Efficiency of Power Distribution Companies in Pakistan (Application of Non Parametric Approach)
Efficiency of Power Distribution Companies in Pakistan (Application of Non Parametric Approach)
Efficiency of Power Distribution Companies in Pakistan (Application of Non Parametric Approach)
ABSTRACT
Electricity is very significant at global level that is used the most useful type of energy in modern
world. We will evaluate the distribution system in DISCO. This paper is focused on grounds regarding
the grid, through this research of distribution network input & output characteristic, dependent about
which is establishing a more objective estimation values and system from the economic aspect and by
using the data envelopment analysis for evaluates their relative efficiencies. Using this way we can
compare the performance of good company. Finally, by the help of this analysis for power distribution
companies, this study provides a range of scientifically evaluation method for the improvements of a
distribution system according to different state. Technical Efficiency is by CRS 97.2% by VRS 98.2%
and Scale Efficiency is 99.0%.
1. INTRODUCTION
Electric Power usage is the very important, for the locally and commercially utilization and the very
much convenient source of energy in modern world. As a specific type of natural resource, electricity
that cannot be stored, and its generation, transmission, supply to consumers and utilization is managed
at the same stage. Along by the rapid growth of national economy and the increasing demand of the
people’s materialistic approach and new living style, social and corporate culture for electricity is
increasing. The basic need of the reliability and quality is increasing at high level, which is engaged in
promoting the quick development of energy industry, grid expansion and technology advancement
developing with continuous flow. The research on the evaluation in construction of grid has vital
practical significance and importance for development of its efficiency and improving economic and
social impacts on Pakistan.
2. LITRATURE REVIEW
DEA model is a very effective and ideal to calculate the efficiency of multi input & multi output both
decision making units. However, DEA technique is useful in the evaluating about Financial
Institutions, Multilateral Agencies, Educational Institutes, Medical Fields, Universities, Public Limited
Companies, Banking Sector, Tourism Firms and Stock Market. In previous decades, DEA method has
been used to evaluate the efficiency of the power sector. First time this application technique of DEA
technique was used for power system and power field. Luo Daoping and Xiao Di (1996) analyzed the
all factors on production of eight Chinese grids by using the DEA model and researched the
classification and its scale [3]. Some other research scholars Wang Enchuang and Ren Yulong in
(2008) worked on empirical study on the input and output effectiveness of grid of Chongqing by
indirect and direct layer [4]. Zhou Ming and Zhao Wei in (2008) conducted study of the operating
efficiency from the perspectives about the grids enterprise combining DEA and yardstick to compare
competition [5]. Despite for the evaluation of efficiency of distribution companies is more important
from the grid system planning technique aspect, like as to considering the reliable, safe and the quality
of electric power delivery to consumer and industry etc. Even also for the local and international
literature probably is regarding less for the analyzing for the scale to economic, scale appropriate
condition and input & output integration of performance after doing the planning is accomplished and
also converted to operational state.
In all process of electricity industry reform, tackling a lot of uncertain existing factors, about how to
generating and designing suitable index about grid company and how to put forward coordinating
evaluation method or techniques and procedure have vital practically importance about the companies
to make objective, appropriate, clean, fairly and suitable evaluation and for a power distribution
company to improvement the stages of managing, promoting efficiency, investing decision and
inauguration the new project with scientific method and perfect for the benefits and for restraint the
mechanism.
The DEA stands for data envelopment analysis is actually beneficial decision technique while
estimating the relative performance for the homogeneous department or some unit and that can be
utilized in all segments of life. In year of 1978, the initial DEA model was introduced which is put
forward by many famous operational activities by researchers A. charnes, W.W.Cooper and E.Rhodes
is named C2R model and it was fruitful to calcuate the relative efficiency of decision making units [6]
and Lewin in 1994 [7]. In study of economic, DEA is also a very useful weapon while researching the
boundary manufacturing or productions that have multiple inputs and multiple outputs units. However,
it can be utilized to research and identify the errors and problems which also relevant with multilateral
manufacturing or producing function, like as the rates of progress in technology, the indexes of
productivity and scale, the minimum cost problem with maximum benefits.
