Belison CDRA Report

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CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK

ASSESSMENT

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 0


TABLE OF CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1
CHAPTER 1. BRIEF SITUATION --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7
1.1. Physical Profile -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 7
1.2. Vision --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8

CHAPTER 2. CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT ------------------------------------- 9


2.1. Climate Change Projection ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 9
2.2. Extreme Events ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12
2.3. Sea Level Rise --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 13
2.4. Summary of Projected Changes in Climate Variable -------------------------------------------------------- 13
2.5. Hazards Information ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 15
2.6. Potential Impacts of Hazards and Climate ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 20
2.7. Exposure Database ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 30
2.7.1. Population Exposure Map and Compile Attribute Information ----------------------------------- 30
2.7.2. Urban Use Exposure Map and Compile Attribute Information ------------------------------------ 33
2.7.3. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure Map and Compile Attribute Information – 36
2.7.4. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Map and Compile Attribute Information -------------------- 39
2.7.5. Lifeline Exposure Map and Compile Attribute Information ------------------------------------------ 44

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT i


2.8. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment------------------------------------------------------------------------- 47
2.8.1. Population Exposure to Sea Level Rise ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 49
2.8.2. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------ 52
2.8.3. Urban Use Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise --------------------------------------------------------------- 55
2.8.4. Critical Point Facilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------- 58
2.8.5. Lifeline Utilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------------------ 62
2.9. Sensitivity Analysis and Potential Impacts -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 65
2.10. Degree of Impact --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 65
2.11. Adaptive Capacity Evaluation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 68
2.12. Vulnerability Index -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 69
2.13. Vulnerability Map --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 70
2.14. Summary of Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Issues ------------------------------------------- 82

CHAPTER 3. DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT ---------------------------------------------------- 91


3.1. Risk Assessment by Type of Hazard --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 92
3.1.1. Rain Induced Landslide ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 92
3.1.2. Storm Surge ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 95
3.1.3. Ground Shaking ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 97
3.1.4. Liquefaction --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 100
3.1.5. Tsunami ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 103
3.1.6. Drought ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 105

ii CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.1.7. Flooding --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 105
3.2. Likelihood of Occurrence ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 109
3.3. Exposed Elements ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 109
3.3.1. Population Exposure Estimation to Flooding ------------------------------------------------------------- 110
3.3.2. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure Estimation to Flooding --------------------------- 114
3.3.3. Urban Use Area Exposure Estimation to Flooding ------------------------------------------------------ 118
3.3.4. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Estimation to Flooding ---------------------------------------------- 122
3.3.5. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Estimation to Flooding --------------------------------------------------------- 126
3.4. Consequence Analysis --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 130
3.5. Risk Estimation --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 132
3.5.1. Population Risk Estimation to Flooding --------------------------------------------------------------------- 133
3.5.2. Natural Resource Production Area Risk Estimation to Flooding ----------------------------------- 136
3.5.3. Urban Use Area Risk Estimation to Flooding -------------------------------------------------------------- 139
3.5.4. Critical Point Facilities Risk Estimation to Flooding ------------------------------------------------------ 143
3.5.5. Lifeline Utilities Risk Estimation to Flooding ----------------------------------------------------------------- 147
3.6. Risk Estimation --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 150
3.7. Summary of Findings ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 163

CHAPTER 4. ADAPTIVE CAPACITY ANALYSIS ----------------------------------------------- 174


4.1. Climate Change Mitigation & Adaptation Initiatives -------------------------------------------------------- 176
4.1.1. Storm Surge ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 177

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT iii


4.1.2. Flooding --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 178
4.1.3. Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 179
4.1.4. Drought/Dry Spells ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 181
4.1.5. Typhoon with Strong Winds ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 182

List of Figure

1. Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment Process -------------------------------------------------------------- 2


2. Steps in Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment -------------------------------------------------------------- 3
3. Analytical Framework ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4
4. Concept of CDRA ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 5
5. Locational Maps ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8
6. Climate Impact Chain for Multiple Sectors (Extreme Rainfall Climate Stimulus) ---------------- 23
7. Climate Impact Chain for Multiple Sectors Temperature Increased Climate Stimulus ------- 24
8. Population Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping ----------------------------------------------------------- 49
9. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping ------------------------- 52
10. Urban Use Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping ---------------------------------------------------- 55
11. Critical Point Facilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping ------------------------------------------- 58
12. Lifeline Utilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping ------------------------------------------------------ 62
13. Population Exposure Estimation for Flood Mapping ------------------------------------------------------ 111
14. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure Estimation for Flood Mapping -------------------- 114
15. Urban Use Area Exposure Estimation for Flood Mapping ----------------------------------------------- 118

iv CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


16. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Estimation for Flood Mapping -------------------------------------- 122
17. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Estimation for Flood Mapping ------------------------------------------------- 126

List of Matrix
1. Degree of Impact Score ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 66
2. Adaptive Capacity Score and Description ----------------------------------------------------------------- 68
3. Vulnerability Index Scores ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 70
4. Disaster Thresholds and Acceptability Rating per Exposure Type ----------------------------------- 82
5. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Summary Matrix for Population.
Sea Level Rise ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 84
6. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Summary Matrix for Natural Resource
Production Area (Agricultural Land), Sea Level Rise ----------------------------------------------------- 85
7. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Summary Matrix for Natural Resource
Production Area (Aquaculture), Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------------- 86
8. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Summary Matrix for Urban Use Area,
Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 87
9. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Summary Matrix for Critical Point Facilities,
Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 89
10. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Summary Matrix for Lifeline Utilities,
Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 90
11. Indicative Likelihood of Occurrence Scores ----------------------------------------------------------------- 109

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT v


12. Flood Hazard Inventory -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 110
13. Severity of Consequence Score Matrix ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 130
14. Risk Score ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 132
15. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Population ---------------------------------------------------- 164
16. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Natural Resource Production Area
(Crop Production) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 166
17. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Natural Resource Production Area
(Aquaculture) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 167
18. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Urban Use Area ---------------------------------------------- 169
19. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Critical Point Facilities ------------------------------------- 171
20. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Lifeline Utilities ------------------------------------------------ 173

