The Study On Indian Financial System Post Liberalization: A Project Report
The Study On Indian Financial System Post Liberalization: A Project Report
The Study On Indian Financial System Post Liberalization: A Project Report
POST LIBERALIZATION
A PROJECT REPORT
Of
MBA( FINANCE)
Objective
1.To study the Indian financial system post liberalization in terms of its
characteristics , factors affecting the market and trends visible in the market and
future prospects.
Finance is the major element witch activates the overall growth of the economy.
Finance is the life blood of the economy activity. A well system directly
contributes knit financial 4w to the growth of the economy .An efficient financial
system calls for the effective performance of financial institution , financial
instrument and financial markets.
Over the decades, India’s banking sector has grown steadily in size (in terms
oftotal deposits) at an average annual growth rate of 18%. There are about 100
commercialbanks in operation with 30 of them state owned, 30 private sector
banks and the rest 40foreign banks. Still dominated by state-owned banks (they
account for over 80% ofdeposits and assets), the years since liberalization have
seen the emergence of newprivate sector banks as well as the entry of several new
foreign banks. This has resultedin a much lower concentration ratio in India than in
other emerging economies(Demirgüç-Kunt and Levine 2001). Competition has
clearly increased with theHerfindahl index (a measure of concentration) for
advances and assets dropping by over28% and about 20% respectively between
1991-1992 and 2000-2001 (Koeva 2003).
Within a decade of its formation, a private bank, the ICICI Bank has become the
secondlargest in India.Compared to most Asian countries the Indian banking
system has done better inmanaging its NPL problem. The“healthy”status of the
Indian banking system is in partdue to its high standards in selecting borrowers (in
fact, many firms complained about thestringent standards and lack of sufficient
funding), though there is some concern about“ever-greening” of loans to avoid
being categorized as NPLs. In terms of profitability,Indian banks have also
performed well compared to the banking sector in other Asianeconomies, as the
returns to bank assets The financial sector prior to the 1990s was thus characterised
by
segmented and underdeveloped financial markets coupled with paucity of
instruments and there existed a complex structure of interest rates arising from
economic and social concerns of providing directed and concessional credit
tocertain sectors, ensuing “cross subsidisation” among borrowers. Formaintaining
spreads of banking sector, regulation of both deposit and lendingrates resulted not
only in distorting the interest rate mechanism, but alsoadversely affected the
viability and profitability of banks and equity.
Table of Contents
1. Overview……………………………………………………………9
2. LiberalizingIndia’s Financial Sector………………………………21
3. The Institutional Environment in India – An Assessment…………51
4. Capital Markets…………………………………………………….65
5. Recent FII Flows to India…………………………………………..74
6. Banking Sector……………………………………………………..78
7. Corporate Governance……………………………………………..86
8. Microfinance in India…………………………………………….100
9. Issues for Research ……………………………………………….112
10.Bibliography ……………………………………………………..115
India's Financial System
Overview
One of the major economic developments of this decade has been the recent
takeoffof India, with growth rates averaging in excess of 8% for the last four years,
a stockmarket that has risen over three-fold in as many years with a rising inflow
of foreigninvestment. In 2006, total equity issuance reached $19.2bn in India, up
22 per cent.
Merger and acquisition volume was a record $27.8bn, up 38 per cent, driven by a
371 percent increase in outbound acquisitions exceeding for the first time inbound
deal volumesDebt issuance reached an all-time high of $13.7bn, up 28 per cent
from a year earlier.
Indian companies were also among the world's most active issuers of depositary
receiptsin the first half of 2006, accounting for one in three new issues globally,
according to theBank of New York.
The questions and challenges that India faces in the first decade of the new
Millenniums are therefore fundamentally different from those that it has wrestled
with fordecades after independence. Liberalization and globalization have breathed
new life intothe foreign exchange markets while simultaneously besetting them
with new challenges.
Commodity trading, particularly trade in commodity futures, have practically
startedfrom scratch to attain scale and attention. The banking industry has moved
from an era ofrigid controls and government interference to a more market-
governed system. Newprivate banks have made their presence felt in a very strong
way and several foreign
Banks have entered the country. Over the years, microfinance has emerged as
animportant element of the Indian financial system increasing its outreach and
providingmuch-needed financial services to millions of poor Indian households.
1.1 The Indian Economy -- A Brief History
The second most populated country in the world (1.11 billion), India currently
hasthe fourth largest economy in PPP terms, and is closing in at the heels of the
third largesteconomy, Japan. At independence from the British in 1947, India
inheritedone of the world’s poorest economies (the manufacturing sector accounted
for only onetenth of the national product), but also one with arguably the best
formal financial
markets in the developing world, with four functioning stock exchanges (the oldest
redating the Tokyo Stock Exchange) and clearly defined rules governing listing,
tradingand settlements; a well-developed equity culture if only among the urban
rich; a bankingsystem with clear lending norms and recovery procedures; and
better corporate laws thanmost other erstwhile colonies. The 1956 Indian
Companies Act, as well as othercorporate laws and laws protecting the investors’
rights, were built on this foundation.
