9 MISSION ANALYSIS - WM-ok

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FOR EXERCISE PURPOSES ONLY

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Headquarters CMOU-WM
Naval Station Romulo Espaldon
Bagong Calarian, Zamboanga City
01 October 2020
MISSION ANALYSIS
1. ANALYZE THE HIGHER HEADQUARTERS ORDER (2-Level Up):
a. WESTERN MINDANAO COMMAND MISSION
To conduct prompt and sustained joint air, sea and land operations
during peace, conflict and war including Military Operations Other Than War (MOOTW)
in its assigned Joint Area of Operations (JAO) in support to the AFP mission.
b. NFWM MISSION
To conduct Naval Operations in designated area of operations in order to

accomplish the Western Mindanao Command’s Mission.
c. INTIAL MISSION STATEMENT
To develop a plan for the organization and produce a CMO Plan or a

Crisis Action Plan to effectively and efficiently address the claims of PAHRA, ALSC
and the Muslim petitioners in order to prevent the spread of false information and the
propagation of fear among the people of Western Mindanao.
2. CONDUCT INITIAL IPOE: (See IPOE)
3. CENTER OF GRAVITY (COG), CRITICAL CAPABILITIES (CC), CRITICAL

REQUIREMENTS (CR), CRITICAL VULNERABILITIES (CV):
Friendly COG / CC / CR / CV:
COG CC
CMO Teams Command and Control

Organized friendly communities
Information Support Affairs, Civil Affairs,
Public Affairs (ISACAPA)
Inter-agency and key leaders engagement
CR CV
Partner Stakeholders Partner Stakeholders

Legal Offensive
Funds
Mobility
C4ISR equipment
ISACAPA products

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Training
Enemy COG / CC / CR / CV:
COG CC
Communist Terrorist Groups (CTGs) Command and Control

Liquidation
Sabotage
Harassment
Mass Action / Rally
CR CV
Funds from left leaning party list groups Mass base support
and lawmakers Funds from left leaning party list groups and
Mass base support (Universities students, lawmakers
labor unions, fisher folks, religious groups)
Legal Front
Mobility
CEIS equipment
Firearms
4. DETERMINE SPECIFIED, IMPLIED, AND ESSENTIAL TASKS:
a. Specified Tasks:
To develop a plan to effectively and efficiently address the claims of

PAHRA, ALSC and the Muslim petitioners in order to prevent the spread of false
information and the propagation of fear among the people of Western Mindanao.
b. Implied Tasks:
1) To Review and analyze the provisions of the RA 11479 or the Anti-

Terror Law (ATL);
2) To conduct appropriate CMO activities in NFWM AOR utilizing the

three pillars of CMO and prevent the spread of false information and the propagation
of fear among the people of Western Mindanao.
c. Essential Tasks:
1) Determine the activities to be conducted in line with development

support operations;
2) Determine the needed requirements during the activities;
3) Assess the current security status of NFWM AOR; and

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4) Monitor the development support activities being conducted at NFWM

AOR.
5. REVIEW AVAILABLE ASSETS:
 Nine (8) CMOU-WM Personnel

 Five (5) Laptops
 Handheld Radio (2)
 Nineteen (19) M16 Riffle
 Caliber 45 (1)
 5,000 rds of 5.55 mm ammo
 Projector 1
 DSLR Camera (2)
 Photo stand (use for static display) (4)
 Mug Press (1)
 Heat Press (1)
 Plotter Cutter (1)
6. DETERMINE CONSTRAINTS & RESTRAINTS:
a. Constraints
1) Adhere to Rule of Law/IHL/Human Rights;
2) Observance to Operational Security (OPSEC);
3) Military Professionalism;
4) PN Core Values;
5) Cultural and Tribal Sensitivity;
6) Ancestral Domain
b. Restraints
1) Plan beyond the AFP DSSP Campaign Plan;

2) Non-Doctrinal practices;
3) Review and analyze the provisions of the RA 11479 or the Anti-Terror
Law (ATL); and,
3) All policy based actions without HHQs approval.
7. IDENTIFY CRITICAL FACTS AND ASSUMPTIONS:
a. Facts
1) Spreading of false information and the propagation of fear among the

people of Western Mindanao especially on the part of our Muslim brothers;
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b. Assumptions
1) The Naval Forces Western Mindanao can support the logistical

requirement of CMOU-WM in order to execute the Civil Military Operation activities;
2) The Naval Reserve Center Western Mindanao will support the CMOU-
WM in spreading positive information based on the approved pillars to be conducted;
3) Allocation of resources – All teams will use their Combat Deployment

