Conduct Befitting A Great Power
Conduct Befitting A Great Power
Conduct Befitting A Great Power
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Conduct Befitting a Great Power
Responsibility and Sovereignty in U.S.-China Relations
7 Sources of tension
16 Leadership fatigue?
20 Policy recommendations
26 Conclusion
27 Endnotes
Chinese President Hu Jintao arrives in Washington for a state visit later this
month, with hopes high in both capitals that his trip may serve to smooth out the
edges of a U.S.-China relationship that has frayed over the past year. Clashes over
security, the global economy, and differing political values challenge the relation-
ship today. At the heart of many of these disputes are conflicting understandings
about how a great power should act in the 21st century.
Washington and Beijing have different conceptions of global responsibility. China suspects
Washington has spent decades since World War II investing in an international
architecture of economic and security accords that delivered stability and enabled America’s desire to
China’s growth. Now Washington wants Beijing to play by the rules, help improve
the international system, and contribute to solving urgent global problems— see it play a larger
many of which China helps to create, among them economic imbalances and
global warming. global role is part of
The United States believes China’s incredible growth rate, astronomic foreign cur- a strategy designed
rency reserves, and track record of making successful investments in its national
priorities means it is more able than most nations to contribute to the needs of to stifle its growth
the global community. In contrast, China suspects America’s desire to see it play a
larger global role is part of a strategy designed to stifle its growth and challenge its and challenge its
autonomy. Beijing wants to remain highly focused on its domestic problems and
argues that it is being internationally responsible in many ways, whether or not it autonomy.
is fulfilling America’s wishes.
In order to meet the goals of maximizing the upside of the bilateral relationship
for the United States, increasing Chinese responsibility, and maintaining U.S.
leverage and leadership, this report argues that the Obama administration should
take steps that include:
In the pages that follow, this report will offer a brief history of U.S.-China relations
under the Obama administration and then explore differing U.S. and Chinese
conceptions of global responsibility and national sovereignty, including some
of the political debate surrounding the future of the American leadership role in
the world. It will conclude with detailed policy recommendations for the Obama
administration as outlined briefly above. Hopefully these recommendations will
help foster the understanding and dedication needed to build a 21st century rela-
tionship of global responsibility between the United States and China.
To its credit, the Obama administration changed this standard script. It instead
led with the case for cooperation, stating a clear desire to work with China on
critical global issues and welcoming a strong China. Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton visited China on her first trip abroad for the administration in February
2009 and stated that profound differences on human rights would not prevent
cooperation on global warming and other pressing issues. Then at the April 2009
Group of 20 meeting of leading developed and developing nations in London,
President Obama pledged along with President Hu to forge a “positive, coopera-
tive and comprehensive” Sino-American relationship. President Obama’s state
visit in November 2009—widely and inaccurately characterized in the media as a
“kowtow tour”—was similarly designed to show respect while still being forthright
with critiques of Chinese human rights, media freedom, and internet freedom.3
China then took a series of steps that alarmed the United States and its Asian
neighbors. Beijing declared that the South China Sea was a “core national inter-
est,” language earlier reserved only for China’s non-negotiable territorial claims The Obama
of Taiwan, Tibet, and Xinjiang. Then Beijing adopted a series of new policies to
implement its “indigenous innovation” strategy that gives government procure- administration has
ment preference to companies that develop and register their technology in China.
This riled the U.S. and European business communities, both of which previously led with the case
had been generally supportive of China’s efforts to define its evolving entry into
global procurement agreements. for cooperation,
China’s apparent decision to cut off rare earth shipments to Japan over an incident stating a clear
involving the Senkaku-Diaoyutai disputed island territories in the East China Sea
also crossed a red line in the eyes of many businesses and political leaders. While desire to work with
Beijing claimed its program to close down illegal and highly polluting mines con-
strained its rare earth supplies, the timing of the restrictions suggested a correla- China on critical
tion to political events. China accounts for more than 90 percent of the rare earth
elements used in high-tech products such as hybrid automobiles, wind turbines, global issues and
and weapons systems.
welcoming a
The U.S. responses to these actions further irritated the Chinese, especially
because Washington successfully united other nations around them. At a July strong China.
meeting in Hanoi of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Secretary
Clinton worked with other members of ASEAN to suggest a collaborative process
to resolve territorial disputes over islands in the South China Sea. A few months
later, the United States reassured Japan that the Senkaku Islands fall within the
scope of the Japan-U.S. Security Treaty, and that the United States would meet its
commitment to defend Japan.
