Week 7
Week 7
Week 7
A mission statement describes a company’s reason for its existence. It answers the question why the
company exists. A good mission statement identifies the company’s products and services; the costumer’s
needs that the company seeks to satisfy; the target markets that it want to serve; and the approach to be taken
to satisfy costumers’ needs. Lastly, it should present the company’s unique identity that distinguishes itself
from competitors.
CONTINGENCY PLANNING
A contingency plan is a special plan created for unexpected scenarios or changes. All plans, no
matter how carefully laid out, are not fully error-free. Thus, contingency plans are made to manage all
possible risks that may arise from the original plan. It is part of a manager’s job to always be ready with
alternative courses of action in case the original plan does not work out.
One of the common types of contingency plans is a crisis management plan. It is a plan made in
preparation for any kind of crisis such as industrial disasters like fire, or natural disasters like an earthquake
or a typhoons. These calamities or disasters can be easily anticipated. However, their effects are not easy to
determine. It is necessary, therefore, to come up with crisis management plans for any form of disaster.
When a crisis occurs, damage containment is required. To limit the effects of a disaster, a rapid response is
needed to address devastated areas and affected personnel. Effective crisis management will help the
company reestablish the normal state of its environment and restore the regular operations and functions of
the company. Crisis management involves the establishment of a crisis management team, emergency
communication systems and utilities, an evacuation site, and procedures for losses and damages.
Scenario planning is another form of contingency planning. The company formulates plans for both
positive and negative scenarios that may arise from the implementation of plans. The possible outcomes for
each scenario are analyzed in formulating plans and appropriate steps are identified to address them. For
instance, the oil company Royal Dutch Shell has been using scenario planning since 1986 to anticipate oil
price changes. The Japanese company Xerox has also undertaken scenario planning which considers
different scenarios regarding the functionality of their copiers and printers.
ASSIGN RESPONSIBILITIES
Apart from qualitative techniques, managers can also employ quantitative tools in planning and decision-
making. These are the following:
1. Decision tree- It is an excellent tool for weighing different alternatives. It consists of a graph showing
potential and alternative decision paths for the proposed plan. This method is especially useful for decisions
that involve a succession of small decisions. All alternatives, from the most likely to the most unlikely ones,
are given equal weight. Afterwards, the possible consequences for each proposed path are analyzed to guide
in formulating the potential and alternative paths for subsequent decisions.
2. Payback method- Managers use this method in evaluating alternatives in purchasing equipment,
furniture, and fixtures. Managers consider certain factors such as length of use or utility, warranties, cost or
repair, maintenance cost, and sales generated for a specific period before actually buying the product.
Usually, managers choose the alternative that results in the quickest payback of the initial cost.
DECISION MAKING AND THE COMMON TYPES OF DECISION MODELS
Decision making is a major aspect of planning and the manager can choose to use one of three
decision models. The type of decision model used can have a significant effect on determining goals and
strategies that will be implemented by the company.
Rational of Logical Decision Model
This process involves a logical step-by-step analysis of several possible contributing factors in
making the decision. This model can be summarized in the chart below.
Identify the problem
Identify the decision criteria
Assign weights to the criteria
Formulative alternative courses of action
Choose the best alternative
Implement the chosen alternative
Evaluate the results
COGNITIVE BIASES
Decision making is not a perfect, error-free process. One factor that contributes to errors in decision
making is cognitive bias. This refers to the tendency to look at situations based on subjective standards or
perspectives. Cognitive biases often lead managers to make wrong illogical conclusions regarding certain
situations and people. The following are examples of cognitive biases:
1. Escalating commitment- This type of error happens when a manager, despite his or her knowledge of a
project’s failure, continues to acquire more resources to pursue the project instead of abandoning it. The
manager does this due to a feeling of personal responsibility regarding the project. The manager may also be
attempting to salvage the unsuccessful project to protect his or her reputation.
2. Prior hypothesis bias- This happens when a manager holds on to his or her prior belief that a project will
succeed even when evidence to the contrary has been provided. The manager will still strongly pursue the
said project while only accepting opinions that agree with his or her views.
3. Representativeness- It is the tendency to make generalizations based on a small sample or a single
experience. This happens every time a new product becomes popular and starts a trend.
4. Reasoning by analogy- It refers to the tendency to conclude that the results of one situation can be
repeated in a similar situation.
5. Illusion of control- It is a type of error that many top-level managers commit when they become
overconfident regarding their ability to solve problems. Using their many years of experience and relying on
their status in the industry, they tend to underestimate the problems they encounter. This attitude clouds their
judgment and eventually leads to poor decisions.
6. Framing bias- This kind of bias correlates the outcome with how a problem or decision is framed. In
business, the wrong framing of a simple aspect of a business can result in problems that will cost a company
its profits. When a company is confronted with a problem, most managers tend to stick to their conventional
frames of reference and refuse to entertain the notion of implementing changes in their views regarding the
company.
7. Availability error- This error is committed by managers when they immediately use available resources
on a project that is expected to immediately provide profit, rather than holding off waiting for a later
opportunity that will generate even greater profit.