review to be completed in
autumn 2007 of major climate change instruments looking to ensure there are
no unnecessary duplications, inconsistencies or conflicts between existing
regulatory regimes and suggest how these can be resolved in order to
ensure that the regulatory burden on business is kept to a minimum.
Some matters which relate to energy policy in Scotland, Wales and Northern
Ireland are the responsibility of the Devolved Administrations, and therefore,
decisions on those matters are made in the light of each administration’s
particular circumstances. In line with the devolution settlements in Scotland,
Wales and Northern Ireland, all proposals in this White Paper which touch on
devolved matters will be progressed in accordance with the principles set out
in the Memorandum of Understanding. It is expected that the Devolved
26
27
Executive Summary
CHAPTER 1
1.5 If annual global emissions were to remain at today’s levels, the stock of
greenhouse gases in the atmosphere would reach double pre-industrial levels
by 2050: at around 550 ppm. At this level, there is a high probability of a global
average temperature rise exceeding 2°C. In reality, however, global emissions
are set to accelerate from today’s levels, as demand for energy rises.
1.6 In its World Energy Outlook 2006, the International Energy Agency (IEA)
considers what would happen if countries were to adopt all policies currently
considered to address energy security and energy-related climate change. Even
in this scenario, global emissions related to energy are still projected
to rise by 31% by 2030.
1.7 The Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change14 highlights the
economic costs of failing to act to tackle climate change:
“With 5-6°C warming – which is a real possibility for the next century – existing
models that include the risk of abrupt and large-scale climate change estimate
an average 5-10% loss in global GDP, with poor countries suffering costs in
excess of 10% of GDP.”
1.8 Moreover, Stern estimates that the dangers of unabated climate change
could be equivalent to at least 5% of GDP each year and could possibly rise
to 20% of GDP or more if a wider range of risks and impacts are taken
into account.
1.9 The costs of mitigating climate change, though significant, are substantially
lower and are manageable for the world’s economy.
The annual cost of stabilising greenhouse gases in the atmosphere at between
450 and 550 ppm of carbon dioxide equivalent is estimated to be around 1%
of GDP in 205015.
11 Conclusions of the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
12 The Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change, 2006.
See http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/independent_reviews/stern_review_economics_climate_change/
sternreview_index.cfm
13 Greenhouse gas emissions can be measured in terms of their estimated global warming potential on an
equivalent basis to those from carbon dioxide
14 The Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change, 2006
15 The Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change, 2006 29
1.12 These regional impacts will have global repercussions as we see the
growth of environment related migration. Regional impacts could also create
potential disruptions to international production and trade.
1.13 Taking urgent action to mitigate the effects of climate change is the only
strategy consistent with long-term economic growth and global stability. The
UK’s views on a long-term international framework for tackling climate change
are set out in Box 1.2
16 IPCC 2007. Working Group II: Climate Change 2007; Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability; Summary for
30 Policy Makers
1.15 The IEA17 reports that global oil and gas reserves are sufficient to sustain
economic growth for the foreseeable future. But they are concentrated in
relatively few locations around the world (see Box 1.3)
Proven oil reserves are concentrated in the Middle East and North Africa,
together accounting for over 62% of the world total. As a result, the
OPEC* share of global oil production is projected to increase from 40% in
2006 to around 50% in 2030**. Outside OPEC, only Russia, Central Asia,
Latin America, and Canada are likely to achieve any significant long-term
increases in oil production.
Although natural gas resources are more widely dispersed than oil, some
56% of proven reserves are found in just three countries: Russia, Iran and
Qatar. Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) – which can be transported by tanker -
is set to play a more important role in future. However, because pipelines
will remain the principal means of transporting gas, gas markets will
remain regional in the short to medium-term.
By contrast, coal is found in very many countries around the world and is
easily transported. For these reasons, coal already provides 40% of global
electricity and is likely to play an important role in the world’s energy mix
for many years to come. But its emissions are high: over twice those
produced by burning gas. Further improvements in the efficiency of coal-
fired generation and technologies such as carbon capture and storage will
be necessary if the world is to make good use of fossil fuel to provide
reliable energy without undermining climate security (see chapter 5.4).
* Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries
** IEA, World Energy Outlook
17 Resources to Reserves – Oil and Gas Technologies for the Energy Markets of the Future, IEA 2005 31
FIGURE 1.1 REGIONAL ENERGY FLOWS OF GAS (2004 AND 2030) – IEA WORLD
ENERGY OUTLOOK, 2006 (BILLION CUBIC METERS)
1.18 A number of risks have the potential to defer or restrict the level of
future energy investment which could undermine the reliability of future
energy supplies:
• Oil and gas supplies are concentrated in regions which include less
stable parts of the world;
• resource nationalism is rising, with a greater degree of state intervention
restricting or discriminating against equal access to resources. Energy
reliability may be affected if energy reserves are used for political ends
which conflict with commercial objectives;
• the role of ‘national champions’ in natural resource production brings
risks because, nationalised industries lack the incentives to exploit natural
resources in the most efficient manner, or to produce the same levels of
investment. They may also be more susceptible to political influence;
• significant market power, including over reserves and the use of pipelines
for energy transportation, enables some countries to exert significant
influence over prices and supply. Co-ordination between a number of
19 Based on DTI baseline projections of energy demand and domestic production (without measures included
in this White Paper). See UK Energy and CO2 Emissions Projections, May 2007
www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper 33
34
35
1.24 An open European market is essential to ensure that the UK can draw
on adequate and competitively priced supplies of gas to meet demand.
Without it, we face the threat of supply disruptions and volatile prices. It is
now generally recognised that further action is necessary to achieve full
liberalisation. We therefore welcome the strong action the European
Commission is taking to enforce the package of EU legislation passed in 2003,
and its taking decisive action when competition rules are broken. We strongly
support the proposals set out in the Commission’s Strategic Energy Review,
endorsed at the EU Spring Council in March 2007.
36
• work to engage China, Russia, India, Brazil and South Africa whose
state-owned companies are increasingly important global players;
• campaign for a UN General Assembly resolution on extractive industry
revenue transparency to strengthen international action; and
• monitor energy sector governance in major producing countries and be
prepared to offer UK advice and expertise where necessary or requested.
23 An EU network designed to monitor and exchange information about international risks affecting the
Union’s energy security to ensure that the Union can take timely action when faced with specific,
indentifiable threats.
24 Details available at www.eitransparency.org
25 CDM is a mechanism that allows developed nations to achieve part of their greenhouse gas emissions
reduction obligations under the Kyoto Protocol by funding projects in developing countries that reduce
38 emissions
1.34 Full details of our strategy to strengthen EU ETS are set out in Annex C
to this White Paper. In March 2007, we published a paper calling for views on
some of the key issues we believe are important to the future operation of
the Scheme.26 This will further develop our understanding of the views of
industry, NGOs and other interested parties.
1.35 We are confident that the EU ETS will evolve to deliver a robust long-
term carbon price signal to investors. However, we will keep open the option
of further measures to reinforce the operation of the EU ETS in the UK if this
should be necessary to provide greater certainty to investors.
1.38 The bulk of the investment necessary to deliver energy and climate security
will come from the private sector. But governments have a responsibility to
create the right incentives and frameworks to enable a rapid transition to a low
carbon economy. While putting a value on carbon can help to “pull” investment
towards low carbon technologies, there is also a role for governments in
“pushing” that investment, by encouraging research, development,
demonstration and deployment of these technologies. There are considerable
benefits from international collaboration given the large costs involved.
1.39 Analysis in the Stern Review suggested that, in 2004, around $33 billion
was spent worldwide on supporting low-carbon energy technology
deployment. This public support needs to be doubled at least, and may need
to increase five-fold, over the next 20 years to encourage private investment
and deployment at the necessary level.
40
1.42 In developing proposals for the renewables target, the Commission will
need, as agreed by the European Council, to give due regard to a fair and
adequate allocation, taking account of different national starting points and
potentials, including the existing level of renewable energies and energy mix.
1.43 After a decision has been reached on each Member State’s contribution
to the EU Spring Council agreement, it is very likely that the UK will need to
take further measures, beyond those set out in this White Paper. We will bring
forward appropriate policies to increase the share of renewable electricity,
heat and transport, in our mix by 2020 and make our contribution
to meeting this target. We shall need to make efforts across the whole
spectrum of energy policy from energy efficiency to the development of a
wide range of energy technologies. In the meantime, the measures and
market framework set out in this White Paper allow us to make significant
progress in deploying renewables.
It is in our own vital interest that the technologies necessary to make coal
generation low carbon are developed and deployed as rapidly as possible,
since fossil fuels will continue to be a significant part of the energy mix
globally for some time to come (on the basis of governments’ present
policies, fossil fuels will provide almost 70% of global electricity demand
by 2030)*.
* IEA, World Energy Outlook 2006
27 The current UK figure is from the Digest of United Kingdom Energy Statistics (DUKES), 2006.
The current European figures come from Eurostat. http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/
page?_pageid=0,1136239,0_45571447&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL
28 The 2020 projections for the UK figure is based on DTI projections – for more detail see ‘UK Energy and
CO2 Emissions Projections’, May 2007 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper. The 2020 projections
for the European figures comes from the EU Commission Renewable Energy Road Map. ‘Renewable
energies in the 21st century: building a more sustainable future’ COM(2006)848 final. 41
The project is making good progress. The detailed scope has been agreed
with our Chinese partner, the Ministry of Science and Technology, and the
procurement process for European partners has been completed. We will
announce details of the successful consortia shortly.
29 The Clean Energy for Development Investment Framework aims to increase access to modern energy in
Africa, help large emerging economies adopt low carbon energy options and help countries to adapt to the
impacts of climate change. In March 2007, the World Bank produced an action plan leading up to the G8
Summit in Japan in 2008. 43
1.47 Increasing our energy efficiency is the least expensive and most
immediate way of addressing all of our energy and climate goals
simultaneously. Saving energy reduces carbon emissions, cuts fuel bills for
consumers and boosts profits for business. The IEA has estimated that global
energy demand would be 50% higher today, without the energy savings
achieved since 1973. And there is substantial potential for further savings to
be made. Energy efficiency is a crucial element of our international strategy.
We therefore support the Commission’s proposal to develop an International
Framework Agreement on Energy Efficiency with both developing and
developed countries.
45
1.51 Our place in Europe, and our ability to influence through Europe, is of
particular importance. We benefit by being part of a larger energy market and
by speaking to other governments with a common voice.
1.52 Our relationships with the world’s major economies will remain important.
• As a net importer of energy, the United States shares our interest in the
efficient operation of energy markets. The Federal Government has a
strong track record in long-term development of energy technology, such
as hydrogen fuel cells, building on America’s strength in commercial
innovation. The United State’s experience – and view about the need for
urgent action to tackle climate change – will be significant in developing a
multilateral framework for action beyond 2012.
• So too will be the support and leadership of Japan, under whose
presidency G8 leaders will receive a report on international co-operation
since the Gleneagles summit. We want this report to make a positive
contribution to discussions within the United Nations about a framework
for addressing climate change beyond 2012.
46
47
Saving energy
Using energy more efficiently is a cost effective way of
cutting carbon dioxide emissions. It can also improve
productivity and can contribute to the security of our
energy supplies by reducing our reliance on imported
energy and ensuring we make maximum use of our own
and global energy resources. Improving the energy
efficiency of homes can also reduce energy bills and help
ensure that the most vulnerable can afford to heat their
homes.
• help businesses and households understand the link between their own
actions and climate change and how they can become more energy
efficient -– ensuring they have the support and information they need to
make the right choices;
• provide greater incentives for energy suppliers to deliver energy efficiency
improvements in the home and for businesses to invest in energy
efficiency measures;
• use the Government’s procurement power to stimulate the energy,
buildings and products markets to deliver more energy efficient, lower
carbon solutions to our future energy needs; and
• stimulate innovation and competition in the supply chain by setting out
now the future energy performance standards we expect of our homes,
buildings and the products used in them. (Energy efficiency in transport is
covered in chapter 7).
30 Defra (2004) Energy Efficiency: The Government’s Plan for Action. Cm6168.
48 31 Defra (2006) Climate Change. The UK Programme 2006. Cm 6764
Source: Defra
49
Saving energy
Energy Efficiency: the potential
2.4 In the Energy Review Report we estimated that there is the potential to
make further cost effective cuts in our carbon emissions through energy
efficiency. As technologies develop, the non-energy intensive business sector
could save up to 5 MtC and the public sector 1 MtC by 2020 through adoption
of cost-effective energy efficiency improvements. The Carbon Trust estimates
that businesses in the UK waste some 10–20% of the energy they buy
through poor control of heating, air conditioning and ventilation and through
leaving lights and appliances on when not in use.
2.5 Collectively, individuals are responsible for over 40% of the UK’s energy
use and carbon dioxide emissions (see Figure 2.1). The Energy Saving Trust
estimates that at home we waste over £900 million per year by leaving
appliances on when not in use. Our analysis for the Energy Review Report
indicated that through energy efficiency and behavioural measures to reduce
waste, households could save a further 9 MtC a year by 2020 and cut their
energy bills at the same time.
2.8 To achieve the potential energy savings that we have identified requires a
mix of policies designed to stimulate change to:
• create incentives and reduce barriers to greater energy efficiency by
businesses, individuals and government;
• support more energy efficient choices through improved awareness,
32 HMT(2005) The Energy Efficiency innovation Review: Summary Report. Joint HMT/Defra study.
50 Available at: http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk./media/FB4/AE/pbr05_energy_675.pdf
• raise the energy efficiency standards of our future building stock and of
the products we buy.
2.12 Industrial energy consumption has fallen by 47% since 1970 and by
14% since 1990. In contrast, demand for energy by the service sector has
increased34. Since 1980, electricity and gas consumption in the services sector
have both increased by about 80%35.
2.13 Many firms recognise the benefits that investment in energy efficiency
can bring, through lower costs, improved competitiveness and improved social
and corporate standing. However, short-term cost considerations, lack of
information and market failures can act as barriers to investment.
2.14 To overcome these, the Government recognises that it has a role to play:
firstly, by creating the right incentives for long-term investment in cost-
effective energy efficiency measures; secondly, by raising awareness, and
33 http://www.together.com/
34 The service sector includes both commercial and public services
35 DTI (2006) Digest of UK Energy Statistics. http://www.dtistats.net/energystats/dukes06.pdf 51
Saving energy
enabling business to make more energy efficient choices through provision of
better information on energy use and climate change; and thirdly, by setting
now the future regulatory framework that will drive improvements in the
energy efficiency of commercial buildings and products.
36 Our analysis supporting this consultation together with consultation responses can be found at:
http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/trading/index.htm
37 We will deliver the total savings of 1.2Mtc through a combination of the CRC, delivering 1MtC and
52 the Energy Performance of Buildings Directive which will deliver around 0.2MtC.
2.21 Government proposes that CRC will target both carbon emissions from
direct energy use as well as indirect carbon emissions (i.e. from electricity). To
avoid overlap with existing measures, the CRC would target neither emissions
covered by the Climate Change Agreements nor direct emissions covered by
the EU Emissions Trading Scheme. In addition, organisations with over 25% of
their energy use emissions in Climate Change Agreements would be
completely exempt.
2.23 CRC will be broadly revenue neutral to the Exchequer. The auction
revenue will be recycled to participants by means of a simple, direct, annual
payment proportional to average annual emissions since the start of the
scheme, with a bonus/penalty depending on the organisation’s position in a
CRC league table.
2.24 In order to ease participants into the new regime, and to allow
Government to establish more accurate data on emissions across the target
sector, CRC will feature an introductory phase, with a simple fixed-price sale
of allowances. In addition, the Government proposes a safety valve to avoid
spikes in the price of allowances. The Commitment will feature a moderated
buy-only link to the EU ETS, through which the CRC participants will be able to
buy allowances at the higher of the prevailing EU ETS price and a minimum
CRC floor price. There will be no link between CRC and the existing voluntary
UK Emissions Trading Scheme/Climate Change Agreement market.
2.26 In relation to coverage and delivery, key areas for further consideration will
include: the definition of an organisation within CRC; rules to exempt small
sources of emissions; the approach to monitoring, reporting and verification/
audit; and for local authorities, the treatment of street lighting within CRC.
2.27 In terms of market design, areas for further consultation include auction
and league table design – which government recognises is a key issue. We will
also consult on the length of the gap between auction payment and revenue
recycling in recognition of concerns raised during the consultation. Analysis
indicates that retaining at least a six month gap is necessary to maintain the
signalling effect of the CRC auction.
53
Saving energy
2.28 We will use the experience we gain from the first phase of the CRC to
determine whether, over time, it would be cost effective and proportionate to
extend the scheme to organisations with lower energy consumption.
Improving information
2.29 Businesses require tailored and specific information on how best to
invest in energy efficiency. Government therefore intends to improve the
information made available to businesses on how to improve the energy
efficiency of their premises and on their energy usage.
2.30 We will consult later this year on the requirement to display Energy
Performance Certificates in business premises in England and Wales.
These Certificates will provide an energy rating (from A to G) for these
buildings and will set out what steps can be taken to improve their energy
efficiency. The information will be an important aid to businesses in meeting
their climate change commitments, whether regulatory, such as through the
EU ETS or the new CRC, or through voluntary action.
54
The Carbon Trust conducted a trial of “smart” electricity, gas and water
meters with over 580 smaller businesses, providing them with new
meters or clip-on devices to record and transmit their energy data. (For a
full report see: http://www.carbontrust.co.uk/default.htm)
The Carbon Trust’s analysis suggests that smart metering would be cost-
effective for firms with profile class 5–838 electricity meters and their
equivalents in gas. The sectors with the greatest carbon saving potential
are wholesale/retail, manufacturing and financial & business services.
Firms with multiple sites can achieve lower costs and greater savings than
others. Payback periods for single site SMEs are around four years for gas
meters, but longer for electricity meters.
2.33 Government will therefore consult this year on a proposal that energy
suppliers should extend to all but the smallest business users in Great Britain
and those larger businesses not already subject to half hourly metering,
advanced and smart metering services within the next five years.
This could achieve annual savings of 0.1–0.2 MtC per year by 2020.
We will explore with interested parties what further help should be given to
businesses to maximise the use of advanced metering and the savings that
can flow from it.
38 Below the mandatory half-hourly electricity metering market (that is, those with maximum electricity demand
below 100kWh) suppliers allocate business customers to six profile classes 3-8, based on their electricity
consumption. Most business customers fall in classes 3 (with a standard “domestic” meter) and 4 (with an
Economy 7-type meter). The electricity consumption of these businesses thus closely resembles that of
domestic customers. We propose to exclude business customers with profile class 3 and 4 electricity meters
and those non-daily read gas customers whose consumption is less than 73,200 kWh per year. 55
Saving energy
2.34 The Government will also consider with interested parties what
advanced metering services (or other means of providing real time
information) might be appropriate for the smallest business users and,
if necessary, what might be done to bring about their deployment.
2.35 The Gas and Electricity Markets Authority (GEMA) has statutory
responsibilities for ensuring the accuracy and performance of gas and
electricity meters. We propose to transfer these responsibilities to the
National Weights and Measures Laboratory (NWML), an executive agency
of the DTI, when a suitable legislative opportunity arises. This will simplify
the regulatory framework by giving a single UK point of contact, through
NWML, for business on all the technical aspects of measuring instruments,
including meters.
We will set out now the standards we expect in the future for our homes
and the products we use in them:
• driving higher energy efficiency standards for the products we use at
home and at work;
• phasing out the use of energy inefficient light bulbs;
• raising building standards to make homes zero carbon – through greater
use of energy efficiency and low and zero carbon forms of energy; and
• introducing an ambitious new Planning Policy Statement on Climate
Change to help support the development of communities which can
make use of low-carbon and renewable sources of energy.
And we will:
• lower the planning barriers to the installation of microgeneration in the
home (see chapter 3);
• ensure energy generating householders (i.e. through microgeneration)
are rewarded for electricity they sell back to the grid (see chapter 3);
• remove barriers to supplying distributed energy through more flexible
market and licensing arrangements (see chapter 3);
• make it easier to find information and advice on distributed generation
of energy (see chapter 3); and
• provide advice on smarter driving and new car purchases
(see chapter 7).
57
Saving energy
Improving support and assistance
2.38 We want to see all homes achieve their cost-effective energy efficiency
potential. Our intention is that by the end of the next decade, all householders
will have been offered help to adopt energy efficiency measures. We will do
this through an ambitious programme: increasing the level of delivery by the
energy suppliers of energy efficiency measures into the home under the
Carbon Emission Reduction Target; extending our obligation on suppliers until
at least 2020; raising awareness of climate change and providing households
with the information and advice they need through improvements to billing
and metering and through Energy Performance Certificates, to improve the
energy efficiency of their homes.
2.40 The EEC has had a range of social benefits, supporting Local Authority
objectives under Decent Homes and the Home Energy Conservation Act (see
section 2.1 on fuel poverty). Whilst it does not have a specific fuel poverty
objective, it does require suppliers to direct 50% of energy savings towards
a priority group of low-income customers. Evaluation of the first phase of
the EEC suggests that this priority group benefited from reduced energy bills
and increased comfort, worth around £1.8 billion.
2.41 EEC phase 1 (which ran from 2002–2005) stimulated about £600 million
of investment in energy efficiency and delivered net benefits to householders
in excess of £3 billion (see Table 2.1). EEC 2 (2005–2008) requires broadly
double the level of activity of EEC 1 and is expected to deliver 0.5 MtC
annually in 2010.
2.42 The Climate Change and Sustainable Energy Act 2006 allows the
Government to expand the range of measures that can be used by energy
suppliers to deliver their commitments under EEC. Following our initial
consultation, in July 2006, on the shape of EEC phase 341, we launch alongside
this White Paper our statutory consultation on a new Carbon Emission
Reduction Target (CERT) for energy suppliers for the period 2008–2011. The
CERT will replace EEC. It has the same underlying framework and purpose as
the EEC, but with an expanded range of measures, including microgeneration
58 41 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/energy/eec/index.htm
Original Revised42
2.43 The legislation for CERT is expected to be in force by the end of 2007,
allowing Ofgem and energy suppliers to prepare for its start in April 2008.
2.45 The Government has also decided to commence the relevant provisions
of the Climate Change and Sustainable Energy Act. This has allowed the
Government to include in the statutory consultation on CERT the use of
behavioural measures and all forms of microgeneration.
A supplier obligation
2.46 The Government is committed to continuing to deliver carbon savings
from the domestic sector using some form of supplier obligation until at least
2020, delivering an annual saving of 3–4 MtC by 2020. As the most cost-
effective opportunities to improve energy efficiency are taken up over time,
realising energy efficiency savings will become increasingly expensive and difficult
to achieve. If we are to continue to deliver carbon savings from households, we
need to bring about a change in consumers’ approach to energy use.
2.47 We believe that harnessing the opportunities to bring about this change
will require a transformation of the market for the supply of domestic energy.
Suppliers and customers need to have a shared incentive to reduce domestic
emissions, and to work in partnership to achieve this.
42 The savings for EEC1 and EEC2 have been reduced slightly following recent research showing that the
actual energy savings achieved as a result of insulation are lower than previously assumed.
43 Not final: subject to the outcome of statutory consultation.
44 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/energy/eec/pdf/illustrativemix-final2007.pdf 59
Saving energy
2.48 Creating this shared incentive will require an innovative policy, which
changes the way the supplier views their relationship with the end consumer.
Rather than selling units of energy, the suppliers’ focus needs to shift to the
marketing of energy services. By harnessing opportunities to change
householders’ behaviour, it will be possible to achieve substantial carbon and
energy savings whilst maintaining the level of “energy service” enjoyed by
customers. This is possible because customers demand energy for the
services it provides: heat, light and power for electrical appliances, rather than
demanding energy per se.
2.49 Encouraging suppliers to make this shift from compliance with the
regulatory requirement to implement energy saving measures, as under EEC,
to a model where securing carbon savings offers profitable opportunities will
be challenging, and cannot be made in one step. It will require suppliers to
develop alternative business models, earning profits through a combination of
low carbon measures, related services and sales of energy.
2.50 CERT is a first step towards creating such a marketplace, with its
rewards for innovative approaches and domestic microgeneration. The
continued obligation on suppliers to 2020 will provide a further incentive to
move in this direction, whilst the Carbon Reduction Commitment (CRC) will
provide incentives for similar market developments in the commercial sector.
2.52 We are in the process of evaluating the costs and benefits of the various
options for a supplier obligation which would further support this market
transformation by providing stronger incentives for energy suppliers to reduce
the carbon emissions of their customers. The options under consideration
include setting supplier targets in terms of absolute reductions in carbon or
delivered energy as discussed in the Energy Review Report, as well as
alternatives such as a further evolution of the measures-based approach as
under EEC and CERT.
2.53 The emerging evidence shows that there are pros and cons for each
approach. A cap and trade demand reduction obligation would give suppliers
greater flexibility over the measures they choose to deploy and would improve
45 This rule requires that all domestic supply contracts must be capable of being terminated with 28 days
notice, and so may act as barrier to contracts where suppliers make up-front investments in their
60 customers’ homes with the intention of recouping this investment over time.
2.54 We intend to reach a clear conclusion on the direction for the post–2011
supplier obligation in 2008. As part of this process a call for evidence will be
issued in summer 2007 to enable interested parties to offer their views at an
early stage in the policy development process.
The Government believes that the current system of taxation strikes the
right balance between protecting the environment, protecting the most
vulnerable in society and maintaining sound public finances. There remain
many high-level questions about whether a personal carbon allowance
scheme could be proportionate, effective, socially equitable and financially
viable, particularly when compared or combined with existing policies and
other options for controlling carbon emissions; whether it could be a
61
Saving energy
BOX 2.4 continued
practical and feasible option; how such a scheme might work in practice;
and whether it would avoid placing undue burdens on individuals. The
Government is therefore undertaking a programme of work intending to
look into these issues in more detail.
2.57 The CO2 calculator, produced in partnership with the EST (which will be
available at http://www.direct.gov.uk/actonCO2), provides individuals and
households with a profile of their direct CO2 emissions, based on their
lifestyle. The calculator gives tailored recommendations about how these can
be reduced. The short film describes the link between individual action and
CO2 emissions and will be distributed through channels such as community
groups. To stimulate young people to discuss climate change and global
warming, we have sent a pack containing the film, together with Al Gore’s
film, “An Inconvenient Truth” and other resources to all secondary schools
in England.
2.58 To give greater clarity and assurance to consumers who decide to offset
their carbon emissions the Government also consulted on a voluntary Code of
Best Practice for carbon offsetting. In order to meet the terms of the
proposed code, companies marketing offsetting products would need to fulfil
certain criteria, including use of credits from the regulated market (such as
those approved by the UN) and provision of specified information to the
consumer. We intend to launch the Code by the end of 2007.
62
2.62 In the Energy Review Report we also said that we would consult on the
frequency at which customers are provided with accurate bills and the
Government has investigated the levels of actual meter readings. Ofgem
advises that, on average, over 87% of customers in the domestic sector
receive at least one bill based on an actual meter-read each year. Initiatives
such as the Billing Codes of Practice introduced by energy suppliers, together
with existing distribution industry codes, are intended to maintain these
levels. The Government does not, therefore, propose any further action in this
area at this time.
Saving energy
BOX 2.5 THE ENERGY DEMAND RESEARCH PROJECT
2.63 Suppliers are already rolling out advanced meters in the business
sector and are considering the business case for smart meters in the
domestic market. The evidence coming from the trials of smart meters and
real-time displays (see Box 2.5) will underpin future decisions on smart
meter deployment.
2.64 Our expectation is that, within the next 10 years, all domestic energy
customers will have smart meters with visual displays of real-time information that
allow communication between the meter, the energy supplier and the customer.
The display will provide customers with readily accessible information about their
energy usage. The Government will work with suppliers, Ofgem and other
interested parties in these developments, including through our Energy Demand
Research Project. We expect suppliers to roll out smart meters when it is cost-
effective to do so and within the timescales we have set.
2.65 Through smart meters, readings can be taken remotely, ensuring that
all bills are accurate. Meters can be remotely switched between credit and
prepayment, reducing supplier and customer costs. Electricity suppliers will
be able to offer new products that may incentivise customers to use less
energy at peak times or to use less energy overall.
2.66 We welcome the progress being made by suppliers, with the support of
Ofgem, to remove barriers to the roll out of smart metering. Suppliers and
manufacturers are also examining the scope for developing communication
systems that can be shared between electricity and gas meters, as well as
the scope for commercial arrangements to share both communications
systems and data between companies.
2.67 In the Energy Review Report, Government stated its intention to discuss
with Ofgem, the energy suppliers and interested parties how best to roll out
rapidly the provision of real-time electricity displays. Government believes
displays should be provided with smart meters in the longer-term, and has
64 considered their role in the shorter-term.
2.69 We therefore propose that, from May 2008 and where technically
feasible, every household having an electricity meter replaced and every
newly built domestic property will be given a real-time electricity display, free
of charge. The display must show real-time information about electricity
consumption and cost and meet a minimum performance requirement of 95%
accuracy in the normal range of energy use by a household.
2.73 We estimate that these proposals for billing and real-time displays will
deliver annual savings of up to 0.4 MtC by 2010, in line with the Government’s
commitment under the Climate Change Programme; and up to 0.5 MtC
by 2020.
2.74 It is possible that some of our metering and billing proposals set out in
this White Paper will be taken forward in the context of the implementation of
the Energy Services Directive.
Saving energy
2.77 By requiring all homes put on the market to have an energy rating –
similar to the ratings domestic appliances already get – Energy Performance
Certificates will give all buyers and renters of homes transparent, accurate
information on the energy running costs of their homes, and practical advice
on how to improve it, helping them cut their fuel bills and their carbon
emissions. The Certificates will apply to new buildings and the sale and rent of
existing buildings. Together with the display of certificates in larger public
buildings, required under the EU Energy Performance of Buildings Directive,
this policy will deliver annual carbon savings of between 0.6 – 1.6 MtC per
year by 2020.
2.79 The Government has already introduced a reduced rate of VAT for
the professional installation of a range of energy saving materials and
microgeneration technologies within residential properties. To provide a further
incentive to householders, the Government is urging the European
Commission and European Finance Ministers to introduce a reduced rate of
VAT for energy saving materials for DIY installation.
2.80 Based on our discussions with major banks and building societies, the
Government anticipates that these measures, have the potential to create a
market for “green” financial products designed to help householders invest in
energy efficiency measures and microgeneration.
2.82 Reducing these emissions will not only ensure the public sector plays its
role in addressing climate change but also offers the prospect of better value
for money for the taxpayer through decreased costs and enhanced public
service delivery. Government leadership in this area is also critical to the
success of the measures targeting action by consumers and business,
and Government can help stimulate the market for more energy efficient
buildings, goods and services by using its purchasing power to lever improved
standards. Recent reports from the Sustainable Development Commission48
and the National Audit Office49 illustrate the need for us to do better.
48 See http://www.sd-commission.org.uk/sdig2006/
66 49 NAO (2007) Building for the Future: sustainable construction and refurbishment. HC 324 Session 2006-2007
2.86 As well as using new and updated efficiency standards in our own
procurement activities, Government will promote them to others in the public
and private sectors. We will publish, by spring 2008, guidelines setting out
criteria for energy efficiency and energy savings to be used by the public
sector in its procurement procedures. By providing a ready market for more
efficient goods, we aim to stimulate competition amongst manufacturers to
bring forward more efficient goods and services. We will also work across
Government to address the opportunities that collaboration can bring for more
effective electricity and gas procurement.
2.87 The Government and the public sector can show leadership by
performing well under existing and new policy frameworks, such as the EU
ETS and the Carbon Reduction Commitment. These apply to large public
sector organisations, such as large Local Authorities, Universities, Hospitals
and central Government Departments.
2.88 The CRC will help the central Government Department estates to
achieve their 30% emissions reduction target by 2020, and will complement
the 2012 carbon neutral target. Reducing absolute emissions would reduce
50 Defra (2006) Procuring the Future, Sustainable Procurement National Action Plan: Recommendations from
the Sustainable Procurement Task Force.
51 Defra (2004) Energy Efficiency: The Government’s Plan for Action. April 2004. Cm 6168 67
Saving energy
the amount of carbon offsetting that may be required to achieve carbon
neutral status. The CRC scheme will give due credit for the use of
on-site renewables.
2.90 We will also make it a requirement that all future Service Families
Accommodation in the UK should meet Rating 3 of the Code for Sustainable
Homes. We expect that this would apply to all future contracts let by 2008
at the latest.
2.91 In addition, from April 2008, buildings greater than 1,000m2 occupied
by public authorities and by institutions providing public services e.g.
government offices, hospitals, schools, museums and libraries, will be
required to display a certificate showing an energy rating for the building and
the steps than can be taken to improve its energy performance. This measure
is expected to deliver annual carbon savings of about 0.2 MtC by 2020. We
are committed to widening the requirement to all public and private sector
buildings where it can be demonstrated that this is cost-effective to do so
and will consult on this later this year.
2.92 Our measures will have a direct impact on how the Government spends
around £60 billion of its annual budget on procurement of goods and services.
Overall, our measures to save energy in the public sector will result in annual
savings of between 0.7-1.2 MtC per year by 2020.
2.95 In the average home the number of energy using appliances has more
than doubled since the 1970s (see Figure 2.3) and we expect this trend to
continue. Without steps to improve their energy efficiency, by 2010 their total
68 UK energy consumption could exceed 100 TWh.
2.97 We will focus our efforts on the major energy using products such as
motors, lights, household appliances, electronics and air conditioning. These
are internationally traded goods. So, while the Government will take steps
domestically to improve take up of energy efficient products, we need to work
internationally and through the EU to stimulate global innovation and
competition to raise standards and to bring greater choice and efficient
products to UK consumers.
1970 2004
Saving energy
2.100 We are working closely with UK manufacturers, retailers and trade
associations to be the first European country to phase out inefficient GLS
bulbs for the majority of domestic use, where an efficient alternative exists,
by 2011. This will reduce annual UK carbon emissions by up to 1.2 MtC by
2020 and lead to a saving of around £30 on the average household energy bill. To
encourage the purchase of low energy light bulbs, the Government has written
to the European Commission and European Finance Ministers to recommend
the introduction of a reduced rate of VAT for energy-efficient products.
70
52 Source:
http://www.communities.gov.uk/pub/173/BuildingaGreenerFutureTowardsZeroCarbonDevelopment_id15051
73.pdf
53 http://www.communities.gov.uk/index.asp?id=1505157. 71
Saving energy
2.105 The consultation document proposed interim steps to be set out in
progressive changes to Building Regulations; by 2010, all new homes would
show a 25% improvement in energy performance compared to current
Building Regulations and, by 2013, a 44% improvement. Our initial estimates
are that these measures could reduce annual emissions by between 1.1 and
1.2 million tonnes of carbon (MtC) by 2020.