After independence, a decades-long turn towards socialism put in place a
regimeand culture of licensing, protection and widespread red-tape breeding
corruption. In1990-91 India faced a severe balance of payments crisis ushering in
an era of reformscomprising deregulation, liberalization of the external sector and
partial privatization ofsome of the state sector enterprises. For about three decades
after independence, Indiagrew at an average rate of 3.5% (infamously labeled “the
Hindu rate of growth”) and thenaccelerated to an average of about 5.6% since the
1980’s. The growth surge actuallystarted in the mid-1970s except for a disastrous
single year, 1979-80. As we have seen inTable 1.1, the annual GDP growth rate
(based on inflation adjusted, constant prices) of5.9% during 1990-2005 is the
second highest among the world’s largest economiesbehind only China’s 10.1%.In
2004, 52% of India’s GDP was generated in the services sector,
whilemanufacturing (agriculture) produced 26% (22%) of GDP. In terms of
employment,however, agriculture still accounts for about two-thirds of the half a
billion labor force,indicating both poor productivity and widespread
underemployment. Over 90% of thelabor force works in the “unorganized
sector.”1
1.2 Indian Economy and Financial Markets since liberalization
The Domestic Economy
There is hardly a facet of economic life in India that has not been radically
alteredsince the launch of economic reforms in the early 90’s. The twin forces of
globalization and the deregulation have breathed a new life to private business and
the long-protectedindustries in India are now faced with both the challenge of
foreign competition as wellas the opportunities of world markets. The growth rate
has continued the higher trajectory
started in 1980 and the GDP has nearly doubled in constant prices .The end of the
“LicenserRag” has removed major obstacles from the path of newinvestment and
capacity creation.. The unmistakable ascent in theratio following liberalization
points to the unshackled private sector’s march towardsattaining the “commanding
heights” of the economy. In terms of price stability, theaverage rate of inflation
since liberalization has stayed close to the preceding half decadeexcept in the last
few years when inflation has declined to significantly lower levels .Perhaps the
biggest structural change in India’s macro-economy, apart from therise in the
growth rate, is the steep decline in the interest rates. Interest rates have fallen to
almost half in the period following the reforms, bringingdown the corporate cost of
capital significantly and increasing the competitiveness ofIndian companies in the
global marketplace.
The External Sector and the Outside World
Along with deregulation, globalization has played a key role in transforming
theIndian economy in the past dozen years. A quick measure of the rise in India’s
integrationwith the world economy is a standard gauge of“openness” – the
importance of foreigntrade in the national income. the unmistakable rise in the
share ofimports and exports in India’s GDP since 1990-91. In just over a decade
sinceliberalization, the share of foreign trade in India’s GDP had increased by over
50%.
While imports increased steadily and continued to exceed exports, the rise in the
latterhas been almost proportional as well. The “export pessimism” that marked
India’sforeign trade policy truly appears to be a thing of the past.
While trade deficits have continued after liberalization, foreign investment in
India, bothportfolio flows as well as FDI, (and more recently in the form of
external commercialborrowing (ECBs) by Indian firms) have been substantial.
Bothkinds of flows have shown remarkable growth rates with comparable average
levels over The years. However the portfolio flows have been much more volatile
as compared to FDIflows. This raises the familiar concerns over “hot money”
flows into the country withportfolio flows.As for FDI, perhaps much of the
potential still lays untapped. A recent study byMorgan Stanley holds “bureaucracy,
poor infrastructure, rigid labor laws and anunfavorable tax structure” in India as
responsible for this poor relative performance2.
Nevertheless this difference should be viewed more as indicative of future
growthopportunities in FDI inflows provided India properly carries out its second
generationreforms and should not obscure India’s significant achievement in
attracting foreigninvestment in the years since liberalization.
As a result of substantial capital inflows, the foreign exchange reserves situationfor
India has improved beyond the wildest imagination of any pre-
liberalizationpolicymaker. Today the Reserve Bank has a foreign exchange reserve
exceeding twohundred billion US dollars, a situation unthinkable at the beginning
of liberalization whenIndia barely had reserves to cover a few weeks of imports..
The Indian rupee has largely stabilized against major world currencies, over
theperiod. The economic reforms era began with a sharp devaluation of the rupee.
As liberalization lifted controls on the rupee in the trade account, there were
considerableconcerns about its value. However, propped up largely by inflows of
foreign investmentthe floating rupee stabilized in the late 90’s and has appreciated
somewhat against the USdollar in recent months. In fact, it is fair to say that the
rupee is currently considerablyundervalued against the dollar as its value is
managed by the RBI. A lot has changed in the world beyond India’s borders during
these years. Japan,the second largest economy in the world, has experienced a deep
and long recession overmuch of the period. The Asian Crisis, one of the most
widespread of all financial andcurrency crises ever, devastated South-East Asia
and Korea in 1997. Continental Europehas entered into a monetary union creating
the Euro that now rivals the US dollar inimportance as a world currency. Several
economies like Russia, Argentina and Turkeyhave witnessed financial crises. The
internet bubble took stock markets in the US andseveral other countries to dizzying
heights before crashing back down. More recently, USsub-prime market woes have
sparked global sell-offs.
India has appeared largely unscathed from the Asian crisis. Most observersattribute
this insulation to the capital controls that continue in India. Nevertheless,
Indianfinancial markets have progressively become more attuned to international
market forces.
The reaction of Indian markets to the recent sub-prime meltdown bears testimony
to thelevel of financial integration between India and the rest of the world.
1.3 The Financial Sector
Despite the history of India’s stock exchanges (4 at independence to 23 today)and
the large number of listed firms (over 10,000), the size and role in terms of
allocatingresources of the markets are dominated by those of the banking sector,
similar to manyother emerging economies. The equity markets were not important
as a source of fundingfor the non-state sector until as recently as the early 1980s.
The ratio of India’s marketcapitalization to GDP rose from about 3.5% in the early
1980’s to over 59 % in 2005,which ranks 40th among 106 countries while the size
of the (private) corporatebond market is small. On the other hand, from The
efficiency of the banking sector, measured bythe concentration and overhead costs,
is above the world average.
In a series of seminal papers beginning in the late 1990s, La Portal, Lopez
deSilages, Shellfire and Vishnu (LLSV) have empirically demonstrated the effects
that theinvestor protection embedded in the legal system of a country has on the
developmentand nature of financial systems in the country. Broadly speaking, they
posit thatcommon-law countries provide better investor protection than civil law
countries leadingto “better” financial and systemic outcomes for the former
including a greater fraction ofexternal finance, better developed financial markets
and more dispersed shareholding inthese countries as compared to the civil law
countries. Consequently, the LLSV averagesof financial system indicators across
different legal system groups serve as a benchmarkagainst which an individual
country’s financial system can be compared.