The United States, Japan, and others also immediately sought to diversify their
sources of rare earths, and the United States and the European Union success-
fully protested the procurement policies, uniting rather than dividing the two
Toward the end of 2010 came renewed North Korean aggression toward the
South, including the sinking of the South Korean warship Cheonan and the
shelling of a South Korean island, which further stressed the U.S.-China relation-
ship. The United States was surprised by China’s refusal to condemn Pyongyang’s
behavior, and China strongly protested joint U.S.-South Korean military exercises
in the Yellow Sea. Yet toward the end of the year China also exerted quiet pres-
The April 2010 sinking of the South Korean
sure on Pyongyang to end its provocative attacks. Clearly, though, the U.S.-China naval vessel Cheonan by North Korea put
relationship has been under some stress. In the next section we’ll examine the a strain on U.S.-China relations. The United
States was surprised by China’s refusal to
underlying sources of tension. condemn Pyongyang’s behavior.
Separate histories, geographies, and stages of development account for Washington Different values
and Beijing’s divergent points of view on many of these issues as well. One simple
case in point: The fact that China shares a long border with North Korea will natu- in the United
rally give it a different perspective than that of the United States, a Pacific Ocean
away. But at the core of many differences between the United States and China are States and China
distinct ideas about how a great power should act in the 21st century.
when it comes to
Washington has spent decades investing in a global order that enabled China’s
growth and wants Beijing to play by the rules and help solve global problems, many individual political
of which it helps to create. China is suspicious of America’s motivations in making
this case and maintains its right to make its own decisions without regard to global rights and systems
implications. Let’s unpack both viewpoints to see where the core frictions lie.
of government
Global responsibility in the 21st century exacerbate mistrust.
America and China understand that cooperation on global challenges such as the
economy, climate change, and nuclear proliferation is critical to ensuring both
Americans and Chinese can live prosperous, safe lives. Yet they disagree on the
terms of that cooperation—on what “responsibility” for major powers entails.
America’s historic role as the architect of the international system in the post-
WWII era and its national security priorities today drive its view of responsibility.
The most immediate and lethal threats that face Americans are transnational, and
Another line of argument is that China is, in fact, making progress, and the
United States is too impatient in asking for responsibility. One older Chinese
academic in an off-the-record session put it this way: “You know, it took 60
constructive and responsible stakeholder, what A woman wearing a mask cycles past cooling towers of a coal-fired power plant in
it really wants is for China to become a global Beijing. The United States believes China should be doing more to reduce its global
warming emissions while China argues that the United States does not appreciate
power that does what America wants.”20 the ways it is already being responsible.
Americans responding to these arguments point out that America is not asking
China to take actions that implicate only U.S. interests. Countries the world over
are affected by global warming and also by global economic imbalances caused by
China’s fixed exchange rate to the U.S. dollar because it places their own exports
at a competitive disadvantage. Brazil’s new trade minister, for example, recently
announced that he will put the value of the renminbi on the agenda with Beijing.22
Along with the United States, regional neighbors also feel threatened by North China is making its
Korea’s aggression and its nuclear program as well as the nuclear ambitions of Iran,
which Beijing has supported through its purchases of energy resources. debut on the world
Many of these nations, taking advantage of America’s leadership, will often let stage again at a
America make the case to China instead of appealing to Beijing themselves, as
they are all eager to maintain a positive relationship with China. Yet China would unique and highly
make a serious mistake to think other countries do not share America’s desire for
Beijing to act more consistently to solve global challenges. global moment in
As for the calls for Beijing to be responsible so soon after its ascent, that is more world history.
a product of the times than of U.S. impatience. The fact is the world has changed
dramatically over the past 60 years. The interconnected global economy, the
increase in nuclear proliferation, pandemics, and global warming are prompting
the calls for China to take on global responsibilities. China is making its debut on
the world stage again at a unique and highly global moment in world history. How
to judge major power responsibility in this era is the subject of the next section.
Long-term and short-term interests may conflict as meeting a nation’s long-term On the positive
interests may require sacrifice in the short run. In the post-WWII era, for example,
opening American markets to European and Asian countries required an eco- side, China has
nomic sacrifice by the United States (made possible by a booming economy) but
resulted in economic growth in those countries, which anchored them as impor- been a globally
tant allies of the United States. Similarly, the American underwriting of maritime
security today allows trade flows, including energy supplies, that benefit the responsible player
United States in addition to the rest of the global community.
numerous times.