Since the DEA method does not need to estimate parameters in advance, it has underestimated
superiority in avoiding subjective factors, simplifying operations and reducing error, etc. Compared
with other methods, the biggest advantage of DEA method is that it is pure technical, need not given
an advance known production function with the parameters, it provides excellent model for the
comparison of efficiency between different distribution network.
Efficiency of Disco firms has been calculated by non-parametric (Programming) methods. Charnes et
al. (1978-1981) who invented the term DEA apply the same work on multi input and output models. It
is mostly used to find the efficiency in all fields of study. To find out the efficiency it works on
Decision Making Units (DMU) and selects the best one from all of these decision making units
DMUs. The finding of DEA lies between one and zero because it uses the maximum ratio of weighted
input and output if the results are one it means the unit is efficient but on the other hand if results are
zero or less than one then the unit is inefficient. Most of the researchers considered it to be the best for
the small size of observation. P Zhou and Kim Leng Poh in (2008) [8] and jarite and Maria also used
DEA in their study (2010).[9]
According to Asghar and Afza (2010)[10] “The input oriented DEA model is used to estimate
technical efficiency pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency which if given in figure (1)
Min λ0θ0
s.t. Σ λ 0j yrj ≥ y r0 (r = 1…….s) (1
n
θ 0 xi0 ≥ Σ J=1λ0j xij (i = 1…….n) (2
n
Σ J=1 λ 0j = 1 (3
λ0j ≥ 0 (j = 1…….n)
1) Σ λ 0j y rj ≥ y r0 (1) is the output constraint.
2) θ 0 x i0 ≥ Σ λ j x 0 is the input constraint.
yrj and xio are the output and input of the nth DMU whereas; λ is the weight. 0 is the DMU which is
to be measured and by solving the non-parametric model, we can get the minimum θ0 which is the
vector of the efficiency score. The index j specifies DMUs for j=1,…,N. yrj is the rth output of the jth
firm for r=1,..,R. xij indicates the ith input of the jth DMU for I = 1,…,I (Mahlberg, 2000).[11] The
third constraint introduces variable return to scale (VRS) into the model and if third constraint is
dropped, the frontier technology converts from VRS to CRS. Moreover, if (Σλ0j ≤ 1) is applied instead
of third constraint, the new model can even determine the reason of scale inefficiency that could be
increasing return to scale (IRS) or decreasing return to scale (DRS)”.
DEA model is perfect and ideal to evaluate the efficiency of multi input & output both decision
making units know which unit is performing better and find potential area to use for implementation of
new reforms.
Figure No 1 showed regarding the different levels of voltage of electric power can be further divided
into parts of transmission level, distribution level, sale of electricity and other related systems in power
sector. 500KV and 220KV in this power supply system are related to part of the NTDC transmission
system while and DISCO’s Level this started with 120KV grids and lower are part of distribution
system, which is mainly consist about 120KV substation and supply lines even 10KV and lower are
for consumer & commercial sector as per their demand..
At the last stage of the power supply system the distribution system connected directly with consumer
including the power generation system, transmission system and distribution system is also very
important link for contacting consumer, supply of power and distribution of electricity. Normally the
system which is stepped down substation second time or the system which is providing power to
consumers after the stepping down is called the distribution system.
The distribution system has the greatest impact on supply for users. In fact, the supply of scale, level
and the degree of rationality can intensively reflect the system of structure and its operational
characteristics. Therefore, this paper will take distribution system as the research object.
Regarding to the above principles for setting targets also combined by the real distribution system, and
taking the opinion of experts into account [12][13][14], selected the input & output variables shown in
TABLE I.