Interms of the size (bank private credit over GDP), India’s banking sector is much
smallerthan the (value-weighted) average of LLSV sample countries, even though
its efficiency(overhead cost as fraction of total banking assets) compares favorably
to most countries.The size of India’s stock market, measured by the total market
capitalization as fractionof GDP, is actually slightly larger than that of the banking
sector, although this figure isstill below the LLSV average. However, in terms of
the “floating supply” of the market,or the tradable fraction of the total market
capitalization, India’s stock market is only halfof its banking sector.3
“Structure activity” and “Structure size” measure whether a financial system
isdominated by the market or banks. India’s activity (size) figure is below (above)
eventhe average of English origin countries, suggesting that India has a market-
dominatedsystem; but this is mainly due to the small amount of bank private credit
(relative toGDP) rather than the size of the stock market. In terms of relative
efficiency (“Structureefficiency”) of the market vs. banks, India’s banks are much
more efficient than themarket (due to the low overhead cost), and this dominance
of banks over market isstronger in India than for the average level of LLSV
countries. Finally, in terms of thedevelopment of the financial system, including
both banks and markets, we find thatIndia’s overall financial market size (“Finance
activity” and “Finance size”) is muchsmaller than the LLSV-sample average level.
Overall, based on the above evidence, wecan conclude that both India’s stock
market and banking sector are small relative to the size of its economy, and the
financial system is dominated by an efficient (low overhead cost) but significantly
under-utilized (in terms of lending to non-state sectors) bankingsector.However,
the situation has changed considerably in recent years: Since the middleof 2003
through to the third quarter of 2007, Indian stock prices have appreciated rapidly.In
fact, as shown in Figure 1, the rise of the Indian equity market in this period
allowed investors to earn a higher return (“buy and hold return”) from investing in
the BombayStock Exchange, or BSE’s SENSEX Index than from investing in the
S&P 500 Index and other indices in the U.K., and Japan during the period. Only
China did better. Manycredit the continuing reforms and more or less steady
growth as well as increasing foreign direct and portfolio investment in the country
for this explosion in share values. the two major Indian exchanges, the Bombay
Stock Exchange(BSE), and the much more recent, National Stock Exchange,
(NSE)) vis-à-vis other largest stockmarket in the world in terms of market
capitalization, while NSE ranked eighteenth. the trading in the BSE is one of the
most concentrated among thelargest exchanges in the world, with the top 5% of
companies (in terms of marketvelocity of
BSE (35.4% for the year) is much lower than that of exchanges with
similarconcentration ratios.5 Figure 1.9 shows that Indian markets outperformed
most majorglobal markets handsomely during 1992-2006 period.
In 2004-05, non-government Indian companies raised $2.7 billion from the
Market through the issuance of common stocks, and $378 million by selling
Bonds/debentures (no preferred shares). Despite the size of new issues, India’s
financialmarkets, relative to the size of its economy and population, are much
smaller than thosein many other countries. a comparison of external markets
(stock andbonds) in India and different country groups (by legal origin) using
measures from LLSV 1997a). Thedegree of protection of investors based on the
data used in the horizontal axismeasures overall investor protection (protection
provided by the law, rule of law, and
government corruption) in each country, while the vertical axis measures the
(relative)size and efficiency of that country’s external markets.6 Most countries
with the Englishcommon-law origin (French civil-law origin) lie in the top-right
region (bottom-leftwithrelatively strong legal protection (in particular, protection
provided by law) but relativelysmall financial markets.
The Financial Sector
Along with the rest of the economy and perhaps even more than the rest,
financialmarkets in India have witnessed a fundamental transformation in the years
sinceliberalization. The going has not been smooth all along but the overall effects
have beenlargely positive.
Over the decades, India’s banking sector has grown steadily in size (in terms
oftotal deposits) at an average annual growth rate of 18%. There are about 100
commercialthe rest 40foreign banks. Still dominated by state-owned banks (they
account for over 80% ofdeposits and assets), the years since liberalization have
seen the emergence of newprivate sector banks as well as the entry of several new
foreign banks. This has resultedin a much lower concentration ratio in India than in
other emerging economies. Competition has clearly increased with theindex (a
measure of concentration) for advances and assets dropping by over28% and about
20% respectively between 1991-1992 and 2000-2001.
Within a decade of its formation, a private bank, the ICICI Bank has become the
second largest in India. As compared to most Asian countries the Indian banking
system has done better in managing its NPL problem. The “healthy” status of the
Indian banking system is in partdue to its high standards in selecting borrowers (in
fact, many firms complained about thestringent standards and lack of sufficient
funding), though there is some concern about“ever-greening” of loans to avoid
being categorized as NPLs. In terms of profitability.
Indian banks have also performed well compared to the banking sector in other
Asianeconomies, as the returns to bank assets and equity in Table 1.6
convey.Private banks are today increasingly displacing nationalized banks from
theirpositions of pre-eminence. Though the nationalized State Bank of India (SBI)
remains thelargest bank in the country by far, new private banks like ICICI Bank,
UTI Bank(recently renamed Axis Bank) and HDFC Bank have emerged as
important players in theretail banking sector. Though spawned by government-
backed financial institutions ineach case, they are profit-driven professional
enterprises.
The proportion of non-performing assets (NPAs) in the loan portfolios of the
banks are one of the best indicators of the health of the banking sector, which, in
turn, iscentral to the economic health of the nation. Clearly theforeign banks have
the healthiest portfolios and the nationalized banks the worst, but thedownward
trend across the board is indeed a positive feature. Also, while there is stillroom for
improvement, the overall ratios are far from alarming particularly when
While the banking sector has undergone several changes, equity markets
haveexperienced tumultuous times as well. There is no doubt that the post-reforms
era haswitnessed considerably higher average stock market returns in general as
compared tobefore. Since the beginning of the reforms, “equity culture” has spread
across the countryto an extent more than ever before. Although GDP itself has
risenfaster than before, the long-term growth in equity markets has been
significantly higher.
Liberalising India’s Financial Sector
Constraints, Challenges And Prospects
Following the unprecedented macroeconomic and balance of payments
crisis in 1991, a comprehensive program of macroeconomic stabilisation and
structural adjustment was undertaken in India. Early on in this reform
process,financial sector reform was initiated in 1992-93. My speech today reviews
thechallenges and constraints in liberalisingIndia's financial sector and makes
anassessment of its future prospects.