List of Table
1. Projected Changes in Seasonal Rainfall ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 9
2. Projected Changes in Seasonal Temperature --------------------------------------------------------------- 11
3. Frequency of Extreme Events in 2020 – 2057 under Medium-Range Emission Scenario ------- 13
4. Summary of Projected Changes in Climate Variables ----------------------------------------------------- 14
5. Hazard Inventory Matrix ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 16
6. Records of Previous Disaster ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 17
7. Hazard Susceptibility Inventory Matrix ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 19
8. Summary of Projected Changes in Climate Variables at Potential Affected

vi CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Expose Units -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 21
9. Summary of Climate Change Impacts ------------------------------------------------------------------------ 25
10. Population Exposure Attribute Table -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 31
11. Urban Use Area Exposure Attribute Table ------------------------------------------------------------------- 33
12. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure Attribute Table ----------------------------------------- 36
13. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Attribute Table ------------------------------------------------------------ 39
14. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Attribute Table ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 44
15. Impact Area and Climate Stimuli -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 47
16. Population Exposure to Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50
17. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise --------------------------------------- 53
18. Urban Use Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------------------ 56
19. Critical Point Facilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise ---------------------------------------------------------- 59
20. Lifeline Utilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise --------------------------------------------------------------------- 63
21. Population – Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment ------------------------------------------------ 72
22. Natural Resource Production Area Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment ---------------- 74
23. Urban Use Area Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment ------------------------------------------- 76
24. Critical Point Facilities Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment ----------------------------------- 78
25. Lifeline Utilities Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment ---------------------------------------------- 81
26. Landslide Threat Advisory ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 93
27. Population Exposed to Ground Shaking Hazard ----------------------------------------------------------- 98
28. Population Exposed to Liquefaction Hazard in Highly Susceptible Area -------------------------- 100

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT vii


29. Population Exposed to Liquefaction Hazard in Moderately Susceptible Area ------------------ 101
30. Population Exposed to Tsunami Hazard ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 103
31. Flooding Threat Advisory -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 106
32. Population Exposure Estimation to Flood ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 112
33. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure Estimation to Flood ------------------------------------ 115
34. Urban Use Area Exposure Estimation to Flood --------------------------------------------------------------- 119
35. Critical point Facilities Exposure Estimation to Flood ------------------------------------------------------ 122
36. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Estimation to Flood ----------------------------------------------------------------- 126
37. Population Risk Estimation to Flood ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 133
38. Natural Resource Production Area Risk Estimation to Flood -------------------------------------------- 136
39. Urban Use Area Risk Estimation to Flood ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 139
40. Critical point Facilities Risk Estimation to Flood -------------------------------------------------------------- 143
41. Lifeline Utilities Risk Estimation to Flood ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 147

List of Maps
1. Population Exposure Map -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 32
2. Urban Use Area Exposure Map ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 35
3. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure Map ---------------------------------------------------------- 38
4. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Map ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 43
5. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Map ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 46
6. Sea Level Rise Impact Area Map ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 48

viii CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


7. Population Exposure to Sea Level Rise Map ----------------------------------------------------------------- 51
8. Natural Resource Production Exposure to Sea level Rise Map ---------------------------------------- 54
9. Urban Use Area Exposure to Sea level Rise Map ----------------------------------------------------------- 57
10. Critical point Facilities Exposure to Sea level Rise Map ------------------------------------------------- 61
11. Lifeline Utilities Exposure to Sea level Rise Map ------------------------------------------------------------ 64
12. Population Vulnerability Map to Sea Level Rise ----------------------------------------------------------- 71
13. Natural Resource Production Area Vulnerability Map to Sea Level Rise ------------------------- 73
14. Urban Use Area Vulnerability Map to Sea Level Rise ---------------------------------------------------- 75
15. Critical Point Facilities Vulnerability Map to Sea Level Rise -------------------------------------------- 77
16. Lifeline Utilities Vulnerability Map to Sea Level Rise ------------------------------------------------------- 80
17. Rain Induced Landslide Hazard Map -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 94
18. Storm Surge Hazard Map ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 96
19. Ground Shaking Hazard Map ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 99
20. Liquefaction Hazard Map ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 102
21. Tsunami Hazard Map ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 104
22. Flooding Hazard Map ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 108
23. Population Flood Exposure Map --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 113
24. Natural Resource Production Area Flood Exposure Map ----------------------------------------------- 117
25. Urban Use Area Flood Exposure Map -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 121
26. Critical Point Facilities Flood Exposure Map ----------------------------------------------------------------- 125
27. Lifeline Utilities Flood Exposure Map ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 129

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT ix


28. Population Flood Risk Map ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 135
29. Natural Resource Production Area Flood Risk Map ------------------------------------------------------ 138
30. Urban Use Area Flood Risk Map --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 142
31. Critical Point Facilities Flood Risk Map ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 146
32. Lifeline Utilities Flood Risk Map ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 149

x CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


INTRODUCTION

Due to its geographical setting, Belison is highly vulnerable on natural disasters. It has been hardly
hit by typhoons and coastal flooding due to southwest monsoon affecting families residing near the
coastline. It cannot be denied that the manifestations of climate change in the form of sea level rise, storm
surge, drought, flooding, stronger and intensified typhoons and climate change related outbreaks was
already experienced by the municipality and had impacted the municipality’s population, natural
resource production areas, urban use area, critical point facilities and lifeline utilities of the municipality.
Sectors such as economy, environment, and infrastructure had been affected producing negative
impacts to the natural environment of the locality.

Because of this experiences, Belison has been persistent in its goal to be more resilient in terms of
adapting to the extreme weather conditions and natural hazards. With the support of the Department of
the Interior and Local Government (DILG), the Municipality of Belison has formulated its Climate and
Disaster Risk Assessment (CDRA), as part of its vision to mainstream CCVA and DRRM not just in its
Comprehensive Development Plan (CDP) and Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP), but including its
Municipal Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Plan (MDRRMP) and the Local Climate Change
Action Plan (LCCAP).

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 1


This report contains the result and analysis of the outputs generated from the participatory climate
change and disaster risk assessment (CDRA); a tool to determine the LGU’s risks and vulnerabilities and
integrate them into the Comprehensive Development Plan formulation process conducted through the
help of the DILG. While the HLURB also employs the CDRA in mainstreaming DRRM-CCA into the CLUP, the
same CDRA process was also applied in integrating DRRM-CCA into the CDP to avoid duplication of the
risk assessment procedures and to aid in the harmonization of both plans. However, some of the tools
provided in the HLURB Supplemental Guidelines were enhanced not to replace the existing guidelines but
to suffice the requirements in the formulation of risk-sensitive CDPs. It also covers other hazards not included
in the supplementary guidelines such as geologic hazards.