Static Descriptive Table (II)
INPUT INPUT OUTPUT OUTPUT OUTPUT
VARIABLES→ X1 X2 Y1 Y2 Y3
YEARS ↓
2014 Mean 873.33 143.62 709.89 141.57 21.21
SD 5049.63 771.148 4474.02 936.137 143.606
2015 Mean 951.93 154.83 777.47 151.58 22.89
SD 5748.08 860.332 5083.77 1042.11 161.21
2016 Mean 1029.23 165.66 843.47 161.14 24.56
SD 6369.66 940.3 5622.38 1146.04 178.801
2017 Mean 1110.73 177.42 913.87 170.57 26.3
6. DATA ANALYSIS
As per to the input & output variables (indicators) Table I, we have investigated 10 DISCO,s
Electricity supply Companies 11 years real data and averaging for getting a set of raw as data
descriptive Statics. See TABLE II. While Table III displaying The DISCO’S (Power Distribution
Companies of Pakistan)
Table IV shows Power All Annually Input-Output Indicators (Slack) for the period of 2014 to
2024.
N0 DMU NAME
Stands for LAHORE ELECTRIC
1 Lesco
SUPPLY COMPANY
Stands for GUJRANWALA
2 Gepco
ELECTRIC POWER COMPANY
Stands for FAISALABAD ELECTRIC
3 Fesco
SUPPLY COMPANY
Stands for ISLAMABAD ELECTRIC
4 Iesco
SUPPLY COMPANY
Stands for MULTAN ELECTRIC
5 Mepco
POWER COMPANY
Stands for PESHAWAR ELECTRIC
6 Pesco
SUPPLY COMPANY
Stands for HYDERABAD ELECTRIC
7 Hesco
SUPPLY COMPANY
Stands for QUETTA ELECTRIC
8 Qesco
SUPPLY COMPANY
Stands for TRIBAL AREAS
9 Tesco
ELECTRIC SUPPLY COMPANY
Stands for SUKKUR ELECTRIC
10 Sepco
POWER COMPANY
MEAN MEAN
1279.957
284.521 0.520 13.633 11.268
empirically analysis of every DISCO and the changes, and searching out the reason, initially, this
paper used genuine data [15] of input & output oriented model [16] of (win4deap2 by DEAP 2.1
software) introduced by TIM COELLI CEPA to evaluate the 11-year average result of efficiency and
the input redundancy also about the output deficit, which is a type of static analysis. However we used
the Malmquist Model at multistage of the DEAP software to analysis of every DISCO DMU at
average changes for total factor supply which is dynamic analyzing.
MEAN
0.972 0.982 0.990
About TABLE V when assumed that constant returns to scale Crste represents. The Technical Change
(Techch) which is the obtained result depends on the BC 2 Model while not assuming constant returns
to scale the Vrste indicted the Efficiency Change (Effch), which is to be be decomposed to Pure
Efficiency Change (Pech) and Scale Efficiency Change (Sech). Scale states the returns to scale,
scale=crste / vrste. The Vrste and Scale are the results depending upon C2R Model. And the column at
last, IRS & DRS respectively showed the increased, Constant(-) and decreased returns to scale. They
are evaluated from ∑λ j , ∑λ j < 1 , This indicates the increased returns to scale, ∑λ j = 1 , this
indicates the Constant returns to scale, ∑λ j > 1 , this indicates the decreased returns to scale.
[Note]
Stands for Technical
CRSTE Efficiency from CRS DEA
Stands for Technical
VRSTE Efficiency from VRS DEA
Stands for Scale
SE Efficiency=CRSTE/VRSTE
Stands for Return to
RTS Scale(DRS IRS CRS)
Stands for Decreasing Return
DRS to Scale
Stands for Increasing Return
IRS to Scale
Stands for Constant Return
CRS to Scale (-)*symbol
Malmquist index has an advantage, namely it doesn’t need to involve whether to consider constant
returns to scale or not, because when calculating, Malmquist model uses both Crste and Vrste.
Malmquist indexes, namely Tfpch, can be decomposed into Efficiency Change (Effch) and Technical
change (Techch), and Efficiency change (Effch) can be further decomposed into Pure Efficiency
Change (Pech) and Scale Efficiency Change (Sech).