The speech is organised as follows: First, I shall present a brief historical
background and rationale for financial sector reform. This is followed by a
discussion of main features of the reform and its critical aspects. Against that
backdrop, Section an evaluation of the performance of India's financial sectorwill
be made. This will be followed by an analysis of the performance ofIndia's
financial sector in the global context. Finally, I shall try to identify thechallenges
that lay ahead for India's financial sector.
Second, enabling the growth of financial markets that would enable price
discovery, in particular, determination of interest rates by the market dynamicsthat
then helps in efficient allocation of resources;
Fifth, the financial sector reforms were guided by the desire to prepare
the financial entities to effectively deal with the impulses arising from the
developments in the global economy by promoting measures of financial
stability, which emerged as an important objective of monetary policy along
with price stability and economic growth; andAs financial markets grew in size,
especially since the late 1990s, thedominant fear of market failure receded, the
process of financial sector reformssaw a decisive shift towards market-oriented
strategies, enabling pricediscovery through deepening of the financial system with
multiple and diversefinancial entities of different risk profiles.
Venture Capital
For financing start-up firms, the role of venture capital can hardly be
over-emphasised. The venture capital financing is especially important as theycan
focus on sunrise industries and also provide guidance to the start-up firmsin the
initial stages of their development. They play a very useful role insolving the
problem of pre-IPO financing. The venture financing has not pickedup that
satisfactorily in India possibly because of stringent regulations. Severalissues
relating to lock-in of shares, exit options, freedom to invest in varioustypes of
instruments, modes of investment and some tax-related issues need tobe addressed
to encourage flow of venture capital funds in India.In sum, the Indian financial
sector has taken several steps in the rightdirection, but much more needs to be done
to ascend to commanding heights. Acautious approach towards increasing
efficiency within the framework of overall financial stability can
significantlycontribute towards India becoming aleading financial force in the
world.
The area of the Ease of Doing Business index where India fares worst is
undoubtedly that of closing a business. Consequently recovery rates are very low
too – below 13% asopposed to about 74% in OECD countries. Kang and Nayar
(2004) point out that there isno single comprehensive and integrated policy on
corporate bankruptcy in India in thelines of Chapter 11 or Chapter 7 US
bankruptcy code. Overlapping jurisdictions of the
High Courts, the Company Law Board, the Board for Industrial and
FinancialReconstruction (BIFR) and the Debt Recovery Tribunals (DRTs)
contribute to the costsand delays of bankruptcy. The Companies (Second
Amendment) Act, 2002 seeks toaddress these problems by establishing a National
Company Law Tribunal and stipulatinga time-bound rehabilitation or liquidation
process to within less than two years as well as
bringing about other positive changes in the bankruptcy code.
Indian capital markets have been one of the best performing markets in the worldin
the last few years. Fuelled by strong economic growth and a large inflow of
foreigninstitutional investors (FIIs) as well as the development of the domestic
mutual fundsindustry, the Indian stock market indices have delivered truly
explosive growth duringthe last 5 years rising over 3 times during the period.
However, it would be a mistake tothink that growth has happened only in
valuation. During this period Indian capitalmarkets have exhibited explosive
growth in almost every respect.
While the two major Indian exchanges, the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) andthe
National Stock Exchange (NSE) ranked 16th and 17th respectively among
exchangesaround the world in terms of market capitalization. The former has close
to 5,000 stockslisted, of which about half actually trade. In terms of concentration
(i.e. the share of top5% of stocks in total trading) they are not out of line with other
major exchanges, thoughin terms of turnover velocity, BSE is the lowest among
the top 20 exchanges. The
relatively newly formed NSE has overtaken the more traditional BSE (which is
older thanthe Tokyo Stock Exchange) and now has over 30% higher turnover in
terms of value andalmost 2.5 times BSE’s turnover in terms of number of trades
depicts the evolution of liquidity in Indian capital markets in recent years. The
regionalstock exchanges in India, numbering 20, have recently been relatively
speaking devoid ofaction. In March 2006, the BSE market capitalization accounted
for about 86% of IndianGDP while that of the NSE accounted for about 80%. In
terms of risk and return, while
the Indian markets have been more volatile than those in industrialized nations,
thereturns have been largely commensurate . In the new century, a huge derivative
market hasbeen created from scratch, foreign institutional investors have almost
doubled in number,growth, and thenumber of portfolio managers has risen over
three-fold. The entire industry has thereforegone through a major transformation
during the period.
During 2005-06, Indian corporations mobilized over Rs. 1237 trillion ($
30.93trillion) from the markets (which accounted for close to 4% of the GDP at
factor cost incurrent prices) of which close to 78% was debt, all of which was
privately placed Of equity issues amounting to over Rs. 273 trillion ($ 6.825
trillion), about40% were IPOs and the remainder seasoned offerings. Close to 25%
of these latter wererights offerings. Qualitatively, these proportions have remained
more or less stable overthe years.
The liberalization and subsequent growth of the Mutual Funds industry, for
decades monopolized by the state-owned Unit Trust of India (UTI), since the turn
of thecentury has been one of major stories of Indian capital markets .From theturn
of the century, assets under management have more than tripled, in pace with
andfuelling the rise of the markets.
The biggest development in the Indian capital markets in recent years is
undoubtedly the introduction of derivatives – futures and options – both on indexes
aswell as individual stocks with turnovers growing 50 to 70 times in the past 5
years andthe derivatives segments quickly becoming a crucial part of the Indian
capital markets.The rapid growth in Indian capital markets, and the spread of
“equity culture” hasdoubtlessly strained its infrastructure and regulatory resources.
Nevertheless the securities market watchdog, the Securities and Exchanges Board
of India (SEBI) hasmaintained a rate of around 95% in redressing investor
grievances reported to it , though investigations undertaken and convictions
obtained have, on a proportionalbasis, trailed those of the Securities Exchange
Commission (SEC) of the USA .