2.107 The Code for Sustainable Homes54 provides a single national standard
to guide industry in the design and construction of sustainable homes,
considering not just energy but water, materials, waste and ecology. It is a
means of driving continuous improvement, greater innovation and exemplary
achievement in home building. The Code sets out what is expected to be
required to meet future Building Regulations.
2.108 There are six star ratings in the Code (see Table 2.2), each with
mandatory minimum standards for energy efficiency and water efficiency.
Code Rating 3 should be achievable via energy efficiency improvements to the
design, construction and fabric of the building. To go beyond that rating would
require not only improved energy efficiency but also some form of low or zero
carbon energy generation, either within individual buildings (e.g. dedicated
solar water heating) or provided to whole developments through a shared
source of low carbon generation (e.g. wind turbines), thus helping the
deployment of low carbon technologies and encouraging greater distributed
forms of energy generation (see chapter 3). A 6-star home would be a
completely zero carbon home.
TABLE 2.2: MINIMUM ENERGY/CARBON STANDARDS IN THE CODE FOR
SUSTAINABLE HOMES
1 10
2 18
3 25
4 44
5 10056
54 Code for Sustainable Homes - A step-change in sustainable home building practice” Communities and
Local Government - December 2006.
http://www.planningportal.gov.uk/england/professionals/en/1115314116927.html.
55 Building Regulations: Approved Document L (2006) - “Conservation of Fuel and Power.”
http://www.communities.gov.uk/pub/339/ApprovedDocumentL2AConservationoffuelandpowerNewbuilding
sotherthandwellings2006n_id1164339.pdf.
56 Zero emissions in relation to Building Regulations, i.e. zero emissions from heating, hot water, ventilation
and lighting.
57 A completely zero carbon home, i.e. zero net emissions of carbon dioxide from all energy use in the home
72 including from appliances.
2.110 The Government will use the Code to support housing developments
which are under our own control. In particular:
• we will now make it a condition of Government funding that all new
homes built by registered social landlords and other developers and all
new homes developed by English Partnerships will comply with Rating 3
of the Code for Sustainable Homes;
• we will require that the 2012 Olympic Village will meet at least Rating 3 of
the Code; and
• the Communities and Local Government Carbon Challenge (Design for
Manufacture II) will focus on delivering over 1,000 homes on an initial five
sites owned by English Partnerships, achieving low or zero carbon status
as well as enhanced environmental standards (Rating 5 of the Code for
Sustainable Homes). It will also take forward the standards of the earlier
Design for Manufacture competition.
2.111 Government is considering whether, from April 2008, all new homes
should be required to have a rating against the Code. This would provide a
rating of the overall sustainability of the home and would, as a component,
use the energy assessment carried out to determine the rating of the home
for an Energy Performance Certificate. We will consult on specific proposals
by the end of 2007.
2.113 We will review implementation within three years. This will allow for
a sufficient population of buildings to be constructed to the new standards.
In the interim we will obtain feedback from building control bodies and other
stakeholders on the new compliance package and consider how best to
assess the impacts they have had.
Saving energy
Delivering low and zero carbon communities
2.115 Delivering low and zero carbon homes requires not just changes to and
enforcement of Building Regulations. Our consultation on a draft Planning
Policy Statement (PPS): Planning and Climate Change59, sets out a clear and
challenging role for regional and local planning authorities in England to help
develop communities with lower carbon emissions, focusing on reducing the
need for travel and making best use of low carbon and renewable energy. The
Government is currently considering responses to the Planning and Climate
Change consultation, and will publish the final PPS this year.
2.121 The carbon savings achieved from the energy efficiency measures set
out in this white paper comprise:
• 4.7–7.6 MtC from the household sector;
• 1.6–2.9 MtC from the business sector; and
• 0.7–1.2 MtC from the public sector.
2.122 In addition to the development of the polices we have set out in this
chapter, in order to comply with the EU Energy End-Use Efficiency and Energy
Services Directive, we will:
• produce a National Energy Efficiency Action Plan for submission to the
European Commission by 30 June, setting out the policies and measures
in place in the UK to deliver improvements in energy efficiency and meet
the energy saving target in the Directive; and,
• look at the possible need for additional energy efficiency measures in the
transport, business and household sectors, on which we expect to consult
this summer.
Saving energy
Summary of measures
We will:
• Drive energy saving behaviour in the large non-energy intensive sector
through introduction of the Carbon Reduction Commitment;
• Drive further energy efficiency improvements in the home through a
continued obligation on energy suppliers until at least 2020, with a
Call for Evidence on how we can deliver this in summer 2007;
• Require Energy Performance Certificates for all buildings, to be sold or
rented, providing an energy efficiency rating for the property;
• Improve information to the consumer on energy use in homes and
businesses through improvements to energy metering and billing and
the launch of an online CO2 calculator;
• Between 2008-2010, require energy suppliers to provide a free
real-time electricity display to all home owners who ask for one;
• Publish by spring 2008, public sector procurement criteria for energy
efficiency and energy savings;
• Publish targets to drive the energy efficiency of products and services.
The first of these, for consumer electronics, is published today;
• Work with manufacturers, retailers and service providers to obtain
supply chain commitments to meet the targets;
75
Saving energy
• Ensure that all new Government funding for homes built by registered
social landlords and other developers is made on the condition that
they comply with Rating level 3 of the Code for Sustainable Homes;
• As of April this year, require that all new homes developed by English
Partnerships or with direct funding from the Government’s housing
growth programmes comply with Rating level 3 of the Code for
Sustainable Homes; and
• Decide by the end of this year on the date for all new homes to be
zero carbon.
Section 2.1 –
Fuel Poverty
2.1.1 Every household in the UK should be able to heat and light their homes
affordably. However, for some people, meeting this basic energy need
accounts for a disproportionate amount of their income. The generally
accepted definition of fuel poverty is when a household has to spend 10% or
more of its income on energy to maintain a warm home. The root causes of
fuel poverty are the cost of fuel, the income of the household and the energy
efficiency of the home.
2.1.3 This section sets out the progress which has been made to date to
tackle fuel poverty and the scale of the problem which still exists in the UK.
It also reports on progress since the Energy Review Report, as well as our
short and medium term policies to tackle fuel poverty and reach those most
in need.
2.1.4 The Government has contributed significant investment and put in place
a range of policies which are having an increasing impact, namely:
• the Winter Fuel Payment for those over 60;
• the increased focus on Benefit Entitlement Checks in fuel poverty
programmes, including effective interaction with the Pension Service;
• the personal tax package measures announced in the budget earlier this
year will have taken up to 100,000 households out of fuel poverty in the
UK;62
• the Warm Front programme and its equivalents in the Devolved
Administrations;
• the measures directed towards the Priority Group of vulnerable customers
under the Energy Efficiency Commitment;
• the Decent Homes Standard; and
• the additional £300 million made available to fuel poverty programmes in
the 2005 pre-budget report, taking funding in England alone to over £800
million over 2005–2008.
76 62 http://ww.dti.gov.uk/files/file16495.pdf
2.1.6 However, over the period 2004 to 2006, overall costs of fuel and light
increased by 35%, while gas prices increased by 45% and electricity prices
by 29% in real terms. These price increases represent significant challenges
to our fuel poverty targets.
2.1.7 The increases are estimated to have driven up total fuel poverty levels
by around 1.6 million households in England alone, with income
improvements offsetting this by around 300,000 households and energy
efficiency improvements by a further 100,000 households. This leads to an
estimated additional 1.2 million households in fuel poverty in 2006 compared
to 2004. The position, for England, between 1996 and 2016 is shown in
Figure 2.1.1. On the central price/income scenario it is estimated that 1.5
million households will remain in fuel poverty in 2010 and 700,000 in 2016.
This includes the effect of installing energy efficiency measures currently
available under fuel poverty programmes. It is clear that households remaining
in fuel poverty will need to receive additional assistance if we are to meet our
targets.
• Positions in 2005 and 2006 are based on the modelling of the impact of income, energy prices movements
and energy efficiency measures on the number of vulnerable households in fuel poverty.
• Positions from 2007 to 2016 are based on modelling and show central, low and high price scenarios.
These are based on the fossil-fuel price assumptions published at the same time as the White Paper.
77
Saving energy
2.1.8 Other factors affecting progress include:
• households not taking up their entitlement to benefits or not coming
forward for assistance;
• homes that are difficult to bring up to a sufficiently high level of energy
efficiency in a cost effective manner; and
• difficulties in coordinating existing programmes that are delivering
measures to households.
The big six UK energy suppliers agreed to fund a pilot mail out to 100,000
households within the target group. The aim of this pilot was to test the
feasibility of the Government and industry working together, to guarantee
eligibility through utilising Pension Service data and ultimately, to maximise
response rates and the eventual uptake of energy efficiency measures,
with a view to further roll out should it prove of value to all parties.
The mail out, which encouraged recipients to call an energy advice line so
that they could be offered free insulation as well as a benefits entitlement
check to help maximise their income, commenced in November 2006.
The pilot generated a good rate of responses, of 6.7%, with over 3%
of households receiving an energy efficiency measure or a benefit
entitlement check.
As a result, all parties have since agreed to review the scope for a wider
roll out of this concept, acknowledging the real results that can be
obtained by working together to meet common goals tangible benefits.
78
2.1.13 To ensure people are aware of the assistance that is available and
that it better meets their needs, we will put in place a cross-Government
communications campaign in time for winter 2007/2008, so that all the help
currently available, be it energy efficiency, benefits advice, tariff advice or
advice on how to stay healthy in winter is coordinated and easily accessible.
We will also be taking forward the lessons learnt from the recent energy
supplier funded mail out to pension credit households and exploring the use
of wider DWP communication opportunities, such as the annual benefit
up-rating letter to pensioners.
2.1.15 It is essential that we use all means possible to target help and
support at those who need it most. We will therefore take forward action
enabling the sharing of benefit data in clearly specified and controlled
circumstances, if necessary by using legislation.
2.1.17 The next phase of the Energy Efficiency Commitment (now re-named
CERT) is currently being considered. Access to benefit data would drive down
costs to locate low income households regardless of the overall size of the 79
Saving energy
Commitment and that of the Priority Group. We are also considering a
flexibility option to allow suppliers to have a reduced Priority Group share if
they direct some more expensive measures at those households most likely
to be fuel poor.
2.1.19 As well as the funding for local area-based initiatives announced in the
recent pre-budget report, other methods of encouraging Local Authority action
are also under consideration. We are currently finalising a new model that will
enable each Local Authority to see the baseline fuel poverty level in their area.
We will be holding a launch event shortly with subsequent local events to
publicise this work and to stimulate more action to tackle fuel poverty.
The Home Energy Conservation Act Review and the Local Government
Performance Framework also offers scope for additional activity in this area.
2.1.20 As demonstrated by the fuel poverty statistics, it will still remain the
case that for the poorest consumers, energy prices remain unaffordable.
The Winter Fuel Payment continues to help some with these costs.
2.1.23 We will also be working with Ofgem and energywatch to look at how
we can encourage some of the most vulnerable customers to realise the
benefits that other consumers have seen since liberalisation of the energy
market by switching supplier or payment method if appropriate.
80
2.1.25 All companies have taken some steps so that prepayment customers
are not unfairly disadvantaged by tariff changes as a result of delays in
updating their meters. Ofgem has been working with suppliers to address the
particular problems of the updating of prepayment token meters, but we will
consider ways of reducing the costs associated with pre-payment meters
more generally.
2.1.26 Gas remains the cheapest heating fuel. We have developed and tested
a model for delivering cost-effective gas network connections to deprived
communities and regional demonstration projects are going forward in North
East England and Yorkshire and Humberside. Gas connection projects
undertaken on a larger scale have the scope to make a significant contribution
to addressing fuel poverty. We are, therefore, discussing with Ofgem the
scope for incentivising gas network extensions through the gas distribution
price control, which will operate from April 2008.
2.1.27 We are midway through a full examination of our policy framework for
tackling fuel poverty, looking at the ways in which each of our measures can
be enhanced so that their effectiveness can be improved. It is clear we cannot
rely on one single approach to eradicate fuel poverty, but will need concerted
efforts across all root causes.
2.1.28 The policies and measures outlined above will take around an additional
200,000 households out of fuel poverty by 2010; however the overall package
and the long-term way forward will depend on the conclusion drawn after
examination of our policy framework for tackling fuel poverty. Next steps will
be set out in the UK Fuel Poverty Strategy Fifth Annual Progress report in
summer 2007. The report will outline action taken by the Government on a
range of factors impacting the fuel poor. It will provide further analysis of our
current position and outline action required to deliver on our objectives.
81
Saving energy
Fuel Poverty
Summary of measures
We will:
• take a more localised approach – in regions, Local Authorities and
individual communities – to tackling fuel poverty, actively generating
referrals and delivering cost effective measures;
• provide a Benefit Entitlement Check to all households that require one
who come forward to Warm Front;
• enable sharing of benefit information in clearly specified and
controlled circumstances, allowing help to be more easily targeted at
eligible households, if necessary taking forward legislation;
• issue guidance to encourage Local Authorities to exceed the Decent
Homes Standard and use the model of fuel poverty at a local level as
a stimulus for action;
• put in place an cross-Government communications campaign in time
for next winter, so that all the help currently available, be it energy
efficiency, benefits advice, tariff advice or advice on how to stay
healthy in winter is coordinated and easily accessible;
• as part of this, use DWP mailings to promote fuel poverty
programmes;
• work with energy companies and others to explore a further phase of
the Winter Mail Out communication enabling assistance to be directed
effectively towards those who need it most;
• work with Ofgem and energywatch to encourage vulnerable
customers to use the energy market to get the best deal, where
appropriate;
• work with Ofgem to determine the current levels of energy company
Corporate Social Responsibility Activity. We hope this will encourage
companies to do more in this area. If it does not, we will look to give
the Secretary of State powers to require companies to have an
adequate programme of support for their most vulnerable customers.
We will also be looking at whether there are ways to encourage best
practice in protecting the most vulnerable consumers from the large
differences in bills because of the payment method they use;
• continue to work with Ofgem on the scope for the gas distribution
price control to incentivise extension of the gas network to deprived
communities; and
• continue to keep this policy framework under scrutiny and report on
the way forward in the next Annual Fuel Poverty Progress Report,
which is to be published this summer.
82
3.1 Electricity and heat can be generated locally from renewable sources,
making valuable carbon savings. Losses incurred in transmitting centrally-
generated electricity to the point of use can be significantly reduced. The
costs of transporting heat mean that many of the options for generating heat
renewably have to be local. And even where fossil fuels are used, Combined
Heat and Power (CHP) can, in the right setting, ensure that these fuels are
used more efficiently by capturing and using heat and generating electricity in
a single process. A more community-based energy system would also lead to
greater individual awareness of energy and its implications for carbon
emissions, driving a change in social attitudes and, in turn, greater energy
efficiency63. The importance of Distributed Energy (DE), and the need for
further action was recognised by the Trade and Industry Committee in its
recent report64.
63 Research by the Sustainable Development Commission and the National Consumer Council shows that
people moving into homes with built-in renewable energy technologies report far greater awareness
of what they can do to reduce their climate impact, and their energy use. Sustainable Consumption
Roundtable, May 2006: I Will If You Will – http://www.ncc.org.uk/responsibleconsumption/iwill-summary.pdf
64 House of Commons Trade and Industry Select Committee: Local Energy – Turning Customers Into
Producers First Report of Session 2006-7. 83
3.7 We worked with WADE65 to model the costs and benefits to the UK of a
greater take-up of Distributed Generation (DG)66 technologies over the coming
twenty years. Modelling of this type is subject to considerable uncertainty.
3.8 Overall our findings suggest that the costs to the UK of some DG
technologies may be competitive with the costs of centralised technologies,
but that overall system costs are likely to be lower if we retain a framework
where DG is a complement rather than an alternative to centralised
generation. However, this work is only a starting point and cannot give
conclusive results about the relative costs of DG. We will carry out further
analysis that incorporates the heat and electricity aspects of a decentralised
energy system. Such a model is required to enable more robust conclusions
about the relative costs of DG to be drawn.
3.9 The market is best placed to decide which technologies are most effective
in supplying the UK’s energy whilst also meeting our carbon reduction goals.
It is for the Government to ensure that the opportunities
for DE are opened up so that it is a viable option for the market to consider.
DE is the current main option for increasing the use of renewables for
heat generation.
3.10 Our policies on DE will also play a part in the UK’s contribution to the
EU’s climate change and energy policy. In March 2007, the European Council
committed the EU to a binding target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions
by 20% by 2020 and by 30% in the context of international action. The
agreement commits the EU, amongst other things, to a binding target of a
20% share of renewable energies in overall EU consumption by 2020. This
applies to heat and electricity, where DE has a key role to play, as well as
transport. The Commission has been asked to bring forward detailed proposals
for each Member State’s contribution to the overall EU renewables target.
After a decision has been reached, and each Member State has agreed its
contribution, we will bring forward appropriate policies to deliver the UK’s share.
3.11 Whilst DE has the potential to reduce carbon emissions, and help
security of energy supplies by diversifying the UK’s sources of energy,
significant growth of DE supply would represent a considerable change from
the status quo. The current market and regulatory structures have been
designed primarily to meet the needs of large, transmission-connected
generators. There are some technical constraints on making DE compatible
with the grid, as well as planning issues and other barriers such as upfront
costs, and a lack of information about the possibilities available.
85
Solar water heating Uses the heat of the sun The DTI’s Microgeneration
to produce hot water Strategy68 reported almost
80,000 UK installations
67 http://www.energynetworks.org/spring/engineering/pdfs/DGSG/Connection_Activity_DNOs_Dec2006.pdf
68 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/sources/sustainable/microgeneration/strategy/page27594.html
86 69 http://www.bwea.com/ukwed/index.asp
Micro-CHP, and CHP Small devices, usually gas- DUKES 2006 reports 1263
up to 1MWe fired, that produce installations having a
electricity and capture the combined capacity of 206
waste heat produced as a MWe
by-product. CHP used on
this scale tends to be for
heat and power for a
single house or on a
community or commercial
scale (i.e. a housing
estate, or office block)
CHP from 1MWe – CHP on this scale tends to DUKES 2006 reports 196
10MWe be large community installations having a
projects or small industrial combined capacity of 771
applications MWe
CHP over 10MWe CHP on this scale tends to DUKES 2006 reports 75
be large gas-turbine installations having a
industrial applications that combined capacity of 4814
require a substantial heat MWe
load on a continuous basis
3.14 There are a number of measures we can take in the short-term, as well
as a range of existing policies, which will help support the take up of DE. The
energy efficiency policies set out in chapter 2 will also drive investment in DE
as, increasingly, take-up of the most cost-effective energy saving measures,
such as insulation, will have been exhausted.
71 http://www.communities.gov.uk/pub/173/
88 BuildingaGreenerFutureTowardsZeroCarbonDevelopment_id1505173.pdf
3.19 The Low Carbon Buildings Programme will provide £86 million of grant
funding for microgeneration installations in homes, communities, public and
private sectors to 2009. This includes the additional £6 million72 announced by
the Chancellor in Budget 07 to fund householder installations only as a final
tranche of funding for Phase One of the programme. Following this new
funding and the high demand for the householder stream of the programme
we have redesigned it – details can be found at www.lowcarbonbuildings.co.uk
3.21 CHP benefits from a range of existing policies, including exemption from
the Climate Change Levy and Business Rates. In addition, incentives for CHP
have been improved by fully rewarding its carbon saving in the EU Emissions
Trading Scheme (ETS) Phase II, which begins on 1 January 2008.
3.23 The Carbon Trust has allocated £10 million to Partnership for Renewables
which provides support for public sector organisations wanting to invest in DE.
It plans to have 500MW of renewable energy projects, primarily 3-5MW wind
turbine projects, constructed or under development within the next five years
by attracting private sector investment of up to half a billion pounds.74
Heat
3.24 Decarbonising heat, by more DE and other means, is important as heat
accounts for around 47% of the UK’s total carbon emissions (including
emissions from electrical heating) – equivalent to 71 million tonnes of carbon
(MtC) in 2005.75 Generating heat uses around half of the UK’s total energy
consumption by end-use. Nearly three quarters of that energy is used for
72 This £6 million takes the total level of funding available to householders to £18 million.
73 Commitments announced in June 2006 (and repeated in the March 2006 Sustainable Procurement Action
Plan) aim to reduce carbon emissions from Government offices by 30% by 2020, relative to 1999/2000
levels.
74 www.carbontrust.co.uk/commercial/enterprises/pfr.htm
75 UK NAEI (2005). 89
6%
19% 28%
Transport
Heat
47% Electricity
Other
Source: Defra
Note 1: Heat emissions comprise 35% direct emissions from heat and 12%
indirect emissions from electricity used to generate heat.
Note 2: other emissions include those from non-fuel combustion, agricultural
and industrial emissions which do not relate to heat and electricity.
Source: DTI
3.26 DE has the potential to reduce the carbon content of both electricity and
heat. However, there are some key differences between heat and electricity
which dictate different policy approaches. For example:
• heat has to be produced relatively close to its point of use (in contrast with
electricity which can travel great distances without substantial loss);
• renewable heat technology currently requires a distributed approach,
whereas large scale renewables are already an option for reducing the
carbon content of electricity;
• affordable heat is a critical part of the fuel poverty agenda; and
• electricity cannot easily be stored77 whilst heat can.
The Government will conduct further work into the policy options
available to reduce the carbon impact of heat and its use in order to
determine a strategy for heat. The work will look at the full range of
policy options, including the range of existing policy mechanisms such
as the EU ETS.
Renewable heat
3.28 Renewable heat is a potentially important means of reducing carbon
emissions. The Government is committed, through the Climate Change and
Sustainable Energy Act 2006, to promote the use of renewable heat.
Renewable heat will also need to play its part in contributing to the UK’s share
of the EU renewable energy targets. Renewable heat is already competitive in
some circumstances and benefits from capital grant support; it is also
incentivised through EU ETS, in some cases.79
77 While electricity storage technologies are available, costs and technical constraints mean they are not
widely used. Further developments may make storage a viable power system option in the future.
78 The new name for EEC Phase 3 will be the Carbon Emission Reduction Target (CERT)
79 Capital grant support for renewable heat and renewable CHP has been provided through the DTI/Big
Lottery Fund Bioenergy Capital Grants Scheme and Clear Skies Initiative. There is currently support
available through the Low Carbon Buildings Programme, and a new round of the Bioenergy Capital Grants 91
Scheme, funded by Defra, has recently closed.
3.31 In its response to the Biomass Task Force, the Government committed
to producing a Biomass Strategy,83 which is published alongside this White
Paper. It brings together current Government policies on biomass and is
summarised in Box 3.1. It provides a coherent framework for the development
of biomass.
80 The main available renewable heat options are distributed: microgeneration (solar thermal, heat pumps)
and biomass (still expensive on a small scale) for residential use, and larger biomass for commercial and
industrial installations.
81 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/sources/renewables/policy/renewable-heat/page15963.html
82 http://www.defra.gov.uk/farm/crops/industrial/energy/biomass-taskforce/pdf/btf-finalreport.pdf
92 83 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/index.htm
3.33 The carbon savings from generating electricity in CHP installations, and
making use of the heat for either heating or cooling processes, depend on
many site-specific factors, including the size of the scheme and the nature of
its heat load. Indicative carbon efficiencies are illustrated in Table 3.2.
TABLE 3.2: CARBON SAVINGS OFFERED BY GOOD QUALITY CHP84 RELATIVE TO THE
SEPARATE PRODUCTION OF HEAT AND POWER FROM GAS85
3.34 The more consistent the demand for heat throughout the day, the more
economic CHP can be. Hence the best sites for CHP are industrial sites in
continual operation. Community-scale projects are most effective where a
range of different heat and cooling demands (residential flats, office blocks,
municipal buildings) are aggregated within the system to ensure broadly
constant overall demand. However, the costs of generating electricity using
CHP are often higher than for standard centralised generation, even though
there is a financial return for the heat that can be sold.
3.35 Therefore, in recognition of the carbon savings Good Quality CHP offers,
Government has introduced a number of support measures to encourage
development of such schemes, including:
• exemption from the Climate Change Levy;
• Business Rates exemption;
• full reward for the carbon saving of CHP under the allocations for EU ETS
Phase II, which will inform our thinking for Phase III;
• Enhanced Capital Allowances for power stations and equipment; and
• Renewable Obligation Certificate (ROC) eligibility for the biomass element
of fuel used in energy from waste plants that utilise CHP, as explained in
chapter 5.
84 Good Quality CHP denotes those schemes that meet the energy efficiency criteria prescribed by the UK’s
CHP Quality Assurance Programme (CHPQA). Such schemes are entitled to certain financial benefits.
Further information on the programme can be found at www.chpqa.com.
85 Source: data from the CHPQA programme on a “best available technology” basis. The range reflects the
use of a range of technology types at the margins of the size boundaries and the use of alternative
counterfactuals for the efficiency of a gas plant. 93
3.37 Defra will work with local authorities on guidance to ensure that anyone
replacing a mid-sized furnace as part of a boiler plant (over 400kW) is aware of
the potential for CHP. In addition, the proposals announced here on export
reward, market and licensing arrangements and connections will potentially
improve the economics of CHP schemes.
Microgeneration Strategy
3.38 In March 2006, Government published the Microgeneration Strategy:
Our Energy Challenge: Power from the People.86 It aims to create conditions
under which microgeneration becomes a viable source of energy generation
for homes, communities and businesses. Actions to address the constraints
on the uptake of microgeneration are summarised below.
Cost constraints
3.39 The costs of installing microgeneration technologies are relatively high.
The aim of the Government’s £86 million Low Carbon Buildings Programme,
launched in 2006, is to demonstrate the potential of microgeneration
technologies, and also stimulate the market by demonstrating their potential
and providing grants to householders, public, not for profit and commercial
organisations across the UK to cover installation cost. The aim of the
programme is to drive up demand for microgeneration which in turn will
lead to price reductions, making it more accessible across the board.
86 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/sources/sustainable/microgeneration/strategy/page27594.html
94
Regulatory constraints/opportunities
3.43 The Microgeneration Strategy highlighted the role of Planning and
Building Regulations. We are using these policies to support microgeneration.
For example, the Code for Sustainable Homes was published in December
2006 along with the consultation on the move towards all new homes being
zero-carbon by 2016.
87 The ENA’s Engineering Recommendation G83/1 allows this approach for generators up to 16A/phase.
This approach applies up to a total generation capacity of around 4kW (micro-wind turbines and domestic
CHP units are typically 1kW devices).
88 A DNO is an entity licensed to distribute electricity through cables and has a duty to provide connections
to premises.
89 http://www.communities.gov.uk/index.asp?id=1508888. The Communities and Local Government
consultation period closes on 27 June 2007.
90 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/sources/sustainable/microgeneration/strategy/implementation/page36314.html 95
3.47 The UK energy market was established to meet the needs of large
centralised generation. Aspects of the system disadvantage smaller players,
such as distributed generators, particularly those involved in community
generation projects. The system was also generally designed for one-way flow
of electricity from large power stations, through the high-voltage transmission
grid and into distribution networks across the country, rather than the sharing
of electricity around sites within a distributed, more community-based
network.
3.49 We consulted widely as part of the review. Key barriers to DG, identified
by interested parties, were:
• Cost – DG technologies tend to have relatively high capital costs, being
largely non-mass produced. The rewards for exporting excess electricity
produced by distributed generators are seen as small and difficult to
access. More generally, the true cost of carbon is not yet fully reflected in
the price of electricity, which disadvantages lower carbon technologies.
• Lack of reliable information – there was a low awareness of DG options
amongst potential consumers; grants and rewards such as ROCs were
perceived as being hard to access; and the lack of a comprehensive
accreditation scheme for suppliers and installers put people off untried
technologies.
• Electricity industry issues – due to the nature of the existing network
structure, it could be hard for small generators to connect to the
centralised system, and the DNOs did not approach the connection of
distributed generators in a sufficiently positive way. The cost to suppliers of
rewarding small generators for exporting their excess electricity was a
further disincentive to the industry.
• Regulatory barriers – the difficulties of getting planning permission for DG
technologies was raised, especially in the context of community
developments and new housing, where the associated costs and delays
acted as a disincentive.
91 Most centrally-generated electricity is transported via the high-voltage transmission grid, only stepping
down onto the lower voltage distribution grid to complete its journey from the power station to the
customer. Transmission-connected CHP is included because the heat will be used locally.
96 92 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
3.53 Chapter 2 sets out the Government’s strategy for getting citizens more
engaged in combating climate change and advising them on how to reduce
their carbon footprint. Defra launched a communications campaign in April to
promote their “Act on CO2” brand, including a CO2 calculator. A key aim of this
campaign is to encourage behaviour change and get the general public to take
steps to reduce their carbon emissions.
93 Local authorities in England and Wales will be under a statutory duty to have regard to this report in
exercising their functions. 97
3.58 For example, the Woking Borough Council DG scheme uses a private
network, making full use of the licensing exemptions framework, to avoid the
costs and complexities. Exemptions take enforcement of issues related to
consumer choice, protection and safety largely outside of the remit of the
regulator; on a small scale this has minimal impact on the market. However,
in the future, as we hope to move towards increased levels of DG across the
country, Government is committed to improving the market opportunities so
that DG can flourish inside the licensed framework.
94 http://www.ukmicrogeneration.org.uk
95 Apart from transmission connected CHP schemes, for the majority of DG schemes transmission licences
are not applicable.
96 The Electricity (Class Exemptions from the Requirement for a Licence) Order 2001 provides for those that
generate, distribute or supply specified, smaller amounts of electricity to remain exempt from the need to
be licensed. Most DG schemes fall inside the exemption limits for generation. Such an unlicensed
generator who supplies up to 5MW in aggregate, of which no more than 2.5MW is supplied to domestic
consumers, can supply electricity across public networks, therefore making use of both the generation
98 and supply exemptions framework.
To address these barriers DTI and Ofgem will consult later in 2007 on
options for more flexible market and licensing arrangements for
distributed low-carbon electricity within the licensed framework, to be
implemented by the end of 2008.
3.60 One important future model for delivering DG is the Energy Services
Company (ESCo). The Government will be taking forward further work to
examine the potential role of ESCos and ways in which we can support their
development. Box 3.2 explains the concept and summarises current
government action in this area.
99
3.62 Suppliers are not currently required to make an offer for exported
electricity. Most suppliers do now offer tariffs, but few of these tariffs are
widely advertised and the terms vary considerably between suppliers. This
makes it difficult for customers to determine which tariff will best meet
their circumstances.
3.63 The tariffs available generally offer a lower price for exported electricity
than the retail price for imported electricity. This reflects the expected
difference between wholesale and retail price in any market, including the
cost of transporting the exported electricity to a customer and the transaction
costs for the supplier. In many situations where traded volumes are small it is,
in fact, uneconomic (at present) for suppliers to purchase this electricity.
All six major energy suppliers have now committed to publishing easily
accessible export tariffs.
3.65 There are a number of technical changes that would help suppliers to cut
their administration costs, thus making it more cost-effective to offer a tariff
for exported electricity. We welcome the engagement of industry thus far on
these changes, and will continue to work with them to progress this work.
100
3.69 However, more is needed to ensure that DG can play its full part. The
Government welcomes Ofgem’s initiatives to:
• extend cost-reflective charging to the distribution network. This benefits
local generation because it potentially allows credits to generators where
they provide benefits to the network;
• extend its Innovation Funding Incentive to the end of the next price review
period (likely to be 2015) and to extend eligibility for Registered Power
Zones to generation connected in the next five years;
• allow developers of DG a choice of connection provider
• review during 2008, as part of the next price control review, the incentives
and investment drivers for DNOs to connect DG; and
• review how the DNOs’ Long-Term Development Statements can be made
more useful to distributed generators.
3.70 More broadly, it will be important for network operators to invest in the
light of these longer-term developments. We have funded work on long-term
scenarios through the ENSG and we welcome Ofgem’s plans to undertake
long-term analysis (see chapter 5). Taken together, these connections
3.73 Chapter 2 sets out the additional measures that the Government is
taking to improve energy efficiency and reduce the carbon footprint of the
built environment. The Government's ambition is that all new housing
development in England should, by 2016, be zero carbon, and has consulted
on a timetable for moving towards that standard101. The measures to support
the move towards zero carbon homes and development, and thereby
stimulate demand for DE include in particular:
• the draft Planning Policy Statement: Planning and Climate Change which
expects planning to be a positive force for change by helping to create an
attractive environment for innovation and for the private sector to bring
forward investment in renewable and low carbon technologies;
• measures to improve the energy performance of Building Regulations so
that over time all new homes meet the energy and carbon standards set
out in the Code for Sustainable Homes;
• time-limited stamp duty exemption for new zero carbon homes102; and
101 http://www.communities.gov.uk/pub/173/
BuildingaGreenerFutureTowardsZeroCarbonDevelopment_id1505173.pdf
102 From 1 October 2007, all new zero-carbon homes costing up to £500,000 will pay no stamp duty, with
zero-carbon homes costing in excess of £500,000 receiving a reduction in their stamp duty bill of
£15,000. The exemption will be time-limited for 5 years until September 2012, with the Government
considering the case for an extension before then. For further details see Budget Note 26 in
102 http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/757/0A/bud07_budgetnotes_381.pdf
3.74 The English Regions, particularly through the RDAs with their role in
supporting sustainable economic development, regeneration and innovation,
will play an important role in identifying and securing opportunities for
distributed energy. As well as their role in helping developers identify potential
customers for heat, RDAs will act to support innovative energy financing and
delivery models in their regions. RDAs will also support the development of
DE projects (such as anaerobic digestion plants) for example, by supporting
the development of energy supply chains and skills, and by ensuring
regeneration projects meet high standards of carbon efficiency.
This is covered in more detail in chapter 9.
Next steps
3.75 The measures in this chapter should substantially improve the
environment for DE in the UK. The measures to promote lower carbon
developments will drive demand for decentralised heat and electricity
generation. Meanwhile,
a number of barriers to DE projects are being removed, making DE a more
realistic alternative to the traditional, centralised approach.
3.76 It is for the market to decide on the best mix of technologies but we are
committed to ensuring that DE solutions have a real opportunity to compete.
We are establishing a new Distributed Energy Unit within the DTI to monitor
the development of markets for these technologies, to drive the
implementation of these measures and to ensure that any further barriers to
DE that may be identified are addressed. Our further work will take account
of the impact of these measures and proposals for implementing the EU
renewables target, as they are developed over the next few years.