A shared understanding of even the basic components of global responsibility
could offer a starting point for eventual convergence of U.S. and Chinese view-
points on global responsibility and sovereignty in the 21st century. A test of global
responsibility should have the following three parts:
• Will the action in question benefit the global community as well as the country?
• Does the action strengthen the international system or weaken it?
• Is the action enough, given the magnitude of the problem and the capacity of
others to act?
What do these criteria tell us about how China has acted? On the positive
side, China has been a globally responsible player numerous times. Its large
economic stimulus package, coordinated with G-20 partners, helped to turn
the corner on the biggest global economic crisis since the Great Depression.
China’s actions fall short of this standard, however, when it comes to other con-
temporary issues such as continuing global economic imbalances, the export of
rare earths, the Law of the Sea, universal human rights, intellectual property, inter-
national agreement on climate change, and, recently, North Korea. (Of course, China’s actions fall
American actions do not always pass this test either, the invastion of Iraq being a
clear example.) short of international
The question of China’s currency is a case in point. There is a lively debate responsibility
within China about whether the appreciation of its currency, the renminbi, will
help or hurt the Chinese economy in the short run, even though most Chinese when it comes
economists agree it must rise in the long run to help encourage domestic con-
sumption, control inflation, and help Chinese products and services be more to continuing
globally competitive. When the health of the greater international economy,
upon which China’s export-driven economy depends is also factored in, there is global economic
a clear case for appreciation.
imbalances, the
Similarly, China’s unique interpretation of the Law of the Sea is dangerous in the
short term as it can lead to unexpected confrontations, and over the long term it Law of the Sea,
could undermine a global consensus that has kept the peace on the high seas since
the end of WWII. Conversely, if China were to follow contemporary customary intellectual property
international law, it would be strengthening a system that will continue to deliver
benefits—such as stability and predictability—to itself, but also to the world. and other areas.
The challenge for the United States is to keep making the case that these global
challenges will not go away, that the calls for China to act will only increase, and
that the health of the international system will affect China’s ability to grow and
prosper. Steps taken now will prevent insecurity later. The more the United States
acts like a responsible power itself—using the international system and reforming
it, as the Obama administration has been doing, and addressing its own contribu-
tions to international problems like its high national debt and carbon emissions—
the easier this case is to make.
Reconciling the Chinese and American ideas about responsibility also implicates
questions of sovereignty. This is because China is now a “systemically important”
player in many areas.24 In the global economy, climate, Asian regional security,
cyber security (in which Chinese players are extremely active), space, pandemic
prevention, and other arenas, China has moved beyond a regular “stakeholder”
and has become, along with the United States, a country on whose actions the
health of the whole system depends.
This poses challenges to China’s ideas of national sovereignty. Beijing adheres to a China is beginning
fairly absolutist, 19th century view of sovereignty, which holds that national gov-
ernments have the right to do whatever they please inside their own borders with- to show increasing
out outside interference. Beijing’s credo is and remains reciprocal noninterference:
We will not impose our values on you, and you should not impose them on us. flexibility about
China vociferously defends this strict ideal of sovereignty in part because of its sovereignty,
extreme concern about the status of Taiwan, Tibet, and Xinjiang. China also
invokes this absolutist ideal of sovereignty with regard to human rights. Awarding recognizing the
the Nobel Peace Prize to jailed dissident Liu Xiaobo, a Chinese Foreign Ministry
official insisted, was “a violation of China’s judicial sovereignty.” Its reluctance need to balance
to impose economic sanctions on other countries is also partly explained by an
allergy to foreign imposition in other countries’ affairs. its principle of
Similarly, a major sticking point in climate change negotiations has been China’s noninterference
refusal to allow international inspectors to verify reductions in its carbon dioxide
emissions. The head of its delegation at the Copenhagen climate change sum- with its increasing
mit explicitly invoked sovereignty to explain that stance. In general, as David
Shambaugh notes, “Most Chinese analysts believe (and there is virtual consensus global involvement.