4.1 Institutional Features
The transactions in secondary markets like NSE and BSE go through clearing
atclearing corporations (National Securities Clearing Corporation Limited
(NSCCL) forNSE trades, for instance) where determination of funds and securities
obligations of thetrading members and settlement of the latter take place. All the
securities are being tradedand settled under T+2 rolling settlement.
“Dematerialized”, trading of securities, i.e.paper-less trading using electronic
accounts, now accounts for virtually all equity
transactions. This was introduced to reduce the menace of fake and stolen
securities andto enhance the settlement efficiency, with the first depository
(National SecurityDepository Limited established for NSE in 1996. This ushered
the era of paperlesstrading and settlement. Table 3.9 shows the progress of
dematerialization at NSDL anddelivery pattern of various stock exchanges in
India.As a measure of investor protection, exchanges in India (both the NSE and
BSE)administer price bands and also maintain strict surveillance over market
activities inilliquid and volatile stocks. Besides, NSCCL has put in place an on-line
monitoring andthere isbeing inspectedevery year to verify their level of compliance
with various rules.
4.2 Debt Market
The debt market in India has remained predominantly a wholesale market.
During2005-2006, the government and corporate sector collectively has mobilized
Rs 2.6 trillionfrom the primary debt market. Of which, 69.6% were raised by
government and themarket,government securities dominate. The secondary market
for corporate bonds is practical.At the end of March 2006, the total market
capitalizationof securities available for trading at the WDM segment stood at over
Rs 15 trillion . Of this government securities and state loans together accounted for
83% of
total market capitalization. Government of India, public sector units and
corporations together comprise asdominant issuer of debt markets in India. Local
governments, mutual funds andinternational financial institution issue debt
instruments as well but very infrequently.The Central Government mobilizes funds
mainly through issue of dated securities and Tbills.
Bonds are also issued by government sponsored institutions like the
developmentfinancial institutions (DFIs) like IFCI and IDBI, banks and public
sector units. Some, butnot all, of the PSU bonds are tax-exempt. The corporate
bond market comprise ofcommercial papers and bonds. In recent years, there has
been an increase in issuance ofcorporate bonds with embedded put and call
options. The major part of debt is privatelyplaced with tenors of 1-12 years.
Government securities include Fixed Coupon Bonds, Floating Rate Bonds,
ZeroCoupon Bonds, and T-Bills. The secondary market trades are negotiated
betweenparticipants with SGL (Subsidiary General Ledger) accounts with RBI.
The NegotiatedDelivery System (NDS) of RBI provides electronic platform for
negotiating trades.Trades are also executed on electronic platform of the Wholesale
Debt Market (WDM) segment of NSE. The averagetrade size in this market has
hovered aroundRs. 70 million and whileturnover has risen significantly, the rise
has not been uniform.
Central and State governments together have borrowed Rs 1.8 trillion and repaid
over Rs 680 billion ($ 17 billion) during 2005-06. Out of thisover Rs 1.3 trillion
was raised by central government through datedsecurities. On a net basis, the
government has borrowed over Rs 953 billion through dated securities and only
slightly over Rs 28 billion
Through 364-day T-Bills. The net borrowings of State governments in 2005-06
amountedto slightly over Rs 154 billion ($ 3.85 billion).
The yield on primary issues of dated government securities during 2005-06
variedbetween 6.69 % and 7.98 % against the range of 4.49% to 8.24 % during
2004-05. Theweighted average yield on government dated securities increased to
7.34% from 6.11% in2004-05.At about 2% of the GDP, the corporate bond market
in India is small, marginal,and heterogeneous in comparison with corporate bond
market in developed countries.
While a corporate debt market in India has existed in India since 1950s, the bulk of
thedebt has been raised through private placements. In 2004-05, close to Rs 593
billion was raised by the corporate sector through debt instruments, of
whichprivate placements accounted for around 93 %. In 2005-06, the entire
amount of over Rs794 billion ($ 19.85 billion) was raised by 99 issuers through
362 privately placed issues,with no public issues at all. Figure 3.3 shows the
growth of private placement debt in
India. Financial Institutions and banks dominate in private placements, issuing 75
% ofthe total private placement of debt (Refer Figure 3.4). Around 68.12 % of the
resourcesmobilized by private placement were distributed to Financial and
Banking sector and9.64 % to Power sector, while distribution to
Telecommunications and Water resourcestogether was less than 1 %. During 2005-
06, the maturity profile of issues in privateplacements ranged between 12 months
to 240 months.To promote the corporate debt market, especially secondary market
regulatorshave taken several steps. Corporate Debt instruments are traded both on
BSE and oncapital market and the WDM segments of the NSE. SEBI has already
mandated that allbonds traded on the BSE and NSE be executed on the basis of
price/order matching. So,the difference between trading of government securities
and corporate debt marketsecurities is that the latter are traded on the electronic
limit order book like equities. Since
June 2002, the CDSL and NSDL have admitted debt instruments such as
debentures,bonds, CPs CDs, etc. Also, banks, financial institutions and primary
dealers have beenasked to hold bonds and debentures, privately placed or other
wise, in electronic form. Ason March 2006, over Rs 3.3 trillion ($ 82.5 billion)
worth of bonds/debentures wereavailable in paperless (electronic) form consisting
of 652 issuers with 17,508debentures/bonds and 379 issuers with 7,357 issues of
commercial paper.
In terms of market participants, apart from investors and brokers, there were
Primary Dealers8 at the end of March 2006. During 2005-06, banks (Indian and
Foreign)accounted for 42% of the WDM turnover, while primary dealers
accounted for 21% ofthe total turnover (Refer Figure 3.5). In recent years mutual
funds have emerged as animportant investor class in the debt market. They also
raise funds through the debtmarket. Most mutual funds have specialized debt funds
such as gilt funds and liquidfunds. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are also
permitted to invest in treasury and
corporate bonds, but up to a limit. Provident and pension funds are large investors
in debtmarket, predominantly in treasury and PSU bonds. They are, however, not
very activetraders owing largely to regulatory restrictions.