2 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Figure 2. Steps in Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment

Collect and organize


• Involves gathering of climate change information and
climate change and characterizing hazards that may affect the locality
hazard information
Scope the potential • Identifying key areas/sectors that may be affected by climate
impacts of hazards and change and natural hazards and determining likely impacts
climate change (direct and indirect)

Develop the exposure • Gathering baseline map and attribute data on exposure,
vulnerability and adaptive capacity as basis for CCVA and
database DRA

Conduct a Climate Change


•Identification of vulnerable areas and sectors by analyzing exposure,
Vulnerability Assessment sensitivity and adaptive capacity to various climate stimuli
(CCVA)

Conduct a Disaster Risk •Identification of risk areas by analyzing hazard, exposure and
Assessment (DRA) vulnerability

•Identification of priority decision areas/sectors based on the combined


Summarize findings level of risks and vulnerabilities, identification of risk management
options, climate change adaptation and mitigation options

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 3


The assessment process study’s the risks and vulnerabilities of five exposed elements which are the
population, natural resource production areas, urban use areas, critical point facilities and lifeline utilities.
At the same time, it seeks to establish risk and vulnerable areas by analyzing the hazard, exposure,
vulnerability/ sensitivity, and adaptive capacities of various elements in order to identify priority decision
areas that need to be addressed so that identification of DRR and CCAM measures and spatial policy
interventions can be undertaken. Figure 3 summarizes how the vulnerability of the Municipality of Belison
to climate change and disaster was analyzed.
Figure 3. Analytical Framework

Population Natural Resource Urban Use Critical Point Lifeline Utilities


System of Interests Production Areas
Areas Facilities

Vulnerability to CC Impacts VULNERABILITY


And Disaster Risks

Measure of Vulnerability (Degree/Level) Impact/Threat Adaptive Capacity

Elements of Vulnerability (Determinants) Exposure Sensitivity Adaptive Capacity

Present and Future Climate Socio-economic conditions Financial information,


Change Impacts and and characteristics of institutions, technology,
Disaster Risks affected elements infrastructure, social capital

4 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Figure 4. Concept of CDRA

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Disaster Risk Assessment

The figure above is the simplified illustration of the concept of CDRA. The first formula present how
vulnerability is a function of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity. Adaptation measures for climate
change should focus on reducing exposed elements, reducing their sensitivity to climate change and

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 5


improving their adaptive capacity. In the other way, disaster risk is determined probabilistically as a
function of hazard, exposure, and vulnerability. Risk reduction measures should focus on reducing
occurrences of hazards, and reducing exposure and vulnerability to these hazards. While a community’s
ability to limit their exposure to climate change might be limited, they can reduce their sensitivity and
increase their adaptive capacity thus reducing overall vulnerability. At the same time the probability of
the occurrence of hazard can be reduce by disaster mitigation and adaptation measures implemented
or adopted thus reducing the exposure and vulnerability of the entire locality.

The result of this assessment will help determine and outfight the adverse effect of climate change
and disaster, in response to urgency for action on climate change and disaster risk reduction in
accordance with RA 9729 and 10121, also known as the Climate Change Act of 2009 and Philippine
Disaster Risk Reduction Management Act, respectively. Moreover, this assessment aims to raise public
consciousness in order to meet the challenges of organization, coordination and systematic responses to
climate change and natural disasters and their related consequences. The goal is to build the adaptive
capacity of communities and increase the resilience of natural ecosystems to climate change, and
optimize mitigation opportunities towards sustainable development.

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Chapter 1 BRIEF SITUATIONER

1.1. Physical Profile

Before it became a town, Belison was merely a Barangay in the larger municipality of Patnongon,
adjacent to the north. Belison barangay leaders and Manila-based Belisongnons as well, mapped out a
petition requesting the national government to make Belison a town. The petition was brought to
Malacañang on March 10, 1961, and by virtue of Presidential Executive Order No. 421 – signed by President
Carlos P. Garcia –Belison was pronounced as the 18th municipality of the Province of Antique. The smallest
and the youngest municipality of the province composed of 11 barangays, namely: Buenavista,
Maradiona, Borocboroc, Delima, Ipil, Poblacion, Sinaja, Salvacion, Concepcion, Mojon and Rombang.
The municipality is bounded on the east by the municipality of San Remigio and southeast by the
municipality of Sibalom, on the south by the municipality of San Jose de Buenavista, on the north by the
municipality of Patnongon, and on the west by Sulu Sea (Cuyo East Pass). Geographically, Belison is
located between 10o 3’ 25” and 10o 7’ 55” latitude and 121o 11’ 19” and 122o 3’ 49” longitude or 10°50′N
121°58′E. Belison is a coastal municipality with a total land area of 1,978.3092 hectares in which based in
slope 1,649.3042 has. or 83.37% is considered as lowland or with relatively flat to undulating slope and 329
has. or 16.63% is considered upland. The national road crosses this municipality, somewhat parallel to the
sea coastline from north to south. The Poblacion which is about the center of the whole municipality by
these directions is 15 kilometers north of San Jose de Buenavista, the capital town of the Province of

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 7


Antique. It has Type 1 climate with 2 seasons – the dry and the wet or rainy seasons and an average of 20
rainy days. The average annual rainfall is 95.38 inches or 2,422.6 millimeters with the greatest precipitation
occurring from June to September. Average temperature ranges from 26.6 to 27.4 oC, but the coldest
months of the year are December and January and the warmest are March and April.

Figure 5. Locational Maps

1.2. Vision

BELISON: a progressive agricultural community of God-fearing and empowered people living in a


safe and well-balanced environment with upright governance.”

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Chapter 2 CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT

2.1. Climate Change Projection

The Climate and disaster risk assessment intends to determine the level of risks and vulnerabilities of
areas and sectors in the municipality to climate related hazards and potential impacts of climate change
and facilitate the identification of priority decision areas where the various interventions can be
implemented. The Climate Change in the Philippines published by PAG-ASA in February 2011 is the basic
source of the climate change information of LGU. It contains the projections for 2020s and 2050s under the
high, medium and low emission scenarios. Table 1.1 shows the projected changes in seasonal rainfall and
mean temperature of the municipality for 2020s and 2050s scenarios based on RCP 4.5. and 8.5.