Support Fund in the conduct of CMO Activities;
4) Admin requirements – NFWM can support the team to make this

activity possible in terms of availability of vehicles and other requirement that will be
utilized during the CMO activities;
5) Civilian support – Coordination in the following concerned government

agencies and Local Government Units (LGUs) and other potential resource
organization can support the mission.
8. PERFORM RISK ASSESSMENT:
Hazard Severity
Hazard Catastrophic Critical Major Minor
Likelihood
1 3 7 13
Frequent
2 5 9 16
Likely
4 6 11 18
Occasional
8 10 14 19
Seldom
12 15 17 20
Unlikely
Actual Color HRI Risk Level Risk Acceptability
*Red 1-5 Extremely High Intolerable

Tolerable with
#Yellow 6-9 High
continuous review
Tolerable with periodic
+Blue 10-17 Medium
review
Acceptable with periodic
-Green 18-20 Low
review
IDENTIFIED HAZARD RISK INDEX ACCEPTABILITY OF RISK

RISK

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RISK RISK
LIKELIHOOD SEVERITY HRI
LEVEL ACCEPTABILITY
Abduction of
Tolerate with periodic
members of Probable Minor 16 Medium
review
LGUs/NGOs
Harassment to Tolerate with
Probable Major 10 High
CMO Teams continuous review
9. DETERMINE COMMANDER’S CRITICAL INFORMATION REQUIREMENTS:
a. Friendly Forces Info Requirements (FFIR):
1) Friendly Forces
a) WESTMINCOM
b) 3AD, PAF
c) 74th IB, 1ID, PA
d) JTF ZAMBOANGA
e) PRO9, PNP
f) Zamboanga City Police Office, PNP
g) PCGD-South Western Mindanao
h) NRCen
i) PNARU- 60th Naval Affiliated Reserve Group
- YL Fishing, UCI and Mega Fishing
10. DETERMINE THE INITIAL INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE &
RECONNAISANCE:
a. Human Intelligence - Interfere Information Network through Stakeholders

engagement and Barangay Intelligence Network (BIN).
b. Signal Intelligence - is the process of electro-magnetic impulse by

propagating its network circuit to range signals and network.
c. Information Systems Reconnaissance- the technology transform biotech

and universal network as cyberspace ignition.
d. Geography
 Geography - OA is bounded by:

• Western Mindanao AOR
 Local threat groups:
• Other ASG personalities
• LLEs
• CTGs
e. Weather and Terrain Features
Weather - the weather forecast for this week, Easterlies will bring partly clear to
partly cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and possible isolated rains over the Western
Mindanao. This has little effects both to friendly and enemy courses of actions.
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Terrain Features – The region is located on the eponymous Western Mindanao

of the island of Mindanao, that lies between the Moro Gulf (part of Celebes Sea) and the Sulu
Sea along the shores of the peninsula are numerous bays and islands of varying sizes. The
pensinsula is connected to the rest of Mindanao through an isthmus situated between Panguil
Bay and Pagadian Bay.
f. Economy – The Western Mindanao economy is predominantly dependent on

agriculture. The main source of livelihood in the region are fishing, farming, cottage industry,
food processing, furniture-making, mining, trade and commerce, logging, livestock and poultry
raising, boat building, mat and basket -weaving.
g. Sociology – Western Mindanao has so many different tribes and different culture
and different lifestyle in terms for their daily life activities.
h. Government and Politics - The political situation in the Western

Mindanao is stable under the supervision of their individual administration.
11. UPDATE THE OPERATIONAL TIMELINE:
NR ACTIVITY DATE SPR

1 Receipt of Mission 15 October 2020 Operations
2 Mission Analysis 15 – 16 October 2020 All Coordinating
Personnel
3 COA Development 16 October 2020
4 COA Analysis 17 October 2020
5 COA Comparison 18 October 2020
6 COA Approval 19 October 2020
7 Orders Production 20 October 2020 Operations
12. APPROVED RESTATED MISSION:
On orders, conduct intensified PA supported by ISA and focused CA to inform

the public in order to prevent the spreading of false information and the propagation of
fear among the people of Western Mindanao and to effectively and efficiently address
the claims of PAHRA, ALSC and the Muslim petitioners.
13. DEVELOP THE INITIAL COMMANDER’S INTENT:
”I intend to conduct intensified PA supported by ISA and focused CA to inform

the public in order to prevent the spreading of false information and the propagation of
fear among the people of Western Mindanao and to effectively and efficiently address
the claims of PAHRA, ALSC and the Muslim petitioners.
14. ISSUE THE COMMANDER’S INITIAL GUIDANCE:

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 Lateral coordination among tasked units is encouraged at all times.