Banking Sector
With deposits of over half a trillion US dollars, the Indian banking sector
accountsfor close to three-quarters of the country’s financial assets. Over the
decades, this sectorhas grown steadily in size, measured in terms of total deposits,
at a fairly uniform averageannual growth rate of about 18%. In the years since
liberalization, several significantchanges have occurred in the structure and
character of the banking sector – the mostvisible being perhaps the emergence of
new private sector banks as well as the entry ofseveral new foreign banks. The
spirit of competition and the emphasis onprofitability arealso driving the public
sector banks towards greater profit-orientation in a departure fromthe socialistic
approach followed for decades. In general it seems that the emergence ofthe new
private banks and the increased participation of foreign banks have
increasedprofessionalism in the banking sector. Competition has clearly increased
with theHerfindahl index (a measure of concentration) for advances and assets
dropping by over28% and about 20% respectively between 1991-1992 and 2000-
20019. Over the period,SBI, the largest Indian bank, witnessed a decline in asset
market share from 28% to 24%while its loan market share dropped from 27% to
22%. The deposit share, on the otherhand, stayed pretty much the same at 23%.
The asset, loan and deposit shares of the top10 banks all fell from close to 70% to
below 60%. Nevertheless, the public sector banks
still enjoy a pre-eminent position in Indian banking today, accounting for over 80%
ofdeposits and credit . There is, however, a noticeable trend ofprivate banks
gradually eroding the market share of the public sector.Performance and efficiency
of commercial banks are key elements of theefficiency and efficacy of a country’s
financial sector. It is not surprising then, thatconsiderable attention has been
focused on the performance of commercial banks in Indiain recent years.
According to the general perception as well as on several metrics, the“new” private
sector banks and the foreign banks have led the way in terms of efficiency.Public
sector banks, still not entirely free from the old bureaucratic mode of
functioningand constrained by certain “developmental” lending objectives, are
often thought to belagging behind in the race to efficiency. Bank privatization and
further liberalization of9 Koeva (2003). The Herfindahl index is a measure of
industry concentration and is computed as the sum ofthe squared market shares of
the firms in an industry. Ranging between 0and 10,000, a lower Herfindahlindex
represents less concentration and greater competition.the banking sector including
allowing bank mergers are frequently discussed as remediesfor the situation.
6.1 Performance of commercial banks in recent years – a brief background
The performance of commercial banks in India has been under policy and
academic spotlight for a while now with the public sector bank performance
receiving thegreatest attention. The relatively poor performance of several public
sector banks (PSBs)has led to calls for a complete overhaul of these banks and
privatization as a solution.Performance evaluation of banks, particularly in an
economy that is dominated bypublic sector banks that are not driven purely by
profit motive, however, is not a simpletask. Profitability is definitely a key measure
of performance, but its use as the solemeasure is disputed by many and several
alternative measures of efficiency have beenused in the literature. Here we take a
look at a few of these measures to evaluate theperformance of banks in the post-
reforms era.
A caveat is in order here. A key issue in judging bank efficiency is the link
between management objectives and the selected measure of efficiency. As in
anybusiness, banks too seek to maximize shareholder value as well as pursue
strategicobjectives. Banks at different levels of market share frequently set
differing objectives, soany measure other than Return on Assets is fraught with
comparability problems. Inaddition, more than in many other businesses, risk
management plays a crucial role inbanking and it is, indeed, a difficult task to
figure out the riskiness of a bank’s operations
without going through a detailed analysis of its investments and loan portfolio. A
crosssectionalcomparison of relative bank performance, as presented here,
abstracts in a largemeasure from these considerations, which are doubtless
limitations of such analysis.Panel A of Figure 5.3 shows the Return on Asset
(Profit/Asset) It is evident that foreign banks are, by far, the most profitable bank
category inIndia. The non-SBI public sector banks have consistently been the
worst performers. Thereappears to have been a mild improvement in the efficiency
of the banking sector in generalduring the decade10 much of which has been
driven by improvements in performance of the10 A conclusion also supported by
Koeva (2003)private and foreign banks. Within the private sector banks, the “new”
private sector banks,those that came up in the post-reforms era, seem to have
driven the efficiency gains.It is however, imperative to consider risk in evaluating
a bank’s performance. Theriskiness of banking is not wholly reflected in the
variation of its earnings. This is obtained by dividing theaverage ROA of a bank
group in a year by the (cross-sectional) standard deviation ofROAs of banks in that
group during that year. On this criterion, the SBI group is an orderof magnitude
better than others, simply because of its very low intra-group variability inearnings.
However, banks in the SBI group is also different from other banks in their
lowerdecision-making independence from one another. Among the three other
groups, theredoes not seem to be any systematic pattern. If we measure risk with
time-series rather thancross-sectional standard deviation, however, then the
coefficients of variation . The significant stability of foreign banks on this score
isoteworthy. The “most risky” status of SBI when time-series variation in ROA
isonsidered while being the “least risky” by far using cross-sectional variation as a
measure
of risk, suggests that the SBI group may be distributing temporal shocks among
theonstituent banks to maintain intra-group parity and so should really be viewed
as a singlather than a group.
Another measure of efficiency of the banking sector is the productivity of
itspersonnel. This is not a “total factor productivity” kind of measure, but rather
just aeasure of how well the human resources are exploited by the banks. Clearly
this figurewould depend crucially with the expenditure on non-human inputs that
complement theefforts of the employees. A measure of labor productivity in the
banking sector is theratio of “turnover” or the total business generated as the sum
of total deposits andadvances to the total number of employees. There has been
improvement across allcategories over the time period. However, the foreign
banks’ turnover per employee isabout five times that of the nationalized banks11.
Equally impressive has been the relativesurge of the private banks on this metric,
from below par when compared to the publicsector banks at the beginning of the
decade to over twice as efficient as the nationalizedbanks in later years. Much of
the relative poor performance of the public sector banksstem from the fact that they
are required to have branches in rural areas all over thecountry that are largely cost
centers. However public sector banks are overstaffed evenwhen their metro and
urban area branches are considered12. However, when we look atthe banks’
turnover as a multiple of their employee cost (Figure 5.6), rather than numberof
employees, the difference is less marked. More importantly the Indian private
banksappear to have trounced the foreign banks on this score in the latter half of
the decade.Clearly the “new” private sector banks have been more successful in
keeping theiremployee costs down while raising turnover. Both the foreign and
private banks hire
fewer but more expensive employees than their public sector counterparts.