Table 1. Projected Changes in Seasonal Rainfall, Municipality of Belison, Antique


2020s Mid 21st Century (2036-2065) 2050s Late 21st Century (2070-2099)
Projected Change Projecte Projected Change
Projected
d
Season Seasonal
Rainfall Seasona Rainfall
Scenario Range* Percent Scenario Range* Percent Rainfall
amount l Rainfall amount
(%) (%) Amount
(mm) Amount (mm) (mm)
(mm)
Moderate Lower Bound -11.9 -35.4 262.5 Moderate Lower Bound -16.1 -47.8 250.1
December-January- Emission Emission
Median -2.1 -6.3 291.6 Median 9.7 29.0 326.9
February (DJF) (RCP4.5) (RCP4.5)
Upper Bound 34.2 101.9 399.8 Upper Bound 43.8 130.6 428.5
Observed baseline High High
= 297.9 mm Lower Bound -20.3 -60.6 237.3 Lower Bound -28.7 -85.5 212.4
Emission Emission
(RCP8.5) Median 6.9 20.6 318.5 (RCP8.5) Median -18.7 -55.6 242.3

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 9


Table 1. Projected Changes in Seasonal Rainfall, Municipality of Belison, Antique
2020s Mid 21st Century (2036-2065) 2050s Late 21st Century (2070-2099)
Projected Change Projecte Projected Change
Projected
d
Season Seasonal
Rainfall Seasona Rainfall
Scenario Range* Percent Scenario Range* Percent Rainfall
amount l Rainfall amount
(%) (%) Amount
(mm) Amount (mm) (mm)
(mm)

Upper Bound 20.3 60.4 358.3 Upper Bound 38.5 114.6 412.5

Moderate Lower Bound -21.6 -62.1 225.9 Moderate Lower Bound -37.0 -106.5 181.5
Emission Emission
March-April-May Median -14.6 -42.1 245.9 Median -19.0 -54.7 233.3
(RCP4.5) (RCP4.5)
(MAM) Upper Bound 7.5 21.6 309.6 Upper Bound -0.6 -1.6 286.4
Observed baseline
High Lower Bound -31.8 -91.7 196.3 High Lower Bound -31.8 -91.7 196.3
= 288 mm
Emission Emission
Median -13.0 -37.3 250.7 Median -13.8 -39.8 248.2
(RCP8.5) (RCP8.5)
Upper Bound 4.3 12.4 300.4 Upper Bound -6.2 -17.9 270.1
Lower Bound -32.2 -320.1 675.2 Lower Bound -39.8 -396.4 598.9
Moderate Moderate
Emission Median -10.5 -104.5 890.8 Emission Median -26.3 -261.9 733.4
June-July-August (RCP4.5) (RCP4.5)
(JJA) Upper Bound 1.9 19.0 1014.3 Upper Bound -9.1 -90.9 904.4

Observed baseline Lower Bound -38.0 -378.0 617.3 Lower Bound -44.0 -437.8 557.5
= 995.3 mm High High
Emission Median -8.8 -87.4 907.9 Emission Median -37.1 -369.4 625.9
(RCP8.5) (RCP8.5)
Upper Bound 9.0 89.8 1085.1 Upper Bound -9.5 -94.6 900.7
Lower Moderat
-27.4 -230.7 610.7 Lower Bound -26.3 -221.3 620.1
Bound e
Moderate
September- Emissio
Emission Median -14.8 -124.1 717.3 Median -18.3 -154.0 687.4
October- n
(RCP4.5) Upper
November (RCP4.5
-0.9 -7.9 833.5 Upper Bound -1.6 -13.1 828.3
(SON) Bound )
Lower High
Observed -30.6 -257.3 584.1 Lower Bound -51.6 -434.5 406.9
High Bound Emissio
baseline =
Emission Median -8.6 -72.5 768.9 n Median -28.5 -239.4 602.0
841.4 mm
(RCP8.5) Upper (RCP8.5
2.2 18.2 859.6 ) Upper Bound -3.4 -28.3 813.1
Bound

10 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 2. Projected Changes in Seasonal Temperature, Municipality of Belison, Antique
Mid 21st Century (2036-2065) Late 21st Century (2070-2099)
Projected Change Projected Change
Season Projected Projected
Scenario Range* Change in Scenario Range* Change
Seasonal Mean Seasonal Mean
℃ in ℃
Temperature (℃) Temperature (℃)
Lower Bound 1.0 27.6 Lower Bound 1.3 27.9
Moderate
Moderate Emission
Median 1.3 27.9 Emission Median 1.6 28.2
December-January- (RCP4.5)
(RCP4.5)
February (DJF) Upper Bound 1.7 28.3 Upper Bound 2.4 29.0

Observed baseline = Lower Bound 1.2 27.8 Lower Bound 2.4 29.0
26.6℃ High Emission High Emission
Median 1.6 28.2 Median 2.9 29.5
(RCP8.5) (RCP8.5)
Upper Bound 2.0 28.6 Upper Bound 3.7 30.3
Lower Bound 1.0 29.4 Lower Bound 1.4 29.8
Moderate
Moderate Emission
Median 1.3 29.7 Emission Median 1.7 30.1
(RCP4.5)
March-April-May (MAM) (RCP4.5)
Observed baseline = Upper Bound 1.8 30.2 Upper Bound 2.6 31.0
28.4 ℃ Lower Bound 1.4 29.8 Lower Bound 2.5 30.9
High Emission High Emission
Median 1.8 30.2 Median 3.2 31.6
(RCP8.5) (RCP8.5)
Upper Bound 2.3 30.7 Upper Bound 4.1 32.5
Lower Bound 0.9 28.8 Lower Bound 1.3 29.2
Moderate
Moderate Emission
Median 1.2 29.1 Emission Median 1.5 29.4
(RCP4.5)
June-July-August (JJA) (RCP4.5)
Upper Bound 1.8 29.7 Upper Bound 2.5 30.4
Observed baseline = Lower Bound 1.4 29.3 Lower Bound 2.6 30.5
27.8 ℃
High Emission High Emission
Median 1.5 29.4 Median 3.1 31.0
(RCP8.5) (RCP8.5)
Upper Bound 2.3 30.2 Upper Bound 4.3 32.2
Lower Bound 1.0 28.7 Lower Bound 1.3 29.0
Moderate
Moderate Emission
Median 1.1 28.8 Emission Median 1.5 29.2
September-October- (RCP4.5)
(RCP4.5)
November (SON) Upper Bound 1.8 29.5 Upper Bound 2.4 30.1