across the spectrum) that the whole concept of global governance is a Western
trap which tries to undermine China’s sovereignty.”25
For the international system to operate well, China cannot pick and choose when to
honor 21st century ideas of sovereignty and when to remain tied to a 19th century
conception. A systemically important actor must consider consequences to the sys-
tem and to other nations at every turn. A modern conception of sovereignty (while
increasingly contested in the United States as discussed below) requires that nations
often take outside consequences into account when deciding on domestic policies. For the international
China does have a sovereign right to decide its own currency policy, yet China system to operate
cannot ignore the effects on the whole system if it is to be responsible. China
recognizes this reality to some degree. Beijing does do the minimum necessary to well, China cannot
answer heated political pressure from the United States and others on the value of
the Renminbi, though its steps to make its currency fully convertible on interna- pick and choose
tional markets are halting.
when to honor
Similarly, on energy and global warming, China’s domestic efforts and goals are
impressive and laudable, but a “systemically important” player needs also to take 21st century ideas
actions that will lead to workable international agreements on climate. On the
one hand, China appears to have done so in Cancun by recording its voluntary of sovereignty and
emissions cuts targets from Copenhagen in a formal agreement under the United
Nations and agreeing to a new system of “international consultation and analysis,” when to remain tied
which would meet acceptable standards for measuring, reporting, and verifying
emissions.29 China also facilitated international agreement on the architecture to a 19th century
of a “Green Climate Fund,” which would support developing countries’ efforts
in combating global warming, and advocating for the World Bank as the initial conception.
trustee of the fund.30 But on the other hand, China continues to resist inter-
national efforts to bind them to the emission reduction targets that they have
already accepted for themselves.
Increasingly, the United States and the international community will be asking
China to take steps that will challenge its invocation of an outdated, absolutist
view of national sovereignty. If China doesn’t do so there could be consequences
in the United States that would be detrimental to the long-term interests of both
nations—as we explore in the next section.
At the same time that America is working to convince China to accept its role as a
systemically important, responsible player in the international system and accept
a more modern view of sovereignty, bipartisan political support in the United
States for America’s leadership role in that system is eroding. In the post-WWII
period, the shared global architecture that delivered political and economic
benefits to America and the world rested on two conditions. First, it depended on
America’s willingness to be more responsible for costs at a time when others were
broke—to spend more to ensure global security, to bleed more for global security,
and to take on responsibility for being the consumer market of last resort. Second,
it demanded a common view that responsibility also meant restraint.
The world community agreed to abide by rules the United States and its allies
developed in exchange for these contributions to the global common good and
for the U.S. agreement to restrain its actions and also to be bound by the rules
and requirements of the international system. Both of these foundations are
under assault today.
In addition, the idea that America should accept constraint is at the heart of
neoconservative argument of what is and has been wrong with U.S. foreign policy.
The George W. Bush administration’s endorsement of preventive war, for example,
flows from an assumption of unfettered American freedom of action. Relatedly,
in his recent book, How Barack Obama Is Endangering Our National Sovereignty,
George W. Bush’s former ambassador to the United Nations, John Bolton, lays
out the right wing’s view of national sovereignty. When the United States engages
with international organizations to address global problems, he writes, it “cede[s]
Such views empower China’s own 19th century framework of national sovereignty,
and they neglect the fact that Americans enjoy enormous benefits by stewarding
the global order, from safe airplane travel to reduced exposure to lethal viruses to
profits garnered from exports.
Neoconservative
The political support for the United States continuing to be a responsible world
leader is not as robust as it once was, but it continues to hold. Most respected views empower
leaders on the left and the right and most, but not all, of the potential presidential
candidates in 2012 will operate inside the consensus that says the United States China’s own 19th
will lead and will pay large sums in blood and treasure to keep the global peace
and international order. century framework
But the ability of the United States to maintain this role will depend on America’s of national
ability to convince others in Europe and Asia, particularly China, that this archi-
tecture of shared responsibility is worth maintaining and bolstering. This means sovereignty.
China will have to demonstrate its willingness to see past its domestic concerns
and punch “at its weight” on international issues.
In short, for the consensus that America should continue to lead and shoulder its
international burdens to hold in the United States, Americans need to know that
the system will deliver results and that other countries are on board and fulfilling
their own responsibilities.
Moreover, the United States will continue to adjust to having more players,
including China, on the world stage. Many American policymakers have already
made this mental leap, including President Obama. But the U.S. bureaucracies,
which are used to drafting all the international agendas and calling all the shots,
need to catch up. The same goes for a vocal minority on the right, which still
seems to think America can reach its goals by domination. Finally, over time, the
U.S. economy will recover, and a positive trend line will help maintain the political
consensus in favor of America’s historic leadership role. With this possible future
in mind, let’s now turn to the policy recommendations.