While Effch≥1 meaning about the overall Efficiency has been raised upward, Pech≥1 meaning Pure
Efficiency has been incresed, Sech≥1 meaning Scale Efficiency has been enhanced, Techch≥1
meaning the progress in technology, Total Factor Productivity Tfpch is decomposed into Effch and
Techch, when Effch and Techch combined operate and make Tfpch increase, then the Tfpch≥1.
Generation Transmission
500 kV 500 kV 132 kV Domestic
220 kV 220 kV 11 kV Consumer
WAPDA
Commercial
Consumer
Industrial
PAEC DISCOs Consumer
Agricultural
Consumer
IPPs
K-Electric Public
Lightening
TABLE V explained about the results of efficient and no efficient DMUs as below yearly.
In year 2014 DMU 1 & 10 is high efficient and 6 & 7 is lower efficient with decreasing trend and 2 &
4 increasing.
In year 2015 DMU 4 & 5 is high efficient and 3 & 7 is lower efficient with decreasing trend 4 & 10
increasing.
In year 2016 DMU 4 & 5 is high efficient and 6 & 7 is lower efficient with decreasing trend 9 & 10
increasing.
In year 2017 DMU 4 & 5 is high efficient and 6 & 7 is lower efficient with decreasing trend 2 & 9
increasing.
In year 2018 DMU 4 & 5 is high efficient and 2 & 7 is lower efficient with decreasing trend 2 & 9
increasing.
In year 2019 DMU 4 & 5 is high efficient and 3 & 8 is lower efficient with decreasing trend 9
increasing.
In year 2020 DMU 4 & 5 is high efficient and 7 & 8 is lower efficient with decreasing trend 9
increasing.
In year 2021 DMU 4 & 5 is high efficient and 7 & 8 is lower efficient with decreasing trend 9
increasing.
In year 2022 DMU 4 & 5 is high efficient and 6 & 7 is lower efficient with decreasing trend 9
increasing.
In year 2023 DMU 4 & 5 also 4 & 6 is high efficient and 7 & 8 is lower efficient with decreasing trend
no increasing.
In year 2015 DMU 4 & 5 also 1 &2 is high efficient and 7 & 8 is lower efficient with decreasing trend
9 increasing.
From TABLE V, compared with the 10 DMUs the efficiency of 4 and 5 are the highest DMUs,
namely effective. DMU 9 is increasing while the other 7 and 8 indicated failure to achieve the high
innovation efficiency because of the mainly their respective efficiency to scale are at lower stage and
returns to scale are at decreasing trends.
At average level of 11 years data the result of Technical Efficiency is by CRS 97.2% by VRS 98.2%
and Scale Efficiency is 99.0%.By the achieved result, we can judge the result that each DMU should
focus on improvement regarding the Technical Changes for the purpose to raise the Total Factor
Productivity.
8. CONCLUSION
At this current stage, we know the effectiveness of power generating companies has been paid wide
level attention for research. Also a lot of researchers used the DEA techniques to examination of this
subject of Generation while the distribution companies are rarely selected as main research purpose.
There are still few important fields which are required for new findings. However, by purpose to adapt
to the new reforms and latest development of the electricity distribution sector, this research is a small
try to understand the input & output effectiveness of distribution companies from more critical aspect.
The explained result indicated that Technical Efficiency is by CRS 97.2% by VRS 98.2% and Scale
Efficiency is 99.0%. While the input redundancy existed, so it is necessary for the management to
made better distribution system plans and investing management technology, and to save the excessive
wastage of available precious resources. In specifically as for the ineffective & lower level DMUs,
under the premise of emphasizing its operational procedures and for economic society coordination on
development the management should take general consideration, as per the direction of redundancy
and its amounts for grasp out the direction of DISCO grid system performance. Specially for
diminishing the line losses (distribution & Transmission) rate & improvement of technology in each
level there has a big space for management should put enough good effort in these potential areas.
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