103
104
105
4.03 While the UK has benefited from indigenous reserves of oil and gas for
many years, as the North Sea matures, we will become increasingly
dependent on imported energy. By 2010, gas imports could be meeting up
to a third or more of the UK’s total annual gas demand, potentially rising to
around 80% by 2020 on the basis of existing policies. The UK is also already a
net importer of oil, and by 2020 imports could be meeting up to around 75%
of the UK’s coal demand.
4.04 We therefore need to be confident that the market for fossil fuels,
supported by appropriate Government policies, continues to ensure reliable
supplies of these fuels at competitive prices to people and businesses (see
Box 4.1). We also need to make sure that an appropriate market framework is
in place to mitigate the impact of the use of fossil fuels as we move towards
a low-carbon economy.
103 Based on DTI projections – for more details, see UK Energy and Carbon Emissions Projections,
106 May 2007 www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
In addition, due to the high variability of demand and the inevitable risk of
physical outages in some part of the supply chain, flexibility or “spare”
capacity on the system is required to act as a buffer in these
circumstances. This “spare” capacity can take a number of different forms
such as oversized import infrastructure; storage and stocks capacity; or
demand-side flexibility.
4.06 Our starting point for addressing these risks must be to reduce our
overall energy use through greater energy efficiency. The measures to achieve
this are set out in chapter 2. Beyond that we must also support the
development and deployment within the UK of non fossil fuel energy to reduce
our dependence on fossil fuels and to diversify the range of energy sources
available to the UK104. This includes renewables and, subject to the consultation
being launched with this White Paper, new nuclear power. At the same time,
as we will continue to rely on fossil fuels for the foreseeable future, we need
to encourage the adoption of low-carbon technologies, such as carbon capture
and storage, to mitigate the impact on the climate of the continued use of
fossil-fuels. Measures to achieve these are set out in chapter 5.
4.07 Given our own hydrocarbon reserves, the UK can also to some extent
reduce its dependence on imported fossil fuels by ensuring that that we
maximise economic recovery of the oil and gas from the UK Continental
Shelf (UKCS) and from remaining coal reserves.
4.08 However, it is clear that even with these measures we are set to
become increasingly reliant on imported energy over the longer term. This
104 Though renewables may bring their own security of supply risks, such as intermittency. 107
4.09 Many of these risks are outside our immediate control and cannot be
totally avoided. Given the complex interplay of factors that determine the
supply of and demand for energy, we believe that well-functioning markets are
the best way to deliver security of energy supplies, and to diversify sources,
supply routes and import points for energy. With the regulators, we will work
to ensure the UK has an effective market framework conducive to investment,
supported by improved arrangements for providing energy market information
to increase the transparency of the energy market.
4.10 Given the particular risks associated with our increasing reliance on gas,
and since it is through pipelines in other EU Member States that our companies
need to get much of the gas they need, we will push for the completion of
the EU energy market liberalisation. In addition, we will continue to promote
efficient, open and transparent energy markets abroad to ensure fair access
to gas infrastructure. We have consulted on the robustness of our gas market
framework and are publishing our response alongside this White Paper. The
consultation was published on 16 October 2006 and concluded on 12 January
2007105. We will also propose to legislate and reform the planning and licensing
system to ensure timely investment in storage and new import infrastructure
and take steps to improve our emergency planning arrangements.
4.12 There is also potential to reduce our demand for fossil fuels by using
fuels more efficiently, e.g. through Combined Heat and Power (CHP), while
other distributed energy (DE) solutions could bring forward renewable
technologies. The Government wants to remove barriers to the deployment
of DE technologies so that they can grow (see Chapter 3).
4.13 In the transport sector, as part of the Government’s overall strategy for
carbon emissions reduction, we will introduce a Renewable Transport Fuels
Obligation. This obligation is designed to ensure that by 2010 at least 5% of all
road transport fuel will come from renewable sources, thus reducing the
expected demand for oil. Chapter 7 provides more detail.
105 Responses are available on the DTI website at: http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/review/implementation/gas-
108 supply/cons-responses/page37145.html.
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
FIGURE 4.2 ACTUAL AND POSSIBLE FUTURE UKCS OIL AND GAS PRODUCTION
Source: DTI, 2007
Total oil and gas production from the UK Continental Shelf (UKCS) peaked
in 1999 and has been declining since. If recent trends continue production
could fall from three million barrels of oil equivalent (boe) a day now to
around 1 million boe a day by 2020. However, if a high level of investment
is maintained, the rate of decline could be slowed. This would deliver
significantly higher production (an extra 0.6 million boe a day from 2020 to
2030) and, consequently, greater recovery of the UK’s remaining oil and
gas reserves (4 billion boe extra production by 2030). The challenge is to
maintain the competitiveness of the UKCS as it becomes increasingly mature,
in order to maximise economic recovery of known and “yet-to-find” reserves.
109
4.18 As the large fields in the North Sea become fewer there will be a natural
progression to multiple smaller developments, of interest to smaller
companies or joint ventures. An important part of facilitating this transition will
be to reduce and remove the bureaucratic barriers to commercial deal-making.
A small group of industry participants, initiated by PILOT, has started to
explore how best to rapidly tackle the various issues associated with reducing
barriers. In parallel, we will introduce web-based systems for both licence
applications and licence assignments which will substantially speed up
transactions and reduce costs, especially for smaller firms.
4.19 The Government also recognises that the North Sea fiscal regime has
an important role to play in delivering the best possible future for the UKCS
through promoting investment and production, whilst ensuring a fair return
for the UK taxpayer from our national resources. Since the 2005 Pre-Budget
Report the Government has been engaged in discussions with industry on
wider structural concerns over areas of the North Sea fiscal regime. A
discussion paper was published alongside the Budget 2007 that summarised
these discussions and set out the Government’s initial conclusions, and the
criteria that any changes to the regime should meet106. The conclusions
included a statement that will alleviate existing industry concerns by clarifying
that Government is not attracted to any mechanism that would remove
Petroleum Revenue Tax and then rebalance the fiscal regime through an
increase in the Supplementary Charge. The discussion paper will now form
the basis for further, more focused, discussions with industry over the coming
months that will assist Government in its consideration of the issues raised
and possible options for further action.
4.23 The Task Force is seeking a collective approach that will result in new
infrastructure to promote wider development of the area. Four main
development scenarios have been identified that have potential to go forward
for more detailed analysis. Currently, overall development costs are expected
to be in the region of £4 billion and the economics are sufficiently encouraging
for the Task Force to consider more detailed technical and commercial
assessment of specific options. The economic and technical analysis so far
has shown the need to drive down project costs and find additional reserves
to underpin any development.
4.24 Commercial agreements will play a major role in the decision to proceed
and the Task Force will be actively engaged in finding innovative solutions to
the commercial issues. Further appraisal drilling is already underway on
Chevron’s Rosebank field and, encouraged by the Task Force, Total and their
partners are making plans for drilling an exploration target in the Laggan area.
The DTI is hopeful that further appraisal drilling, on another discovery in the
area, will take place next year. The Task Force anticipates making a report to
Ministers in summer 2007.
Coal
4.25 A key driver of UK coal investment is demand from coal-fired generators
in the UK. The Energy Challenge recognised that coal-fired generation makes
an important contribution to the UK’s energy security and the flexibility of the
UK energy system, while acknowledging that in order to have a long term
future its environmental impact must be managed effectively.
4.27 England, Wales and Scotland still have significant recoverable coal
reserves. These reserves have the potential not only to help to meet our
national demand for coal and to reduce our dependence on imported primary
fuels, but also to contribute to the economic vitality and skills base of the
regions where they are found. However, a number of factors affect the extent
to which these reserves may be recovered, including the costs of recovery
compared with the market value of the coal and the implications of planning
considerations including potential environmental impacts.
4.28 Following the publication of the Energy Review Report the Government
convened a Coal Forum. This brings together coal producers, generators,
unions and equipment manufacturers and the Government to examine the
opportunities and challenges facing coal in the UK, to bring forward ways of
strengthening the industry, and working to ensure that the UK has the right
framework to secure the long-term future of coal-fired power generation;
optimise the use of our coal reserves, where recovery is economic; and
stimulate investment in clean coal technologies108.
British coal production fell significantly over the last decade. In 1998 over
40 million tonnes was produced, while by 2006 production had fallen to
18.6 Mt, with the shortfall made good through imports. The main sources
of imported coal (used mainly but not exclusively for generation) were
Russia (22.6 million tonnes – 51% of steam coal imports) and South Africa
(13.1 million tonnes – 30% of steam coal imports). Some projections show
UK coal production in 2020 at 13 million tonnes, with net imports at 35
million tonnes. However, the total demand for coal in the UK will depend
on commercial decisions, particularly those made by generators, within
the regulatory and economic environment that develops over this period.
Indigenous
41.2 28.3 25.1 20.5 18.6
production
Of which:
48.6 52.5 50.4 52.1 57.7
Generation
Source: DTI, Energy Trends March 2007
108 Further details of the Forum and its papers may be found on the Energy pages of the DTI web site:
112 http://www2.dti.gov.uk/energy/sources/coal/forum/page37276.html
4.30 Emerging findings from the Coal Forum suggest that continuing access
to supplies of UK produced coal benefits both the generating industry and
other industrial coal users; such supplies can help to manage any potential risk
to supplies from international coal markets.
4.31 Making the best use of UK energy resources, including coal reserves,
where it is economically viable and environmentally acceptable to do so,
contributes to our security of supply goals. The Government believes that
these factors reflect a value in maintaining access to economically recoverable
reserves of coal.
4.33 Overall, our market framework to date has provided a high level of
security and diversity, as evidenced by the UK’s record of continuous energy
supply and lack of involuntary interruptions. However, we recognise that
periods of market tightness, as seen for example in the gas market during
winter 2005/06, can lead to high and volatile prices causing real difficulties for
energy consumers. And so we have reviewed our market-based approach and
identified a number of steps to improve the effectiveness of our energy
market framework.
109 The report will include details of the work of the Forum and its sub-groups and will put forward members’
ideas for the future of the Forum. 113
4.37 The Energy Markets Outlook, which will replace the Joint Energy
Security of Supply Working Group (JESS), will be jointly run by DTI and Ofgem
and will draw on analysis from National Grid, the wider industry and other
sources. It will gather information on the likely drivers of the future energy
demand and supply balance, and develop ways of analysing and interpreting
this information. We will seek to engage market participants in discussion on
the strategic challenges for the security of UK energy markets and their
economic impact.
4.38 The principal output will be an annual report, which will provide an
update on key drivers of security of energy supply, and provide scenario-
based analysis of the future supply-demand balance. The report will focus on a
limited number of key indicators and scenarios, but it will be supported by in-
depth analysis looking across a range of primary fuels (oil, coal and uranium
as well as gas and electricity); demand drivers; and developments in the
international energy and carbon markets. This analysis, along with more
detailed background information, will be published on a new and regularly
updated website.
114
4.41 We have, however, reviewed our oil refinery capacity (see Box 4.4) and
taken steps to ensure our oil emergency stocking system is better placed to
deal with the increasing levels of oil import dependence we face.
4.42 The Government has also established with industry an Aviation Fuel Task
Group. It will analyse future jet fuel demand at Heathrow and other UK airports
up to 2030 and what fuel supply infrastructure may be needed to meet
demand. We will also look at the infrastucture needed for other oil products.
115
110 Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) is natural gas which has been liquefied by reducing its temperature to minus
160 degrees Celsius at atmospheric pressure, usually to allow for transportation by ship.
111 This chart is based on Wood Mackenzie estimates for supply sources to the UK to 2020. This represents
only one potential picture of what our future gas supply mix might look like. Other estimates are available,
116 for example in National Grid Ten Year Statement.
In the short term price signals provide incentives for market participants to
take action to bring the gas supply and demand into balance, for example
by encouraging suppliers who have the ability to do so to increase the
amount of gas provided; and large consumers (such as gas-fired power
stations) to reduce their consumption. In the longer-term, price signals
indicate the need for greater capacity or market flexibility, and encourage
market participants to undertake investments to provide new capacity,
and to improve their demand responsiveness or the diversity of their
supply sources.
112 National Grid’s Ten Year Statement notes that 2007 and 2008 should see the delivery of over 30 LNG
tankers, including those with capacities of over 200,000 cubic metres, some 50% higher than the
capacities of existing tankers. These changes will improve the economics of LNG transportation,
making it increasing viable to transport LNG over longer distances. 117
4.49 Storage capacity available in Great Britain is also set to increase substantially.
If all the planned storage projects go ahead the proportion of peak day demand
that could be met by storage operating at its maximum level would increase from
24% in 2006/07 to between 40% and 60% by 2015/16113. Our current forecasts of
gas demand also imply that, depending on the severity of the winter, we will need
to increase our import capacity by 2020 by an extra 12bcm to 24bcm – equivalent
to 15%-30% of 2006/07 import capacity114. Plans are already in train to deliver
some of this investment.
4.53 However, both the consultation responses and analysis highlighted that
none of the options considered in the consultation are without downsides and
could potentially hinder rather than improve security of supply118. The
responses and analytical results indicated that:
• actions to facilitate and encourage greater flexibility and energy efficiency
among consumers and suppliers in all sectors were welcome;
• the benefits of installing distillate back-up at new gas-fired power stations
need to be balanced against the potential for displacing investment in other
gas infrastructure and the full costs and impact on the electricity
generation sector;
• further regulation of the use of gas storage or further changes to imbalance
pricing, given Ofgem’s recent modifications, would not deliver net benefits
to security of supply.
• the benefits of extending supplier obligations to cover industrial and
commercial customers, or introducing some form of capacity mechanism
were very uncertain given the potential for displacing commercial
investment, and, as indicated by the analysis, would most likely generate
a net cost to society.
115 The consultation was published on 16 October 2006 and concluded on 12 January 2007. Responses are
available on the DTI website at at: http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/review/implementation/gas-supply/cons-
responses/page37145.html
116 See www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper for the report “An assessment of the potential measures to
improve gas security of supply” by Oxera Consulting Ltd. 2007
117 The analysis assumes that all infrastructure currently in the process of being constructed will come
forward as expected, that £5.4bn of additional investment takes place over the period to 2020 and that
potential demand side response will remain at the levels observed over winter 2005/06.
118 See Oxera Consulting report and the Government response to the consultation for more detail on the
analytical results and the consultation responses. 119
4.55 Our actions to address the first area is set out above in the context of
our measures aimed at reducing the use of fossil fuels and improving the
efficiency with which we use them. Details of our responses under the last
two areas are set out below, alongside our commitments to manage gas
quality issues and to improve gas emergency planning procedures. Taken
together, we consider this is a clear strategy to manage the risks to security
of supply.
4.57 It is not possible, however, to eliminate all risks of gas supply shortfalls.
In this context, the European Commission, in its Strategic Energy Review,
considered the need for effective mechanisms to be put into place to ensure
flexibility in the event of an energy crisis – in particular the role of strategic
gas stocks in providing security of supply. In the Energy Review Report, the
Government has already considered and rejected the case for domestic
strategic gas storage119. We continue to believe that the key to security of
supply lies with a regulatory framework that incentivises commercial storage
and with liberalisation of the gas market in Europe. However we look forward
to seeing a robust cost-benefit analysis from the Commission on the issue of
strategic stocks, including a robust assessment of how to mitigate some of
the potentially serious unintended consequences of administered “strategic”
gas storage (e.g. the displacement of investment in commercial storage and
market flexibility).
119 The analysis of the option to build strategic storage, in fact, did not resolve the uncertainty over the
impact such a Government intervention would have on the UK market. Strategic storage would dull the
incentives for commercial investment into storage, thus reducing the volume available commercially, and
120 possibly reducing the overall level of security of supply.
4.59 Last year the Secretary of State announced measures to review the
current regulatory framework in the UK for gas supply infrastructure onshore
and offshore. The Government is consulting on proposals to address this need
for simplification of the onshore gas planning regime as part of the planning
White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future. This sets out proposals
for the new planning system and consults on rationalising the regime for
nationally significant gas supply infrastructure projects in England to bring all
decision making under the proposed independent infrastructure planning
commission120. More detail on measures to improve planning matters related
to streamlining of onshore gas consents regimes can be found in chapter 8.
120 In the light of the wider proposals for planning reform, the White Paper, Planning for a Sustainable Future,
consultation question on this topic meets the proposal made in the Energy Challenge to consult this
autumn on gas supply infrastructure.
121 See www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper 121
The UK’s increasing dependence on imported gas has also raised the issue
of the relationship between our regulated gas quality specification and the
qualities of gas available on international markets (especially LNG
transported by ship). The Government has accordingly commissioned
substantial research. In the light of the initial results, we have announced
our intention to propose changes in Great Britain’s regulated gas
specification to take effect before the end of the next decade. We
undertook a public consultation and we will soon publish a response
document. Meanwhile Ofgem is leading an exercise to assess the
potential impact of gas quality constraints on the supply of gas to the
GB market in the short-to-medium term, in order to inform market
participants’ investment decisions on options to mitigate the impact.
This work will help to resolve uncertainties about the regulatory and
commercial framework for managing gas specification, and it will also
ensure that the UK remains in the best position to influence developing
proposals at the EU level.
4.66 The UK has international obligations to hold stocks of oil for use in the
event of international or local disruption. UK industry successfully responded to
the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in the US Gulf of Mexico in 2005 by releasing
stocks as part of its contribution to the international response coordinated by
the IEA. These stocking obligations will increase as the UK becomes an
increasing net importer of oil, with a significant and progressive net increase
expected from about 2016. We are currently changing the basis of the UK oil-
stocking system so that it is better suited to meet these obligations in the long
term. We will also work with industry to ensure that there continues in the
future to be sufficient storage to meet our international obligations and that our
contingency arrangements remain regularly tested and reviewed. Domestically,
we expect to complete this year an update of the emergency plan, for
disruption to road fuel supplies.
122
4.70 Overall, the reduction in gas demand would reduce our projected gas
imports by up to around 17%, which, combined with the possible increase
in domestic gas production, could bring our gas import dependence down to
around 60% of projected gas demand in 2020, compared to around 80% if
we did not implement our measures.
4.71 A diverse mix of supply sources and routes is also fundamental in the
management of our import risks. Strengthening our market based approach
will improve the flexibility and responsiveness of the market, and help to
manage the risks to security of supply. Changes to the planning regime and
new and better market information arrangements will help market players to
bring forward timely investments in infrastructure and provide sufficient
supply capacity.
123
124
Electricity Generation
Section 5.1 – Investment
Framework
Over the next two decades, the UK will need substantial
investment in new electricity generation capacity to
replace a number of closing coal, oil and nuclear power
stations and to meet expected increases in electricity
demand. We want to ensure we have an investment
framework which encourages investment to come forward
at the right time and as much as possible in low carbon
forms of generation.
5.1.1 This section sets out:
• the current framework within which the electricity market functions;
• the challenges for the future given the need for substantial new
investment over the next two decades; and
• our analysis of various future scenarios which may influence companies’
investment decisions and our policy conclusions based on the results of
this analysis.
5.1.2 There are many uncertainties about the future and we cannot know
today which mix of electricity generation technologies will be the most
appropriate for delivering our energy policy goals over the medium to long-
term. We believe that a market based approach is the best way to manage
these uncertainties, providing the flexibility to be responsive to developments
we cannot yet know. Operating within this framework, market participants are
best placed to manage the complex range of interrelated factors affecting the
profitability of electricity generation investments and how these might evolve
over time.
5.1.3 When markets work well, prices reflect the true costs to companies of
generating electricity and the value consumers attach to buying electricity. For
instance, electricity price rises over and above generation costs would lead to
investment in new electricity generation capacity, as firms see that there are
returns to be made. At the same time, price rises also encourage consumers
to be more energy efficient.
125
5.1.5 To date, the UK has benefited from one of the most competitive and
reliable electricity markets in Europe with “cost-reflective” prices and few
outages. Where outages have occurred, these have been the result of short-term
network failures rather than shortages of electricity generation capacity.
The regulator also has a key responsibility for ensuring that adequate,
timely investment in the transmission network infrastructure occurs. Such
investment is important not just to replace old network equipment but
also to enable connections to the grid of new electricity generation such
as that from renewables.
126
5.1.9 The UK also has a diverse electricity generation mix. In 2006, 36% was
generated by gas-fired power stations, 37% from coal, 18% from nuclear, and
4% from renewables. The remainder comes from other sources such as oil-
fired power stations and electricity imports from the continent (see Figure
5.1). This diverse generation mix avoids exposure to the risks associated with
heavy dependency on a single fuel or technology type, helping to maintain
secure supplies of electricity. A diverse mix in electricity generation also
provides the system with the flexibility to accommodate variations in demand
at different times of the day (i.e. at peak vs non-peak times), or year (i.e. in
winter vs. summer), and in response to changes in fossil fuel prices.
122 National Grid 2006 GB Seven Year Statement puts the plant margin (capacity over and above winter peak
demand) in 2006/7 at 22.6%. 127
Most of the UK’s power station closures over the next decade are being
driven by EU environmental legislation aimed at reducing sulphur dioxide
and nitrogen oxide emissions.
5.1.10 The current generation mix means that the UK’s electricity generation
sector accounts for about one third of the UK’s total carbon emissions or
47 MtC per year. The sector has made some progress in decarbonising
since 1990, largely as a result of the increased share of gas-fired generation
in the mix.
5.1.11 Over the next two decades, the UK will need substantial investment
in new generation capacity to replace the closing coal, oil and nuclear power
stations, and to meet expected increases in electricity demand. Our analysis
shows that 22.5GW of existing power stations may close by 2020123. Of this,
8.5GW of coal-fired capacity will close to meet the requirements of the EU
123 Redpoint Energy, Dynamics of GB Electricity Generation Investment: Prices, Security of Supply,
128 CO2 Emissions and Policy Options, 2007
5.1.16 The extent to which companies will build new power stations depends
on the expected profitability of such investments. Expected profitability will
depend on how they believe factors such as fossil fuel, carbon and electricity
prices, technology costs and regulatory/planning risks will evolve over time.
Investors have indicated that uncertainties over the market and regulatory
framework are particularly difficult to assess. For those investments at the
margins of profitability, companies may decide to wait until such uncertainties
are reduced, before investing. Given the importance of timely investment to
ensure sufficient levels of generation capacity are available, regulatory 129
5.1.17 We therefore need to ensure that our policy and regulatory framework
provides investors with the certainty and incentives to deliver sufficient,
timely investment in a diverse mix of electricity generation capacity that is
consistent with our environmental and security of supply goals.
5.1.18 Given the size and complexity of the whole electricity system, from
the generation of electricity to supplying end customers, it is impossible to
guarantee supplies of electricity 100% of the time. For this reason, we need
a set of electricity priority user arrangements which aim to protect certain
critical users from power cuts during a national electricity shortage, in the
highly unlikely event that a shortage does occur.
124 Redpoint Energy, Dynamics of GB Electricity Generation Investment: Prices, Security of Supply, CO2
Emissions and Policy Options, 2007.
130 125 DTI, The Energy Challenge: Energy Review Report, July 2006 (http://www.dti.gov.uk/files/file31890.pdf)
The analysis undertaken for this White Paper was aimed at understanding
the factors that influence power station investment decisions. Improving
our understanding of and ability to quantify the factors that delay or deter
such investments allows us to better assess the probability and magnitude
of the costs associated with high or volatile prices or possible electricity
outages. The analysis also captures the implications of different scenarios
and policy options on other key variables, such as CO2 emissions.
131
5.1.23 Our modelling indicates that limited visibility of future fossil fuel,
carbon and electricity prices, and investor uncertainty over the continued
existence and form of the EU ETS post 2012 are key factors affecting new
investment decisions. These uncertainties increase investment risk, making it
more difficult for companies to assess whether a particular power station
investment will be profitable. Investors have highlighted that they are
particularly concerned about international carbon frameworks after 2012, given
that a post-Kyoto framework has yet to be agreed globally and the Directive
underpinning EU ETS is under review, with changes set to take effect from
2012. This is why we attach a great deal of importance to successful
negotiation on the strengthening of the EU ETS.
5.1.24 Our modelling also shows that by providing investors with greater
certainty about the future carbon policy framework we can expect to see
increases in the level of spare capacity and reductions in the volatility of
electricity prices, bringing benefits to the wider economy by lowering the risk
of electricity supply interruptions and reducing costs to the economy. Greater
certainty over expected prices facilitates firms’ assessment of the investment
risks and returns of possible future projects. Additionally, greater certainty that
the costs of carbon will be incorporated into electricity prices improves the
economics of low carbon generation.
5.1.25 The combination of power station closures and type of new power
stations built over time will affect carbon emissions. Whilst the scenarios
assessed all show some improvements in the carbon intensity of the power
sector, the results are very sensitive to assumptions about fossil fuel and
carbon prices. These determine the choice of electricity generation technology
132 and decisions by operators on how much they run coal and gas stations
5.1.26 In the same way that reducing the level of uncertainty in carbon
market policy appears to reduce investment delays, it also increases the
number of low carbon power stations that get built and consequently, reduces
carbon emissions.
Policy conclusions
5.1.28 Our modelling and other evidence gathered since the Energy Review
began in November 2005 has helped us to understand the key elements of
uncertainty affecting companies’ investment decisions – particularly future
carbon and electricity prices and the future balance of electricity supply and
demand. In addition, companies have highlighted other uncertainties which
are at least partly under Government’s control. For example, companies have
pointed to the delays and uncertainty inherent in the UK’s planning system as
an important barrier to timely investment.
126 Whether it would be in the public interest for new nuclear power stations to be an option available to
companies making investments in new electricity generation capacity is subject to the consultation we
are launching alongside this White Paper. 133
5.1.32 Full details of our strategy to strengthen the EU ETS are set out in
Annex C to this White Paper. In March 2007 we published a paper calling for
views on some of the key issues we believe are important to the future
operation of the scheme127. This will further develop our understanding of the
views of industry, NGOs and other interested parties.
128 Barker Review of Land Use Planning: Final Report – Recommendations, December 2006
(http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/4EB/AF/barker_finalreport051206.pdf) 135
136
Summary of measures
We believe the UK’s energy needs are best delivered by a liberalised
energy market. The Government’s role is to set the overall market
and regulatory framework that enables companies to make timely
investments consistent with the Government’s policy goals on
climate change and security of energy supplies.
137
5.2.1 Great Britain currently benefits from a high level of network reliability.
However, over the coming years substantial investment is needed to respond
to growth in electricity demand, to enable connection of new low carbon
technologies and replace rapidly ageing assets.
5.2.4 National Grid owns the England and Wales transmission system, with
Scottish Power and Scottish and Southern Energy each owning a part of the
transmission system in Scotland. As transmission owners, these companies
are responsible for building and maintaining safe and efficient networks and
are regulated by Ofgem. National Grid (NG) also has the responsibility of
overseeing and managing the flow of electricity across the whole GB
transmission network, including the elements owned and operated by
Scottish Power and Scottish and Southern. In this role, National Grid is
known as the transmission system operator.
5.2.8 Ofgem has recently agreed price control funding arrangements with the
transmission network owners for the period of 2007-12. These arrangements
incorporate considerable allowances for capital investment for transmission
owners, totalling over £5.1bn across the gas and electricity transmission
systems. For the electricity element, which sums to around £4.3bn, the
allowances represent an increase of 160% over the previous five-year price
control period. These allowances include funding for the rapid growth in
demand for transmission investment in Scotland as a result of new renewable
generation projects. Ofgem considers that the agreed transmission funding
arrangements provide an appropriate balance of risk and reward for the
transmission companies, whilst offering good value to the consumer. The
funding provided should enable the transmission companies to continue to
operate their systems at the same high level of reliability and maintain a high
level of customer service.
129 http://www.ceer-eu.org/portal/page/portal/CEER_HOME/CEER_PUBLICATIONS/
CEER_DOCUMENTS/2005/CEER_3RDBR-QOES_2005-12-06.PDF 139
5.2.14 Most of the electricity distribution companies are now indicating that
the investment allowances set by Ofgem at the last review are higher than
they are choosing to spend in the period 2005-10131.
130 Ofgem: 2005-06 Electricity Distribution Quality of Service Report, December 2006, available at
www.ofgem.gov.uk notes a 20% reduction in customer minutes lost.
131 Ofgem: Electricity Distribution Cost Review 2005-06, January 2007, available at www.ofgem.gov.uk
explains that, in aggregate, the electricity distribution companies now intend to spend 95% of the capex
140 allowances set by OFGEM at the last electricity distribution price control review.
5.2.17 However, the flexible approach within the existing price controls does
not address the need to consider and examine possible longer term scenarios.
For example, it is important to ensure that the flexible five-year allowances
set in price control periods are compatible with any plausible longer term
outlook for the network. Ofgem therefore intends to look at a range of future
scenarios that could arise as a consequence of Government policy and market
development including, for example, a significant shift in the UK fuel mix and
the associated integration of renewable generation capacity with intermittent
or variable output.
5.2.18 The scenario analysis is likely to focus on medium and long term
timeframes, stretching several decades ahead. It will also look at the drivers
of future energy demand and potential changes to the supply side. On the
demand side, key issues will include the growth in demand for energy
services, the scope for energy efficiency, technological and social trends
and the requirements to meet carbon emissions limits. On the supply and
generation side, key areas for consideration will include the different fuels
and technology types likely to proliferate, fuel security and the development
of a viable decentralised system (including microgeneration) alongside
today’s predominately centralised system.
141
5.2.20 Following the workshop Ofgem will convene further industry meetings
as appropriate. Ofgem’s role in the process will mainly be to provide guidance
and a framework for scenario planning work to be conducted by industry.
Ofgem expects to publish its first report on long term scenarios for the
electricity networks in the first half of 2008.
142
132 Sustainable Development Commission, The Role of Nuclear Power in a Low Carbon Economy, Paper 2:
Reducing CO2 emissions – nuclear and the alternatives; March 2006. 143
5.3.6 Renewables also form a part of Europe’s climate change and energy
policy. In March 2007, the European Council agreed amongst other things,
a binding target of a 20% share of renewable energies in overall EU
consumption by 2020. This applies to transport and heat as well as electricity.
The agreement also commits the EU to a binding target of reducing
greenhouse gas emissions by 20% by 2020 and by 30% in the context of
international action. The EU Commission has been asked to bring forward
detailed proposals for each Member State’s contribution to the overall EU
renewables target. After a decision has been reached, and each Member
State has agreed its contribution, we will bring forward appropriate policies
to deliver the UK’s share.
5.3.7 The UK has a significant tidal energy resource which could make a
major contribution to the UK’s supply of renewable energy. In Box 5.3.1
we set out details on the Sustainable Development Commission’s study in
this area.
The SDC study will consider a wide range of locations and technologies,
including the potential of tidal power in the Severn Estuary and the
proposals for a tidal barrage there, which could potentially supply up to
5% of the UK’s electricity demand from a renewable, low carbon source.
Tidal power could make a significant contribution towards meeting the
twin challenges of climate change and security of supply.
133 A fuller explanation of the Renewables Obligation is set out in box 5.3.2 and at
144 http://www2.dti.gov.uk/energy/sources/renewables/policy/obligation/page15630.html
5.3.9 Since January 2006 we have seen the installation of more than 540MW
of wind and around 80 MW134 of other renewables, including landfill gas,
photovoltaics and biomass. More than 2GW of wind is now connected to the
grid – with the first GW taking around 14 years to become operational and the
second only 20 months. A further 1,260 MW of renewables capacity is under
construction; 4,600 MW has been consented, and 11,400 MW is in planning
processes across the UK. We estimate that around £1billion has been either
invested or committed to new UK renewable projects in the past year.
4.5
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
The challenges
5.3.12 Despite good progress to date, there are barriers slowing the rate of
renewables deployment in the UK in both the short and long term:
• Firstly, the most competitive renewable technologies, such as onshore
wind and hydropower, are either constrained by the scarcity of suitable
sites or, in the case of co-firing of biomass with coal generation, by caps
on the total level of generation qualifying for support under the RO. In
addition the maturing technologies, like offshore wind and biomass, that
we will rely on for the next phase of renewable electricity deployment are
proving more expensive than anticipated. As a result, in its current form,
the RO will not deliver sufficient financial support to deploy these at the
levels needed to keep us on track towards our 20% aspiration.
• Secondly, securing planning consent for renewables, and in particular
onshore wind, can be an especially difficult process, with developers
facing uncertainty and significant risk of delays. There is currently
more than 11GW of renewables capacity awaiting consent under the
planning system135.
• Thirdly, there are significant challenges and delays in connecting
renewables generation projects to the transmission and distribution
network, affecting both onshore and offshore renewables.
5.3.13 In the following sections, we set out the actions we are taking to
tackle each of these challenges.
The buy-out price is the fixed penalty that an energy supplier pays for
each MWh that it falls short of its obligation. The buy-out price is linked to
the Retail Price Index (RPI) and for 20007/08 the price is £34.30 per MWh.
The suppliers pay this money into an account administered by Ofgem
(the Buy-out Fund) and each year the accumulated Fund is shared among
those suppliers who have presented RO Certificates (ROCs). The
combination of the buy-out price and the extent to which suppliers have
fallen short of their obligations determines the nominal value of a ROC and
the total support available for each MWh of renewable electricity under
the RO. When the Obligation as a percentage of total electricity supplied
is greater than the share of actual renewable generation, the value of a
ROC will be by definition greater than the buy-out price.
5.3.16 In the Energy Review Report we set out our proposals for
strengthening the performance of the RO. These included:
• a commitment to raise the RO to 20% on a “guaranteed headroom” basis
i.e. so that the obligation level is only raised when the growth in
renewables generation justifies it;
• breaking the RPI link from 2015-16 to keep the overall costs to consumers
broadly similar to those within the existing projections; and
147
5.3.20 We have given these issues serious consideration but do not believe
that there is a strong case for radical change. While a number of other EU
member states have used mechanisms such as feed-in tariffs, it is hard to
draw firm conclusions as to the effectiveness of these mechanisms from
international comparisons, as other forms of support also vary. For example,
some other EU Member States offer preferential access to the grid alongside
any direct financial support. The UK’s previous renewables support – the Non
Fossil Fuel Obligation (NFFO) – was a feed-in tariff scheme but was not itself
successful in supporting mass deployment of renewable capacity.
5.3.22 Any plans for modifying the RO have also to take into account the
likely future developments both in the market and in other policies which
bear on the industry. For example, market developments are likely to include
changing costs for projects (driven by technology developments and by shifts
in the international market for items such as wind turbines). Changes in the
regulatory environment will include future phases of the EU Emissions Trading
Scheme (ETS) and the consequent cost of carbon dioxide emissions faced by
fossil fuel generators (affecting wholesale electricity prices) and proposed
major reforms to the planning and grid connection regimes.