The following are 10 policy recommendations broken down into three policy goals to:
• Maximize the upside of the bilateral relationship for the United States.
• Increase Chinese responsibility on global challenges.
• Maintain U.S. leverage and leadership.
Of course, as Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) argued in his speech on China at the Center
for American Progress last month, any improvement in U.S.-China relations
requires the United States to do more at home to get itself back in shape for the 21st
century, with investments in education, innovation, green energy, and infrastruc-
ture. But with that as a given, here are some other steps Washington should take.
Local and state governments in America are clamoring for Chinese investment, yet
some potential Chinese investors are concerned they will meet political resistance
if they buy American companies or assets. Consistent with trade regulations, state
and local governments should develop specific mechanisms such as foreign invest-
ment fairs (with Chinese-language assistance) or foreign investment zones to
encourage the inflow of Chinese funding that will create American jobs.
These mechanisms can provide Chinese investors assurance that their job-
creating capital is welcome and will receive fair treatment. But as China expert
Elizabeth Economy suggests, it is critical for the U.S. side to negotiate hard to make
sure investments actually create jobs.33 This means steps such as assessing the deal
specifically in terms of job creation and working with labor and other local groups
to evaluate the economic benefits of the deal to the community. Economy offers an
example of how the United Steelworkers union struck a deal with Chinese compa-
The Obama administration also could help spread local best practices on how to
maximize the benefits of foreign direct investment. And it should ensure that the
process through which the interagency Committee for Foreign Investment in the
United States reviews foreign investments that do implicate national security is as
clear as possible and available in easy-to-understand terms, in Chinese (and every
other major language, for that matter).
President Obama has pledged to double U.S. exports by 2014 in order to create
more U.S. jobs and rebalance the global economy. China is America’s fastest-
growing export market but it still maintains significant barriers to U.S. goods and
services. In addition to pushing China to address its current account surplus and
other restrictions in multilateral forums, as discussed below, and through bilateral
forums, such as the annual Strategic & Economic Dialogue, the Joint Commission
on Commerce and Trade, and others, the administration should focus on assisting
American companies, especially small- and medium-sized ones, as China’s domes-
tic demand for goods and services grows over the coming years.
The Obama administration should further pursue steps it has already taken includ-
ing increasing funding available to small businesses from the Export-Import Bank,
looking for particular areas where Ex-Im Bank financing is useful for exports to
China, such as aviation, pursuing Ex-Im Bank cooperation with counterparts in
China on identifying business opportunities, and increasing the number of per-
sonnel at the U.S. embassy and consulates in China that can assist exporters.
Work with other countries to make the case to China that its responsibility
is welcome and needed
As it has already, the Obama administration needs to make the case directly and
consistently in bilateral meetings with China that when it steps up to the plate
on key global issues the effort is welcomed publicly and privately and, conversely,
In the recent past, this approach worked. International pressure on China over
its role in supporting the murderous regime in Khartoum was a major reason
Beijing began to use its leverage with Sudan to convince it to accept peacekeepers.
Similarly, once the administration began to work with Russia on Iran and left China
isolated on the Security Council, Beijing eventually agreed to tougher sanctions.
Multiple voices pointing out that, for example, China is not a top 10 contributor to
the U.N. annual budget, even though it is a member of the Security Council and its
economy ranks second in the world, might cause Beijing to be more generous.35
One recent example: Chinese ships battling pirates off the coast of Somalia side by
side with coalition and noncoalition naval forces, while limited, have been power-
ful in their ability to showcase the positive potential of a cooperative China. China
deployed vessels to the Gulf of Aden region in 2009 with the stated intention
to safeguard and provide security for Chinese vessels sailing through the region.
But Chinese officials from the Ministry of National Defense also made the case
for China’s presence in terms of multilateral cooperation: China was “willing to
strengthen intelligence and information exchanges and, when necessary, take part
in humanitarian relief operations with all countries, including the United States.”36
Of course, China is picking and choosing carefully when to involve itself with
international issues, and there is not an automatic path from peripheral incidents
to major hot spots such as Afghanistan or bold action on its current account sur-
plus. Still, these minor involvements may serve to get China’s “feet wet” and lead
to more important involvements.
International organizations are another forum in which to push for Chinese respon-
sibility. The Obama administration should support “pay to play” rules, in which a
nation’s power in an organization is tied to its contributions, as in the IMF, as well
as accountability mechanisms where members are required to undergo a review of
their conduct. For instance, since the United States joined the U.N. Human Rights
Council, it can participate in a regular review of China’s human rights practices.