 Observe proper decorum and ensure proper bearing and wearing of uniform.
 Every member of the Team must be an agent of peace.
 Coordinative and cooperative relationships shall be fostered with security
forces, LGUs, NGAs, NGOs and other organizations through the process of
dialogue, information sharing and consultation.
 Ensure maximum security/safety of personnel and equipment during
movement and for the whole duration of the activity.
 Ensure that all CMO activities could not be used in all political gain.
 Safety of Personnel is always of paramount consideration in every aspect of
operations.
 Observe Operational Security (OPSEC)
15. ISSUE A WARNING ORDER: (See Warning Order 2)
16. REVIEW FACTS AND ASSUMPTIONS:
a. Facts
• Spreading of false information and the propagation of fear among the people
of Western Mindanao especially on the part of our Muslim brothers.
b. Assumptions
• The Naval Forces Western Mindanao can support the logistical requirement
of CMOU-WM in order to execute the Civil Military Operation activities.
• The Naval Reserve Center Western Mindanao will support the CMOU-WM
in spreading positive information based on the approved pillars to be
conducted.
• Allocation of resources – All teams will use their Combat Deployment
Support Fund in the conduct of CMO Activities.
• Admin requirements – NFWM can support the team to make this activity
possible in terms of availability of vehicles and other requirements that will
be utilized during the CMO activities.
• Civilian support- Coordination in the following concerned government
agencies and Local Government Units (LGUs) and other potential resource
organization can support the mission.

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SECRET

FOR EXERCISE PURPOSES ONLY

1. ANALYZE THE HIGHER HEADQUARTERS ORDER (2-Level Up):

a. WESTERN MINDANAO COMMAND MISSION

To conduct Naval Operations in designated area of operations in order to

c. INTIAL MISSION STATEMENT

To develop a plan for the organization and produce a CMO Plan or a

2. CONDUCT INITIAL IPOE: (See IPOE)

3. CENTER OF GRAVITY (COG), CRITICAL CAPABILITIES (CC), CRITICAL

Friendly COG / CC / CR / CV:

CMO Teams Command and Control

Partner Stakeholders Partner Stakeholders

FOR EXERCISE PURPOSES ONLY

Enemy COG / CC / CR / CV:

Communist Terrorist Groups (CTGs) Command and Control

4. DETERMINE SPECIFIED, IMPLIED, AND ESSENTIAL TASKS:

To develop a plan to effectively and efficiently address the claims of

1) To Review and analyze the provisions of the RA 11479 or the Anti-

2) To conduct appropriate CMO activities in NFWM AOR utilizing the

1) Determine the activities to be conducted in line with development

2) Determine the needed requirements during the activities;

3) Assess the current security status of NFWM AOR; and

4) Monitor the development support activities being conducted at NFWM

5. REVIEW AVAILABLE ASSETS:

 Nine (8) CMOU-WM Personnel

6. DETERMINE CONSTRAINTS & RESTRAINTS:

1) Adhere to Rule of Law/IHL/Human Rights;

2) Observance to Operational Security (OPSEC);

5) Cultural and Tribal Sensitivity;

1) Plan beyond the AFP DSSP Campaign Plan;

7. IDENTIFY CRITICAL FACTS AND ASSUMPTIONS:

1) Spreading of false information and the propagation of fear among the

1) The Naval Forces Western Mindanao can support the logistical

3) Allocation of resources – All teams will use their Combat Deployment

4) Admin requirements – NFWM can support the team to make this

5) Civilian support – Coordination in the following concerned government

8. PERFORM RISK ASSESSMENT:

Actual Color HRI Risk Level Risk Acceptability

*Red 1-5 Extremely High Intolerable

IDENTIFIED HAZARD RISK INDEX ACCEPTABILITY OF RISK

FOR EXERCISE PURPOSES ONLY

9. DETERMINE COMMANDER’S CRITICAL INFORMATION REQUIREMENTS:

a. Friendly Forces Info Requirements (FFIR):

a. Human Intelligence - Interfere Information Network through Stakeholders

b. Signal Intelligence - is the process of electro-magnetic impulse by

c. Information Systems Reconnaissance- the technology transform biotech

 Geography - OA is bounded by:

e. Weather and Terrain Features

Terrain Features – The region is located on the eponymous Western Mindanao

f. Economy – The Western Mindanao economy is predominantly dependent on

h. Government and Politics - The political situation in the Western

11. UPDATE THE OPERATIONAL TIMELINE:

NR ACTIVITY DATE SPR

12. APPROVED RESTATED MISSION:

On orders, conduct intensified PA supported by ISA and focused CA to inform

13. DEVELOP THE INITIAL COMMANDER’S INTENT:

”I intend to conduct intensified PA supported by ISA and focused CA to inform

14. ISSUE THE COMMANDER’S INITIAL GUIDANCE:

 Lateral coordination among tasked units is encouraged at all times.