136 http://www.dti.gov.uk/files/file34470.pdf
137 Responses to the consultation are available at
148 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/review/implementation/renewables-obligation/page34483.htm
5.3.24 This analysis has revised our estimate of the level of renewable
electricity generation that the existing RO will deliver. Latest estimates based
on central projections for electricity prices suggest that the RO in its present
form will deliver around 11.4% of the electricity supplied by 2015/16 (the point
when, under the existing regime, the Obligation would reach, and level off at,
15.4%). This is lower than earlier projections and is a result of the rising costs
in many of the major technologies over the last year or so. Costs for key
elements such as wind turbines have risen by some 25% over the past
1-2 years and look set to rise further over the next 2-4 years because of the
rising prices of major commodities such as steel and the increased international
demand for the finished product. This further underlines the case for the
changes we propose to make to the RO if we are to make additional progress
on renewables deployment.
5.3.25 On the basis of the consultation responses and our further analysis,
we therefore confirm in this White Paper our intention to increase the
Obligation level to up to 20% on a guaranteed headroom basis and to
introduce banding. In the longer-term we expect the EU ETS to mature
and make renewables a relatively more attractive option.
5.3.27 We summarise the broad thrust of our decisions below. The detail is
set out further in the consultation document we are publishing alongside
this White Paper.
Obligation levels
5.3.28 The Government remains committed to its existing decisions on
Obligation levels and to retaining the Obligation until 2027.
5.3.30 Banding is likely to result in a change to the currently direct 1:1 149
5.3.33 Since that time we have seen rises in the costs of renewable electricity
technologies. Moreover, new analysis138 commissioned to inform our banding
proposals indicates that we are likely to see further rises in the costs of
renewable electricity technologies in the period to 2010. The implication of this
is that the projected deployment of renewables is now lower than at the time
we published the Energy Review Report. The updated analysis therefore
indicates that the projected level of renewables deployment for the banding
regime under consideration would lead to a fall in the total financial support
provided by the RO when compared to the existing regime, even though it
would still increase the overall level of renewables deployment. A number of
respondents to the recent renewables consultation made a similar observation
and argued strongly against the removal of the RPI link from 2015-16 on
the basis that it would lead to an overall reduction in the support available
to renewables.
5.3.38 We intend that subsequent reviews of the bands will be in line with
future phases of EU ETS. Criteria for deciding any future adjustments will be
set out in advance to ensure that changes in future support levels for new
projects are understood and predictable. Retaining the option to review
support levels but on a clearly defined and prescribed timetable gives policy
makers flexibility to adjust support levels for new projects to reflect changing
market conditions and the rate of technological advance while minimising
impacts on developer certainty and investor confidence.
Level of support
Band Technologies
ROCs/MWh
139 The Biomass Strategy is published alongside this White Paper, refer to
http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
140 http://www.ukwas.org.uk/
152 141 http://www.rspo.org/
Grandfathering
5.3.46 We recognise the impact that changes to the RO could have on
investor confidence. We therefore aim to reflect this in the treatment of
existing projects with the detailed definition of ‘existing projects’ to be
confirmed through the consultation on the RO we are launching alongside
this White Paper. Our proposal is that following the introduction of “banding”
currently planned for 1 April 2009144 all projects that would otherwise be
eligible for less than one ROC per MWh and which:
• have commenced operation by that date; or
• have received planning permission and pre-accreditaion from Ofgem by
that date and subsequently commence operation within two years;
will remain eligible for one ROC per MWh.
5.3.47 Those projects145 that became operational after 11 July 2006 (when
our banding proposals were first raised) and following the introduction of
banding, fall within a higher band will receive the new (higher) number of
ROCs from the moment that banding comes into force. Those projects that
became operational on or before 11 July 2006 and, following the introduction
of banding, would otherwise have fallen within a higher band, will remain
eligible for one ROC per MWh only.
5.3.52 Modelling for this White Paper shows that our proposals could
increase the electricity supplied from renewables by up to around 8TWh in
2015 relative to the RO in its present form. By 2015-16, some 13.5% of
electricity demand is estimated to be supplied by renewables eligible under
the RO. By including those renewables that are not eligible for support under
the RO, this would bring the projected total amount of electricity supplied
from renewable sources to around 15% by 2015-16.
5.3.54 Based on our central projections – albeit with the caveats highlighted
above – about the particular uncertainty associated with projecting the
deployment for developing technologies such as renewables into the long
term – we estimate that renewables would represent around 15% of the
UK’s electricity sales in 2020, reducing our projected carbon emissions by
around a further 0.8 million tonnes of carbon. More details on the impact of
our proposals to strengthen and modify the RO are set out in chapter 10 of
this White Paper and in the accompanying RO consultation and Regulatory
Impact Assessment published alongside it.
147 Assuming renewables replaces gas fired generation, it would reduce gas demand by up to
154 1.3 billion cubic metres.
5.3.57 Therefore, while banding will provide a longer-term market pull for
emerging technologies, we believe capital grant schemes and tailored policy
initiatives are the appropriate and more cost effective mechanisms for
reducing commercial risks at the earlier stages of technology development
and demonstration. Maintaining the focus of the RO on those technologies
which can deploy at lower and more certain cost, and at a large scale, also
best serves our medium-term carbon reduction and security of supply goals.
As emerging technologies develop, they will increasingly benefit from a
banded RO. Future reviews of the levels of banded support will consider the
position of these technologies and the appropriate level of support to
facilitate deployment.
5.3.59 We currently support wave and tidal technologies through the existing
Marine Renewables Deployment Fund (MRDF). We will continue to provide
support for the demonstration and deployment of marine renewables alongside
the banded RO. This support is likely to form part of the Environmental
Transformation Fund.
Planning
5.3.64 As already mentioned, planning is one of the most significant barriers
to the deployment of renewables. For example, according to industry
statistics, it takes an average period of 21 months for windfarms to secure
planning consent under the Electricity Act regime149.
As highlighted in the July 2006 Energy Review Report 150, the UK faces
difficult challenges in meeting its energy policy goals. Renewable energy
as a source of low carbon, indigenous electricity generation is central to
reducing emissions and maintaining the reliability of our energy supplies
at a time when our indigenous reserves of fossil fuels are declining more
rapidly than expected. A regulatory environment that enables the
development of appropriately sited renewable projects, and allows the UK
to realise its extensive renewable resources, is vital if we are to make real
progress towards our challenging goals.
New renewable projects may not always appear to convey any particular
local benefit, but they provide crucial national benefits. Individual
renewable projects are part of a growing proportion of low carbon
generation that provides benefits shared by all communities both through
reduced emissions and more diverse supplies of energy, which helps the
reliability of our supplies. This factor is a material consideration to which
all participants in the planning system should give significant weight when
considering renewable proposals. These wider benefits are not always
5.3.71 The Energy Review Report also sets out a commitment to a reform
of the planning system for major energy infrastructure projects in the longer
term. These reforms will cover all large onshore renewable projects with a
capacity of greater than 50MW and offshore with capacity greater than
100MW. We expect them to bring real benefits with an expectation that the
decision making phase (including inquiry) will take no longer than nine months
except in particularly difficult circumstances. The details of the reforms are
discussed in chapter 8, and in the planning White Paper 2007, Planning for
a Sustainable Future151.
5.3.74 National Grid (NGET) owns the England and Wales transmission
system, with Scottish Power and Scottish and Southern Energy each owning
a part of the transmission system in Scotland. As transmission system
owners, these companies are responsible for building and maintaining safe
and efficient networks and are regulated by Ofgem. NGET also has the
responsibility of overseeing and managing the flow of electricity across
the whole GB transmission network, including the elements owned and
maintained by Scottish Power and Scottish and Southern Energy. In this role,
NGET is known as the transmission system operator. NGET is also required
to co-ordinate the process of making connection offers to prospective system
users. This involves having in place a series of rules for achieving grid
5.3.76 The energy generated from wind is more variable than conventional
generation and can only make a limited contribution to overall system security.
However, even at relatively high degrees of renewable penetration (e.g. 20%)
analysis suggests that the additional system balancing and system margin
costs associated with this variability are relatively low.152
5.3.79 The price control proposals also allow the transmission companies
flexibility under certain conditions to make further investments automatically
without the need to reopen the entire price control review. This mechanism
will be of particular benefit to renewable generation.
152 http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/content/view/258/852
153 Renewable Energy Statistics Database, http://www.restats.org.k/2010_target.htm
154 The three transmission licence holders are Scottish Power and Scottish & Southern Energy in Scotland
and NGET in England and Wales. 159
5.3.82 Two programmes of work will be taken forward: the first to meet
the immediate challenges of managing the connection queue, access reform
and reviewing technical standards; and the second to set a longer-term
strategic direction.
5.3.85 NGET has now issued a consultative open letter that seeks views
from market participants on approaches to improving the management of the
queue, including steps that NGET plans to take in the near future. The aim is
to ensure that the most efficient use is made of transmission capacity by
160
Access Reform
5.3.87 Access to the transmission network is governed by the Connection
and Use of System Code (CUSC), a contractual framework for connection
to, and use of, the high voltage transmission system. This is overseen by
industry’s own governance arrangements. Ofgem are responsible for
making decisions on any modifications proposed through these governance
processes. NGET currently offers standard access products (commercial
arrangements which offer varying degrees of certainty as to the level of
access to the network) which have been developed with traditional forms
of electricity generation in mind. The development of more flexible access
products may help to connect more renewable generation earlier.
5.3.88 Any changes to the arrangements for grid connection need to take
into account the relative costs and benefits to consumers of connecting
additional generating capacity. This is especially true in constrained parts of
the network where there is more generating capacity than the transmission
network is able to accommodate.
5.3.89 Whilst the £560 million, already agreed for essential network
investment to connect low carbon generation in Scotland and Northern
England to the rest of England, and the recently agreed five-year Transmission
Price Control Review, are welcome, this investment will take several years
to complete.
5.3.92 NGET, supported by the DTI, the transmission licensees and industry,
will continue to take forward a programme of work through current industry
governance arrangements to deliver improved renewable generation access
arrangements in the immediate term including:
• making further progress on developing access products that should allow
more renewables projects to connect earlier. These access products will
however need to strike the right balance between supporting access to
finance for developers and the overall costs of system operation;
• a review of the operational measures to increase the capacity and
utilisation of existing transmission infrastructure. This will include
consideration of innovative approaches to network management and
operation. Findings will be presented in a report to Ofgem highlighting
geographical areas where there may be scope to connect additional
generation capacity but using the existing infrastructure;
• consideration of the costs and benefits of a “risk-based” approach to the
management of connection offers by anticipating the rate at which projects
are likely to withdraw before taking up the connection offer. Successful
application of this approach could allow some projects to connect earlier
than might otherwise be possible; and
• work with Ofgem and industry to address any regulatory constraints acting
as a barrier to renewables access.
5.3.94 Ofgem will report to the Gas and Electricity Markets Authority (GEMA)
and the Secretary of State for Trade and Industry on progress on all these
issues in September 2007, enabling decisions to be taken by Ofgem by the
end of 2007.
162
5.3.96 SQSS need to reflect the different demands that variable generation
places on the network and avoid “over-engineered” solutions that may
increase costs and cause delays disproportionately for renewable generation.
Research for the DTI by the Centre for Distributed Generation and Sustainable
Energy (DGSE) indicates that the current methodology for determining the
transmission capacity required to accommodate wind generation may need
refining157.
Three years ago, the DTI established the DGSE to address some of the
grid-related implications of a sustainable future. The Centre has
undertaken a number of important projects in this area, including work to
identify the relationship between variable generation and transmission
investment and to investigate the future dynamic performance of the
electricity system with a high penetration of wind.
157 Transmission Investment, Access and Pricing in Systems with Wind Generation, February 2007
http://www.sedg.ac.uk 163
5.3.100 Ofgem and the DTI will provide an interim report to GEMA and the
Secretary of State for Trade and Industry in December 2007, and a final report
setting out recommendations and a delivery plan in May 2008. The interim
report will include consideration of the case for amending primary and
secondary legislation.
158 European Directive 2001/42/EC on the assessment of the effects on the environment of certain plans
and programmes.
159 Birds Directive: Council Directive 79/409/EC on the conservation of wild birds and Habitats Directive:
Council Directive 92/43/EEC on the conservation of natural habitats and of wild fauna and flora.
160 All references in this section to “high voltage” or transmission are to 132kV or more (i.e. the definition
applicable to relevant offshore lines when s.180 Energy Act 2004 is commenced).
161 We estimate that grid connections are likely to form up to 10-15% of capital costs for projects. 165
Progress
5.3.109 In April 2006 Ofgem published a scoping document inviting
comments on the proposed work plan for implementation of the offshore
transmission regime.
5.3.110 In May 2006 Ofgem and the DTI set up the Offshore Transmission
Expert Group (OTEG) to provide technical advice and information necessary to
developing the new regime.
5.3.111 In August 2006 the Energy Minister announced that NGET’s role as
Great Britain System Operator (GBSO) will be extended offshore. NGET will
be the system operator for both onshore and offshore parts of the
transmission system and, until the relevant provisions of the Energy Act 2004
are commenced and appropriate modifications made to NGET’s licence for
these purposes, is acting as offshore GBSO designate in the context of
helping to develop the new offshore transmission regime.
5.3.112 In November 2006 the DTI and Ofgem published for consultation
the options being considered for the next significant stage in the process
of establishing a new offshore transmission regime; that is the model for
awarding offshore transmission licences. The consultation closed on
8 January 2007. In March 2007 the Government announced it had concluded
that a competitive, non-exclusive approach to awarding offshore transmission
licences is the appropriate model to follow offshore. We believe this method
of licensing will achieve the lowest costs of connection for offshore
generators and consumers, and enable significant amounts of offshore
generation to connect to the onshore grid.
5.3.114 The DTI and Ofgem are proceeding with the next phase of the
project to make the appropriate modifications to transmission licences, codes
and agreements for the purposes of offshore transmission. A further policy
statement will follow in July 2007.
166
Renewables
Summary of Measures
We are introducing a series of measures to strengthen delivery of
renewables generation. These include:
167
168
5.4.1 However, coal is more carbon intensive than oil or gas. On current
policies, world carbon dioxide emissions from electricity generation are
projected to increase by two thirds over the period 2004-2030 and much of
this is driven by the continued use of coal. China and India alone account for
60%162 of this increase in emissions, with China building 105GW of new coal-
fired power capacity in 2006 (at an average rate of around one new 1GW
power station every four days)163.
5.4.5 The Government recognises that there is potential for further long-term
improvements in cleaner coal technology through technical innovation. This
is why, in addition to long-standing support for research and development,
further funding has been made available through the Carbon Abatement
Technology (CAT) Programme164. The CAT Programme was launched in June
2005, with the first call for proposals launched in September 2006. This first
call focused on pre-commercial demonstration of key components and
systems to support carbon abatement technologies. The successful proposals
will be awarded contracts shortly. The CAT strategy has also emphasised the
need for international collaboration on the development of cleaner coal
technologies. Our international low carbon technology strategy is described
in chapter 1.
5.4.7 The Biomass Strategy published alongside this White Paper has
examined how cost-effective co-firing is as an option for achieving carbon
emissions savings, compared with the alternative uses for biomass such as
heating, dedicated biomass power generation, the production of transport
biofuels and non-energy uses. The Biomass Strategy focuses not only on
how biomass should best be used in low carbon energy production but also
on optimising the supply of biomass in a sustainable way. It concludes that a
generally more cost-effective use of biomass is for heating, while recognising
that co-firing makes a valuable contribution to meeting the UK's renewable
energy and emissions reduction targets. The conclusions of the Strategy have
informed the recommendations on banding of the Renewables Obligation
in section 5.3.
164 http://www.hfccat-demo.org
165 The issue of continued support for co-firing was examined in the Renewables Consultation that followed
the Energy Review Report (see chapter 5.3 of this White Paper). The consultation concluded that, given
that co-firing of biomass is now becoming a more established commercial practice, the support it
receives from the Renewables Obligation will be reduced alongside the removal of the cap. The exact
level of support will be determined following a further consultation being launched alongside this White
Paper, http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/review/implementation/page31829.html 171
5.4.10 While there is a wide range of estimates for the cost of electricity
produced by CCS power stations, it is likely that CCS would not be
commercially viable unless costs fell substantially relative to the cost of other
cheaper forms of generation, or unless the carbon price rose sufficiently to
provide a larger financial incentive. Given the potential of this technology to
meet both our security of supply and climate change policy goals, the UK and
the EU are working towards commercial-scale demonstration and deployment
of CCS, in order to bring down the costs and to help make the technology
commercially viable.
166 Detail of technology design and transport and storage options can be found in the following documents:
DTI: A Strategy for Developing Carbon Abatement Technologies for Fossil Fuel Use, 2005.
(http://www.dti.gov.uk/files/file19827.pdf ); Analysis of carbon capture and storage cost-supply curves for
the UK, Poyry, 2007(http://www.dti.gov.uk/files/file36782.pdf)
167 World Energy Outlook 2006.
168 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
169 The Stern Review – The Economics of Climate Change. Nicholas Stern, 2006.
172 170 International Energy Agency, Energy Technologies Perspectives, 2006.
5.4.13 The European Council171 has agreed that Europe should aim for all new
fossil fuel power generation built beyond 2020 to be equipped with CCS,
subject to the technology being technically and economically feasible. It also
recommended that the Commission work towards a series of up to 12 CCS
demonstrations by 2015. We welcome the Commission’s ambition in this area
and we support their suggestion that they make further recommendations
within the next couple of years, including further work on technical and
economic viability.
interest. This Task Force is currently overseeing two key pieces of work
examining a compatible regulatory regime and a common carbon dioxide
transport infrastructure. The report on transport infrastructure will be
completed in July 2007.
The UK has also been very active in the EU Technology Platform for Zero
Emissions Fossil Fuel Power Plant. At both industry and government
levels we have been taking a leading role in developing strategies for
deployment and research of CCS technologies on a European scale. The
Technology Platform’s aim is to have commercially viable CCS as a
technology of choice by 2020.
There are a number of proposed cleaner fossil fuels and CCS projects that
European consortia are invited to apply for under the first call for the
Seventh Research Framework Programme (FP7). The call was launched
on 22 December 2006 and will close in May 2007.
172 http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/pre_budget_report/prebud_pbr06/other_docs/
174 prebud_pbr06_carbonresponses.cfm
5.4.19 This decision was informed by the analysis from consulting engineers.
The engineers173 were appointed, following announcement in the Pre-Budget
Report 2006, to ensure that the Government’s understanding of the costs of
a CCS power station based in the UK was robust. Their findings confirmed
that the costs of a commercial-scale demonstration project are likely to be
higher than those of subsequent CCS power stations given that this will be
the first time the individual processes are integrated and tested at scale.
Companies would not bring forward a commercial-scale demonstration power
station without additional support because of the uncertain costs of full-scale
deployment. Even when CCS is included in the EU Emissions Trading
Scheme (see CCS: regulatory progress section below), it is not clear that
the carbon price would be high enough to make the cost of a demonstration
project economic.
177
National actions
• We committed in the Budget in 2007 to launch a competition to
support the commercial-scale demonstration of CCS. When
operational, this will make the UK a world leader in this globally
important technology. Demonstration will enable the technology to
be proven and will contribute to the roll out of CCS on a national and
international basis.
• To support the potential deployment of CCS we will be launching a
consultation on the options for the regulation of the full chain of CCS
technologies later this year.
• We will be awarding contracts shortly to the successful prototype
projects under the Carbon Abatement Technology (CAT) strategy to
develop technologies for fossil fuel use that abate emissions.
• Later this year we will launch a consultation on the issue of capture
readiness in future applications for consent under Section 36 of the
Electricity Act.
178
179
3. Temperatures and sea levels are rising. There is no scientific consensus on just
how long we have to avoid dangerous and irreversible climate change, but the
overwhelming majority of experts believe that climate change is already underway,
and without action now to dramatically reduce carbon dioxide emissions, we will
have a hugely damaging effect on our country, planet and way of life.
180 174 International Energy Agency (IEA), World Energy Outlook, 2006.
5. Historically, the UK has met most of its energy needs from domestic sources:
coal, until the middle of the 20th century, and since the 1970s, oil and gas from
the North Sea have driven our economy. Since the 1950s, nuclear power, fuelled
by imported uranium, has generated a significant proportion of our electricity,
reaching a peak of 30% of electricity output in the 1990s. Over the past decade
nuclear power met about one-fifth of our electricity needs. If we had built fossil
fuelled power stations rather than nuclear power stations, the UK’s total carbon
emissions from all sectors might have been 5% to 12% higher in 2004176.
6. In the future, the UK will increasingly depend on imported oil and gas at a time
of rising global demand and prices, and when energy supplies are becoming
more politicised. At the same time, we know that over the next two decades or
so almost one third of our coal and oil fired power stations are likely to close
because of environmental legislation, and while nuclear operators may achieve
life extensions at the existing UK plants, all but one of our nuclear power stations
are due to have closed by 2023, based on their published lives. This will create
new risks that need to be managed by our energy strategy.
7. Our aim should be to continue to raise living standards and the quality of
life by growing our economy, while at the same time cutting waste and using
every unit of energy as efficiently as possible. But based on existing strategies
to reduce energy demand, the IEA predict global energy consumption is likely
to grow by about 50% by 2030177. Therefore we will also need to transform the
way we produce the energy we need for light, heat and mobility.
Question 1
To what extent do you believe that tackling climate change and
ensuring the security of energy supplies are critical challenges
for the UK that require significant action in the near term and a
sustained strategy between now and 2050?
175 Sir Nicholas Stern, The Stern Review: The Economics of Climate Change, October 2006
176 Sustainable Development Commission, The Role of Nuclear Power in a Low Carbon Economy, Paper 2:
Reducing CO2 emissions – Nuclear and the Alternatives, March 2006.
177 International Energy Agency (IEA), World Energy Outlook, 2006. 181
Our strategy is set out in more detail in the Energy White Paper, published
alongside this consultation178.
10. Capping and trading is a central tool for achieving carbon emission
reductions. The EU’s Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) sets caps on emissions
and puts a price on carbon emissions for the first time. This gives firms the
incentive to make investments consistent with our carbon goals, whether by
driving energy efficiency or investments in low-carbon energy. Electricity
generating technologies such as renewables and nuclear power, benefit
because they have low carbon emissions, giving them an advantage as an
investment option compared with fossil fuel power stations.
13. The proposals in the Energy White Paper, published with this consultation,
along with the draft Climate Change Bill strengthen the policy framework on
energy security and the reduction of carbon levels through carbon budgeting and
182 178 Energy White Paper 2007, Meeting the Energy Challenge http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
EU Energy Policy
14. Since the Energy Review Report in 2006, the European Council agreed
in March 2007 to a common strategy for energy security and tackling climate
change. This includes further steps to complete the internal market in gas and
electricity, and endorsement of the objective to save 20% of the EU’s energy
consumption in 2020 compared with current projections. The agreement
commits the EU to a binding target of reducing greenhouse gas emissions
by 20% by 2020 and by 30% in the context of international action. The
agreement assigns the EU emissions trading scheme the central role in
the EU’s long-term strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
15. The European Council agreement also recognises the potential importance
of carbon capture and storage and sets a target for the share of energy from
renewables of 20% by 2020. The target covers the energy we use in heat
and transport as well as electricity. The Council also agreed a 10% binding
minimum target, to be achieved by all Member States, for the share of
biofuels in EU petrol and diesel consumption; this is subject to conditions,
including that the production of biofuels is sustainable.
17. The European Commission has been asked to bring forward detailed
proposals – including for each Member State’s contribution to the EU targets
on greenhouse gases and renewables – by the end of this year. In developing
the proposals, the Commission will need to take account of individual national
circumstances and discuss and agree their proposals with Member States and
the European Parliament during 2008/09. In developing proposals for the
renewables target, the Commission will need, as agreed by the European
Council, to give due regard to a fair and adequate allocation, taking account
of different national starting points and potentials, including the existing level
of renewable energies and energy mix.
179 The UK figure is from the Digest of the United Kingdom Energy Statistics (DUKES), 2006.
The European figures come from Eurostat.
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page?_pageid=0,1136239,0_45571447&_dad=portal&_schema=PORT
AL
180 The UK figure is based on DTI projections – for more detail see UK Energy and CO2 Emissions
Projections, May 2007 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper. The European figures come from the
EU Commission Renewable Energy Road Map. Renewable energies in the 21st century: building a more 183
sustainable future COM(2006)848 final.
20. After a decision has been reached on each Member State’s contribution
to the EU agreement, it is very likely that the UK will need to take further
measures, beyond those set out in the Energy White Paper published
alongside this consultation, to make our contribution to meeting these
targets, and in particular to increase the share of renewable electricity,
heat and transport, in our mix by 2020.
23. The UK needs a clear and stable regulatory framework to reduce uncertainty
for business to help ensure sufficient and timely investment in technologies that
contribute to our energy goals.
24. Of the capacity that is likely to close over the two decades, two thirds is
from carbon intensive fossil fuel generation and about 10GW is nuclear and
therefore low carbon. So companies’ decisions on the type of power stations
they invest in to replace this capacity will have significant implications for the
level of carbon emissions. As an illustration, if our existing nuclear power
stations were all replaced with fossil fuel fired power stations, our emissions
would be between eight and sixteen MtC (million tonnes of carbon) a year
higher as a result (depending on the mix of gas and coal-fired power stations).
This would be equivalent to about 30-60% of the total carbon savings we
project to achieve under our central scenario from all the measures we are
bringing forward in the Energy White Paper182. Our gas demand would also
25. New nuclear power stations have long lead times. This time is necessary
to secure the relevant regulatory and development consents which must be
obtained before construction can begin, and there is also a long construction
period compared to other generating technologies183. New nuclear power stations
are therefore unlikely to make a significant contribution to the need for new
capacity before 2020.
26. Even with our expectations that the share of renewables will grow, it is likely
that fossil fuel generation will meet some of this need. However, beyond that
date there are still significant amounts of new capacity needed; for example, in
2023 one third or 3GW of our nuclear capacity will still be operational, based on
published lifetimes. Given the likely increase in fossil fuel generation before this
date, it is important that much of this capacity is replaced with low carbon
technologies. New nuclear power stations could make an important contribution,
as outlined in this consultation document, to meeting our needs for low carbon
electricity generation and energy security in this period and beyond to 2050.
Because of the lead-times, without clarity now we will foreclose the opportunity
for nuclear power.
27. The existing approach on new nuclear build was set out in 2003184:
28. Since 2003 there have been a number of developments, which have led
the Government to consider afresh the potential contribution of new nuclear
power stations. Firstly, there has been significant progress in tackling the
legacy waste issue:
• we have technical solutions for waste disposal that scientific consensus
and experience from abroad suggest could accommodate all types of
wastes from existing and new nuclear power stations;
• there is now an implementing body (the Nuclear Decommissioning
Authority), with expertise in this area, and Government is reconstituting
the Committee on Radioactive Waste Management (CoRWM) in order to
provide continued independent scrutiny and advice; and
• a framework for implementing long-term waste disposal in a geological
repository will be consulted on in the coming months.
183 Our conservative assumption is that for the first new nuclear plant the pre-construction period would last
around 8 years (to secure the necessary consents) and the construction period would last around 5
years. For subsequent plants this is assumed to be 5 and 5 years; respectively.
184 HMG Cm 5761: Energy White Paper, Our Energy Future – creating a low carbon economy, 2003. 185
30. Secondly, the high-level economic analysis of nuclear power, prepared for the
Energy Review, concluded that under likely scenarios for gas and carbon prices
and taking prudent estimates of nuclear costs, nuclear power would offer general
economic benefit to the UK in terms of reduced carbon emissions and security of
supply benefits185. Therefore, the Government believes that it has a potential
contribution to make, alongside other low-carbon generating technologies.
32. Nuclear power stations have long lead times. If they are to be an option
to replace the capacity closing over the next two decades, and in particular
after 2020, a decision on whether allowing energy companies the option of
investing in new nuclear power stations would be in the public interest,
needs to be taken now. Energy companies would need to begin their initial
preparations in the near future in order to have a reasonable prospect of
building new generation in this period. Not taking the public interest decision
now would foreclose the option of new nuclear being one of our options for
tackling climate change and achieving energy security.
35. Tackling climate change and ensuring energy security will require action
on many fronts: both supply and demand, engaging individuals and business.
Unnecessarily ruling out any of the options available is likely to increase the
risks of not achieving these objectives. Our preliminary view is that preventing
energy companies from investing in new nuclear power stations would
increase the risk of not achieving our long-term climate change and energy
security goals, or achieving them at higher cost.
36. Apart from large-scale hydro – the opportunities for which have been largely
exhausted in the UK – nuclear power is the only low-carbon form of baseload
generation, which is proven on a commercial scale. Without nuclear power as
an option, the alternative would be for energy companies to invest in significant
fossil fuel capacity, whether of the conventional kind or fitted with carbon
capture and storage technology, and to build renewable capacity over and
above our existing targets, particularly as we will need to replace existing
nuclear stations as they retire.
39. This is an important decision that will have implications for society for decades
to come, and on which some people will have strong views. Therefore we are
keen to gather responses from a range of perspectives to allow us to assess the
factors before reaching a firm conclusion. This consultation takes account of the
ruling of the High Court in February and the Government’s commitment in 2003187
to the fullest public consultation and the publication of a further White Paper
setting out confirmed proposals for new nuclear power stations.
186 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Working Group III Report, Mitigation of Climate
Change, Summary for policy makers, May 2007, http://www.ipcc.ch/SPM040507.pdf
187 Energy White Paper Our Energy Future – creating a low carbon economy, HMG Cm 5761, 2003. 187
41. The information and evidence, and the Government's preliminary conclusions,
in each of these chapters is summarised below. There are questions at the end
of each section; respondents are invited to answer these questions based on the
information in this summary and the full material in the document as necessary.
43. To provide an accurate picture of the potential contribution that nuclear power
stations could make to tackling climate change, a full-lifecycle analysis must be
made. In other words, the emissions from every phase must be measured.
There are a number of assumptions that need to be made in undertaking such
an analysis. For example, the type of electricity used for the preparation of
nuclear fuel: if it were from coal-fired power stations, emissions would be
significantly higher than if nuclear or renewable sources were used in the fuel
preparation process. As a result of these variables, there is a fairly wide range
of estimates in the studies that have looked at lifecycle carbon dioxide
emissions from nuclear power.
44. Research by the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) of the Organisation for
Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD), and the International Atomic
Energy Authority (IAEA)188 found that nuclear power emits low amounts of carbon
dioxide across the whole lifecycle, between 7g/kWh and 22g/kWh. This is similar
to the carbon dioxide emissions from wind power and much less than fossil
188 Sustainable Development Commission, The Role of Nuclear Power in a Low Carbon Economy,
Paper 2: Reducing CO2 Emissions – Nuclear and the Alternatives, March 2006.
189 Sustainable Development Commission, The Role of Nuclear Power in a Low Carbon Economy,
188 Paper 2: Reducing CO2 Emissions – Nuclear and the Alternatives, March 2006.
45. The Government believes that, based on the significant evidence available,
the lifecycle carbon emissions from nuclear power stations are about the
same as wind generated electricity with significantly lower carbon emissions
than fossil fuel fired generation. As an illustration, if our existing nuclear
power stations were all replaced with fossil fuel fired power stations, our
emissions would be between 8 and 16MtC (million tonnes of carbon) a year
higher as a result (depending on the mix of gas and coal-fired power stations).
This would be equivalent to about 30-60% of the total carbon savings we
project to achieve under our central scenario from all the measures we are
bringing forward in the Energy White Paper. Therefore, the Government
believes that new nuclear power stations could make a significant
contribution to tackling climate change. We recognise that nuclear power
alone cannot tackle climate change, but these figures show that it could
make an important contribution as part of a balanced energy policy.
Question 2
Do you agree or disagree with the Government’s views on carbon
emissions from new nuclear power stations? What are your
reasons? Are there any significant considerations that you believe
are missing? If so, what are they?
49. There are also particular characteristics of nuclear power stations that
contribute to the security of our energy supplies. Nuclear generation extends the
geographic spread of our energy imports, because uranium reserves are located
in areas like Australia and Canada, which are different locations to where the
global fossil fuel reserves are found191. Its cost profile, with high capital but low
fuel and operating costs, means that the generation costs are relatively immune
to fluctuations in fuel prices. This is in contrast to fossil fuel generation, and
having nuclear power as part of the mix adds an element of stability to wholesale
energy prices in the UK. Nuclear power is most economic when run continually,
so it is well placed to meet the need for baseload capacity in the UK. Nuclear
power would complement the expansion in more intermittent renewable
generation such as wind power.
50. The Government believes that the best way to achieve secure energy
supplies is by encouraging a diversified mix of generating technologies,
and that energy companies should have the widest choice of technologies in
which to invest. We know that our nuclear power stations are coming to the
end of their lives; not allowing energy companies to invest in new nuclear
power stations would increase our dependence on fewer technologies and
expose the UK to risks to the security of our energy supplies.
51. The Government believes that allowing energy companies the option
of investing in nuclear power stations would make a contribution to
maintaining a diverse generating mix, with the flexibility to respond to
future developments that we cannot yet envisage. Allowing energy
companies the option of investing would therefore make an important
contribution to the security of our energy supplies.
Question 3
Do you agree or disagree with the Government’s views on the
security of supply impact of new nuclear power stations? What
are your reasons? Are there any significant considerations that
you believe are missing? If so, what are they?
190 191 NEA and IAEA, Uranium 2005: Resources, Production and Demand, 2006 (The “Red Book”)
53. Whether nuclear power stations are economically attractive will depend
on, amongst other things, the contracts into which developers enter for the
electricity they generate, and their financing costs. The proposed Government
facilitative action (see chapter thirteen) would be important in reducing
uncertainty during the preconstruction period. Uncertainty in the regulatory
framework can increase costs for investors, especially financing costs.
54. The Government has updated the indicative cost-benefit analysis of new
nuclear power stations that was prepared for the Energy Review Report last year.
Our analysis uses a range of prices for carbon and gas, and a range to reflect
uncertainties in the costs of nuclear generation, in particular waste and
decommissioning costs. Our range of cost estimates also reflects different views
on the future commitment to pricing carbon and the extent to which gas prices will
remain linked to oil prices, which is currently an important factor in gas prices. The
conclusions are consistent with and backed up by those used in the 2006 IEA World
Energy Outlook report192.