Similarly, the Mutual Assessment Process in the G-20, whereby countries review
each others’ macroeconomic plans against the needs for growth in the global
economy, provides an excellent forum for multilateral scrutiny of China’s current
account surplus. Now that International Monetary Fund reform has corrected
China’s underrepresentation, the United States can continue to push for reforms to
make the IMF an effective watchdog for the global economy, including on currency.
Washington should work with Beijing in areas where the international rules are
not yet established. For instance, rules of conduct in the global commons of
cyberspace and outer space are two areas where, difficult as it is, the United States
could try to engage Beijing on discussing common principles for frameworks
that both countries and the rest of the international community could endorse.
Extensive hacking from individuals based in China and China’s unannounced
shooting down of a defunct satellite in 2007 provide reason to be skeptical that
Beijing would agree to a set of rules, but also make the case for why those stan-
dards are needed. The United States could, for example, propose a ban on debris-
producing intentional destruction or damage of space systems.37
The United States should continue to deepen all aspects of its relationships with
its allies and partners in Asia and make common cause with them when appro-
priate, including in response to misguided Chinese actions. Our key allies and
partners in the region welcome continued U.S. engagement and leadership.
The Obama administration should fully implement its 100,000 Strong Initiative,
launched in May 2010. This program is designed to increase and diversify the
number of U.S. students studying in China. Training the next generation of China
watchers will be critical for the United States to maintain its understanding of,
communication with, and ability to influence China.38
But every time a policymaker or pundit makes the case that America should not
meet its longstanding obligations toward international institutions or should shirk
international rules, it strengthens China’s own arguments that it has the right to
make its own decisions without regard to the outside world, whether it be on cur-
rency, climate, or maritime claims.
In both the media and Congress, as in many other areas of policy, extreme views
about China on the left and especially on the right are coming to dominate the
debate. The Obama administration and progressive leaders in Congress need to
help pragmatists in both political parties and in the media champion effective
policies that the administration is supporting. Messaging on China policy is
notoriously difficult, but a clearer and shorter articulation of U.S.-China policy
would be useful.
The United States and China have different conceptions of global responsibility
and national sovereignty. Yet their ability to solve problems together is a key deter-
minant for the welfare of Americans, Chinese, and the rest of the planet. There
is reason to hope their ideas will converge over time, though the next two years
could be fraught. As Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Michael Mullen
said at the Center for American Progress in December 2010, America as a nation
chooses to engage because doing so “leaves the world potentially in a better place.”
We can hope China makes that choice, and for that reason, more and more often
in the years to come.
13 “Transcript: Wen Jiabao,” Financial Times, February 2, 2009, avail- 28 “Ranking of Military and Police Contributions to UN Operations,”
able at http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/795d2bca-f0fe-11dd-8790- available at http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/contribu-
0000779fd2ac.html#axzz1AMqxicoN. tors/2010/sept10_2.pdf (last accessed January 2010).
14 Chinese analyst in off-the-record conference, Washington, 29 Jennifer Morgan and Deborah Seligsohn, “What Cancun Means for
December 2010. China and the U.S.,” World Resources Institute, December 16, 2010,
available at http://www.wri.org/stories/2010/12/what-cancun-
15 Chinese analyst in off-the-record conference, Shanghai, means-china-and-us.
November 2010.
30 Richard W. Caperton, “Headway Made on Climate Change Action,”
16 Chinese analyst in off-the-record conference, Washington, Center for American Progress, December 13, 2010, available at
December 2010. http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2010/12/cancun_head-
way.html.
35 Shambaugh, 23.
Hachigian has published numerous reports, book chapters, and journal articles,
and her earlier book was The Information Revolution in Asia (RAND, 2003). She is
on the board of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford
University and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Hachigian received
her B.S. from Yale University and her J.D. from Stanford Law School.
Acknowledgements
I am greatly indebted to Winny Chen for her quick and able assistance with
this report. I also want to thank Di Wu for her research contributions and my
colleagues Andrew Light, Adam Hersh, and Sabina Dewan for their good ideas.
Ed Paisley’s edits were as helpful as always, and the art team did their usual ter-
rific job. Finally, I would like to thank John Podesta and Rudy deLeon for their
thoughts and for giving me the opportunity to try out some of these arguments
before putting them to paper.
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