Foreign banks tend to use information technology more intensively and
practiceniche banking. As for private banks, their climb of the efficiency ladder
has been drivenalmost exclusively by the new private banks – ICICI Bank, UTI
Bank (recently renamedAxis Bank), HDFC Bank etc. – that have followed the
foreign bank-type staffingpractices and business model with lower clerical and
subordinate staff strength. All thesefeatures have important policy implications for
the debate concerning restructuring and
11 D’Souza (2002). 12 D’Souza (2002 privatizing of public sector banks. There is
also the view13, however, that ownership perse does not affect the operational
efficiency of banks – it is the discipline of stock
markets that make the traded private companies more efficient than public sector
banks. While the regulatory mechanism is frequently blamed for the
lacklusterperformance of public sector banks, till 1996, deregulation had not
resulted in aproductivity surge in public sector banks, though private banks
improved performance .
Perhaps the best measure of a country’s financial health and robustness is theextent
of non-performing assets (NPAs) in its banking system. Broadly speaking, a
nonperformingadvance is defined in India as one with interest or principal
repaymentinstallment unpaid for a period of at least two quarters. NPAs form a
substantial drag forindividual banks as well as the banking system of a country.
They represent the poorquality of the assets of the bank and have to be provisioned
for using capital. Obviouslythey have a huge negative impact on a bank’s
profitability and can lead to complete
erosion of its asset base.As noted before public sector banks have traditionally had
higherlevels of NPAs than private sector banks and foreign banks. In recent years,
however,they appear to have managed their NPAs well, steadily reducing them to
levelscomparable to those of private banks. On the other hand, the new private
sector bankshave witnessed an increase in the share of NPAs in their portfolios.A
closer look at the cross-sectional distribution of NPAs among the different banks .
however, suggest that as a group, public sector banks have a tighterdistribution
than other categories, particularly foreign banks which show considerablylarger
skewness in the ratio of net NPAs to net advances.There is, however, skepticism in
some quarters about the definition andmeasurement of NPAs in Indian banks.
Banks often indulge in creative accounting andloan rollovers – “ever-greening” –
to keep the NPA figures artificially low16. The share ofa priori one would expect
the threat of takeovers, rather than trading of shares per se to improveefficiency,
recent evidence suggests that Indian public sector companies listing only anon-
controlling part of the equity have experienced profitability and productivity
enhancements.Banks also face considerableinterest rate risk in that a small rise in
lending rates could cause a considerable increase inthe share of NPAs – a 2% rise
in lending rates could cause a 4 percentage point increasein the share of NPAs.17
As the international NPA recognition standards as well as capitaladequacy ratios
rules are replaced with the new, more complex supervisory system ofBasel II, the
banking sector in India needs to pay even greater attention to properlyidentifying
and controlling NPAs.
Chakrabarti & Chawla (2006) find that on a “value” or profitability basis,
theforeign banks, as a group, have been considerably more efficient than all other
bankgroups, followed by the Indian private banks. From a “quantity” perspective
or on thebasis of volume of deposits and credit created with given input levels,
however, Indianprivate banks have been the best performers while the foreign
banks are the worstperformers. This suggests that the foreign banks have been
“cherry-picking” – focusingon more lucrative segments of banking.
Corporate Governance
Microfinance in India
The microfinance sector is clearly one of the fastest growing segments of the
Indian financial sector, and also one where such growth is sustainable for a very
longperiod of time. In spite of a large banking sector, about 40% of the Indian
populationdoes not have bank accounts. Given that over 75% of the Indian
population still livesbelow $2 a day, and a vast majority in rural areas,
microfinance – the provision of thriftsavings, credit and other financial products
and services at a very scale to the poor toenable them to raise their income and
improve living standards – is key to financialinclusion in India. Traditionally,
micro-credit in India has been the domain of villagemoney-lenders, generally at
exploitative interest rates that impoverished borrowers.While special emphasis on
rural and small loans have existed in India at leastsince the 1960s and India’s apex
specialized rural credit agency, the National Bank forAgricultural and Rural
Development (NABARD) was established in 1982, microfinance
in India has witnessed a dramatic increase in recent years with the involvement a
largenumber of private players in addition to the government. Providers of
microfinance inIndia today include specialized country-level institutions like
NABARD, the SmallIndustrial Development Bank of India (SIDBI) and that
RashtriyaMahilaKosh (RMK); commercial banks – both private and state-owned;
regional rural banks; cooperative
banks as well as non-banking financial companies (NBFCs). While non-profits
(NGOs)have often played a key role in the formation of microfinance institutions
(MFIs), thecontribution of governmental thrust in scaling microfinance (largely
through the self-helpgroup model) has, at the end of the day, reached a far higher
number of people. Of late,with the realization of the profit opportunities in the
sectors and the spectacular growth inthe past half decade, microfinance in India is
beginning to attract for-profit funding fromcommercial banks as well as from
venture capital firms, both domestic and foreign.Though microfinance in India, as
in most other places, is generally lauded as thesuccess of private enterprise, the
role of the government in scaling and mainstreamingmicrofinance cannot be
overlooked in India, particularly in the SHG Bank LinkageProgram. In 2000, two-
thirds of SHGs in India were promoted by NGOs. Now around
half of them are promoted by government, less then third are promoted by NGOs
and restby banks. SEWA, one of the pioneers of microfinance in India took 35
years to reachmembership of 0.8 million women, but in contrast the government of
the Southern stateof Andhra Pradesh took 15 years to mobilize 8 million women23.
The SwarnajayantiGram Swarojgar Yojana (SGSY), perhaps the biggest
government program promotingSHGs anywhere in the world was launched in
1997, and generated over 0.34 millionSHG loan applications in 2006-07 alone.
