Alan Porter
Alan Porter
Alan Porter
Alan Porter
Director of Research and Development
Search Technology, Inc.
&
Co-director
Technology Policy & Assessment Center
Georgia Tech
Outline
Functionality
Incremental Innovation
Maturation
Adoption
Commercial Introduction
New Product Development
Licensing, Collaborative Innovation
Development; Patenting
Basic to Applied Research
Time
Technology Delivery System
Tech Mining
Alan L. Porter and Scott W. Cunningham
John Wiley & Sons Inc., 2005
How to get Management to hear
information-based knowledge products
Define the Management of Technology (MOT) Issues
Break out particular MOT Questions
Identify candidate empirical Indicators
WHO?
Pie chart: Company vs.
Academic vs. Government
publishing
Topical main players profiles
Spreading (or constricting) # of
players by topic
Tech Mining 6 information types
The Process
Empirical MOT
Indicators Questions
Select Data
Sources and Understanding MOT
Analytical Tools the Question Issues
Developing the
Search & Knowledge
Knowledge Product
Retrieval
Product
Query
Refinement Combine with
Expert Opinion
Analysis
The Tech Mining Process
1. Understand & scope the question, set in an
Innovation Process context
2. Identify suitable databases
(especially R&D publication or patent abstracts)
3. Search & download topical records [iteration likely]
4. Import into text mining software
(e.g., VantagePoint or Thomson Data Analyzer)
5. Clean the data
6. Analyze, interpret & represent the information
effectively to communicate well
Innovation Indicators
Technology Life Cycle Indicators
e,g, growth curve location & projection
Innovation Context Indicators
e.g., presence or absence of success factors
(funding, standards, infrastructure, etc.)
Product Value Chain and Market
Prospects Indicators
e.g., applications, sectors engaged
Nano: Illustration
[Nanoscience & Nanoengineering R&D]
Georgia Tech
In support of NSF Center for Nano in Society
[Arizona State Univ.] &
NSF Partnership for Innovation
[North Carolina State Univ.]; also
EuroNano Project
[sub to SPRU]
Microscopy Nanotechnology Research Foci & Key Concepts
- Scanning probe microscopy
- Electron microscopy
Self assembly; Directed assembly Metrology &
Nanomechanics Nanoprocesses
Molecular simulation
Scanning probe writing & fabrication
Top-down processes
(nano-lithography, laser nanomachining,
etc.)
Nanostructure
Chemistry & Materials
Nanodevices & Nanoscale chemical structures
Nanocomposites
Nanoelectronics Sol-gels; quasi-crystals
Nanocomputing devices Growth methods
Nanotransistors (epitaxy MBE, CBE,MOCVD)
NEMS; PEBBLES 0D Quantum dots
Molecular electronics 1D Nano/quantum tubes, rods or fibers;
Nanoscale magnetics nanopolymers
2D graphite layers
3D -; fullerenes; nanocrystals
Georgia Tech TPAC / CNS-ASU patent analysis; refined nano definition; results subject to revision
Innovation Mapping: Nano Geo-Districts
Georgia Tech TPAC / CNS-ASU Analysis of SCI Publications; refined nano definition; results subject to revision
Cumulative Nano Publications (Science Citation Index)
160000
EU27
140000 US
Japan
China
120000 Germany
Asian Tigers
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
est.
Science Citation Index Nano Articles, 2005:
Data Differences to Beware
4 Russi
China
2
0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Publications, in thousands
Analysis of SCI Publications 1990-2006; refined Georgia Tech nano definition; see Porter et al., 2007; count for 2006 extrapolated
EI Compendex Nano Publications 7 Target Areas by Country/Region
14000
12000
10000
Chemistry
Energy
8000 Electronics
Optics
6000 Medicine
Medical Materials
Environment
4000
2000
0
EU USA China Japan SE India
Asia
Tigers
Innovation Mapping:
What type of organizations are patenting?
Universities
Government Institutes
6%
Government Institutes 4%
16%
Universities
43%
Others
Firms
38%
19%
Firms
52%
Others
22%
US
China
Firms dominating
Universities and Govt
institutes dominating
Analysis of SIPO and USPTO patents 1990-2006; refined Georgia Tech nano definition; see Porter et al., 2007; count for 2006 extrapolated
Innovation Mapping: Patent Aims along the Value Chain
[by Simone Alencar and Adelaide Antunes, UFRJ]
Infectious diseases
Biological Sciences
Engineering
Computer Sciences
Physics
GLOBAL MAP OF SCIENCE
Leydesdorff&Rafols (2007, submitted) Pajek
Map of Science
Quantum Dot
1995
Size (area) of nodes is proportional to:
Log (1+Number of citations per category) Pajek
Rafols
Map of Science
Quantum Dot
2005
Rafols Pajek
Singer, P.A.
Daar, A.S. Co-citation Map
Mnyusiwalla, A.
(piece): Nano in
Arnall, A.H. SSCI
Joy, B.
Smalley, R.E.
DREXLER KE
Renn, O. Whitesides, G.
Nordmann, A.
CRANDALL BC
Wood, S.
10 Tech Mining Cases
1. Innovation & Application: Ceramic coatings for engines
(Army)
2. Hazardous Substances Data Bank: Import to facilitate
knowledge discovery and database management (NLM)
3. NSF Proposal Assessment/EPA STAR Research Evaluation
4. Measuring research Interdisciplinarity (National Academies)
5. Self-profiling ones organizational strengths & gaps (GT)
6. Generating ST&I Indicators (Sao Paulo)
7. Combining empirical & expert data: Plastic molding
technologies to assess relative R&D priorities (UFSC)
8. Life Cycle Positioning Analyses: Nanopatenting (UFRJ)
9. Tracking Media coverage of an R&D organization (Embrapa)
10. Geo-mapping based on text and data mining
Polymer Biomaterials : fibrous structural proteins : skin
1991-1997 (68 patents)
Polymer Biomaterials : fibrous structural proteins : skin
1991-2005 (470 patents)
[Literature-Based Discovery for Open Innovation
1. Specify the initiating challenge (innovation opportunity A)
[Classic case: Swanson pursuing Raynauds Disease]
Note key attributes
2. Search the literature (&/or patents)
Profile the core and fringe topical themes (related factors B)
Expert assessment of best prospects
[Raynauds associated with blood viscosity changes]
3. New, independent Literature search on B1 (also possibly B2,)
Profile the promising elements (C1, C2 , C3, )
Expert assessment of interesting prospects (considering key attributes of A)
Vetting that C1 has not been previously explored (check literature & patents)
[Raynauds case: blood viscosity lowered by eicosapentaenoic acid, not
previously explored as treatment]
4. Investigate potential of C1 to resolve the initiating challenge (A)
Summary
Open Innovation depends on effectively
exploiting external research knowledge
Treat text like Data Mine it for patterns!
Patterns speak to innovation prospects:
maturation, contextual forces, market
prospects
Answer who, what, where & when
Innovation Management questions for
business decision processes
Open Innovation Machine in
practice at a Fortune 50 Company
Implement Tech Mining treat text like data
[apply VantagePoint and other mining tools]
Standardize data, analyses & information
presentations
Script to expedite
Make better innovation decisions for
competitive advantage!
Resources
Tech Mining by Alan Porter and Scott Cunningham,
Wiley, 2005
www.theVantagePoint.com
- the software
- various News on text mining of S&T
- in Spain, contact Triz XXI, Fernando Palop
[[email protected]]