Observed baseline = Lower Bound 1.4 29.1 Lower Bound 2.6 30.3
27.4 ℃ High Emission High Emission
Median 1.5 29.2 Median 3.1 30.8
(RCP8.5) (RCP8.5)
Upper Bound 2.2 29.9 Upper Bound 4.1 31.8
* upper: 90th percentile; median: 50th percentile; lower: 10th percentile

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 11


The data suggests that there will be a reduction in rainfall during the summer and habagat seasons
in 2020 and 2050 in the municipality. Also, there will be a slight increase in rainfall during amihan season,
but amount of rain expected to be lesser than the habagat and transition seasons. Summer months are
expected to be drier and amihan months will be slightly wetter compared to observed trends. In terms of
mean temperature, the data suggests that the Municipality of Belison will experience relatively warmer
condition by 2020 and 2050 compared to the observed seasonal temperature. There will be a 2.3 oC
warming during the MAM and JJA in the upper bound while 2.0oC and 2.2oC warming during the DJF and
SON seasons, respectively in 2020. In 2050, temperature may increase by as much as 4.1 oC and 4.3oC
during the MAM and JJA seasons, respectively, while the projected increase during the DJF and SON
seasons will be 3.7oC and 4.1oC, respectively.

2.2. Extreme Events

Extreme event is a weather event such as rain, drought, flood, or storm that is rare for the place
where it occurs. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) suggests that “rare” means in the
bottom 10% or top 10% of severity for a given event type in a given location. The Climate Change in the
Philippines provides provincial level projections of three climate variable to cover extreme events namely:
number of days with temperature exceeding 35oC, number of days with rainfall less than 2.5mm and the
number of days with extreme daily rainfall (>200mm). The data presented in Table 1.2 shows that there will
be a significant increase in the number of days with a temperature exceeding to 35oC in 2020 and 2050
based on observed trends. In terms of dry days, the number is decreasing from 2020 to 2050 figuring out

12 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


more wet days. However, number of extreme daily rainfall event will slightly increase in 2020 and will go
back to observe trend in 2050. Table 1.2 presents the frequency of extreme events in 2020 and 2050 under
medium-range emission scenario in the municipality of Belison, province of Antique.

Table 3. Frequency of Extreme Events in 2020 and 2050 under medium-range emission scenario
Climate Variables Observed Baseline 2020 2050
(1971-2000) (2006-2035) (2036-2065)
No. of days with Temperature >35oC 460 1,431 3,076
No. of dry days (rainfall <2.5mm) 7,839 5,227 5,226
No. of days with rainfall >200mm 4 5 4
Source: Climate Change in the Philippines, February 2011

2.3. Sea Level Rise

Four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) from Integrated Assessment Models are used
in the present IPCC Assessment as a basis for the climate predictions and projections. The Global mean
sea level rise for 2018-2100 relative to 1986-2005 will likely be in the ranges of 0.26m to 0.55m for RCP2.6,
0.32 to 0.63m for RCP4.5, 0.33 to 0.63m for RCP6.0 and 0.45 to 0.82m from RCP8.5 (medium confidence).

2.4. Summary of projected changes in climate variable

The table in the next page presents the summary of projected changes in the climate variables
which is very useful for initial scoping of impacts.

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 13


Table 4. Summary of Projected Changes in Climate Variables, Municipality of Belison, Antique
General Changes
Observed Baseline Specific Change Expected and Information about patterns of
Climate Variables Expected in Climate
(1971-2000) Reference Period Change
Variables
 26.6℃ in DJF  27.6℃ by 2020 and 28.5℃ by
2050 during DJF
 29.6℃ by 2020 and 30.6℃ by  Increasing in
 28.4℃ in MAM
2050 during MAM temperature for all  Slightly more warming in
Temperature
 28.8℃ by 2020 and 29.8℃ by seasons expected in MAM and in JJA seasons
 27.8℃ in JJA 2020 and 2050
2050 during JJA
 28.6℃ by 2020 and 29.5℃ by
 27.4℃ in SON
2050 during SON
 Reduction in rainfall during
 Decreasing in rainfall
the summer while significant
 246.7 mm by 2020 and 348.5mm during DJF for 2020
 297.9 mm during DJF increase of rainfall may
by 2050 during DJF but increasing for
occur in habagat season in
2050
2020 and 2050
 Decreasing in rainfall  More drier summer months
 251.1mm by 2020 and 251.7mm
 288 mm during MAM during MAM for 2020 due to reduction of rainfall in
Rainfall by 2050 during MAM
and 2050 2020 and 2050
 Increasing in rainfall  Significant increase during
 1092.8 mm by 2020 and 1211.3
 995.3 mm during JJA during JJA for 2020 amihan until habagat
mm by 2050 during JJA
and 2050 seasons.
 Increasing in rainfall
 964.2 mm by 2020 and 941.5 mm  Wetter amihan and habagat
 841.4mm during SON during SON for 2020
by 2050 during SON months in 2020 and 2050
and 2050

14 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 4. Summary of Projected Changes in Climate Variables, Municipality of Belison, Antique
General Changes
Climate Observed Baseline Specific Change Expected and
Expected in Climate Information about patterns of Change
Variables (1971-2000) Reference Period
Variables
 1,431 days with temperature  Increasng number of  Significant increase in the number of hot
exceeding 35oC in 2020 hot days with >35oC days expected in 2020 and 2050
No. of hot days 460 days
 3,076 days with temperature
exceeding 35oC in 2050
 5,227 days with <2.5mm of rain in  Decreasing number of  Compared to the observed baseline,
2020 dry days with <2.5 mm there will be more days with rainfall
No. of dry days 7,839 days
 5,226 days with <2.5mm of rain in of rain (more wet days than dry days)
2050
 5 days with rainfall >200mm in  Increasing daily  More extreme daily rainfall expected
2020 rainfall of more than (>200mm) in 2020 but will be normalize
Extreme daily
4 days  4 days with rainfall >200mm in 200mm in 2020 and it in 2050
rainfall events
2050 will back to observed
baseline trend in 2050
Projected change by 2100 relative to  Potential increase in  A potential increase in global sea level
1986-2005 Global mean sea level the current sea level by a range of 0.26 to 0.82m by 2100.
0.26 to 0.55m for RCP2.6 by 2100 (Projected sea level rise may vary from
Sea Level Rise
0.32 to 0.63m for RCP4.5 global estimates due to regiona differing
0.33 to 0.63m for RCP6.0 rates of thermal expansion of the
0.45 to 0.82m for RCP8.5 oceans and atmospheric circulation.)