8.1 Outreach and recent growth
The Self-Help Group (SHG) model of group-lending and linking of such
groups(almost always of women) to banks has been the predominant model of
microfinance inIndia connecting about 14 million poor households to banks in
March 2006 and providingindirect banking access to an equal number. Loans from
micro-financial institutions(MFIs) have reached about 7.3 million households
among which about 45% are poor.Together these two models appear to have
touched about a quarter of the Indian poor.
The SHG Bank Linkage Program (SBLP) – dominant microfinance model in
India – had, in March 2006, an average loan size of Rs 2,684 ($67.1) for fresh
loans andRs 4,497 ($112.42) for repeat loans per group member with average
group size of 14members. In the five years from 2001 to 2006 outreach and loan
volume in this modelhad witnessed close to nine-fold increases. While the quantity
of bank loan disbursed shotup from Rs 481 crores ($ 120.25 million) to Rs 4, 499
crores ($ 1.12 billion), outreach
expanded from 0.26 million to 2.2 million SHGs, making it the largest such
program inthe world. During the period, average loan size almost doubled from Rs
19,379 ($ 484.5)per SHG to Rs 37, 574 ($ 939.4) per SHG in 2006, the average
size of repeat loans grewalmost three-fold from Rs 22,215 ($ 555.4 ) in 2001 to Rs
62,960 ($ 1,574) in 2006.The alternative model of microfinance institutions (MFIs)
has produced thesuccess stories and poster organizations of Indian microfinance.
MFIs are of diverse legalforms and it is difficult to estimate their exact number.
Sa-dhan, an association of MFIs
in India has 162 members with outstanding loan portfolio of Rs 1600 crores ($
400million) in March 2006. While the number of MFIs in India is probably well in
excess of800, top 20 MFIs in India account for about 95% of their aggregate loan
portfolio.
Microfinance in India also exhibits tremendous regional disparities. It is fair tosay
that microfinance in India is largely a “southern” affair. In 2005 about 83% of
thehouseholds reached by microfinance were in the Southern states. Eastern India
came nextwith 13% of the households while the West accounted for less than 1%.
While consciousefforts are afoot to rectify this regional bias, it is likely to take a
while before the regionaldistribution of microfinance approaches uniformity.In
terms of the products and services, apart from micro loans, the microfinancesector
in India focuses on micro-savings and financial literacy among the poor –
developing the habit and discipline of saving – and, more recently have begun, in
arelatively small way, to introduce micro-insurance. Individual and group level
insuranceis now being offered, in limited areas of both life and non-life types. A
study on microinsurance products by ILO in 2003-04, identified 83 insurance
products provided byinsurance companies; half of them were life products. Out of
those 24 were addressed toindividuals and rest to the groups. Life Insurance
Corporation (LIC) of India, (a publicsector insurance company) provides both
individual and group insurance. Various privatesector insurance companies also
provide these kinds of insurance products. In 2002, theIndian microfinance
institution BASIX and AVIVA jointly designed a group insuranceproduct to
provide life insurance to all BASIX credit customers. Other than life risk,
ruralhousehold faces health risk, risk to agricultural activity, risk to live-stock, risk
to assetsused in non farm activities. Crop insurance and Life stock insurance are
two commonnon-life insurance products offered by General Insurance Corporation
(GIC) of India
(public sector insurance company). But the delivery of the above products has
beenrestricted to beneficiaries of various government sponsored schemes and there
has beenlittle active participation by insurers to deliver these products on a larger
scale. Thesituation has improved somewhat after the opening of the insurance
sector to privatesector companies. For instance, in 2003, BASIX and ICICI
Lombard introduced a rainfallinsurance product, which was rolled over to six
states by the year 2005. Finally,transferring money, particularly for migrant
workers, is another area where micro-financeinstitutions are making an entry.
8.2 The performance of the larger MFIs in India
. The weighted average ROA for these MFIs is 2.1% with
considerable variability. The range is from a low of 0.74% to a high of over 9%.
TheROEs are extremely variable as well, ranging from slightly over 8% to over
173%, with aweighted average of 25.6%. The asset-weighted average loan balance
is slightly over$ 108 with profit margins ranging from below 4% to above 60%.
Clearly even amongthese largest players, the level of variability makes it difficult
to generalize performance.However, it also shows that done properly, a
microfinance institution can be a profitableenterprise.It is possible that higher
profitability may come at the price of lower outreach andthat MFIs experience a
“mission drift”. While data on the poverty level of clients is notuniformly
available, all of these MFIs, with the exception of BASIX have over 98% oftheir
lending to women borrowers. Given the negative correlation between the average
loan size and the ROA and ROE figures, it may not be such a major concern.
A study by Sa-dhan in 2005 (using a sample of 74 MFIs) reflects that these
MFIsperformed well in terms of sustainability, asset quality, and efficiency.
Evidence foundthat, large MFIs were the efficient users of funds, extending 81 %
of their total assets asloans, while this figure is 75 % for medium and small MFIs.
A report by MIX Markets (MIX (2006)) highlighted the inverse relation ship
between growth and size with young MFIs growing faster than the mature MFIs.
Thereport shows that medium MFIs are sustainable and have positive returns on
assets andequity. It also shows that the small MFIs are more efficient, with lower
unit cost ratioscomparing to medium sized MFIs
The MIX report on MFIs in South Asia24, points out that MFIs in India are
uniquein leveraging the borrowed funds. The average capital asset ratio in India is
11%, whichis half of the average of South Asia. Indian MFIs share the feature of
providing loansfrom voluntary deposits with Bangladesh. Around 8.4% of total
loans funded fromvoluntary deposits, hence provide another financial service
‘Saving’ along with credit.
24 Performance and Transparency : A Survey of Microfinance in South Asia
Like Bangladesh, staff costs in the Indian microfinance sector are also one of the
lowestin the world.
In terms of interest charged, Indian MFIs are among the highest in the South
Asiaregion, which, however, has one of the lowest averages in the world. Thus
byinternational standards, interest rates in microfinance in India, are pretty
low.Nevertheless, because of cases of multiple farmer suicides in the Indian state
of AndhraPradesh, reportedly owing to extreme indebtedness, MFIs have come
under governmentpressure to reduce interest rates.
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