Question 4
Do you agree or disagree with the Government’s views on
the economics of new nuclear power stations? What are your
reasons? Are there any significant considerations that you believe
are missing? If so, what are they?
57. Moreover, there are even greater uncertainties about the future of the
electricity market. Some technological developments could result in a
significant increase in the demand for electricity in the future. For example,
if hydrogen and electric technologies develop in the transport sector, then it
could have a significant impact on electricity demand193. Faster than expected
economic growth could also create increased demand for electricity, as could
the need to rely more on electricity for the provision of heat, as fossil fuel
reserves continue to decline. The possibility of electricity storage
technologies developing on an economic scale is another uncertainty
that could affect demand.
58. There is also uncertainty in the science of climate change and the
potential constraints that this could put on our energy strategy. Our goal to
reduce carbon emissions by at least 60% of 1990 levels by 2050 was in line
with the then recommendations of the Royal Commission on Environmental
Pollution194. The draft Climate Change Bill has provisions to amend our targets
for reductions in carbon emissions in the light of significant developments in
climate science or in international law or policy. A larger reduction in carbon
emissions would increase the need for low carbon energy sources.
59. Given these risks and uncertainties about the way the world and energy
markets may develop, it is very difficult to predict which composition of the
fuel mix or share of each technology in the mix is most appropriate to
minimise the risks and costs associated with achieving our energy goals.
For this reason, we believe companies are better placed to weigh up this
complex range of interrelated factors affecting the profitability of investing in
electricity generation (including how these factors might evolve over time).
Providing firms with a portfolio of options offers a hedge against risks like
technology failure or over-dependence on a limited range of fuel supplies.
193 For instance, a successful transition to electric and hydrogen vehicles could see UK electricity demand
rise by 16 to 34% on 2005 levels. E4tech. A review of the UK Innovation System of low carbon Road
transport, http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/scienceresearch/technology
194 The Royal Commission for Environmental Pollution, 22nd Report Energy – The Changing Climate
192 http://www.rcep.org.uk/newenergy.htm
63. This projected lower level of investment would put pressure on wholesale
electricity prices, because there would be less capacity than otherwise to
meet increases in demand during peak periods. In the period between
2020-2030, the modelling suggests that wholesale prices would be around
4% higher, on average, than if nuclear was included as an option. At the same
time, our carbon emissions in the period between 2020-2030 could be around
4MtC higher, on average, than if nuclear was included as an option. As
indication of the significance of this figure, 4MtC would be equivalent to
around 16% of the annual carbon savings projected in 2020 to be achieved
under the central scenario from all the measures in the Energy White Paper
“Meeting the Energy Challenge”.
64. It is extremely difficult to predict how the energy system will develop
in the very long-term (the next 40-50 years). It is therefore much harder to
predict what investments in new electricity capacity firms will choose to
make over this period. Indeed, even if the option of investing in nuclear were
available, companies may still decide to invest in other technologies if they
considered them to be more attractive investment options. Their investment
decisions are affected by their view of future electricity demand, the
underlying costs of new investments, their expectations of future electricity,
fuel and carbon prices, expected closures of existing power stations and the
construction lead times for new power stations.
195 Redpoint Energy, Dynamics of GB Electricity Generation Investment: Prices, Security of Supply,
CO2 Emissions and Policy Options, 2007. 193
67. Our modelling indicates that excluding nuclear is a more expensive route
to achieving our carbon goal even though in our modelling, the costs of
alternative technologies are assumed to fall over time as they mature. It also
assumes that we are able successfully to deploy CCS safely and cost-
effectively on a large scale even though currently, the technology has not yet
been proven at a commercial scale. The modelling also does not capture a
number of risks implicit in our assumptions. For example, technology costs
may not fall as much or as quickly as assumed.
68. The Government believes that given the wide range of uncertainties
it is difficult to predict with certainty the future need for and use of
energy and electricity.
196 DTI, The UK MARKAL model in the 2007 Energy White Paper, http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
Strachan N., R. Kannan and S. Pye (2007), Final Report on DTI-DEFRA Scenarios and Sensitivities using the
194 UK MARKAL and MARKAL-Macro Energy System Models, http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/content/view/142/112
Question 5
Do you agree or disagree with the Government’s views on the
value of having nuclear power as an option? What are your
reasons? Are there any significant considerations that you believe
are missing? If so, what are they?
74. The UK has not had an incident at a civil nuclear power station where there
has been an offsite release of radioactive material198. Analysis by the European
Commission on the potential for nuclear events suggests that in the UK the
probability of a major accident – the meltdown of the reactor’s core along with
failure of the containment structure – is one in 2.4 billion per reactor year199. By
comparison, it is thought that the risks of a meteorite over a kilometre hitting the
earth, which could have significant global environmental impacts, could be one in
0.5 million per year200.
75. However, a major nuclear accident, although having an extremely low likelihood
of occurring, would have potentially severe and wide-ranging consequences, so we
have to consider very carefully whether it is reasonable to run such a risk.
76. The health risk of exposure to radiation from nuclear power stations is
very small, and there are statutory radiation dose limits in place, both for
workers in the nuclear industry and the general public201. The average dose
to a member of the public as a result of discharges from the nuclear power
industry is 0.015% of the annual dose from all sources202. The independent
197 HSE report – The health and safety risks and regulatory strategy related to energy developments. An expert
report contributing to the Government’s Energy Review 2006.
198 Sustainable Development Commission, Paper 6: Safety and Security, March 2006.
199 European Commission, Externalities of Energy (ExternE), Methodology 2005 Update.
200 NASA Asteroid and Comet Impact Hazards, http://128.102.32.13/impact/intro_faq.cfm
201 Ionising Radiation Regulations 1999.
202 Radiation Doses – Maps and Magnitudes Second Edition, National Radiological Protection Board, now
part of Health Protection Agency. 195
77. Although nuclear power stations pose some unavoidable terrorism risks,
the Office for Civil Nuclear Security (OCNS), the security regulator, is satisfied
that the existing security regime is robust and effective and that allowing new
nuclear power stations to be built would be unlikely to materially increase the
risks to the UK, because any proposals for new nuclear power stations would
be only be permitted to proceed if they met the stringent regulatory
requirements in full, based on the most up to date threat assessments.
78. The UK Safeguard Office, who oversee non-proliferation risks, believe that the
risk of diversion of nuclear materials from the building and operation of modern
nuclear power stations in the UK is very small, because of the regulatory and
market framework and the nature of the designs of nuclear power stations that
might be put forward.
79. Based on the advice of the independent nuclear regulators, and the
advances in the designs of nuclear power stations that might be proposed
by energy companies, the Government believes that the safety, security,
health and non-proliferation risks of new nuclear power stations are very
small and that there is an effective regulatory framework in place that
ensures that these risks are minimised and sensibly managed by industry.
Therefore, the Government believes that they do not provide a reason to
prevent energy companies from investing in new nuclear power stations.
Question 6
Do you agree or disagree with the Government’s views on the
safety, security, health and non-proliferation issues? What are
your reasons? Are there any significant considerations that you
believe are missing? If so, what are they?
203 The incidence of childhood cancer around nuclear installations in Great Britain, COMARE 11th Report,
196 July 2006.
82. Workers in the transport industry receive an average annual dose of radiation
of less than 0.7 millisieverts (mSv) from the transport of radioactive material. This
is much less than the limit for radiation workers of 20 mSv per year, and is even
below the dose limit of 1mSv for the general public from activities covered under
the Ionising Radiations Regulations 1999. Conservative estimates of the dose to
the general public from the transport of radioactive materials are a hundredth this
level, no more than 0.006 mSv per year205, compared to an average annual dose
from natural background radiation of 2.6mSv206. According to the Health
Protection Agency, these doses are extremely low207.
84. Based on the assumption that spent fuel would not be reprocessed (see
chapter twelve) and that developers would be expected to provide appropriate
storage arrangements capable of being maintained safely until the spent fuel is
ultimately removed for disposal (chapter eight), allowing private sector energy
companies to invest in new nuclear power stations would not create the need
to transport spent fuel to a reprocessing facility and then subsequently to a
repository. Instead, spent fuel would be held in interim storage, during which
time, the initial radioactivity would decline as the more active isotopes decay,
and only a single movement, of somewhat less radioactive waste, could be
made to the repository.
85. Given the safety record for the transport of nuclear materials, the
assumption that spent fuel will not be reprocessed and the strict safety
and security regulatory framework in place, the Government believes that
the risks of transporting nuclear materials are very small and that there is
an effective regulatory framework in place that ensures that these risks are
minimised and sensibly managed by industry. Therefore, the Government
believes that they do not provide a reason to not allow energy companies
to invest in new nuclear power stations.
204 Health Protection Agency, Survey into the Radiological Impact of the Normal Transport of Radioactive Material
in the UK by Road and Rail,
http://www.hpa.org.uk/radiation/publications/w_series_reports/2005/nrpb_w66.pdf.
205 Health Protection Agency, Survey into the Radiological Impact of the Normal Transport of Radioactive Material
in the UK by Road and Rail, http://www.hpa.org.uk/radiation/publications/w_series_reports/2005/nrpb_w66.pdf.
206 Sustainable Development Commission, Paper 6: Safety and Security.
207 Health Protection Agency, Survey into the Radiological Impact of the Normal Transport of Radioactive Material
in the UK by Road and Rail, http://www.hpa.org.uk/radiation/publications/w_series_reports/2005/nrpb_w66.pdf.
208 Official Journal of the European Community, Safe transport of radioactive material, A5-0040/2001, 2001 197
87. In 2007, the Government updated its policy on low level waste management
and gave responsibility to the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (NDA) for
developing and maintaining a national strategy for the handling of low level nuclear
waste. This will include identifying additional disposal capacity because the UK’s
existing facility will not provide enough capacity for the expected waste from the
decommissioning of the existing UK nuclear power stations.
91. CoRWM stated that: “solutions for existing and unavoidable future wastes
would also be robust in the light of all reasonably foreseeable developments
in nuclear energy and waste management practices” 212, although they felt that
209 CoRWM’s Managing our Radioactive Waste Safely (CoRWM Document 700), CoRWM’s
Recommendations to Government, July 2006. http://www.corwm.org.uk/content-1092
210 CoRWM statement on Nuclear New Build 16 December 2005.
211 CoRWM’s Managing our Radioactive Waste Safely (CoRWM Document 700), CoRWM’s
Recommendations to Government, July 2006. http://www.corwm.org.uk/content-1092
198 212 CoRWM statement on Nuclear New Build 16 December 2005.
92. We agree with CoRWM that the creation of new waste involves ethical
considerations. The key ethical question that needs to be considered as part of
the discussion on the future role of nuclear power is whether to create new
waste; once new waste is created it would need to be managed and disposed
of, in the same way as existing waste. We believe that the most appropriate way
to consider both the public acceptability and ethical issues is as a part of the
discussion of the wider climate change and energy security considerations.
94. Allowing energy companies to build new nuclear power stations would create
new radioactive waste that needs to be managed. Compared to the existing
nuclear power stations in the UK, the designs of power stations that might be
constructed would create less waste by volume because of the improved, more
efficient reactor designs which use fewer components. Because of their longer
expected lives, they would generate more electricity. However this means that
there would be a larger increase in the radioactivity compared to the increase in
volume of waste – principally from spent fuel – although as with all radioactive
substances the activity would decline over time.
213 CoRWM statement on Nuclear New Build 16 December 2005, Addendum (March 2006).
214 CoRWM statement on Nuclear New Build 16 December 2005.
215 CoRWM’s Managing our Radioactive Waste Safely (CoRWM Document 700), CoRWM’s
Recommendations to Government, July 2006. http://www.corwm.org.uk/content-1092
216 DTI Cost Benefit Analysis of Nuclear Power, http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
217 Ethics and Decision Making for Radioactive Waste – CoRWM Document Number 1692. 199
96. The number of new nuclear power stations that energy companies might
choose to build would have an impact on whether all of the new waste could be
stored in the same repository as the legacy waste. The impact of the increase in
the time during which the repository would need to remain open if waste from
new nuclear power stations were to be added, would also need to be assessed.
These issues would be addressed through the Managing Radioactive Waste
Safely (MRWS) programme.
98. Any private sector developers of new nuclear power stations would be required
to meet their full decommissioning and full share of waste management costs. In
the report of the Energy Review, the Government established principles that would
underpin arrangements to ensure that operators of nuclear power stations were
obliged to accumulate sufficient and secure funds to cover these costs. The
development of these robust financing arrangements is considered further in this
consultation document. The arrangements would need to be agreed before
proposals for new nuclear power stations could proceed.
99. The Government believes that new waste could technically be disposed
of in a geological repository and that this would be the best solution for
managing waste from any new nuclear power stations. The Government
considers that waste should be stored in safe and secure interim storage
facilities prior to a geological repository becoming available.
101. There are also important ethical issues to consider around whether
to create new nuclear waste, including the ethical implications of not
allowing nuclear power to play a role, and the risks of failing to meet
long-term carbon emissions targets. The Government has taken a
preliminary view that the balance of ethical considerations does not
require ruling out the option of new nuclear power. However, we intend
that these ethical issues should be considered through this consultation
document and respondents are invited to give their views.
200
Question 9
What are the implications for the management of existing nuclear
waste of taking a decision to allow energy companies to build
new nuclear power stations?
Question 10
What do you think are the ethical considerations related to a
decision to allow new nuclear power stations to be built? And
how should these be balanced against the need to address
climate change?
103. The land necessary to build a 1.2GW nuclear power station is estimated
at 25-75 hectares, compared to 100 hectares for a 1.8GW coal-fired power
station218, although additional space could be required to fit carbon capture and
storage technology to a coal-fired power station. This compares to estimates by
the British Wind Energy Association of 1,000 hectares for a 1GW windfarm 219.
Question 11
Do you agree or disagree with the Government’s views on
environmental issues? What are your reasons? Are there any
significant considerations that you believe are missing? If so,
what are they?
110. Since 2000, uranium prices have increased significantly. However, the
price of nuclear fuel represents a much smaller part of the cost of electricity
than it does for other generating technologies, so these price rises have not
had a material impact on overall generating costs. The increasing price of
uranium will make more of the reserves that have already been discovered
economic to extract. It also provides an incentive for further exploration.
On the basis of newly discovered reserves, there is no evidence to suggest
that we will need to mine significantly lower-grade ores 224, in which case
carbon lifecycle emissions of nuclear generation should not materially change.
111. Based on the significant evidence that there are sufficient high-grade
uranium ores available to meet future global demands, and the relatively
small impact that allowing energy companies to invest in new nuclear
power stations in the UK would have on global demand for uranium, the
Government believes that there should be sufficient reserves to fuel any
new nuclear power stations constructed in the UK.
222 http://www.cameco.com/investor_relations/ux_history
223 NEA and IAEA, Uranium 2005: Resources, Production and Demand, 2006 (The “Red Book”)
224 NEA and IAEA, Uranium 2005: Resources, Production and Demand, 2006 (The “Red Book”)
202
115. The Government believes that the international supply chain and skills
market should be able to respond if the Government were to allow energy
companies to invest in new nuclear power stations. This view is based on:
• the long lead times associated with new nuclear power stations;
• the financial incentives for the private sector to meet the demands
created by the building of new nuclear power stations; and
• the facilitative work that Government, the academic sector and
industry are undertaking to support skills development in the
relevant sectors.
Therefore, the Government believes that the supply of skills and supply
chain capacity do not provide a reason to prevent energy companies
from investing in new nuclear power stations.
Question 13
Do you agree or disagree with the Government’s views on the
supply chain and skills capacity? What are your reasons? Are
there any significant considerations that you believe are
missing? If so, what are they?
117. The private sector has made no proposals to reprocess spent fuel from
any new nuclear power stations.
118. The Government has concluded that any nuclear power stations
that might be built in the UK should proceed on the basis that spent fuel
will not be reprocessed and that accordingly waste management plans
and financing should proceed on this basis.
Question 14
Do you agree or disagree with the Government’s views on
reprocessing? What are your reasons? Are there any significant
considerations that you believe are missing? If so, what are they?
Other considerations
119. We recognise that making a decision on the potential role of nuclear
power is a complex issue, and that there are many issues that need to
be considered.
Question 15
Are there any other issues or information that you believe need to be
considered before taking a decision on giving energy companies the
option of investing in nuclear power stations? And why?
121. Within this framework, we think it is likely that energy companies will come
forward with proposals for new nuclear power stations, although we cannot predict
this with certainty. Their decisions will be affected by their view on the underlying
costs of new investments, their expectations of future electricity, fuel and carbon
prices, expected closures of existing power stations and the development time for
new power stations. We cannot know all of these things today and believe we
should reflect this uncertainty by having a diversified approach in our energy policy.
This will reduce the risks associated with this uncertainty, for example, by
preventing over-reliance on a limited number of technologies.
122. The Government believes that, given the many uncertainties in the
energy market over the coming decades, not allowing energy companies the
option of investing in new nuclear power stations would increase the risks of
not achieving our long-term climate change and energy security goals, and if
we were to achieve them, it would be at higher costs.
123. Having reviewed the evidence, the Government’s preliminary view is that
the advantages of giving the private sector the widest choice of investment
options, including nuclear power stations, outweigh the disadvantages. Moreover,
we believe that through the regulatory protections already in place, and other
risk mitigation approaches described in this document, the risks can be
effectively managed.
Question 16
In the context of tackling climate change and ensuring
energy security, do you agree or disagree that it would
be in the public interest to give energy companies the
option of investing in new nuclear power stations?
205
Question 18
Do you think these are the right facilitative actions to reduce the
regulatory and planning risks associated with such investments?
Are there any other measures that you think the Government
should consider?
129. If after these consultations, we confirm our preliminary view that energy
companies should be allowed to invest in new nuclear power stations, we will
set this out in a further Energy White Paper later this year.
133. New nuclear power stations are therefore unlikely to make a significant
contribution to the need for new capacity before 2020. Even with our
expectation that the share of renewables will grow, it is likely that fossil fuel
generation will meet some of this need.
134. However, beyond that date there are still significant amounts of new
capacity needed; for example in 2023 one third or 3GW of our nuclear capacity
will still be operational, based on published lifetimes. Given the likely increase
in fossil fuel generation before this date, it is important that as much of this
capacity as possible is replaced with low carbon technologies. Nuclear power
stations could make an important contribution to this need and make a
contribution to our energy security.
The document also sets out the evidence and information that we have
considered and the preliminary conclusions that we have reached following
our assessment of this evidence. We invite respondents to consider the
evidence we have presented, and to comment on the following questions:
233 Our conservative assumption is that for the first new nuclear plant the pre-construction period would last
around 8 years (to secure the necessary consents) and the construction period would last around 5
208 years. For subsequent plants this is assumed to be 5 and 5 years respectively.
15. Are there any other issues or information that you believe
need to be considered before taking a decision on giving energy
companies the option of investing in nuclear power stations?
And why?
17. Are there other conditions that you believe should be put in
place before giving energy companies the option of investing in
new nuclear power stations? (for example, restricting build to
the vicinity of existing sites, or restricting build to approximately
replacing the existing capacity)
18. Do you think these are the right facilitative actions to reduce
the regulatory and planning risks associated with such
investments? Are there any other measures that you think the
Government should consider?
We will consider carefully the responses we get and this will enable us to
take a decision on nuclear power later in the year.
The Government will give greater consideration to the arguments and evidence
than to simple expressions of support or opposition to new nuclear power
stations when considering responses to this consultation and whether to
confirm our preliminary view.
The consultation began on 23 May 2007 and will close on 10 October 2007.
Online
Visit our website at http://www.direct.gov.uk/nuclearpower2007. The online
consultation has been designed to make it easy to submit responses to the
questions. On registration you will be provided with a user name and
password to enable you to edit or update your submission as many times
as you wish whilst the consultation is open.
If you are responding on paper you can use the response form which is
available on request by contacting the DTI Publications Orderline (the address
is on page 37).
211
Consultation events
In addition, over the next few months we want to meet with representatives
from NGOs, industry, local authorities and many other organisations. These
meetings will enable us to explore in more detail the views of interested
parties.
In view of this it would be helpful if you could explain to us why you regard
the information you have provided as confidential. If we receive a request for
212
The Department will process your personal data in accordance with the DPA
and in the majority of circumstances this will mean that your personal data
will not be disclosed to third parties.
Additional copies
You may make copies of this document without seeking permission. Further
printed copies of the consultation document or copies of the response form
can be obtained from:
Copies of the document in Welsh, Braille, large print and audio are also
available on request from the Orderline. An electronic version can be found at
http://www.direct.gov.uk/nuclearpower2007. A Welsh version of the
document will be available at the same address.
213
214
6.1 The Government and industry are already investing in low carbon energy
technologies and we will continue to work together to overcome the barriers
to development and deployment. The development and deployment of new
technologies requires effective infrastructure, well-targeted funding, and the
skills to bring forward a low carbon energy future.
6.2 Without support new energy technologies are unlikely to develop within
the timescales necessary to reduce the risks of climate change. There are
several reasons for this. Firstly, there are significant costs and risks in energy
technology innovation including the long time periods involved in
development. Secondly, it is difficult for new technologies to displace existing
energy sources which are usually cheaper to produce and often benefit from
the economies of scale from widespread deployment. Thirdly, displacing
existing technologies is made all the more difficult if the cost of carbon is
not adequately reflected in the price we pay for energy.
216 235 The Stern Review – The Economics of Climate Change. Nicholas Stern, 2006.
6.7 Market pull comes by providing the market mechanisms and incentives
that help create the demand for the wider deployment of new technologies.
One of the most obvious examples is the Renewables Obligation which has
been very effective at deploying new renewables technologies to produce
electricity; there is now over 2GW of wind power connected to the grid.
218
6.12 New technologies can also help us to use energy more efficiently, by
improving the efficiency of buildings, vehicles, power generation and
distribution. Advanced demand management techniques allow us to monitor
and regulate the use of energy, from smart meters in the home to the wide-
scale distribution of electricity. Innovation can help us to use less energy by
improving the efficiency of products. New technologies involving insulation
could improve the emissions from buildings (the UK housing stock is currently
responsible for around 27% of all carbon emissions in the UK). Further details
on saving energy can be found in chapter 2.
238 The Low Carbon Transport Innovation Strategy is detailed in chapter 7. 219
6.14 The emerging technologies which could offer the most potential to the
UK are shown in Table 6.1. This also indicates the stage of development of
each of them. The development timescales in some cases are long, covering
decades rather than years.
Wave and tidal For electricity – tidal Leading wave and tidal-
barrage could also be stream technologies at
integrated with demonstration stage.
transport infrastructure Tidal barrage is a mature
and coastal protection technology
220
Hydrogen and fuel cells Fuel cells – distributed Fuel cells for portable power
stationary power in, e.g. laptops and mobile
generation, CHP, phones are at early
transport, portable deployment stage. Other
power. technologies are at the early
Hydrogen – transport, demonstration phase and
heating, and possibly further R&D is required to
balancing intermittent deliver major cost reductions
renewables for power and improved performance
generation in remote
situations
Battery technologies For use in vehicles with Partial to full hybrid systems
hybrid systems as well currently entering the market,
as fully battery driven purely battery vehicles at the
demonstration phase or in
niche applications
221
Fusion has been achieved in JET (the Joint European Torus) in Culham,
Oxfordshire, and has resulted in the release of significant amounts of
fusion energy in a controlled manner for very short periods. JET, which
began operation in 1983, is the flagship of the European Fusion
Programme.
239 Energy Research Partnership, Investigation into high-level skills shortages in the energy sector, March 2007
http://www.energyresearchpartnership.org/files/ERP-Skills-Brochure.pdf 223
6.22 Applied research in the development stage benefits from substantial and
increasing UK and EU sources of funding. See chapter 1 for information on
the EU Framework Programme (FP). The current programme, FP7, has
allocated €2.3 billion (or £1.6 billion 240) for energy innovation over 7 years
from 2006.
6.25 Some of the world’s biggest energy companies are already involved in
this unique venture and helping to drive the initiative forward – BP, E.ON UK,
Shell, EDF Energy, Rolls-Royce, Caterpillar, and Scottish and Southern Energy
Group. The funding contribution of members of the Institute, matched by
Government, provides it with a budget of a minimum of around £600 million
over a lifetime of a minimum of 10 years. Additional private sector partners
are being identified to match the Government’s commitment of up to £550
million over the next decade.
6.27 In selecting areas for investment, the Institute will be looking both for
technical viability and commercial attractiveness. Consequently, part of its
remit will be to consider longer-term energy market scenarios. This work will
be informed by technology “roadmaps” covering all stages of the innovation
system developed by DTI, the Energy Research Partnership and the UK
Energy Research Centre amongst others. The Institute will play an important
role in identifying and supporting the development of the technologies
available to achieve our targets for 2050 and beyond. By regularly updating
the market scenarios and technology roadmaps it will be able to provide
strategic direction and pull for the work funded in UK universities by the
Research Councils’ Energy Programme.
6.28 The R&D will be carried out in centres of excellence across the UK and
overseas. In deciding the Institute’s programme of work it will pay particular
attention to the technical and commercial viability of a technology, as well as
existing work underway elsewhere around the world.
6.29 From July 2007 the DTI Technology Programme will be directed by a
new executive body, the Technology Strategy Board, set up to drive forward
the Government’s Technology Strategy. The Technology Strategy Board will
work closely with the Energy Technologies Institute to align the direction of
funding of low carbon energy technologies. Requests for proposals for low
carbon energy projects will be handled under existing arrangements during
2007 to ensure a smooth transition from the existing Technology Programme.
6.30 Other organisations are also active in funding development and other
parts of the innovation chain. The Carbon Trust, an independent company
funded by Government, works with research institutions and industry to
identify and help accelerate innovative low carbon technologies. They offer
a variety of mechanisms of support including grants for R&D; strategic and
business development advice to start-up companies; funding to overcome
barriers to commercialisation; and technical expertise and venture capital
investment for low carbon businesses.
225
Since 1999, the Government has through the DTI, Research Councils and
the Carbon Trust programmes committed in excess of £100 million
funding to support RD&D of marine technologies. This includes support
for new infrastructure such as the European Marine Energy Centre in
Orkney, which provides dedicated testing facilities for marine energy
technologies and the proposed “Wave hub” in the South West which
could host a number of wave power projects.
6.32 In June 2006, the Government announced the creation of a new cross-
Government fund to invest in low carbon energy and energy efficiency
technologies. Led by Defra, DTI and DfID the Environmental Transformation
Fund brings together the Government’s work within the UK and internationally
to support, amongst other things, the demonstration and deployment of new
energy technologies, and to promote the better use of energy. An
international section of the ETF will support development and poverty
226 reduction through environmental protection in developing countries, including
6.34 The Fund will open in April 2008. Funding of £800 million for the
international element of ETF was announced in the 2007 Budget, for the three
years from April 2008-2011. Details of the domestic element over the same
period will be announced during 2007, in the context of the Comprehensive
Spending Review.
Hydrogen and fuel cells (which can be powered from hydrogen) are linked
technologies with significant carbon-saving potential where the hydrogen
is produced from renewable or low carbon sources.
A new UK demonstration programme has been launched and the first call
for proposals opened in September 2006. The programme offers a total
of £15 million funding over three years for hydrogen and fuel cells. Basic
research is being supported by the Research Councils, including the
directed programme SUPERGEN, which is funding separate consortia
working on hydrogen and fuel cells. The European Commission is
227
expected to come forward with proposals later this year, for a Fuel Cell
and Hydrogen Joint Technology Initiative to support further applied
research and demonstration activities of these technologies. The use of
hydrogen as a transport fuel is also considered in chapter 7.
6.35 There are various mechanisms to support the deployment of low carbon
technologies in all sectors. These include the Renewables Obligation, the EU
Emissions Trading Scheme, the Climate Change Levy and the Renewable
Transport Fuels Obligation (from 2008). These mechanisms either help reduce
the operating costs and therefore make technologies competitive in the
market or penalise those technologies that have high emissions. The
Government also intervenes to address barriers to deployment, for example
through the reforms to planning procedures which are discussed in chapter 8.
6.36 Building credible long-term frameworks for tackling climate change are a
key part of providing clear long-term signals to industry about the future path
of emissions. Establishing a price for carbon gives industry certainty about the
value of emissions reductions while trading mechanisms such as EU ETS
allow cost effective sharing of the burden of reducing carbon emissions.
A biomass Combined Heat and Power (CHP) facility at Balcas Timber, near
Enniskillen in Northern Ireland, was commissioned in 2005 and has
benefited from £2 million of capital grant funding from DTI.
The company sees the potential for replication of the project elsewhere in
the UK and announced in November 2006 plans for a £24 million plant at
Invergordon, with funding from Highland and Islands Enterprise. As well
as being carbon neutral and a direct replacement for fossil-fuels, biofuel
pellets are generally a cost-effective source of heat compared with oil.
228
6.40 Recruitment and training are key to developing a new workforce but
there is the additional challenge of transferring knowledge and experience
from the older generation. This is important because, even though new
technologies are being introduced, a significant proportion of today’s power
stations, gas terminals, refineries, transmission and distribution systems will
be in operation beyond 2025, albeit with more advanced and cleaner
equipment. We shall also of course see significant new investment in power
stations and in transmission and distribution networks.
241 Skills: Getting on in business, getting on at work. White Paper, March 2005 and 14-19 Education and
Skills White Paper February 2005.
242 Leitch Review of Skills. Prosperity for all in the Global Economy – World Class Skills. December 2006.
243 Cogent is the Sector Skills Council for the oil and gas, nuclear and chemical process sectors.
244 Investigation into high-level skills shortages in the energy sector. Energy Research Partnership, March
2007 (http://www.energyresearchpartnership.org/files/ERP-Skills-Brochure.pdf)
245 Sector Skills Agreements published by Cogent and Energy & Utility Skills 229
6.43 In cases where skills shortages become acute, training might not be able
to fill immediate vacancies in time. Also, as older workers retire, know-how
and experience will be lost. Immigration may have to play a part in maintaining
the skills base in the short term and the Government will therefore ensure that
work permit policy can respond to requests for recruitment from overseas
when labour market tightness indicates that it is necessary. However, this will
not provide a long-term solution to the problem; the international demand for
skills is increasing and the UK will not be able to rely solely on immigration to
supply large numbers of workers. Nor would we want to be reliant on
overseas workers in place of developing our own people. Therefore, overseas
recruitment will be only part of the solution to bolster experience levels whilst
the skills of the UK workforce are further developed.
As might be expected from the age profile, the energy workforce is less
diverse than the wider population. Overall, only around 25% of the energy
workforce is female, compared to 43% nationally, and only around 4% are
from a black/ethnic minority background versus 8% for the whole
economy. Employers are now recruiting from a wider range of
backgrounds and the proportion of women and ethnic minorities is
increasing, although progress is not uniform. In companies that have made
good progress, for example those specialising in engineering design and
project management, diversity is working through to team leader and
senior professional jobs.
Investing in education
6.46 As well as continuing to invest in and improve the teaching of science,
engineering and technology for all schools, the Government will work to
increase the numbers of female students and those from ethnic minorities
taking these subjects, support initiatives to increase apprenticeships, and
encourage more students to study science and technology subjects at
university. The Government will ensure that education and training policy,
including the initiatives that result from the Leitch Review, are informed and
guided by energy sector issues.
6.48 The energy sector has two Sector Skills Councils, Cogent (for oil and
gas, nuclear, refining and the chemical industries) and Energy & Utility Skills
(for power generation, gas and electricity transmission and distribution), plus
a training board (The Engineering Construction Industry Training Board) that
covers the design and construction of capital plant.
6.49 Trade unions are represented on the Boards of the Sector Skills Councils
– Unison on the Energy and Utility Skills Board; Transport and General
Workers’ Union, Prospect and Amicus on the Cogent Board. This gives trade
unions a key role to play in helping to direct, with employers, the strategic
skills agenda, as well as the valuable role they play in encouraging skills
development at local level.
231
Ambition Energy, a scheme led by Energy & Utility Skills that trained 2500
long-term unemployed to become Corgi-registered gas installers in the
period 2002-2006, has provided a model example of how to address skills
shortages by non-traditional routes of entry. Elements of both the Power
Academy and Ambition Energy can be seen in power sector schemes
being introduced in the USA to mitigate the impending retirement of the
baby boom generation.
6.50 Several Sector Skills Councils are making use of additional Government
support to develop National Skills Academies for their sector. These will
provide a central focus for workforce development and will ensure that all
employers have access to the best quality training. Some details are given
in Box 6.7.
Applications led by Cogent for the National Skills Academy for Nuclear and
separately for the Process Industries were given approval to progress to
the development stage at the end of October 2006. The employer-led
Academies will seek to deliver a coherent skills strategy that will address
the specific needs of the nuclear industry (around 20% of the UK’s
electricity currently comes from nuclear power), and chemical process
sectors. The Academy for nuclear intends, in its early years, to deliver 800
apprenticeships and around 150 Foundation Degrees for new entrants to
the industry, while re-training or up-skilling 4000 existing employees each
year to NVQ levels 2 - 4.
Energy & Utility Skills has begun a review, with its industry stakeholders,
of the long-term skills needs and the potential benefits of National Skills
Academies for the power and gas sectors. The Engineering Construction
Industry Training Board submitted a proposal for a national Skills Academy
earlier this year.
232
6.55 We shall continue to work with the energy industry, the Sector Skills
Councils, and other interested parties to ensure that the job market is able to
provide the skills to match the deployment of new technologies. We are
asking the Sector Skills Councils to report on the skills gaps in the energy
sector and action being taken to address them.
234
Transport
Introduction
As the economy grows and becomes more globalised,
with more goods and services moving ever greater
distances, the importance of transport increases. The
recent Eddington Study showed that a good transport
network is key in sustaining economic success, linking
people to jobs, delivering products to markets and
supporting domestic and international trade.
7.2 The latest DTI projections suggest that, without the further measures
included in this White Paper, domestic transport emissions may well continue
to rise gradually to 2020246. Longer-term projections suggest there is then
some potential for emissions to fall, associated with continued improvements
in energy efficiency and greater penetration of more fuel efficient and lower
carbon vehicles247.
7.3 There are a range of measures we can now take to address transport's
carbon emissions in both the short and longer-term. For transport to reduce its
climate change impacts we need to enable smarter, more energy efficient use
of transport and we need to reduce carbon emissions by bringing about
changes in the types of vehicles and fuels we use. In addition to this, these
policies to reduce transport's reliance on oil, diversify transport technology and
improve fuel efficiency will also deliver improved security of energy supply.