2.5. Hazards Information


Collection and organization of hazard information is very important to better understand the various
natural hazards affecting the municipality. This involves an inventory of hazards maps and historical
disasters to establish patterns of hazards in terms of intensity and magnitude, including the scale of
damages to property and how it affected the local communities. The following table below presents the
available hazard maps in the LGU and hazard susceptibilities of every barangays.

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 15


Table 5. Hazard Inventory Matrix, Municipality of Belison, Province of Antique
Map Information Hazard Description
Hazard Format/date/ Speed of Frequency
Source Scale Susceptibility Magnitude Areas Covered
Reference system Onset and/or Duration
4 barangays-
HV, the rest
Project READY JPEG/2015/
1:10,000/ Low to Very 0.5m to 1m Moderate or barangays
Flood (MGB)/ Digitized WGS1984 Rapid
1:37,000 High more likely to occur either
Map of LGU UTMZone 51
moderately or
low affected
Project READY JPEG/2015/
Rain Induced 1:10,000/ Low to Occasional, Mojon,
(MGB)/ Digitized WGS1984 Rapid
Landslide 1:37,000 Moderate slight chance Buenavista
Map of LGU UTMZone 51
Occurs yearly
Project READY JPEG/2015/
1:10,000/ Low to Very during Frequent or
Storm Surge (MGB)/ Digitized WGS1984 Rapid 6 barangays
1:37,000 High Southwest very likely
Map of LGU UTMZone 51
monsoon
Project READY
JPEG/2015/
(MGB)/ 1:10,000/ High Unlikely to
Ground Shaking WGS1984 Rapid All barangays
Digitized Map of 1:37,000 Exceedance happen
UTMZone 51
LGU
Project READY
JPEG/2015/
(MGB)/ 1:10,000/ Low to High Unlikely to
Liquefaction WGS1984 Rapid 10 barangays
Digitized Map of 1:37,000 Exceedance happen
UTMZone 51
LGU
Project READY
JPEG/2015/
(MGB)/ 1:10,000/ 5M height from Unlikely to
Tsunami WGS1984 Highly Prone Rapid 9 barangays
Digitized Map of 1:37,000 shoreline happen
UTMZone 51
LGU
Moderately or
Drought None Prone Area Slow All barangays
likely
Moderately or 6 coastal
Coastal Erosion None Prone Area Slow
likely barangays
Typhoon/ Strong Moderately Moderately or
None Rapid All barangays
Winds Prone likely
Very highly Occasional, 6 coastal
Sea Level Rise None Slow
vulnerable slight chance barangays

16 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


The Municipality of Belison has experienced various types of climate change impacts and natural
disasters in the past. Only a number of these occurrences have been recorded but quite a number have
been without any data or record. The Municipal Planning and Development Office (MPDO) and Municipal
Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office (MDRRMO) have identified a number of significant events
in the past decade. The table below lists some of those events which resulted damages to property.

Table 6. Records of Previous Disasters, Municipality of Belison, Province of Antique


Number of No. of
Number of
Affected Houses Damage to Properties (Php)
Casualties
Persons Damaged
Hazard Events
Affected Source of
and Description/

Infrastructure

Commercial
Barangays Information

Agriculture

Instittional

Private /
Date

Total
Totall
Dead Injured Missing Persons Families Partially
y

9 barangays

11,433,878.00

1,243,100.00

5,468,897.00

42,085,075.00
23,939,200.00
(Rombang,
Concepcion, Sinaja,
Typhoon Frank Salvacion, 0 0 0 6,985 1,397 65 286 MPDO
(June 2008) Poblacion, Ipil,
Delima,
Borocboroc,
Maradiona)

440,000.00

1,320,000.00
880,000.00
Storm Surge 1 barangay 0 0 0 978 194 4 44 MPDO
(2009) (Salvacion)

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 17


Table 6. Records of Previous Disasters, Municipality of Belison, Province of Antique
Number of No. of
Number of
Affected Houses Damage to Properties (Php)
Casualties
Persons Damaged
Hazard Events
Source of
and Description/ Affected Barangays

Infrastructure

Commercial
Information

Agriculture

Instittional

Private /
Date

Total
Dead Injured Missing Persons Families Totally Partially

All barangays

720,000.00
12,628,070.00

2,089,200.00
21,850,000.00

37,287,270.00
(Rombang, Mojon,
Concepcion, Sinaja,
Typhoon Yolanda Salvacion, Poblacion, 0 0 0 6,191 1,282 6 15 MDRRMO
(November 2013) Ipil, Delima,
Borocboroc,
Maradiona,
Buenavista)

360,000.00

1,860,000.00
1,500,000.0
Coastal Erosion
Salvacion 0 0 0 90 18 18 0 MPDO
(2015)

6 coastal barangays

130,000.00

130,000.00
(Salvacion, Poblacion,
Storm Surge
Ipil, Delima, 0 0 0 65 13 0 2 MPDO
(2015)
Borocboroc,
Maradiona)
All barangays

2,574,000.00

2,574,000.00
(Rombang, Mojon,
Concepcion, Sinaja,
Salvacion, Poblacion,
Drought (2016) 0 0 0 220 44 0 0 0 0 0 MAO
Ipil, Delima,
Borocboroc,
Maradiona,
Buenavista)

18 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


While barangays in the country differ in risks to hazards, all 11 barangays of the municipality are
susceptible to almost all of the identified hazards. Coastal barangays are most prone to storm surge and
coastal flooding especially during monsoon season while flood hazard is mostly contained in the
barangays where Sibalom and Belison rivers traversed and in low-lying barangays. The table below present
the hazard susceptibility inventory of each barangay in the municipality.