246 This includes road, rail and freight journeys as well as the aviation and shipping journeys that start and
end in the UK. The projections include only firm and funded measures. See DTI: Updated Energy and
Carbon Emissions Projections, May 2007, http//:www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
247 DTI: The MARKAL Model in the 2007 Energy White Paper, http//:www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper, and
PSI: Final Report on DTI-DEFRA Scenarios and Sensitivities using the UK MARKAL and MARKAL-Macro
Energy System Models, http:// www.ukerc.ac.uk/content/view/142/112 235
Transport
7.4 This chapter:
• sets out the potential for emissions reductions in transport for both the
near and long-term;
• describes measures to be taken within the UK, the EU and internationally
to bring about emissions reductions from transport;
• explains the importance of new low carbon transport technologies and
measures to support these; and
• sets out policies which will enable individuals to make smarter, lower
carbon, travel choices.
7.6 We must not forget that the challenge is global. Transport services,
vehicles and the fuels that power them are internationally traded goods. It is
essential we show leadership through our domestic policies so we can have
credibility and influence at an international level.
7.10 This does not mean that short-term action to address emissions from
transport is not necessary or will have no effect. Indeed existing transport
policies, as set out in Climate Change The UK Programme 2006, will mean
that emissions from transport will be 15% lower in 2010 than if we had not
put the programme in place. But it does underline the importance of taking
early opportunities to cut emissions while also laying the longer-term
foundations for low carbon transport technologies.
%
10
0
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
-80
-90
-100
year
7.11 As set out in the Energy Review Report, the Government is working
to tackle emissions from transport by: reducing the carbon content of fuel;
reducing the carbon emissions of vehicles; encouraging moves towards
more environmentally friendly transport and, where appropriate, using
emissions trading.
7.12 Our package of measures seeks to balance the demand for transport
and the need for mobility against ensuring that the costs of climate change
are met. A variety of mechanisms such as emissions trading 251 can ensure
that an overall environmental objective is achieved cost-effectively to sustain
productivity and economic growth, and that transport contributes to our
international policy goals.
251 See chapter 1 for details on international emissions trading schemes and flexible mechanisms such as
the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). 237
Transport
7.13 Since its publication, the Stern Review has moved the international
debate on tackling climate change further forward, and its policy framework is
a useful way of presenting and understanding the Government's policies on
transport emissions:
• Carbon Pricing – through tax, trading or regulation e.g. fuel duty, aviation
in EU ETS, the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation;
• Technology Policy e.g. the Low Carbon Transport Innovation Strategy
(LCTIS), Voluntary Agreements with manufacturers on new car carbon
emissions (VAs);
• Behavioural Change e.g. through investment in public transport, fiscal
incentives, further development of smarter travel choices, supported by
information and communication campaigns, and social research.
7.16 The Energy Review Report set out the substantial progress that had
been made during the UK’s Presidency of the EU to include the sector in the
EU ETS. Since then the European Commission has published legislative
proposals to include aviation in the EU ETS (see Box 7.1 for details). The UK
welcomed this and will continue to support the debate in Europe on aviation’s
incorporation into the EU ETS. Our aim is to ensure its inclusion in a robust
and environmentally efficient way, as soon as possible.
7.17 We have now begun working with other Member States on the details
of the legislation. To help inform our negotiating position, the Government
launched a public consultation on 30 March 2007 and we will continue to
consult with industry and international partners as the negotiations progress.
Once the legislation has been adopted, we will use our influence to ensure it
is implemented appropriately and that the necessary monitoring and reporting
structures are in place.
7.18 As part of our ongoing consultation we will consider the potential impact
for UK carbon emissions. However, for illustrative purposes, our indicative
238 analysis suggests that, considering the contribution of domestic flights only
252 This is an illustrative estimate of the carbon emissions gap accounted for by UK domestic aviation in 2020
assuming a cap set at 2005 emissions in line with the current Commission proposal. This is based on
published DfT carbon emissions forecasts for 2020 under different scenarios and Defra 2005 actual data.
253 The 1944 Chicago Convention established the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) and is the
international treaty that governs civil aviation. 239
Transport
7.21 The UK’s policy on aviation was set out in the 2003 Aviation White
Paper and subsequent progress report (see Box 7.2).
The Future of Air Transport White Paper set out a long-term strategy for
the sustainable development of air travel to 2030, recognising growing
aspirations to travel as well as the needs of our economy and the need to
protect our environment.
240
Fiscal Measures
7.26 When deciding which policy is most appropriate in addressing
environmental challenges, the Government must use the most effective
instrument, for example, regulation, voluntary agreements or fiscal measures.
The Government set out details of how environmental policy should be
developed in HM Treasury’s 2002 publication, Tax and the environment.
7.27 The Government has already demonstrated its willingness to use fiscal
measures to contribute to achieving its environmental goals in transport:
• fuel duty is a tax on vehicle use, sending a clear environmental signal to
motorists that driving less fuel efficient vehicles will be more expensive;
• in 2002, Company Car Tax was reformed to make it carbon-based; and
• Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) was reformed so that from March 2001 it
became graduated by carbon emissions. Budget 2006 reduced vehicle
excise duty for the lowest emission cars to zero. The UK’s VED structure
has been recognised by others as a template to follow with recent
announcements by both the German and Portuguese governments on
their intention to re-structure their equivalent VED taxes to reflect the
carbon emissions of vehicles.
7.28 Coupled with these initiatives to encourage the use of more fuel
efficient vehicles, there are also duty incentives for motorists to use
alternative fuels such as road fuel gases, and biofuels.
241
Transport
Biofuels and the Renewable Transport Fuel
Obligation (RTFO)
7.31 The use of biomass to produce biofuels for road transport has significant
scope to deliver carbon savings as well as other environmental, social and
economic benefits. For this reason, the Government announced in November
2005 that it would introduce a Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation (RTFO) to
require transport fuel suppliers to ensure 5% of total fuel sales are from
renewable sources by 2010/11. This represents around 2.5 billion litres of fuel
per annum and is expected to come almost entirely from biofuels. We
estimate that at this level, the RTFO will save an estimated 1 million tonnes
of carbon each year, the equivalent of removing around 1 million cars from
our roads 254.
7.32 As confirmed by Budget 2007, the RTFO will be the UK's primary
mechanism to develop a healthy market for transport biofuels, as well as
delivering the objectives of the EU Biofuels Directive 255. Alongside the RTFO
the Government offers a 20 pence per litre duty incentive on biofuels, which
will be maintained until at least 2009 -2010.
7.33 The Government made clear in the Energy Review Report that it intends
to increase the level of the RTFO beyond 5% after 2010/11, provided certain
conditions are met:
• confidence that the biofuels will be produced in a sustainable way, so that
they deliver the maximum practicable carbon savings with the minimum
practicable adverse environmental impact;
• certainty that the use of blends of biofuel higher than 5% will not lead to
mechanical problems, particularly for owners of older cars which were not
designed to run on such mixtures 256; and
• confidence that the costs to consumers will be acceptable, both in terms
of fuel prices at the pump, and in terms of wider economic impacts,
including for example the impacts on food prices and other industries
which make use of similar feedstocks.
7.35 Before increasing the level of the RTFO beyond 5%, the Government
will want to be satisfied that this would represent an effective use of our
biomass resources. We estimate that, should the Obligation be raised to 10%
by 2015 subject to the conditions above being met, then the UK could save
254 This estimate takes into account emissions from the production and processing of biofuels that are
produced overseas but used in the UK. However, these emissions will also be counted in other
countries' emissions inventories. Consequently the reduction to be made against the UK’s national
inventory as reported to the UNFCCC is 1.6MtC.
255 More information on the EU Directive can be found at:
http://europa.eu.int/eur-lex/pri/en/oj/dat/2003/l_123/l_12320030517en00420046.pdf
256 The European Committee for Standardisation is the group responsible for technical specifications of fuels
to be used in cars and lorries across Europe. They are currently looking into the technical difficulties of
introducing biofuel blends above the current 5% limit to the existing and ageing vehicle fleet.
242 257 Details of the consultation can be found at www.dft.gov.uk/consultations/open/draftrtfo/
7.37 Biofuels also form a part of the EU’s climate change and energy policy.
In March 2007, the European Council agreed, amongst other things, a binding
target of a 20% share of renewable energies in overall EU consumption by
2020. This applies to electricity and heat as well as biofuels. The agreement
also commits the EU to a binding target of reducing greenhouse gas
emissions by 20% by 2020 and by 30% in the context of international action.
The Commission has been asked to bring forward detailed proposals for each
Member State’s contribution to the overall EU targets. After a decision has
been reached, and each Member State has agreed its contribution, we will
bring forward appropriate policies to deliver the UK’s share.
7.38 The European Council agreement recognised the need to satisfy the
conditions referred to in paragraph 750. The agreement includes the cost-
effective introduction of a 10% by energy content biofuels target by 2020,
subject to production being sustainable, second-generation biofuels becoming
commercially available and the Fuel Quality Directive being amended
accordingly to allow for adequate levels of blending. The UK will continue to
work closely with European partners in developing these initiatives further. In
particular, we shall need to respond to the Commission's proposals for
revising the Biofuels Directive and for implementing the EU biofuel targets.
258 Illustrative analysis that does not prejudge later UK decisions on the appropriate level. Estimate
represents a 10% Obligation by 2015 under central oil price assumptions, and is additional to carbon
savings from a 5% Obligation by 2010. This estimate takes into account emissions from the production
and processing of biofuels.
259 Oleo-chemicals are chemicals derived from biological oils or fats.
260 The Biomass Strategy will be published alongside the White Paper and can be found at
http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/index.htm 243
Transport
Successor to EU Voluntary Agreements on new car
fuel efficiency
7.40 The Government recognises the need to provide clear market signals
that incentivise industry to innovate and develop more environmentally
friendly transport technology. Given the international nature of the automotive
industry, our focus is to drive change through the EU. To this end we will
continue to work with the European Commission and other interested parties
on developing successor arrangements to the current Voluntary Agreements
on new car fuel efficiency, which expire in 2008/9.
7.43 There is a lot of further work to be done before any final decisions are
taken, including on the appropriate level of the fuel efficiency target and how
that target should be implemented. Final decisions will be subject to full and
open consultation with interested parties.
261 The summary of the responses can be found on the DfT website at:
244 http://www.dft.gov.uk/consultations/closed/reducingnewcarco2emissions/
7.45 We will continue to work with the Commission, other Member States
and all interested parties with the objective of securing a Europe-wide
regulatory regime that is compatible with these principles. We are optimistic
that a satisfactory framework will be delivered. Our analysis suggests that in
the UK we could save 1.8-4.1MtC per year by 2020, depending on the extent
of fuel efficiency improvements we achieve 262.
7.47 To achieve the kind of fuel efficiency improvement outlined above will
require considerable innovation. The private sector will need to sustain and
enhance its investment in vehicle technologies to improve their environmental
performance, the Government needs to provide the frameworks that support
and stimulate this investment, as well as encouraging a successful entry to
market of low carbon technologies.
262 llustrative estimate reflecting annual improvements in new car fuel efficiency of 1.5%–3.6% p.a. Actual
efficiency improvements will depend on the level of target set at EU level and application in the UK.
263 DfT: Low Carbon Transport Innovation Strategy, http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/scienceresearch/technology/ 245
Transport
frameworks such as carbon pricing and fuel efficiency standards, but also
Government funding aimed at accelerating the development and market
penetration of new lower carbon technologies.
7.50 Accordingly:
• DfT will contribute an additional £5 million per annum to the low carbon
transport theme of the Energy Technologies Institute 264 – ensuring transport
is at the heart of the Government's strategy to accelerate the development
of secure, reliable and cost-effective low carbon energy technologies;
• in conjunction with the Technology Strategy Board (TSB), DfT and EPSRC
will help finance and develop a new Low Carbon Vehicle Innovation
Platform 265 providing critical coordination and up to £30 million of support
from 2008/09 for UK technology research aimed at accelerating the
development of relevant technology. Assuming the Innovation Platform
develops successfully we would envisage extending the programme to
run over a number of years;
• with initial funding of £20 million, DfT will develop a new programme of
public sector procurement to promote and support low carbon vehicle
development, including small fleet demonstrations to provide early
markets for new innovative lower carbon vehicle technologies; and,
• to ensure that Government leads by example we have set a fleet average
car procurement target of 130gCO2/km by 2010/11 for new cars
purchased by Government and used for administrative operations. We will
keep the target under review and look to extend the scope of this target
following further analysis.
264 See chapter 6 for more information on the Energy Technologies Institute (ETI).
265 Innovation Platforms are schemes designed to bring Government and funders together with the business
and research community in order to address a major market driven and societal challenge. Existing
Innovation Platforms include work on intelligent transport systems and services, in the context of road
congestion. More information can be found at:
http://www.dti.gov.uk/innovation/technologystrategy/innovation_platforms/index.html
266 E4tech: A Review of the UK Innovation System for Low Carbon Road Transport Technologies, March 2007,
is being published alongside the LCTIS and is available in full at
246 http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/scienceresearch/technology
7.55 For aviation the Government is already providing around £45 million
per year, match-funded by industry, for the National Aerospace Technology
Strategy (NATS) to help develop the technologies to maintain UK
competitiveness in aerospace. This is in addition to the £5 million that is
being provided for the OMEGA project (Opportunities for Meeting the
Environmental Challenges of Growth in Aviation) looking at radical options to
mitigate the climate impacts of aviation. The EU Framework Programme 7,
commencing this year, will also provide significant aerospace backing,
including a major new Clean Sky Joint Technology Initiative combining EU
and aerospace industry funding.
267 AEA Energy and Environment: Low Carbon Commercial Shipping, February 2007,
http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/scienceresearch/technology 247
Transport
Encouraging Behavioural Change
7.58 The Stern Review noted that a third important dimension to the policy
framework required to reduce emissions is to enable people to adopt low
carbon behaviours. The policies presented below are aimed at achieving this
through raising awareness of the issues and identifying and removing barriers
to behavioural change.
7.60 As part of this commitment to providing real alternatives to the car, local
and central Government are now spending around two and a half billion
pounds a year to provide bus services. The Government is also extending the
scope of Concessionary Bus Travel across England, guaranteeing everyone
aged 60 and over and disabled people, free off-peak travel on all local buses
anywhere in England from April 2008.
7.62 Putting Passengers First also highlighted the potential case for
refocusing bus subsidy to provide a more direct linkage with the
Government's priorities of tackling congestion, improving the environment
and accessibility. The DfT is considering these issues further with interested
parties, including the scope for refocusing the current subsidy based on fuel
consumption into one which is more directly linked to performance and
environmental outcomes.
7.63 In addition to the investment outlined above, the Government has also
earmarked up to £200 million per year from the Transport Innovation Fund to
support packages of measures that combine demand management such as
road pricing, with modal shift, smarter travel choices and better bus
services 270. Already ten areas have been awarded more than £14 million of
pump-priming funding to support the development of proposals. The first bids
are expected to be submitted in July 2007. These proposals are expected to
reduce carbon and other emissions by improving services and reducing road
congestion.
268 DfT: Ten-year European Rail Growth Trends: A study by the Association of Train Operating Companies,
http://www.atoc-comms.org/admin/userfiles/
Ten%20Year%20European%20Rail%20Growth%20Trends%20July%202006.pdf
269 DfT: Putting Passengers First, http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/regional/buses/secputtingpassengersfirst
248 270 DfT: Transport Innovation Fund, http://www.dft.gov.uk/pgr/regional/tif/
7.65 Local authorities are the key delivery agents for using Smarter Choices,
primarily through the land-use planning system and as part of their 5 year
Local Transport Plans (LTPs). The Government is also supporting the work of
the new National Business Travel Network to encourage more businesses to
develop voluntary travel plans which can reduce car use to the workplace.
7.66 By 2008, the Government will have provided over £100 million of
support for its Travelling to School Initiative. The initiative's objective is to
ensure every school in England has an active travel plan in place by 2010.
The funding includes £7.5 million each year to fund a network of 250 local
authority based travel advisers to work with schools and help them develop
and implement school travel plans. By summer 2007 over 50% of schools in
England are expected to have an approved school travel plan and more than
£70 million in small capital grants will have been allocated.
7.67 In March 2007 the DfT announced the results of its new scheme to
encourage more primary school children to walk to school through “walking
buses” or alternative walking initiatives. There was an extremely good
response with more than 3,200 primary schools in England (more than 1 in 6)
being awarded a grant. As a result, we expect to see the number of walking
buses across England triple, with significant health, environmental and
congestion benefits. The Government has also published Walking and cycling:
Links to Schools, which promotes to local authorities the success and
achievements of linking residential areas to schools via the National Cycle
Network, helping to demonstrate the possibilities and potential of active
travel.
7.68 As set out in the Energy Review Report the Government has a
continuing commitment to promoting active travel, encouraging people to
view cycling and walking as viable alternatives to the car. The Government
doubled Cycling England's budget in June 2006. And we have now begun
the national roll-out of Bikeability, the new standard for cycle training, taking
cycling proficiency into the 21st Century. The on-road element to this training
will provide greater reassurance about safety to parents and children, and so
further increase cycling.
Transport
has increased by over 10%, with car use among the targeted population
decreasing by a commensurate amount.
7.72 The Smarter Driving strand of the campaign focuses on existing car
drivers and complements the work of the Driving Standards Agency (DSA) to
include eco-safe driving in the L-test for all new drivers from 2008 274. Advice
and training on eco-driving for van and HGV drivers is already provided
through DfT's SAFED (Safe and Efficient Driving) programme.
7.73 The car purchasing element of the campaign will build on the
introduction in 2005 of the colour-coded fuel economy label for new cars,
linked directly to Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) carbon emissions bands now
found in the majority of new car showrooms.
Other measures
7.75 In freight, the Government's Sustainable Distribution Fund successfully
encourages efficient operating practices in the logistics and haulage industry, in
addition to the Government freight grant scheme to encourage the use of rail
and water freight instead of roads. Together these deliver the Government’s
strategy to reduce the environmental impact of freight by minimising the
number of vehicles in use and the impact of the remaining vehicles.
7.77 Aviation carbon offsetting, whilst not a substitute for the Government's
wider policy on aviation, is a valuable complementary measure to raise
awareness and enable the public to mitigate the impacts of their travel. The
Government has taken the lead, introducing an offsetting scheme for all
ministerial and official air travel. The scheme is expected to offset up to
100,000 tonnes of carbon dioxide annually. The Government has also recently
consulted on a Code of Best Practice for offsetting to ensure that schemes
offer a robust and verifiable service for consumers.
7.78 To ensure that the policies outlined above take account of public
attitudes and are targeted in the most appropriate way, we are also
conducting research to improve our understanding of the key issues affecting
public attitudes and travel choices. The DfT has embarked on a long-term
programme of social research that will provide an in depth understanding of
public engagement with climate change issues and transport.
Conclusion
The combination of these policies means transport can contribute to a
substantial reduction in carbon emissions
276 This figure does not include any savings resulting from including international aviation in the EU ETS, the
impact of which on the UK inventory will only be quantifiable when agreement is reached on how to
allocate responsibility for such emissions. It is also worth noting that in 2005 domestic aviation
accounted for only 0.4% of the UK’s total carbon dioxide emissions. 251
Transport
could therefore have a total impact on UK carbon emissions of
2.0-5.5 MtC a year by 2020, and so ensure that the growth in domestic
transport emissions is counteracted.
7.81 In addition to these we would expect further savings from our policies
to encourage behaviour change and promote technology development. For
example, although more difficult to quantify, improvements to public
transport, encouraging people to make more sustainable travel choices and
fleet programmes to demonstrate the potential of new technologies will help
reduce carbon emissions. Finally, we have set out that we will continue to
investigate the costs and benefits of including surface transport in the
EU ETS. Much depends on the detail of how such a scheme was designed,
but our initial analysis suggests that it could reduce UK carbon emissions by
around 1-2MtC per year by 2020.
7.82 The scale of the challenge facing transport is considerable, and success
will rely on all parts of society playing their part: individuals, businesses,
Governments and international organisations such as the EU and the UN. If
we are to succeed we need to secure modern, efficient and clean transport
systems that allow businesses to operate effectively, goods to be transported
efficiently and people to access services and make the most of their leisure
time, all of which needs to be achieved whilst meeting our environmental
objectives.
We will:
• continue to support the European Commission’s recent proposal
to include aviation in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS);
• support a move to demanding mandatory fuel efficiency targets
for new vehicles and lead efforts to ensure that the inclusion of
surface transport in the EU Emissions Trading Scheme is given
serious consideration;
• deliver around 1 million tonnes of yearly carbon savings through
the Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation and consider the future
evolution of the obligation in the light of consultation responses
and the EU biofuels targets;
• invest in low carbon technologies through the Energy
Technologies Institute, help support new vehicle technologies
through a new initiative with the Technology Strategy Board, and
use public sector procurement to assist in fleet demonstrations of
new technology; and
• encourage changes in behaviour to reduce emissions from
transport, through fiscal incentives, further development of
smarter travel choices and consumer communications campaigns.
252
Planning
The planning system plays an important role in delivering
the necessary energy infrastructure to meet our national
needs. In so doing, it has to integrate national, regional and
local benefits; economic, environmental and social
objectives; and possible tensions between the interests of
individuals or local communities and the needs of society
as a whole. In The Energy Challenge, the Government set
out the importance of the energy planning system 277 to the
delivery of our energy policy goals and set out proposals
we would take forward to make improvements.
• The cost, delay and uncertainty created by the energy planning system and
the impact on our energy policy goals;
• the causes of this cost, delay and uncertainty;
• the progress we have made in implementing the package of planning
measures set out in The Energy Challenge; and
• how the further and wide ranging planning reforms proposed in the
planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future 278, will
impact on the energy planning system.
8.3 In gas, as our reliance on imports increases, we need more import and
storage infrastructure if we are to maintain reliable and affordable supplies of
energy. If developers cannot secure planning permission for electricity
generation projects and gas supply infrastructure projects in sufficient
numbers in a timely fashion, the UK could be exposed to rising security of
supply risks, with the potential for upward pressure on energy prices.
277 This report uses the term “energy planning system” to refer to the sum of all the different regimes
under which energy infrastructure projects secure consents. In many instances these consents will
be deemed to also grant planning permission.
278 http://www.communities.gov.uk/planningwhitepaper 253
Planning
8.4 The Government has made a number of improvements to the planning
system in recent years, both for decisions taken by local authorities and those
taken by central Government. However it is clear that the context for the
planning system is becoming even more challenging. Although progress has
been made by local authorities in handling planning decisions, more than 65%
of firms in the UK believe that more should be done, and the recent Barker
Review on land-use planning found that there were still major delays
associated with central Government decisions279.
8.5 Planning is consistently one of the top six concerns for inward investors
in the UK280. A 2006 report by Ernst and Young on the relative attractiveness
of countries for investment in renewables found that the UK’s position had
fallen because of concerns about planning issues281.
8.6 The current energy planning system is delivering decisions that have
been extensively considered, and provides for public participation in decision-
making, but there are several key challenges that present risks to achieving
our energy policy goals:
• It can take too long. On average, where a public inquiry has been held it
has taken 3 years to secure consent for electricity infrastructure projects 282;
• It can create too much uncertainty for communities, business and
developers. While consent applications remain undecided it can blight the
local community, affecting local property prices and the potential for other
development. Additional uncertainty is created where planning committees
in local authorities ignore the advice of their planning officers;
• It can be difficult and costly for local government, NGOs and local
people – and particularly people from hard-to-reach groups – to
participate effectively in the process and make their views heard. This
is in part because of the length of time inquiries can take and the expense
involved in participating in them. For example, the direct inquiry costs for
the Sizewell B public inquiry were £30 million283. This means that those
with the most resources, or the best knowledge of the system, can
sometimes have the greatest say in decisions. For other participants, such
as local authorities and community groups, the cost of participation can act
as a disincentive to involvement in the process, reducing the accessibility
of the energy planning system; and
• It can have knock-on effects for the UK energy market and wider
economy. In extreme cases, the cost and uncertainty can deter the private
sector from proposing projects that would improve the reliability of our
supplies and in some cases reduce carbon emissions. Investors may
instead choose to make their investments in other countries, to invest in
lower-risk options such as gas-fired power stations, for which planning
consent has historically been easier to secure, or to delay or postpone
investments. The costs of inquiries ultimately feed into higher prices for
8.8 However, the evidence the Government identified through the Energy
Review process suggests that obtaining planning permission can be a
significant problem285, and that the current planning system is a key
contributing factor.
8.11 Of recent applications that have been considered by local authorities for
gas storage developments, it has taken an average of 25 months from an
application being made to a final decision on a project (including inquiry
processes)287. However, in one case, a decision is still outstanding 36 months
after application288. Extensive delays can create a climate of uncertainty, which
often makes it hard to secure capital for a project, or to continue financing a
project that may be subject to years of delay before a final decision is made.
Delays to new infrastructure projects can also affect the demand/supply
balance for gas, which although not necessarily leading to shortages, can
contribute to higher energy prices.
284 An obligation under European legislation: Consolidated EIA Directive. Directive 85/337/EEC as amended
by 97/11/EC and 2003/35/EC
285 The Energy Challenge, HMG Cmd 6887, July 2006
286 Stublach gas storage project granted permission by Local Authority June 2006, Caythorpe gas storage
project application refused by Local Authority June 2006; Welton gas storage project refused by Local
Authority February 2006; Canvey Island LNG project refused by Local Authority September 2006
287 Aldbrough submitted June 98, final decision February 00 (approved); Holford submitted February 02,
decision May 04 (approved); Welton submitted November 03, decision February 06 (refused)
288 It is important to note that a major factor causing delay in this case (Preesall) was that there were
specific concerns raised about the original environmental information provided by the developer and
whether it was compliant with European requirements. 255
Planning
Impact on electricity infrastructure projects
8.12 Although securing planning permission can be difficult for all types of
electricity generation, our analysis289 shows that low carbon technologies face
particular difficulties. For example it takes on average over 20 months to secure
planning consent for a large onshore windfarm290. In March 2006, there were 24
wind projects, with a combined capacity of 1.2GW that had already been under
consideration in the consent regime for more than 21 months291. In fact at the
start of 2007, 7.2GW of windfarms were awaiting a consent decision292.
8.13 The 7.2GW figure covers all sizes of windfarms and the problem of
delay, cost and uncertainty applies to smaller windfarms as much as bigger
ones. Smaller projects (under 50MW) are consented under the Town and
Country Planning Act system. On average, decisions for smaller windfarms
are taking 10 months in England, 27 months in Wales and 14 months in
Scotland293, against a target in England for local authorities to determine 60%
of all “major applications”294 within 13 weeks.
8.14 As part of our analysis of the nuclear question for the Energy Review
and the consultation document published alongside this White Paper, we
examined the evidence on planning inquiries for nuclear power stations and
found that proposals in the past have also encountered significant delays in
securing planning consent295. For example, the Hinkley Point C public inquiry
lasted more than 180 days and covered many of the same generic health and
safety issues as the Sizewell B inquiry even though it was based on the same
power station design.
• Legal challenge. Legal challenges can also be costly and time consuming
and create extra uncertainty for local communities and developers.
However, there is a clear need to allow legal challenge to ensure decisions
are made in accordance with legal principles and that procedures operated
by decision-makers are fair.
Planning
authorities, and relevant public bodies such as the Environment Agency,
English Heritage and the Highways Agency, as well as with the
determining body, are essential if the project development process is to be
effective and the planning system is able to deliver decisions efficiently.
• Improving the strategic (i.e. national policy) context against which individual
planning decisions should be made;
• introducing more efficient inquiry procedures within the current consent
regimes; and
• more timely decision-making.
8.17 Since the Energy Review Report was published in July 2006 we have
already put in place the following:
8.21 Although the procedures set out in the guidance are not new, it is the
first time they will have been set out in this consolidated form. It is also
intended that the guidance should be of use to statutory consultees300,
environmental interest groups, and anyone with an interest in the energy
planning system, including members of the public.
8.23 The Government believes that proposals for grid upgrades, where they
relate specifically to new generating capacity, should be considered as part of the
same project. Although there are separate application processes for each, where
possible such applications should be considered side-by-side. This assists the
consents process and will help to ensure the timely construction of both power
stations and the overhead lines needed to connect them to the grid. It also means
that where practical, both applications can be considered under the same public
inquiry. The guidance explains how developers should approach this issue.
Planning
8.24 We plan to issue the final version of the guidance in autumn 2007.
• Allowing the use of “design successors” without the need for a renewed
consent 303 ;
• allowing minor changes to existing infrastructure in National Parks and
Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty with the acquiescence of the local
planning authority, without requiring fresh consent;
• maintaining the current requirement for lines within Sites of Special
Scientific Interest to be subject to the full consent process; and
• the costs and benefits assessment of such changes.
8.33 The new Rules also include specific new provisions to cater for inquiries
into applications under the Electricity Act for offshore generating stations.
304 In 2005, the Government introduced new inquiry rules for Major Infrastructure Projects considered under
the Town and Country Planning Act regime. http://www.opsi.gov.uk/si/si2005/20052115.htm
305 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/review/implementation/electricity-act-inquiry/page35205.html
306 These Rules can be found at http://www.opsi.gov.uk/si/si2007/20070841.htm and Guidance to
accompany them at http://www.dti.gov.uk/files/file38845.pdf 261
Planning
Streamlining of onshore gas consents regimes
8.34 The current process for securing consent for gas infrastructure projects
is complex, with various consents routes, and can be very protracted. There is
also concern that not enough weight is placed on the national need for such
infrastructure projects 307. Industry cite the number of decisions that have had
to be appealed as evidence of this, although there may be additional reasons
for applications being turned down.
8.36 We recognise that any changes to legislation would not aid those
projects that are already engaged in the planning system, or which are close
to engaging in it, because we expect it will be two years before the new
regime is operational. However, we remain committed to taking any action
now where we can to make the consenting arrangements more efficient.
Appointment of inspectors
8.38 The appointment of an individual to act as inspector for an inquiry is an
important decision that can have a significant impact on the timely and
efficient running of an inquiry. Any inspector needs to be well versed in the
running of inquiries or similar processes; if they do not adhere to the
procedures as set down in legislation there is a high risk of successful
challenge to the decision on whether or not to grant consent for the project.
8.40 In The Energy Review Report, the Government highlighted that it was
considering a number of options for ensuring timely decision making of
applications for consent to construct important energy infrastructure. The time
taken for Government to make a decision can add considerably to the overall
time needed to secure planning consent. For example, it took over four
months for a decision to be made on granting consent for the Hinkley Point C
power station. An especially lengthy delay followed the second inquiry into
the North-Yorks overhead line, where the Inspector submitted his report in
December 1995 but a decision was not taken until March 1998.
Planning
8.45 The planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future 311,
was published in May 2007. The remainder of this chapter summarises some
of its key proposals that bear on the energy sector.
8.46 A key component of the reforms proposed in the planning White Paper
2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future, is the creation of an independent
infrastructure planning commission (hereafter referred to as “the
commission”). The commission would examine and take decisions on
applications for nationally significant infrastructure projects above statutory
thresholds, as well as projects designated by national policy statements or
Ministers. Under these proposals there would be three main phases for
nationally significant infrastructure:
8.47 In addition, the planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable
Future, proposes:
8.49 National policy statements would be the primary consideration for the
infrastructure planning commission in reaching decisions and provide a
platform for more efficient inquiries and decisions.
8.50 Given their fundamental role in the proposed new system for nationally
significant infrastructure applications, national policy statements will play an
important role in providing certainty to developers of the national case for new
infrastructure. To achieve this they would need to be credible and well-
considered, helping to give them a degree of longevity, given the life of
energy infrastructure. However, they would also need to be sufficiently
flexible to respond to developments in the market. It will be important for the
legitimacy of national policy statements that they are subject to thorough and
effective consultation and to Parliamentary scrutiny. Proposals on this are set
out in the planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future.
8.51 National policy statements would set out the Government’s objectives
for the development of nationally significant infrastructure in a particular
sector and how this could be achieved in a way which integrated economic,
environmental and social objectives. The way in which these objectives would
be considered and integrated may require Strategic Environmental
Assessment, which could be incorporated in a wider Sustainability Appraisal.
They would also:
Planning
8.53 The final structure of the suite of statements likely to be required for the
energy industry has not yet been determined. However, it is expected that an
overarching framework for energy national policy statements, and some sub-
sectoral national policy statements for specific energy technologies, would be
put in place during 2009. Individual statements would contain more
information on, for example, the need for a particular technology, as well as
the generic safety, economic and performance aspects of that technology.
New and emerging technologies, such as carbon capture and storage (CCS),
would, where appropriate, be covered within the suite of energy national
policy statements, when the case for national treatment of such significant
projects has been established. Further details on the Government’s proposals
for the form and timing of national policy statements will be set out after the
consultation on the planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable
Future has concluded.
8.55 However, energy national policy statements are likely to be less specific
in certain respects than for other sectors, because it will not be possible to be
capacity and location-specific; these are matters for potential developers to
consider as part of the Government’s market based approach to energy policy
and energy infrastructure development. With regard to offshore energy, we will
aim to dovetail the national policy statements and the Marine Policy Statement
envisaged under the Marine White Paper, published in March 2007.
8.56 National policy statements will be the primary consideration for the
commission in determining applications for development consent for
nationally significant infrastructure projects. They will also have important
implications for local and regional planning. Where appropriate, national policy
statements would set out the contribution the town and country planning
system would be expected to make to facilitate the delivery of infrastructure.
They will therefore influence planning decisions taken under the Town and
Country Planning Act, such as smaller onshore windfarm projects.
8.57 The current statutory framework for planning requires the preparation of
regional spatial strategies and local development plan documents. At present,
regional planning bodies and local planning authorities must have regard to
national policies and guidance when preparing these regional and local
development plans. The planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a
Sustainable Future proposes that this should be extended to ensure that they
also have regard to proposed national policy statements on infrastructure.
8.58 The Government intends that any national policy statements for the
energy sector would be developed for the whole of Great Britain or the UK as
appropriate. There would be no change to the various devolution settlements
on planning and the management of consent responsibilities in each of the
devolved administrations. The relevant national policies would be developed
266
8.60 The planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future,
therefore proposes that before promoters submit an application, they should
be required to:
• Consult the public and, in particular, affected land owners and local
communities on their proposals before submitting an application to the
commission;
• engage with the affected local authority or authorities on their proposals
from early in the project development process; and
• consult other public bodies, such as statutory environmental and heritage
bodies, regional directors of public health, and relevant highway authorities,
as appropriate.
8.61 The infrastructure planning commission must satisfy itself that the
promoter has carried out adequate consultation before agreeing to consider
an application for development consent for nationally significant infrastructure.
Planning
BOX 8.1 ILLUSTRATIVE THRESHOLDS FOR ENERGY
INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS FOR REFERRAL TO THE
INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING COMMISSION
(a) Power stations generating more than 50MW onshore – the existing
Electricity Act 1989 threshold – and 100MW offshore.
(d) Commercial pipelines of a length that puts them above the existing
Pipelines Act 1962 threshold of 16.093 kilometres/10 miles and licensed
gas transporter pipelines necessary to the operational effectiveness,
reliability and resilience of the gas transmission and distribution network.
Associated works
For energy, the main component of the project (for instance, a gas storage
facility, power station or windfarm) is likely to require associated works
such as gas pipelines, power lines or sub-stations. The planning White
Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future proposes that the
commission would be able to treat major projects holistically, considering
associated works essential to their construction and operation. For
instance overhead lines for power stations or surface access infrastructure
would be considered alongside the main project, where these had been
agreed with network providers. This would simplify matters for developers
and also ensure that the project could be considered in a holistic way by
interested parties.
8.67 The secretariat to the commission would employ individuals with the
necessary technical expertise across the infrastructure sectors that the
infrastructure planning commission would consider. The commission would
also be able to draw on specialist technical advice from external sources
where necessary to assist it in the consideration of particular cases. The
complexity of energy infrastructure may mean that the commission might
need to have dedicated energy planning expertise within its secretariat.
8.71 DTI Ministers currently take decisions on overhead power line consents
and wayleaves. There is a particular issue regarding the future treatment of
projects necessary to the operational effectiveness and resilience of the
electricity transmission and distribution network, which is a critical factor in
the security of our energy supplies.
269
Planning
8.72 The electricity network needs to be robust as new, renewable sources
of electricity generation start to be developed to meet our climate change
objectives. The energy planning system must be able to take into account and
allow for the full implications of the drive towards a greater role for renewable
energy and for a more localised pattern of generation and distribution. Each
link of the electricity network is critical to the effectiveness and resilience of
the network as a whole, and thus to ensuring that we can sustainably and
cheaply transport power from generating stations to customers.
8.74 The Marine (Bill) White Paper published on 15 March set out a new
regime for integrated management of the UK’s seas which complements the
proposals in the planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future.
A new Marine Management Organisation would generally operate as the
consenting body for smaller projects in the marine area. The infrastructure
planning commission would be responsible for decision on proposed offshore
renewable energy developments over a threshold of 100MW. Both bodies will
take decisions within the framework of the marine policy statement and
relevant national policy statements.
Transitional arrangements
8.75 The energy planning system is complex, with a number of different
consenting regimes, which have evolved over time and are not all tailored to
the energy sector as it now stands 312. Simply transferring the current suite of
development consent regimes to the infrastructure planning commission
unchanged would be problematic. It would mean the process would remain
complex and time consuming, potentially limiting the efficiency improvements
that the new system could deliver. Therefore, the Government proposes to
rationalise the different development consent regimes and create, as far as
possible, a unified, single consent regime with a harmonised set of
requirements and procedures.
8.76 Finally, the Government believes that the move to a reformed planning
system will require careful management of transitional arrangements to
ensure that interested parties, including investors, understand the framework
within which they are operating at any given moment and retain confidence
both in the current system and the emerging new system. It is critical to
energy security of supply that investment is not undermined or delayed at a
time when the UK needs significant amounts of new energy infrastructure.
313 More information about the planning system in the UK is available at www.planningportal.gov.uk and
http://www.communities.gov.uk/index.asp?id=1143104 271
Planning
proposal is in line with the relevant regional and local plans and any other
material considerations. National planning policy is set out in Planning Policy
Statements (PPS). PPSs are prepared by the government after public
consultation to explain statutory provisions and provide guidance to local
authorities and others on planning policy and the operation of the planning
system.
8.80 The Government has already carried out significant reforms of town and
country planning. These have improved the effectiveness of plan making and
development control, but we recognise that there is scope to make further
improvements to the Town and Country Planning system. This is of particular
relevance to the energy sector, given that planning decisions for energy
infrastructure are taken both at a national level and by local authorities.
8.82 The specific context for smaller renewable and low carbon energy
developments will also be strengthened through the draft climate change
PPS, once finalised (see earlier in this chapter).
8.83 The planning White Paper 2007, Planning for a Sustainable Future, also
considers how local planning authorities can be supported to ensure that the
local planning decisions on smaller renewable energy projects are made
effectively and help to deliver national policy. As set out in that White Paper:
272
8.86 As well as removing the need for planning permission in certain cases,
the Government is looking at ways to better resource the planning system
overall. For example, it proposes to consult on allowing the Planning
Inspectorate to charge for planning appeals. The Government is also
considering undertaking a pilot study with a small group of local planning
authorities who would be able to offer a premium service to applicants. This
approach would, for example, allow a local planning authority to charge an
enhanced fee for a planning application where it guaranteed that the applicant
would receive a decision in less than 13 weeks for major applications
(8 weeks for minor or other applications).
Planning
Summary of Measures
We have:
• taken forward the suite of reforms as highlighted in The Energy
Challenge in 2006, these have:
– provided clarity on Government policy on the strategic need for
energy infrastructure. We have achieved this through:
• consulting on a new Planning Policy Statement on Climate
Change, which will be finalised later in 2007;
• publishing a Statement of Need for Renewable Generation;
• consulting on new guidance for developers on the Electricity
Act consenting regime;
• publishing updated guidance for developers on Combined
Heat and Power projects; and
• consulting on proposals to allow minor upgrades to existing
overhead electricity networks without requiring the full
consents process.
– created more efficient procedures for planning inquiries.
We have achieved this by updating the inquiry procedure for
projects considered under the Electricity Act consenting regime.
The regulations came into force in April 2007.
– provided for shorter and more predictable timescales.
We have achieved this by giving a voluntary commitment to
make decisions under the Electricity Act regime within
3 months of receipt of the inspector’s recommendations.
Planning
We will:
Reducing costs, delays and uncertainties will help create the right
market framework for the private sector to make the investments in
new energy infrastructure necessary to maintain the security of our
energy supplies, and help reduce carbon emissions. The changes
that we propose will, at the same time, improve the accountability
of the system, the transprency of decision-making and the ability of
individuals and communities to participate effectively in the
planning process.
274
Devolved Administrations,
English Regions and Local
Authorities
9.1 Some matters which relate to energy policy in Scotland, Wales and
Northern Ireland are the responsibility of the Devolved Administrations, and
therefore decisions on these matters are made in the light of each
administration’s particular circumstances. For example:
9.2 Following the recent elections in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland,
new administrations have been or will shortly be formed. In line with the
devolution settlements in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, all proposals
in this White Paper which touch on devolved matters will be progressed in
accordance with the principles set out in the Memorandum of Understanding.
It is expected that the Devolved Administrations will want to consider in
due course how to take forward their responsibilities that are relevant to
energy policy.
9.3 The English regions and local authorities also have a range of powers to
assist the delivery of energy policy and an important role to play through
taking local level decisions and deploying resources within their communities.
This chapter explains how they are playing this role.
275
9.5 The RDAs have an important role to play in tackling climate change and
contributing to other energy policy goals, within the context of their regional
economic strategies. RDAs are well placed to contribute by:
• maximising UK business opportunities that arise through sector and supply
chain support, and promoting business energy and resource efficiency;
• supporting the deployment of essential energy infrastructure and skills at a
local and regional level; and,
• supporting low carbon innovation, through support for research and
demonstration of new and emerging energy technologies.
Since 2003, RDAs and the regional energy agencies they support,
have worked with key regional partners to:
9.6 The Government recognises that RDAs are the leading strategic
economic and sustainable development body in the regions, and within this
context will contribute to the Government’s energy objectives. Working
closely with the Government Offices and Regional Assemblies, RDAs will
have the key role in taking forward the implementation of this White Paper at
regional level.
9.7 As part of their role in delivering the priorities identified in this White
Paper at a regional level, RDAs have committed to:
• set carbon reduction targets in their corporate plans; publish an estimate
of the carbon they expect to save from their policies and programmes by
2010 and 2020; and update these estimates at least annually as they
develop new programmes;
315 DTI: Energy White Paper: our energy future – creating a low carbon economy, February 2003
276 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/policy-strategy/energy-white-paper-2003/page21223.html
9.8 With their detailed knowledge of existing and likely locations for new
development in the regions, RDAs are ideally placed to identify opportunities to
exploit the sustainable use of heat. They are key consultees in the revised
guidance on CHP for developers considering proposals for new large-scale
power stations under section 36 of the Electricity Act. New power station
developers will be signposted to seek advice from RDAs on potential customers
for heat when considering the viability of heat recovery in new power plants.
9.9 RDAs are also well placed to pilot focussed approaches to financing and
managing the sustainable production and delivery of energy, for example,
through local ESCOs.
316 DTI: Energy Technologies Institute prospectus, September 2006 http://www.dti.gov.uk/files/file34010.pdf 277
• One NorthEast and Yorkshire Forward have worked with the DTI to
develop a number of community-based projects to tackle fuel poverty.
The projects are being delivered through a Community Interest
Company (CIC), which enables CES to generate profits that are
reinvested back into the programme.
• Using initial funding of £4 million plus private and public sector
contributions, by 2009 CES will assist a minimum of 4,000 households
in twenty communities through gas network extensions and the
installation of renewables. As well as bringing fuel poverty, energy
efficiency, regeneration and public health benefits, the programmes
will provide local economic benefits by, for example, developing
economically viable supply chains for renewables and generating
training and employment opportunities.
9.13 The Government is also working with England’s core cities 317
(Birmingham, Bristol, Leeds, Liverpool, Manchester, Newcastle, Nottingham
and Sheffield) to develop a joint statement or declaration on climate change.
This will build on the Nottingham Declaration 318, which has now been signed
by 200 local authorities and commits them to develop plans with their
partners and local communities to progressively address the causes and the
impacts of climate change and achieve a significant reduction of greenhouse
gas emissions from their own authority's operations.
9.14 The Local Government White Paper 2006 319 set out proposals for a new
Local Government Performance Framework, which will strengthen this role to
help meet the commitments made in the 2006 Climate Change Programme 320.
This framework will cover climate change, while the 2007 Comprehensive
Spending Review will make decisions on national outcomes, indicators and
national targets.
9.17 Chapter 3 sets out the role that local and regional government has to
play in facilitating the development and uptake of distributed energy, through
their knowledge of local opportunities, and their responsibilities for planning
and regeneration.
9.19 The Mayor will prepare a climate change mitigation and energy strategy
that must take into account and assist with the implementation of national
Government policies on energy and climate change mitigation. The strategy will
contain the Mayor’s proposals relating to minimising carbon dioxide emissions
from surface transport and the use of energy more broadly; supporting
technological innovation; and promoting the efficient production and use of
energy. It will also contain information about fuel poverty in Greater London. In
preparing the strategy, the Mayor must have regard both to guidance produced
by the Secretary of State and to national policies on climate change mitigation,
security of supply, competitive energy markets and fuel poverty.
9.22 The Mayor launched the London Climate Change Agency (LCCA) in
2005 to action projects in areas with a strong bearing on climate change,
especially energy, transport, waste and water. It has implemented renewable
energy projects at the London Transport Museum, Palestra and City Hall, as
well as setting-up a joint venture energy services company – London ESCO325.
The LCCA and the London ESCO will deliver major combined cooling, heat
and power (CCHP) projects across London, and implement both large and
small scale renewable energy projects.
9.23 The London Hydrogen Partnership326 was launched in April 2002. The
Partnership provides a platform for funding bids and the initiation of projects
to create conditions where these technologies can thrive.
9.24 The GLA, LDA and Defra are funding the prototype phase of a Green
Homes ‘Concierge Service’ for London. This will trial, in 40 London homes,
the provision of auditing, commissioning and installation support for owner
occupiers seeking to improve the energy efficiency and renewable energy
generation of their homes.
SUMMARY OF MEASURES
10.2 Our policies improve the security and reliability of our energy supplies
by reducing our dependence on imported energy, supporting the economic
recovery of indigenous energy supplies and strengthening our competitive
market framework.
10.3 Increases in global energy prices mean that fuel poverty in the UK
remains a significant challenge. We estimate that the measures specifically
designed to combat fuel poverty will reduce the number of UK households in
fuel poverty by around 200,000 by 2010.
10.5 The draft Climate Change Bill creates a new legal framework for the UK
achieving, through domestic and international action, at least a 60% reduction
in carbon dioxide emissions by 2050, and a 26-32% reduction by 2020,
against a 1990 baseline. The Government will be required to set five-year
carbon budgets, placing binding limits on aggregate carbon dioxide emissions.
There is provision in the draft Bill for the targets to be amended in light of
significant developments in climate science or in international law or policy.
10.6 The measures in this White Paper build on existing policies introduced
to tackle carbon emissions. The continuation of these policies is expected to
deliver an annual saving of around 25MtC in 2020 328.
327 This carbon goal was set out in the Energy White Paper 2003: Our Energy Future, Creating a Low
Carbon Economy
328 Table D1, Updated Energy and Carbon Emissions Projections, May 2007.
www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper 281
10.8 Table 10.1 and Figure 10.1 below describe the carbon impact in 2020 of the
measures included in this White Paper, measures announced since publication of
the Energy Review Report and the potential impact of future phases of the EU
ETS. The estimates are presented as a range to reflect uncertainty about the
timing and impact of the measures. Box 10.1 describes the abatement potential
and cost effectiveness of some of these measures (and of technologies) in 2020.
10.9 Beyond Phase II (2008-2012) of the EU ETS, caps and hence the future
carbon savings to be delivered through the scheme, will be decided in line with
future national allocation plans. Table 10.1 therefore presents an illustrative
projection for carbon savings from the EU ETS in 2020 based on the assumption
that the cap on emissions applied to EU ETS sectors in the UK in 2020 is equal
to that agreed for Phase II. On the basis of our latest baseline emissions
projections, this would achieve annual carbon savings of 13.7MtC in 2020 331.
10.11 We estimate that, together with the impact of the EU ETS, our proposals will
result in carbon savings of between 23MtC – 33MtC in 2020. This means that, if all our
measures are fully implemented and achieve the upper end of the range of savings we
estimate in Table 10.1, we shall be on track to achieve real progress by 2020 towards
our goal of reducing carbon emissions by at least 60% by 2050 (Chart 10.1).
10.12 The target set out in the draft Climate Change Bill to reduce UK carbon
emissions by 26-32% in 2020 on 1990 levels, corresponds to the “real progress”
aim in the 2003 Energy White Paper of reducing carbon emissions to within 110-
120MtC by 2020. The targets in the draft Climate Change Bill are expressed in
terms of carbon dioxide. Expressed in these terms 332, a 26-32% reduction on
1990 levels is equivalent to reducing emissions to around 438-402 million tonnes
of carbon dioxide (MtCO2) in 2020. We estimate that the measures in Table 10.1
will reduce carbon dioxide emissions in 2020 by 86-121MtCO2, so that UK
carbon dioxide emissions will be 469-433MtCO2 in 2020. If we take the upper
end of the range of savings we have estimated, we would be on course to
achieve emissions savings just within the range set out in the draft Climate
Change Bill (i.e. achieving just over a 26% reduction on 1990 levels).
329 These assumptions are published alongside this White Paper, and reflect the uncertainty over the outturn
of future prices in the modelling. They are consistent with the latest assumptions from the International
Energy Agency and the US Energy Information Administration.
330 See Annex B, DTI Updated Energy and carbon Emissions Projections. Part of the reason for the increase
in projected emissions is the additional new coal capacity projected by 2020 (up to 8GW), due to the
improved relative price of coal under the revised fossil-fuel price assumptions.
331 See Annex B for further explanation of EU ETS savings and implications for projected UK emissions.
332 In future, the Government will work in units of carbon dioxide, in line with the draft Climate Change Bill.
Figures in this document are quoted mainly in million tonnes of carbon for consistency with the Energy
282 Review Report. To convert carbon (C) into carbon dioxide (CO2) multiply carbon by (44/12).
NOTE: Savings expressed in terms of million tonnes of carbon (MtC) under central
fossil fuel price assumptions and rounded to the nearest decimal point.
1
Excluding 0.2MtC included in the baseline. EPBD also supports 0.5-0.7MtC of the
savings from the continued obligation on energy suppliers to 2020, to make carbon
reductions in the household sector.
2
Savings as estimated in the Building a Greener Future Consultation. These savings
include the savings of the “Carbon neutral developments” policy as shown in the
Energy Review Report Table 8.1.
3
The range of carbon savings for products policy has been updated since the Energy
Review Report as part of an annual process. This also includes a larger coverage of
product groups and is net of overlaps with other policies.
4
The level of ambition from 2011 is committed to be equal to that under CERT,
delivering 3-4MtC of savings in 2020.
5
This estimate excludes 0.1-0.2MtC accounted for within the EPBD and CRC
estimate.
283
one quarter of the total from the wider central government estate.
180
170
160
150
140
130
120
110
100
Source: DTI Energy Model, Updated Energy and Carbon Emissions Projections May 2007. See Annex B.
#
UK carbon emissions, inclusive of carbon savings achieved through the EU ETS and other offsetting
284 measures. High and low policy measure projections based on estimates presented in Table 10.1.
10.14 For example, including road transport in the EU ETS could save in the
region of 1-2MtC in 2020, depending on the cap on emissions set for the
sector. This is on the basis of an illustrative assumption of a cap set to achieve
emissions of between 2-5% below projected road transport emissions.
As smart meters are rolled out to households, we might expect further carbon
savings, as households act in response to the improved information and
because improved metering would facilitate the transformation to an energy
services market.
10.16 The UK is set to deliver savings beyond those in its Kyoto target of a
12.5% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2008-2012. Based on the
latest projections UK greenhouse gas emissions are set to be around 23%
lower than 1990 levels in 2010 334. The EU has committed to cut total
greenhouse gas emissions by 20% on 1990 levels by 2020, or by 30% if in
conjunction with action by other countries. We estimate that the reduction in
domestic carbon emissions from our White Paper measures (and inclusive of
the estimated domestic abatement through the EU ETS) will result in UK
greenhouse gas emissions of between 147-159 million tonnes of carbon
equivalent (MtCe) in 2020, i.e. 25-31% lower than 1990 levels 335.
A marginal abatement curve shows, for a given year, the incremental cost
of reducing additional units of carbon, and shows where the most cost-
effective abatement opportunities lie. The shape of the curve changes over
time, and as part of this White Paper we have constructed a curve for the
UK showing the domestic abatement potential of a range of measures and
technologies in 2020.
Under the central fossil fuel price assumptions published alongside this
White Paper, each technology or policy option was compared against a
counterfactual in order to calculate its carbon abatement potential – for
example, in the case of electricity generation, the alternative source of
generation was assumed to be a new combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT)
station. For energy efficiency and transport options, assumptions were made
about the fuel displaced and their associated emissions.
The curve should not be taken as a prediction of the exact volume of carbon
abated from each technology or policy, since the precise impact of policies,
and the timing of the entry and cost of a new technology, are both subject to
some uncertainty. This is particularly true for emerging technologies, such as
Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), which is yet to be developed on a
commercial scale. The potential for nuclear power by 2020 is only indicative
and depends on whether the Government decides to allow private sector
companies the option of investing in new nuclear power stations.
10.19 Our proposals can reduce gas consumption directly by reducing demand
for gas i.e. in heating our homes; but also indirectly by reducing demand for
electricity so reducing the need for new gas-fired power stations. We estimate
that our measures will reduce electricity demand by between 8% to 15% of
projected demand. In total, therefore, our measures could lead to up to 15
billion cubic metres of gas savings in 2020, equivalent to gas demand being
13% lower than it would otherwise be. This would reduce our projected gas
imports by up to around 17%, which, combined with the possible increase in
domestic gas production outlined in chapter 4, could bring our gas import
dependence down to around 60% of projected gas demand in 2020, compared
to around 80% if we did not implement our measures. Overall, we estimate
that our measures will improve the energy efficiency of the UK economy by
around 10% by 2020. This would be over and above the 25% improvement
we already expect over that period.
339 Here we assume a one-for-one relationship between reductions in gas demand, and reductions in gas imports. 287
340 This is based on CCS replacing equivalent existing gas-fired generation capacity.
341 The Oxera report, Energy market competition in the EU and G7: preliminary 2005 rankings, shows that
288 the UK leads the EU rankings in both electricity and gas markets http://www.dti.gov.uk/files/file35324.pdf
10.28 It is therefore important that the policies in this White Paper do not
greatly add to energy prices. Individually our measures on the demand side are
unlikely to have a large effect on consumer prices. We have analysed the full
impact of our measures, including the impact on energy prices, on an individual
basis. While some measures could contribute to increases in energy prices, our
analysis shows that they will also help to reduce energy bills by targeting
improved energy efficiency 343. For example, the cost of better billing, household
real time displays and business smart metering will modestly increase energy
prices, but will also lead to reduced energy bills if consumers act to realise
energy efficiency savings. The continued obligation up to 2020 on energy
suppliers to make carbon reductions in the household sector could increase
household energy bills by approximately 1.5%-2% relative to today's energy
bills, if all the costs are passed through to customers. But over time, we expect
these costs will be outweighed by the benefits of a permanent reduction in
energy demand.
10.32 Our projections (before the measures in this White Paper) of the number
of households in fuel poverty between 1996 and 2016 are illustrated in Figure
2.1.1 in chapter 2, which shows that, under the central fuel price and income
assumptions, 1.5 million households in England will be in fuel poverty in 2010.
As incomes are assumed to rise faster than fuel prices, our projections show
this number will fall to around 700,000 in 2016.
10.33 Specific measures in this White Paper have been designed to help
reduce the number of households in fuel poverty. For example, a more joined
up Government communication strategy to raise awareness of the support
available, and more benefit entitlement checks to identify those eligible for the
available support schemes. In total, we estimate that our proposals will lead to
a reduction of around 200,000 UK households in fuel poverty by 2010.
10.34 It is possible that our package of measures may add to the challenges
we face in combating fuel poverty, through their impact on energy prices.
Our package of measures have been designed to improve the efficiency with
which energy is used and, in some cases, will be specifically targeted at the
fuel poor (for example, the priority group targeted under the Carbon Emission
Reduction Target (CERT)). By encouraging the uptake of measures (such as
domestic heat insulation for example), our proposals will not only reduce
carbon emissions; but in doing so will also reduce consumer energy bills by
reducing the amount of energy needed to heat households adequately.
10.35 We are midway through a full examination of our policies that tackle fuel
poverty, looking at the ways in which they might be improved. We will set out
our progress against our fuel poverty targets, and the next steps for our strategy,
in the UK Fuel Poverty Strategy Fifth Annual Progress report, due to be published
this summer.
290
10.39 Analysis using the UK M-M model suggests the annual cost of reducing
UK carbon emissions by 60% by 2050 could be between 0.3% and 1.5% of
UK GDP in 2050. The range reflects uncertainty over future fossil fuel prices
and technological innovation – costs are higher when low carbon technologies
do not develop as rapidly or efficiently as currently envisaged; conversely,
higher fossil-fuel prices, or more enhanced development and take-up of energy
efficiency reduce the cost of carbon abatement in the long-term.
10.40 The MARKAL modelling indicates that the costs of carbon abatement
in the long-term could be significant, yet manageable. At the same time, they
demonstrate that to achieve our carbon goals at least cost, a considerable
change in our energy resources is required, including a concerted effort to
reduce the amount of energy we use348.
345 DTI The UK MARKAL Model in the 2007 Energy White Paper www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper;
Strachan N., R. Kannan and S. Pye (2007), Final Report on DTI-DEFRA Scenarios and Sensitivities using
the UK MARKAL and MARKAL-Macro Energy System Models, http://www.ukerc.ac.uk/content/view/142/112
346 Oxford Economics – Report on Modelling the Macroeconomic Impacts of Achieving the UK’s Carbon
Emission Reduction Goal www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
347 Whilst this could imply that abatement costs could be cheaper than those estimated by the MARKAL- Macro
model, the opportunities available in an international carbon market in 2050 are, at the moment, uncertain;
and by then, the majority of cheaper abatement options abroad may have been exhausted.
348 The M-M model shows that substantial changes in behaviour – affecting the amount of energy we use
and constraining economic activity – are necessary to deliver a 60% reduction in carbon emissions by
2050. Such substantial changes could imply reductions in the welfare of energy users, which are difficult
to quantify (at least in financial terms) and are not captured in the cost estimates from the model. 291
10.42 The long-term costs estimated by the M-M model are within the range
indicated by Stern for global costs, and also within the range estimated for the
2003 Energy White Paper.
There are a number of models that can be used to estimate the impact of
carbon abatement. The UK MARKAL-Macro model (M-M), developed from
the earlier MARKAL model used as part of the 2003 Energy White Paper,
is a “bottom up” technology model, covering the entire energy system.
In the M-M model, a quantity constraint can be imposed on the level of
carbon emissions to reflect government policy goals. The model then
optimises available technological options to meet the target at least cost.
Since 2003, the M-M model has been developed to better calculate the
macroeconomic impacts of carbon abatement, such as impacts on energy
demand and GDP. The M-M model is particularly useful for exploring our
energy system in the long-term, i.e. up to 2050, though it may be
expected to produce lower-bound estimates of the costs of carbon
abatement. This is because it is limited in its ability to capture the
obstacles (such as information barriers) that, in reality, can slow the uptake
of cost-effective abatement. Therefore, it does not capture the costs of
implementing policies designed to overcome these obstacles. In addition,
as a UK only model, it does not capture the potential trade or
competitiveness impacts arising as a result of differences in climate
change policy across countries.
Other models are more suitable for capturing the short-term dynamics of
reducing carbon emissions. They explicitly model the short-run path as the
UK makes the transition to a low carbon economy. When firms are forced
to pay a price for each tonne of carbon they emit, they take time to move
to a new “equilibrium” by reducing their demand for energy, or by using it
more efficiently (through investment in new technologies, for example).
Models that capture the short run dynamics do not necessarily have the
technological detail of “bottom up” models such as the M-M model, and
so do not fully capture the expected technological development as a result
of carbon policy, which can help lower abatement costs. Therefore, to
some extent, they will produce higher impact estimates.
349 The M-M model is a UK-only model. Because it does not capture the effects of other countries’ actions,
the cost estimates for UK imply a degree of coordinated action, which would mitigate any trade and
competitiveness impacts. Furthermore, the cost and availability of technologies in the M-M model are
dependent on the development, demonstration and deployment of technology that might be expected
292 under global action.
10.47 Acting unilaterally would mean the price of UK goods and services
would increase, relative to those produced in other countries (because UK
firms would incur a cost for the carbon emitted in their production and
operation, whereas other countries would not). However, the modelling
suggests that in the very short-term (i.e. up to five years), under a scenario of
coordinated global action, the UK could also suffer a negative impact on the
demand for its exports and therefore GDP, as other countries’ economic
output and demand for UK goods and services is depressed by similar policies
affecting their energy use. But over the medium-term, UK competitiveness
350 “Business as usual”emissions in the short to medium-term analysis by 2020 are 17% below 1990 levels,
therefore cost estimates reflect implications of reducing emissions by an additional 13% from the
business as usual; and a 30% reduction on 1990 levels overall.
351 1.6% of GDP in 2020 compared to 0.8% under central fossil fuel price assumptions. 293
The Stern Review recognised that if some countries move more quickly
than others in implementing carbon reduction policies, some energy-
intensive industries will locate in countries without such policies in place.
A relatively small number of industries, particularly those which are most
energy intensive, could suffer significant impacts as a consequence of
pricing the cost of carbon emissions.
10.51 By putting in place measures that create the conditions necessary for
producers and consumers of energy to pursue the most efficient and least
cost ways of reducing carbon emissions; and by encouraging multi lateral
effort and allowing for international trading this White Paper could significantly
improve the trade-off between carbon abatement and economic growth, and
by doing so, should deliver carbon reductions at lower cost.
295
Implementation
Overview
We believe that the measures and proposals in this
White Paper constitute a comprehensive, ambitious and
integrated package which will make further progress
towards our security of supply and our carbon reduction
goals and bring about stronger international action.
11.1 The measures set out in this document aim to help maintain a stable
domestic policy framework to give business and individuals the confidence
to make decisions within that framework. However we need to be prepared
to keep the impact of our policies under review to ensure they deliver the
outcomes we are seeking. We will continue to do this and will, if necessary,
further develop our policies to ensure we can achieve our goals over
the long-term.
11.2 This chapter brings the White Paper’s principal measures together and
outlines how we intend to implement them. Some will require legislative
change, and others will depend on the outcome of public consultations. The
consultations being launched as a result of this White Paper are set out at
Annex D. This also sets out a summary of the consultations announced in
the Energy Review Report and since completed.
11.3 This chapter also outlines the key provisions in the draft Climate Change
Bill published on 13 March 2007, which sets out a framework for moving the
UK to a low carbon economy.
11.4 To give a comprehensive view of the progress made since the Energy
Review Report, this chapter includes measures which have already been
announced as well as those announced for the first time in this White Paper.
11.8 We will work with energy suppliers to ensure that household gas and
electricity bills contain historic information on energy consumption.
11.10 We will roll out a requirement for all buildings that are sold to have an
Energy Performance Certificate, to provide energy efficiency ratings.
11.11 We will announce our policy on the timetable for zero carbon housing
later this year.
11.13 We will seek firm commitments from businesses in the supply chain to
phase out the least efficient products and to help achieve our published
targets, and will work to be the first European Member State to phase out the
domestic use of the least efficient lightbulbs.
297
Implementation
Improve incentives for energy suppliers to reduce emissions
11.14 We will double the energy efficiency target for the Carbon Emissions
Reduction Target (CERT) (previously known as phase 3 of the Energy
Efficiency Commitment) due to start in 2008, and hold a statutory consultation
on the detail of the proposals in May 2007.
Fuel poverty
11.18 To help identify vulnerable households who would benefit from
information on tariff advice and energy efficiency measures, we will share
benefits data between key partners responsible for tackling fuel poverty in
clearly specified and controlled circumstances (if necessary, legislating to
achieve this). We will work with energy supply companies to investigate the
scope for voluntary initiatives on social tariffs, and will consider whether to
take the opportunity for legislation to enable the Secretary of State to require
companies to take action in this area.
11.20 We will develop further options to reduce the carbon impact of heat.
298
Electricity Generation
Renewables
Implementation
ways in which access to the network can best be shared between different
forms of generation, and clarification of transmission access rights.
11.31 The UK CCS Regulatory Task Force has made good progress in
preparing the regulatory environment for the whole CCS chain. We will be
consulting on the conclusions of this work and on the options in the UK for
regulation of the full chain of CCS technologies later this year.
Nuclear power
11.33 Alongside this White Paper, we are publishing a consultation document
which brings together the evidence and information we have considered in
reaching our preliminary view that it is in the public interest to allow the
private sector the option of investing in new nuclear power stations. This
consultation takes account of the ruling of the High Court in February 2007
and the Government’s commitment in 2003 to the fullest public consultation
and the publication of a further White Paper setting out confirmed proposals
for new nuclear power stations.
Transport
11.38 We will work with the European Commission and other international
partners on road transport emissions, and ensure the European Union gives
serious consideration to including surface transport in the EU Emissions
Trading Scheme (EU ETS). We will also pursue the inclusion of aviation in
emissions trading schemes in Europe and internationally.
11.41 We will support the development of new low carbon technologies. The
new Low Carbon Transport Innovation Strategy355 (LCTIS) sets out a wide
range of actions the Government is taking to encourage innovation and
technology development in lower carbon transport technologies. The Strategy
will be delivered in partnership with the Technology Strategy Board and the
Energy Technologies Institute.
Planning
11.42 We are delivering on the planning proposals set out in the Energy
Review Report to provide clarity on the Government’s policy on the strategic
need for energy infrastructure; to create more efficient procedures for
planning inquiries; and provide shorter and more predictable timescales.
Implementation
the inquiry procedures for all of them;
• clarifying the decision making process, and achieving a clear separation of
policy and decision making by creating an independent commission to take
the decisions on nationally significant infrastructure cases within the
framework of the relevant national policy statement; and
• improving public participation across the entire process.
11.47 The Greater London Authority will formulate both mitigation and
adaptation policies to address climate change in London, under requirements in
the new GLA Bill, and develop a climate change mitigation and energy strategy.
Energy legislation
11.48 Some measures announced in this White Paper will require legislation,
although in some cases this will depend on the outcome of public
consultations. We propose to take forward work in this area as soon as is
feasible.
• creates a new legal framework for the UK achieving, through domestic and
Better Regulation
11.51 The Government is clear in its determination to achieve its energy
policy objectives through an approach that is consistent with the principles
of better regulation.
11.52 We recognise that between now and 2020 there will be costs in
achieving our energy goals as the economy takes time to adjust. Even the
most cost-effective measures pose some short-term one-off costs for
business, including change in regulation, so called ‘transitional costs’. The
Government needs to enable businesses to make informed investment
decisions in order to maximise benefits from these measures.
Implementation
11.54 We will continue to analyse the impacts, costs and benefits, of
regulation including transitional costs, and provide this information in impact
assessments for new policy. As part of individual impact assessments, we
will consider how we are going to implement, monitor and enforce these
measures on a case-by-case basis while having regard to the collective
regulatory impact on business and other parties.
Implementation
ANNEX A
1 DTI Energy White Paper 2003: Our energy future – creating a low carbon economy
306 (http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/policy-strategy/energy-white-paper-2003/page 21223.html
Commitment
To put ourselves on the path to cut the UK’s carbon emissions by 60% by
2050, with real progress by 20202. The UK also remains committed to the
Kyoto protocol commitment to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 12.5%
below 1990 levels by 2008-12.
Progress to date
2.1 Latest estimates show that total UK greenhouse gas emissions in 2006
had fallen 15% below 1990 levels, while provisional estimates indicate that
carbon dioxide emissions were 5% below 1990 levels in 2006.
2 The draft Climate Change Bill creates a new legal framework for the UK achieving, through domestic and
international action, at least a 60% reduction in carbon dioxide emissions by 2050, and 26-32% reduction
by 2020, against a 1990 baseline. 307
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
Progress to date
250
200
150
100
50
2.4 The 2003 Energy White Paper set out the importance of the work of the
English regions in the delivery of our energy policy goals. Partnerships of
Regional Development Agencies (RDAs), Regional Assemblies, and the
308
2.5 Following on from the Energy Review Report, the Government established
the Office of Climate Change (OCC) in October 2006. It is a shared resource,
reporting to ministers across the Government and has a vital contribution to
make to ensure that analysis and policy work is consistent. It also supports
the Government’s overall climate change strategy.