Table 7. Hazard Susceptibility Inventory Matrix, Municipality of Belison, Province of Antique.


Rain-
Typhoon/
Induced Storm Sea Level Coastal Earthquake/ Ground
Barangay Flood Drought Strong Tsunami
Landslid Surge Rise Erosion Liquefaction Shaking
Winds
e
Borocboroc
Buenavista
Concepcion
Delima
Ipil
Maradiona
Mojon
Poblacion
Rombang
Salvacion
Sinaja
Source: Hazards Maps

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 19


2.6. Potential Impacts of Hazards and Climate Change

Adaptation to climate change and mitigation of risks to natural hazards involves a very broad range
of measures directed at reducing vulnerability to a range of climate stimulus and risks to sudden onset
hazards. The impact chains had also been identify that may likely affect the various development sectors.
It is therefore important to first identify the potential impacts and the spatial manifestations of climate
change. Impacts are used to refer to the effects on natural and human systems of physical events, of
disasters and of climate change, which can be illustrated through impact changes. Climate impact chain
are general cause-effect relation that describe how, in principles, climatic changes are expected to cause
impacts on the sectors of concern.

Based from the significant findings from the scoping of climate trends, climate change and
compilation of hazard maps, various climate stimuli that affect the municipality had been identified. The
table below shows the relevant climatic stimuli that would likely affect the municipality and key sectors. At
the same time, Figure 6 and 7 presents the climate impact chain for sectors of concern.

20 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 8. Summary of Projected Changes in Climate Variables and potential affected exposure unit/s,
Municipality of Belison, Antique
Natural Infra-
Observed Specific Change General Changes Information Resource Critical Urban structure
Climate Variables Baseline Expected and Expected in about patterns Population based point use and
(1971-2000) Reference Period Climate Variables of Change production facilities areas lifeline
areas utilities
 27.6℃ by 2020 and
 26.6℃ in DJF
28.5℃ by 2050 during
DJF
 29.6℃ by 2020 and
 Increasing in
 28.4℃ in MAM 30.6℃ by 2050 during  Slightly more
temperature for
MAM warming in MAM
Temperature all seasons
and in JJA Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
 28.8℃ by 2020 and expected in 2020
 27.8℃ in JJA 29.8℃ by 2050 during seasons
and 2050
JJA
 28.6℃ by 2020 and
 27.4℃ in SON 29.5℃ by 2050 during
SON
 Reduction in
rainfall during the
 Decreasing in summer while
 246.7 mm by 2020 rainfall during DJF significant
 297.9 mm
during DJF
and 348.5mm by 2050 for 2020 but increase of Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
during DJF increasing for rainfall may
2050 occur in habagat
season in 2020
and 2050
 More drier
 Decreasing in
 251.1mm by 2020 and summer months
Rainfall  288 mm during rainfall during
251.7mm by 2050 due to reduction
MAM MAM for 2020 and
during MAM of rainfall in 2020
2050
and 2050
 Significant
 1092.8 mm by 2020  Increasing in increase during
 995.3 mm Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
and 1211.3 mm by rainfall during JJA amihan until
during JJA
2050 during JJA for 2020 and 2050 habagat
seasons.
 Increasing in  Wetter amihan
 964.2 mm by 2020
 841.4mm rainfall during and habagat
and 941.5 mm by
during SON SON for 2020 and months in 2020
2050 during SON
2050 and 2050

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 21


Table 8. Summary of Projected Changes in Climate Variables and potential affected exposure unit/s,
Municipality of Belison, Antique
Natural Infra-
Observed Specific Change General Changes Information Resource Critical Urban structure
Climate Variables Baseline Expected and Expected in about patterns Population based point use and
(1971-2000) Reference Period Climate Variables of Change production facilities areas lifeline
areas utilities
 1,431 days with
temperature exceeding  Significant
35oC in 2020 increase in the
 Increasng number of
No. of hot days 460 days number of hot Yes Yes Yes Yes
 3,076 days with hot days with >35 C
o
days expected in
temperature exceeding 2020 and 2050
35 C in 2050
o

 5,227 days with <2.5mm  Compared to the


of rain in 2020 observed
 Decreasing number baseline, there will
No. of dry days 7,839 days  5,226 days with <2.5mm of dry days with <2.5 be more days with Yes Yes Yes Yes
of rain in 2050 mm of rain rainfall (more wet
days than dry
days)
 5 days with rainfall  Increasing daily  More extreme
>200mm in 2020 rainfall of more than daily rainfall
Extreme daily rainfall 200mm in 2020 and it expected
4 days Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
events  4 days with rainfall will back to observed (>200mm) in 2020
>200mm in 2050 baseline trend in but will be
2050 normalize in 2050
Projected change by  Potential increase in  A potential
2100 relative to 1986- the current sea level increase in global
2005 Global mean sea by 2100 sea level by a
level range of 0.26 to
0.82m by 2100.
0.26 to 0.55m for RCP2.6 (Projected sea
0.32 to 0.63m for RCP4.5 level rise may vary
Sea Level Rise 0.33 to 0.63m for RCP6.0 from global Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
0.45 to 0.82m for RCP8.5 estimates due to
regional differing
rates of thermal
expansion of the
oceans and
atmospheric
circulation.)

22 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Figure 6. Climate Impact Chain for Multiple Sectors (Extreme Rainfall Climate Stimulus)

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 23


Figure 7. Climate Impact Chain for Multiple Sectors (Temperature Increased Climate Stimulus)

24 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 9 summarizes the identified potential impacts based on the multi-sectoral impact chain
diagrams. This is the initial understanding of the potential manifestations of climate change and the various
direct and indirect impacts to the relevant land use planning sectors. This will also serve as the basis in the
identification of relevant sectors in the municipality which will be covered in the climate and disaster risk
assessment.