2.6 The Stern Review of the economics of climate change was published
in October 2006 and confirmed that climate change is real and that it is a
global problem that needs a multilateral solution. The main findings from
the Review are:
• the impacts of climate change on growth and development could be much
higher than previously thought;
• serious impacts will be felt around the world, including in developing
countries least able to adapt;
• action is urgent – the earlier we start, the greater the chance we have of
limiting the risks of dangerous climate change and the cheaper it will be;
• acting to reduce emissions and stabilise greenhouse gases at sustainable
levels could cost around 1% of world GDP, not acting could cost at least
5% and up to 20%; and
• the costs of global action to mitigate the most dangerous effects of climate
change are significant but manageable, as long as action is taken multilaterally,
with flexibility to respond to new scientific and economic information.
The Stern Review highlighted the need for a carbon price signal across
countries and sectors to ensure that emission reductions are delivered in the
most cost-effective way.
2.7 The European Commission published the results of the first year of the
EU Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) from the Community Independent
Transaction log in May 2006. The first year results showed that the
infrastructure behind the scheme is sound and forms a solid base to build on
309
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
for the future. Compliance was excellent in the UK – almost all operators
submitted their verified emissions reports and surrendered the correct
allowances within the deadlines.
2.8 The UK submitted its Phase II National Allocation Plan (NAP) for the EU
ETS to the European Commission by the December 2006 deadline. Since then
the Commission has made its decisions on NAPs submitted by Member
States, with the UK’s NAP being accepted without change. The majority of
Member States have seen their overall allocation reduced by the Commission
in line with meeting their Kyoto commitments.
2.9 Following the release of the Stern Review, the Government published a
Vision Statement on Emissions Trading which reiterated our commitment to
building on the EU ETS as the main way to price carbon in the economy.3
The vision statement gives three areas that we would like to progress with
our EU partners:
• setting safe, stable and affordable emissions limits;
• building a global carbon market; and
• improving the efficiency of the scheme.
2.10 The Mexico Ministerial in October 2006 focused on how the three
strands of climate change mitigation (technology development and
deployment; financing of climate change projects; and the overall economics
of climate change), fit together and could be used to take forward the
Gleneagles Dialogue’s work on climate change. The overall message from the
second ministerial was one of increasing urgency.
2.11 The next meeting of the Dialogue will be hosted in September 2007
by the German Government during their G8 Presidency. The Japanese
Government also agreed to take forward the Dialogue in 2008, with a report
to the G8 summit in the summer. Both the German G8 presidency in 2007
and the Japanese G8 presidency in 2008 will continue to have a strong focus
on climate change and associated themes.
Increasing renewables
2.12 The Government has a target of 10% of electricity coming from
renewable sources of energy by 2010, with an aspiration for this level to
double by 2020. We have continued to work with interested parties to
alleviate the barriers that are preventing industry from achieving this target.
Recent action includes:
• with the opening of the Braes of Doune wind farm in February 2007, the
UK became one of only eight countries in the world to achieve more than
2GW of wind generation. It took 14 years to reach 1GW and only a further
20 months to reach 2GW;
• between March 2006 and February 2007, DTI granted consent for:
– a combined offshore windfarm and gas generating station – the Ormonde
project. This innovative hybrid project will be sited around 10km from
Walney Island (off the North West coast of England) and has the potential
to generate a total of up to 200MW of electricity, with around half coming
from the wind farm; and
310 3 http://www.hm-treasury.gov.uk/media/7E3/FC/foi_gore_2.pdf
Renewables policy
2.13 We have made a number of changes to the Renewables Obligation (RO)
to improve its effectiveness following the 2005 RO Review. Further changes
to the RO were proposed in the 2006 Energy Review Report5 which set out
our ideas on strengthening the performance of the RO. One of the principal
changes proposed was to adapt the RO to provide greater support to
emerging technologies and less support for established technologies.
The Government’s preferred option for achieving this was through a
“banding” system. DTI published a consultation document – Reform of the
Renewables Obligation and Statutory Consultation on the Renewables
Obligation Order 20076 – in October 2006 seeking views from the renewables
sector on the above proposals7. The consultation proposed a number of
administrative changes, in particular, proposals to make it easier for
microgenerators to access the benefits of the RO.
2.14 The Energy Review Report stated that the Government was committed
to introducing fundamental change to the planning system for major energy
projects, this will include large onshore wind projects. In December 2006, in
his Pre-Budget Report, the Chancellor welcomed the Eddington and Barker
reviews which both made recommendations for the UK planning system.
These recommendations on planning for infrastructure can play a significant
role in ensuring the UK’s competitiveness and delivering our objectives on
climate change, the environment and energy security.8
4 Planning, Monitoring & Review of Renewable Energy Projects, Project Status: www.restats.org.uk
5 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/review/page31995.html
6 http://www.dti.gov.uk/consultations/page34162.html
7 The Government conclusions to this consultation can be found at: http//www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
8 The Planning White Paper: Planning for a Sustainable Future, published in May 2007, sets out proposals in
planning reform. 311
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
2.15 The Scottish Executive consulted during 2006 on the creation of a Marine
Supply Obligation (MSO) under the Renewables Obligation (Scotland). This will
require suppliers, as part of their renewables obligation in Scotland, to supply a
specific proportion of their electricity sales from wave and tidal generation
located in Scottish waters. The buy-out price which suppliers would pay in
respect of any shortfall against their MSO would be at a considerably higher
level than the standard buy-out price, to reflect the higher costs of generating
power from wave and tidal devices.9 However, the level of the MSO will remain
at zero until there is generation from these technologies which allows suppliers
to meet it. Reviews of the MSO level will take place each year (on the basis of
transparent and published criteria), and the legislation amended accordingly.
2.16 Under the Clean Energy Programme, announced in May 2006, the
Scottish Executive committed £25 million over two years for the development
of wave and tidal energy, biomass, and hydrogen and fuel cells (as well as
additional funding for small-scale renewables).
2.17 In February 2006, the Environment and Renewable Energy Fund (EREF)
was launched providing an additional ring-fenced amount of £59.2 million
over two years to enhance and accelerate renewable energy development in
Northern Ireland. The EREF, which confirms the Government’s commitment to
reducing Northern Ireland’s high dependence on imported fossil-fuels, focuses
on four broad areas:
• research and demonstration (£15.2 million);
• accelerated deployment (£35 million);
• building market capacity (£2.5 million); and
• underpinning knowledge and raising awareness (£6.5 million).
3. Energy Reliability
Commitment
Our goal is that people and business can rely on secure supplies of energy –
gas, transport fuel and electricity – at affordable prices delivered through
competitive markets, whilst minimising the impact on the environment.
We are committed to maximising economic benefits for the UK’s oil and
gas reserves and maintaining production levels of three million barrels of
oil equivalent per day until 2010.
Progress to date
3.1 After a relatively tight gas market last winter (2005/06), supplies of gas and
electricity have comfortably met demand this winter and there have been no
potential shortages of supply since the Gas Balancing Alert in March 2006 and
the electricity Notice of Insufficient Margin (NISM) in July 2006. UK North Sea
gas production has continued to meet a significant proportion of demand, and
there have also been substantial and consistent flows through new import
infrastructure – the Langeled pipeline from Norway and the BBL pipeline from the
Netherlands. In addition, the Rough storage facility (in the Southern North Sea)
was repaired and was full ahead of the winter along with medium-range storage.
312 9 Legislation enabling the Marine Supply Obligation came into force on 1 April 2007.
12 90
10 75
8 60
6 45
4 30
2 15
0 0
3.2 Wholesale gas prices have fallen considerably since last winter, with the
average for this February being 20p per therm compared to 65p per therm for
February 2006. This reflects the completion of new import infrastructure on or
ahead of time, increased confidence in the availability of supplies, and modest
demand due to mild weather both here and on the Continent. There has also
been considerable price convergence with the Continent on both the spot and
the forward markets.
3.4 With reductions in the wholesale price, the situation for industrial
consumers buying gas at current prices should therefore have eased.
However, gas prices remain uncomfortably high for users who negotiated
contracts when the forward price was high, e.g. last summer, though there is
evidence that some of these contracts are being re-negotiated on a “blend
and extend” basis. 313
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
3.5 In July 2006, the Government established the Business Energy Forum to
ensure that sound preparations were made for winter. This is a high level
group, jointly chaired by DTI and CBI and bringing together Ofgem, National
Grid, energy suppliers and users and other key players in the energy industry.
The group met three times in 2006 to ensure there was effective
communication and co-ordination of effort. As part of this, DTI created a
dedicated webpage10 to provide information and signposting on winter energy
supply issues.
3.6 The work of the Gas Supply Infrastructure Task Force has been followed
up with a number of specific Government measures. These are: proposals to
streamline and simplify the existing onshore consents process (set out in the
Government’s 2007 Planning White Paper); proposals to deliver regulatory
certainty to those considering the offshore storage of gas and offshore
unloading of Liquid natural Gas (public consultation closed in February 2007,
and legislation is to be taken forward as soon as Parliamentary time allows);
and a focus on the provision of information to the public, and local decision
makers in particular. In May 2006, the Secretary of State published a
Parliamentary Statement of Need for Additional Gas Supply Infrastructure to
clarify the Government’s views on the pressing need for new infrastructure in
the UK. In addition, the Government continues to identify and tackle
regulatory obstacles to new gas supply projects, working with developers
from an early stage in the planning of new projects.
3.7 The North Sea continues to be critical to delivering the energy needs of
the country and there are still substantial quantities of oil and gas to be
produced. The Government is working closely with industry to ensure we
have the best licensing, environmental and business frameworks to attract
the investment needed to deliver the North Sea’s full potential.
3.8 The key PILOT (the UK industry/Government oil and gas forum) initiatives
in the last few years are acknowledged as highly successful by all sides:
promoting North Sea overseas and attracting new players; enhancing licensing
system; freeing up fallow (unworked) acreage; improving commercial
behaviours and infrastructure access; and finding ways to recover more oil
and gas from existing “brown” fields (Stewardship Initiative). The Government
and industry will continue to push in these and other areas to ensure that
North Sea investment and economic recovery of hydrocarbons is maximised.
3.9 The 24th offshore oil and gas Licensing Round demonstrated the
continuing attraction of the UK Continental Shelf. Offers of 150 oil and gas
exploration and production licences were announced in February 2007 to 104
companies covering 246 blocks, continuing the record numbers of licences
issued last year.
314 10 http://www.dti.gov.uk/energy/reliability/winter/page32154.html
Progress to date
4.1 The UK energy market remains the lowest in the EU1511 for domestic
gas prices, and below average for domestic electricity prices, and recently
announced price reductions will act to decrease prices. Price increases over
the past year have moved the UK above the EU median for industrial
consumers which have historically been below average.
11 EU15 refers to the 15 countries in the European Union prior to the expansion in 2004 and 2007.
12 These proposals were endorsed by the European Council in spring 2007. The Commission has been
asked to bring forward detailed proposals by the end of this year. 315
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
Progress to date
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Progress to Date
5.1 The latest estimates published in the UK Fuel Poverty Strategy Fourth
Annual Progress Report 2006 indicate that, in 2004, there were approximately
two million households in fuel poverty in the UK. One and a half million of
those were vulnerable households. This represents a fall of around four and a
half million households overall, and of around three and a half million in the
number of vulnerable households, from 1996 levels. Fuel poverty is a
devolved issue, with separate targets and differing policy approaches across
each of the devolved nations. Official figures for 2005 will be produced later
this year in the UK Fuel Poverty Strategy Fifth Annual Progress Report 2007.
Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland have dedicated advisory bodies to help
meet our fuel poverty targets.13
13 The Fuel Poverty Advisory Group for England’s Fifth Annual Report was published in April 2007 and
contained a number of recommendations that the Government will respond to in the UK Fuel Poverty
316 Strategy Fifth Annual Progress Report.
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
5.4 The total number of households in Wales in fuel poverty in 2004 was
130,000, which represented 11% of Welsh households. Modelling to update
these figure to 2005, taking into account increases in incomes and fuel prices,
showed that there is likely to be 30,000 additional fuel poor households.
The Home Energy Efficiency Scheme (HEES) is the Welsh Assembly
Government’s main vehicle for lifting Welsh households out of fuel poverty.
To date, the Scheme has assisted over 70,000 households in Wales by
supplying central heating and energy efficiency measures. The Welsh
Assembly Government has made significant extra resources available with
HEES receiving a further £5 million in both 2006/07 and 2007/08. Since
August 2004, all households applying to the Scheme have been offered
benefits advice, to ensure that they maximise both the assistance available
to them under HEES and access benefits to which they are entitled. This
has resulted in £2.26 million in unclaimed benefits being identified.
5.5 The latest figures for 2004 show a substantial decrease in the numbers in
fuel poverty in Northern Ireland, from 203,300 (33% of all households) in 2001
to 153,500 (24% of all households) in 2004. Warm Homes and Warm Homes
Plus are the main instruments for tackling fuel poverty in the owner-occupied
and private rented sector in Northern Ireland. Since 2001, over 70,000
households have received assistance. Funding for the scheme has increased
significantly, from just over £3 million in 2001 to just over £20 million in
2006/07 and 2007/08. In addition, the eligibility criteria for Warm Homes Plus
was extended to ensure that the over 60s, in receipt of disability related
benefits, will now receive full heating systems as well as insulation measures
and a benefit maximisation programme was introduced in July 2006 to
provide a social security benefit health check to all recipients of the scheme.
5.6 Under the Energy Efficiency Commitment (EEC), electricity and gas
suppliers are required to meet targets for the promotion of improvements in
household energy efficiency in Great Britain. As a result of the focus on the
priority group of low-income consumers, EEC will make a contribution to the
alleviation of fuel poverty. As at February 2007, the second phase of EEC,
from 2005-08 had delivered around 50TWh of lifetime energy savings in the
priority group.
5.7 The Decent Homes Standard is a minimum standard below which homes
should not fall. It is a trigger for action and not a level that remedial work
should be completed to. Indeed the majority of local authorities and registered
social landlords are carrying out work well in excess of the thermal comfort
standard with 90% planning to install both cavity and wall insulation and loft
insulation even where the standard only requires one14. The standard requires
the presence of efficient heating and effective insulation in homes. Progress
is being made on thermal comfort at a faster rate than the other components
of the decent homes standard, and the number of social sector homes failing
on that criterion has more than halved since 1996 – from nearly two million
down to 850,000. The average SAP score for social housing in 2005 was 57
compared to 47 in 1996. The work that social landlords in particular have
carried out has contributed to reductions in fuel poverty.
14 Assessment of implementing decent homes in the social sector: Housing Research Summary
318 Number 238, 2007 http://www.communities.gov.uk
5.9 In the Pre-Budget Report 2006, an additional £7.5 million was announced
to support the development of projects which use an area-based approach to
identify the needs of each household in order to provide them with a co-
ordinated and tailored set of advice and measures. This will complement our
existing fuel poverty and carbon abatement schemes for
the domestic sector.
5.10 The average price paid by households for electricity and gas in 2006,
compared to the average price for 2004, rose in real terms by 45% for gas
and 29% for electricity. This means that energy prices in 2006 were around
1984 levels for gas and around 1996 levels for electricity. Energy prices to
households began to reduce in early 2007, however the price increases will
have increased fuel poverty levels.15
15 Projections for fuel poverty are included in the Energy White Paper: Meeting the Energy Challenge. 319
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
6. Additional reporting following the Energy Act 2004
Energy Sources and Technologies
6.1 Section 81 of the Energy Act 2004 requires the Government to include
information in this annual report about a range of energy sources and
technologies. Specifically “work carried out to develop or use listed energy
sources or technologies: clean coal technology; coal mine methane; biomass;
biofuels; fuel cells; photovoltaics; wave and tidal generation; hydrogeneration;
microgeneration; geothermal sources, and any other energy
source/technology which may cut carbon emissions.” Detail on each is in the
table below.
320
16 http://www.dft.gov.uk/consultations/open/draftrtfo 321
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
Type of energy Action proposed or taken to develop or deploy
source/technology
Photovoltaic (PV) The Major PV Demonstration programme closed in
March 2006, although projects were given until
April 2007 to complete.
The PV field trials (domestic and large scale) have
been completed.
The Government continues to support PV through
the Technology Programme and the Low Carbon
Buildings Programme.
Hydrogen and A demonstration programme for hydrogen and fuel
Fuel Cells cells (£15 million over 3 years) was launched in
September 2006. The first successful projects are
expected to start early in the financial year 2007/08.
Wave and Tidal In 2006 the Government continued to support
research and development of marine energy
technologies primarily through the DTI’s Technology
Programme. Under the programme a further 7 new
research and development projects were supported,
with levels of assistance totalling £2.75 million and
typically at 50% of project cost. These new projects
brought the total number of ongoing marine energy
technology R&D projects supported by the DTI to
16 with grant support totalling £17.3 million.
In February 2006 DTI launched a £42 million “Wave
and Tidal Stream Energy Demonstration Scheme”
that will support the first multi-device demonstration
projects.
The Carbon Trust announced a major new
£3.5 million initiative in marine renewable energy
called the Marine Energy Accelerator (MEA). The
programme aims to accelerate progress in cost
reduction of marine energy technologies.
In August 2006 DTI offered £4.5 million towards
the cost of an infrastructure project known as the
“Wave Hub”. The proposed “Wave Hub” is an
electrical grid connection point 15 km offshore
into which wave energy devices can be connected.
The “Wave Hub” approach would bring a number
of benefits to developers, including a well defined
and monitored site with electrical connection to the
on-shore electricity grid and a simplified and
shortened consents process, reducing the risk for
developers of the first pre-commercial wave arrays.
In 2006 the European Marine Energy Centre
(EMEC) in Orkney completed a £7.2 million project
to extend the current facilities to include tidal-
stream testing berths.
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Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
Science and Engineering
6.2 Section 81 of the Energy Act 2004 also requires us to report on “the
maintenance of scientific and engineering expertise in the UK for the
development of energy sources.”
6.3 The Sector Skills Councils, Cogent and Energy & Utility Skills have, as part
of their Sector Skills agreements undertaken a full assessment of the current
situation and are developing strategic plans with their client industries and
other interested parties to ensure that the needs of the energy sector are met;
6.4 The Cogent led National Skills Academies for Nuclear and the Process
Industries were approved in October 2006:
• the Nuclear Academy will aim, in its first three years, to deliver 800
apprentices and around 150 Foundation degrees. A further 4,000 existing
employers will be up-skilled and re-trained using short courses; and
• although the Process Industries Academy is primarily aimed at the chemical
process sector, the refinery and power industries will also benefit.
6.5 Research Councils are spending £40 million per annum on energy R&D and
this has a significant feed through to the supply of high-level skills. The Energy
Technology Institute will add up to £100 million per annum of extra funding.
6.7 There is a significant oil industry programme under the strategic direction
of PILOT and the management of the Industry Leadership Team to address
the need for craft and technician skills to replace those retiring. Around 150
new recruits each year are starting apprenticeships, with training delivered
under the direction of Cogent and the Engineering Construction Industry
Training Board (ECITB).
6.8 The Energy Research Partnership, a high level energy sector forum
launched in the 2005 Budget and tasked with enabling the UK to become
a world leader in developing innovative energy technologies, has initiated
a workstream to improve the supply of high-level skills.
6.12 The UK invests in fusion research through the Engineering and Physical
Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) and the UKAEA undertakes the vast
majority of the fusion research in the UK.
6.13 As a result of a new grant announced in August last year, EPSRC grant
awards to UKAEA Culham will amount to around £95 million over the four
years to 2007/08. The EPSRC funding covers the UK’s own national
programme of fusion research and the UK’s contributions to the operation of
Joint European Torus (JET). The UK also makes a contribution to the European
fusion programme via its overall contribution to the EU budget.
6.14 Ministers from the seven ITER Parties signed the ITER agreement
to establish the international organization that will implement ITER on 21
November. ITER is a global scientific collaboration on fusion research and
involves the EU, China, India, Japan, Russia, Republic of Korea, and the
United States.
Energy Efficiency
6.15 Section 81 of the Energy Act 2004 requires the Government to report on
progress towards achieving its energy efficiency aims.
6.16 Reducing the amount of energy we use is the best way of achieving all
of our energy goals, with an additional benefit of reducing costs to homes
and businesses.
Commitment
• The 2004 Energy Efficiency Action Plan included a residential energy
efficiency aim, to save 3.5 million tonnes of carbon from homes in
England through energy efficiency measures by 2010. A revised Energy
Efficiency Action Plan, which is to be published this summer in
accordance with the requirements of the End-use Efficiency and
Energy Services Directive, will serve to review the ambition of the aim.
325
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
6.17 In 2006, as part of the review of our Climate Change Programme, we
undertook a comprehensive review of the measures in the 2004 Energy
Efficiency Action Plan and announced a strengthened policy package – all told
energy efficiency policies are now expected to deliver over half the carbon
savings in the new Climate Change Programme.
6.18 In the Energy Review Report we looked towards 2020, with a range of
proposals for further polices and measures to help deliver an extra 6-9 MtC
per annum by 2020.
6.20 The Government also published a consultation on our aim that all new
homes should be zero-carbon by 2016, an ambitious target. This will be
achieved though further progressive tightening of the building regulations in
2010 and 2013 before the zero-carbon standard comes into effect in 2016.
6.23 In the Budget 2006, the Chancellor announced the Retailers Initiative
under which we will work with the Energy Saving Trust and retailers to
introduce voluntary schemes to raise the energy efficiency of the goods
they sell.
6.26 The EU has adopted an Energy Efficiency Action Plan which comprises
a package of policies and measures to realise the potential for saving 20% of
the EU’s primary energy consumption by 2020.
6.27 The UK’s energy tax, the climate change levy (CCL), which was
introduced in 2001 to encourage businesses to reduce energy demand will be
increased in line with inflation from April 2007.
6.29 Subject to any necessary State aids clearance, the Landlords Energy
Saving Allowance will be extended to corporate landlords and will be applied
per property rather than per building, ensuring that even smaller properties
have access to the full allowance. The acquisition and installation of floor
insulation will also be a qualifying investment.
327
Fourth Annual Report on progress towards the 2003 Energy White Paper goals
ANNEX B
Baseline projections
2 Depending on the price of fossil fuels, and without the impact of the EU ETS
and the measures in this White Paper, UK domestic carbon emissions are
projected to be 149 -151 million tonnes of carbon (MtC) in 20203 (Table B1
below). This is 3-5 MtC higher than previous central baseline projections
published in the Energy Review Report in July 2006. Part of the reason for this is
that our projections now include a higher level of coal-fired electricity generation
in 2020 than we projected last July, due to revised assumptions about the future
level of fossil fuel prices4.
1 A more detailed paper on the updated energy and carbon emissions projections is being published
alongside this White Paper DTI: Updated Energy and Carbon Emissions Projections, May 2007.
www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper
2 Except in the baseline projection, a carbon price of €20/tCO2 in 2010 and €25/tCO2 in 2015-2020 is
assumed for the EU ETS sectors in the UK.
3 This baseline includes savings in 2020 of around 25MtC from existing measures.
4 The revised fossil fuel price assumptions used in these projections were put out to consultation in October
2006. The revisions to our fossil fuel price assumptions show an increase in expected future fuel prices,
consistent with other major organisations (IEA and EIA) and reflecting market tightness and higher costs of
production. The revision has also meant that the assumed relative price of fossil fuels has changed. In the
baseline scenario, and without a carbon price, the price of coal is now more favourable compared with that
in the July 2006 projections. This contributes to an increase in coal capacity in the new baseline of up to
328 8GW by 2020.
4 The exact level of savings from the EU ETS beyond Phase II (2008-2012)
will be decided in line with future national allocation plans. However, in this
White Paper we present an illustrative projection of savings from the EU ETS
in 2020 under central fuel prices of 13.7MtC5. Our projections show that in
order to meet this level of effort, the EU ETS sectors in the UK will be
required to purchase emissions allowances from abroad.
5 Table B2 below details the headline aggregate 2007 Energy White Paper
projections. These are based on central fossil fuel price assumptions6. The
range reflects the low, central and high carbon savings estimated to be
achieved through the White Paper measures7 (as described in Table 10.1 in
chapter 10). These estimates also include the estimated full impact of the EU
ETS carbon price and the additional effort from purchasing emissions
allowances from abroad.
6 Table B2 shows that, along with the impact of the EU ETS and depending
on the level of savings from the White Paper measures, UK carbon emissions
are projected to be 119.2-128.9 MtC in 2020; equating to a 20-26% reduction
on 1990 levels (See Figure 10.1 in chapter 10 of this White Paper)8. Table B3
below provides more detail on sectoral projections compared to the baseline
projections, under central fuel prices. The range reflects the low, central and
high estimated carbon savings from the White Paper measures. The table also
separates domestic carbon emissions, and emissions savings achieved
through the purchase of allowances from abroad.
5 This estimate reflects the assumption that the cap for Phase II of the scheme is unchanged in future
phases. On the basis of our latest baseline projections, this would require 13.7MtC of savings in 2020. The
actual level of savings to be achieved through EU ETS beyond Phase II (2008-2012) will be decided in line
with future national allocation plans.
6 Emissions projections under high and low fossil fuel and central policy saving assumptions are reported in
the detailed paper on the projections. www.dti.gov.uk/energy/whitepaper.
7 This range reflects uncertainty about the timing and impact of the measures.
8 In the draft Climate Change Bill, the UK target is a 26-32% reduction in emissions on 1990 levels by 2020. 329
1 DTI forecasts of road transport emissions are consistent with, but at the top end of DfT emissions
forecasts because of the different modelling approaches used.
2 Estimated carbon emissions inclusive of the impact of the 2007 White Paper measures and a carbon price
– but excluding emissions savings achieved through the purchase of allowances from abroad.
3 Estimated allowances purchased by EU ETS sectors in the UK from abroad (either EU allowances from
other Member States in the EU ETS; or through Kyoto flexible mechanisms such as the Clean Development
Mechanism).
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
Source: DTI Updated Energy and Carbon Emissions Projections May 2007
11 These GHG projections do not take into account the estimated additional allowances purchased by EU
ETS sectors in the UK from abroad. 331
TABLE B4. ELECTRICITY GENERATION MIX BY FUEL (CENTRAL FOSSIL FUEL PRICES)
11 Table B5 compares the assumptions in the central fuel price scenario for
the 2007 Energy White Paper projections, to those used in the projections in
the Energy Review Report in July 2006.
13 The gas price in Europe is assumed to remain linked to oil prices, and UK
gas prices are assumed to be similar to continental prices plus the transport
cost differential. Gas prices are assumed to be 42p/therm in 2010, and
40p/therm in 2020.
333
1 The Stern Review of the economics of climate change confirms that climate
change is a global problem needing a multilateral solution, and that
we must act now in response. The Review points to the need for a carbon
price signal across countries and sectors to ensure that emission reductions
are delivered in the most cost-effective way. The UK Government set out
its own priorities in the EU ETS Vision statement in October 2006,1 which
followed the Stern Review, and this annex builds on that initial statement.
2 Emissions trading is the UK’s carbon price instrument of choice and a key
component in a comprehensive UK policy framework to effectively mitigate
climate change. Emissions trading ensures that the emissions from the
sectors regulated are capped, but it allows emissions reductions to occur
where they cost the least, thereby minimising economic impacts and
maximising flexibility for industry.
3 The EU, with a strong lead from the UK, has built on the Kyoto Protocol to take
the world’s most significant step in establishing a carbon price by establishing the
EU Emissions Trading Scheme. The scheme already covers approximately half of
the UK and EU’s carbon dioxide emissions, including emissions from electricity
production and major industrial sectors. EU Heads of Government recently re-
affirmed their commitment to the scheme, with the Spring Council “…
[underlining] the central role that emissions trading must play in the EU's long-
term goals to reduce GHG emissions, and [stressing] the importance of the
review by the Commission of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme in delivering an
improved EU ETS that provides a market-based, cost-effective means to deliver
emissions reductions at minimum cost – including as regards energy-intensive
industries – and to make a major contribution to the EU's overall targets”.2
4 But emissions trading will not achieve its full potential to reduce emissions
at least cost unless we get the design of the scheme right. It is crucial that
we learn the lessons from the first Phase, which was always intended as a
learning by doing phase. In particular, it is clear from the price of allowances
in Phase I of ETS that there was a generous allocation of allowances in that
Phase. Indications are that the market believes that the allocation for Phase II
is much tighter, as shown by the higher price for Phase II allowances, and
that it will lead to significant reductions from business as usual emissions.
For the future, the UK believes that the EU ETS should:
• set safe, predictable and affordable limits on emissions, which tighten over
time. The European Council meeting of Heads of Government in Spring
2007 committed to a 30% reduction in emissions below 1990 levels, in
conjunction with other countries (and by 20% in any event). This was a
• form the hub of a global carbon market. Stern makes it clear that a global
market is essential. Designed correctly, the EU ETS can become the basis
of a global carbon market, delivering the emissions reductions necessary
to stabilise the concentration of greenhouse gases at a level to avoid the
most serious impacts of climate change. Properly constructed links
between the EU ETS, the Joint Implementation (JI) and Clean
Development Mechanisms (CDM), and other markets where possible, will
make the carbon market deeper and more liquid. We welcome the fact
that the ETS Directive provides for continued recognition of JI and CDM
credits in the EU ETS post 2012, though we must ensure that such
mechanisms deliver real emissions reductions. The UK is working with
other countries and states to promote emissions trading, to share the
lessons of existing schemes and to develop compatibility for possible
future links. This year's review of the ETS Directive will provide an
opportunity to remove some of the legal obstacles to linking with regional
and non-Kyoto schemes.
6 We will also consider how best to give the necessary confidence in the
long-term direction of the scheme; we will look to make early decisions on
emissions caps, and at how to signal the direction of EU emissions reductions
much further into the future. We will also continue to press the Commission
to produce a legislative proposal as soon as possible. To ensure that we have
the detailed views of UK industry to feed into the Commission’s thinking, we
launched an issues paper4 in March 2007, asking for views on a range of
questions about the future structure of the scheme.
336 4 http://www.defra.gov.uk/environment/climatechange/trading/eu/future/review/index.htm#5
Subject
Planning
The Future of Nuclear Power – The Role of Nuclear Power in a Low Carbon UK
Economy
Offshore Decommissioning
CoRWM Implementation
To set out the Government's detailed proposals for reform in 21 May 2007, alongside
response to the recommendations made by Kate Barker and by Rod the Planning White
Eddington on planning, and consult on certain aspects of proposed Paper: Planning for a
planning reforms, including for major energy infrastructure projects. Sustainable Future
To seek comments on the Government’s preliminary view that private 23 May 2007,
sector companies should be allowed the option of investing in new alongside the
nuclear power stations in the UK because of their potential contribution Energy White Paper
to the UK’s goals on climate change and security of supply.
To set out the arrangements we propose for strengthening and 23 May 2007,
modifying the Renewables Obligation, including the implementation alongside the
of banding. Energy White Paper
This consultation is part of our comprehensive package of short-term 23 May 2007,
and long-term measures to improve energy planning for Major alongside the
Infrastructure Projects. Energy White Paper
To consult on key issues such as the size of the commitment under 23 May 2007,
this obligation on suppliers between 2008 and 2011. alongside the
Energy White Paper
To consult on our evidence and analysis of how markets for domestic 23 May 2007,
consumer electronics could develop, together with proposed sales alongside the Energy
targets and performance standards for the next 10-20 years. White Paper
To consult on strengthening the statutory decommissioning regimes June 2007
for oil and gas and renewable energy installations, to minimise the risk
of liabilities falling on the public purse in the event of operator default.
To help consider possible alternative designs for the post 2011 phase Summer 2007
of the continuing obligation on energy suppliers.
To consult on the detailed design of the Carbon Performance Summer 2007
Commitment on large non-energy intensive organisations.
To update the electricity priority user arrangements in the extremely Summer 2007
unlikely event of a widespread electricity disruption.
To consult on the Government’s proposals for implementing Summer 2007
CoRWM‘s recommendations.
To consult on possible additional measures needed to comply with Summer 2007
the Energy Services Directive 2006/32/EC Article 6 in relation to the
promotion of energy efficiency by energy suppliers.
To consult, as appropriate, on the billing and metering proposals set Summer 2007
out in this White Paper.
DTI / Ofgem to consult jointly on more flexible market and licensing Autumn 2007
arrangements for distributed, low carbon electricity supply.
To consult on regulation for the full chain of CCS technologies. Later in 2007
To consult on options for mandatory new car fuel efficiency targets, Later in 2007
along with other details of the European Commission’s communication
on carbon dioxide from passenger cars and light commercial vehicles.
To consult on whether all new homes should be required to be rated By the end of 2007 339
against the Code.
Consultations
Consultations announced in, or related to, the
2006 Energy Review Report: The Energy Challenge
Title Purpose
New nuclear policy To set out how the Government intended to create a policy
framework framework under which developers could make proposals
for new nuclear build, and seek views on the proposals for
the framework.
The Energy Efficiency To gain early views on the shape of the EEC3 (2008-2011)
Commitment April 2008 to in advance of the statutory consultation in 2007.
March 2011: initial consultation
Reform of the Renewables To seek views on the proposals for changes to the Renewables
Obligation and statutory Obligation set out in the 2006 Energy Review Report.
consultation on the In addition the consultation document contained proposals
Renewables Obligation for a small number of more limited and detailed changes
Order 2007 to the Renewables Obligation legislation.
The effectiveness of current To seek the views of industry and consumers on the
gas security of supply effectiveness of current gas security of supply
arrangements arrangements.
Measures to reduce carbon To gain views on a range of options for achieving emissions
emissions in large non-energy savings in large non-energy intensive organisations of 1.2
intensive business and public million tonnes of carbon per year by 2020.
sector organisations
Updating the electricity To consult on the proposed new inquiry rules for
generating stations and applications under the Electricity Act, including the partial
overhead lines inquiry regulatory impact assessment, and the accompanying
procedure rules in draft guidance for participants.
England and Wales
Energy billing and metering To consider proposals made in the Energy Review on how
metering and billing might help reduce energy consumption.
Offshore Natural Gas Storage To gain views on proposals to establish a clear regulatory
and Liquefied Natural Gas framework for the offshore storage of natural gas in non-
(LNG) Import Facilities hydrocarbon features such as salt caverns, as well as in
partially depleted oil and gas fields, and for the offshore
unloading of LNG .
Resilience of overhead power The Energy Review Report underlined that an important
line networks factor in the reliability of our energy supplies is the resilience
of the electricity networks. As a consequence Government
reviewed the overhead lines regime and concluded a better
balance could be struck between changes for which the full
consent process is required, and changes where a more
flexible approach could be adopted.
341
Consultations
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