Table 9. Summary of Climate Change Impacts, Municipality of Belison


General Natural
Changes Information Resource Infrastructure Potential
Climate Critical Point Urban use
Expected in about patterns Population based and lifeline Impact
Variables facilities areas
Climate of Change production utilities areas
Variables areas
 Increasing in  Slightly more  Potential  Outbreaks of  Reduce  Occurrence  Higher water
temperature warming in reduction of pest and availability of urban and power
for all MAM and in potable diseases of potable heat island rates
seasons JJA seasons water depletes water may trigger
expected in supply crop yield supply to pulmonary  Increase
2020 and which may sustain illnesses pressure for All
2050 impact well-  Migration of key among competing barangays
being and fishing and activities children and water uses
way of life coral due to salt cardio-
Temperature
bleaching water vascular  Higher
 Possible stressed the intrusion diseases to energy
outbreak of fishing the elderly consumption
water and community  Reduce
vector energy
borne  Insufficient sufficiency
diseases food supply
and food
shortage

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 25


Table 9. Summary of Climate Change Impacts, Municipality of Belison
General Natural
Changes Information Resource
Climate Critical point Urban use Infrastructure and Potential
Expected in about patterns Population based
Variables facilities areas lifeline utilities Impact areas
Climate of Change production
Variables areas
 Decreasing in  Reduction in  Possible  Buried  Buried  Possible  Potential  All
rainfall during rainfall during displacement production facilities may permanent damages or barangays
DJF for 2020 the summer of population area cut off inundation to disruption to key identified
but increasing while significant due to caused by services low-lying transportation prone to
for 2050 increase of damage flooding areas infrastructure very high
rainfall may shelter will  Cut off (road, bridges) and high
 Decreasing in occur in caused by decrease services will  Disruption of affecting area susceptible
rainfall during habagat season flooding crop yields hamper daily daily access and to flooding
MAM for 2020 in 2020 and activities economic linkages
and 2050 2050  Increase  Low activities  Coastal
 More drier morbidity and production  Insufficient  Possible areas
 Increasing in summer mortality supply of  Disrupt food damage and
Rainfall rainfall during months due to  Losses in potable supply and disruption of  Rain
JJA for 2020 reduction of  Inadequate income water provision of distribution induced
and 2050 rainfall in 2020 job health networks and landslide
and 2050 opportunities  Shortage/  Possible services services prone areas
 Increasing in  Significant will result to loss of food outbreak of (power, water,
rainfall during increase low income supply water borne  Increase ICT)
SON for 2020 during amihan diseases health risk to
and 2050 until habagat  Increase the urban
seasons. incidence of  Delays in the population
 Wetter amihan poverty provision of
and habagat health
months in services
2020 and 2050

26 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 9. Summary of Climate Change Impacts, Municipality of Belison
General Natural
Information Infra-
Changes Resource Potential
Climate about Critical Point structure
Expected in Population based Urban use areas Impact
Variables patterns of facilities and lifeline
Climate production areas
Change utilities
Variables areas
 More heat-  Reduce crop  Increased  Potential  None
related stress yield, fishery, energy increased in
and illnesses and livestock consumption energy
especially to production for cooling to consumption
the elderly, due to heat provide key for cooling
vulnerable stress services All
population (hospitals,  Increased barangays
and poor  Higher costs schools, incidence of
of inputs to government pulmonary
 Increase sustain crop offices, illnesses
 Significant banks, etc.)
outbreak and and livestock among children
increase in
 Increasng spread of dust production and cardio-
the number
Number of number of related and  Energy vascular
of hot days
hot days hot days airborne  Increased insufficiency diseases to the
expected in
with >35oC diseases to stress to elderly
2020 and
vulnerable fishing  Water
2050 population opportunity insufficiency  Increased
due to health risks
migration of 
fishes

 Low income

 Increase risk
to food
security

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 27


Table 9. Summary of Climate Change Impacts, Municipality of Belison
General Natural
Changes Information Resource Infrastructure
Climate Critical point Urban use Potential
Expected in about patterns Population based and lifeline
Variables facilities areas Impact areas
Climate of Change production utilities
Variables areas
 Possible  Frequent  Buried  Possible  Potential  All
displacement flooding facilities permanent damages or barangays
of population may may cut off inundation to disruption to identified
due to damage services low-lying key prone to very
damage crops areas transportation high and high
shelter resulting to  Cut off infrastructure susceptibility
caused by crop services  Potential (road, bridges) to flooding
flooding losses will hamper reduction in affecting area
daily overall access and  Coastal
 Possible  Loss of soil activities economic linkages areas
 Increasing cases of fertility due outputs due
daily rainfall  More extreme
casualties to  Insufficient to disrupted  Possible  Rain induced
of more than daily rainfall
Extreme caused of excessive supply of economic damage and landslide
200mm in expected
daily flooding and run-off and potable activities disruption of prone areas
2020 and it (>200mm) in
Rainfall rain induced soil water distribution
will back to 2020 but will be
events landslide due erosion  Food networks and
observed normalize in
to heavy  Possible shortage services
baseline trend 2050 torrential rain  Shortage (power, water,
outbreak of and damage
in 2050
of food water of property ICT)
 Increased supply borne may result to
poverty diseases high crime
incidence due incidence
to loss of  Delays in
income from the  Reduced
crops, provision of quality of life
livestock and health in the urban
fsihery services area

28 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 9. Summary of Climate Change Impacts, Municipality of Belison
General Natural
Changes Information Resource Infrastructure
Climate Critical point Urban use Potential
Expected in about patterns Population based and lifeline
Variables facilities areas Impact areas
Climate of Change production utilities
Variables areas
 Potential  A potential  Possible  Intrusion of  Possible  Possible sea  Potential  Six coastal
increase in increase in increase in salt water damages or water damages or barangays
the current global sea level residential into disruption to inundation to disruption to (Salvacion,
sea level by by a range of areas croplands existing low-lying key Poblacion,
2100 0.26 to 0.82m exposure to may social inland due to transportatio Ipil, Delima,
by 2100. storm surge destroy support changes is n Borocboroc,
(Projected sea including crops (rice) services/ high and low infrastructure Maradiona)
level rise may magnitude facilities due tide patterns (road,
vary from global due to the  Reduced to sea  Salt water bridges)
estimates due potential area for inundation intrusion will affecting area
to regional increase in crop result to access and
differing rates sea level production potable linkages
of thermal resulting to water
expansion of  Increased reduction of shortage  Possible
Sea Level the oceans and level of income for  Potential damage and
Rise atmospheric property agricultural relocation of disruption of
circulation.) damages production low-lying distribution
due to storm settlements networks and
surge and  Loss of to higher services
coastal coastal ground due (power,
flooding wetlands to coastal water, ICT)
and erosion will
 Increased habitats require
possibilities (fishponds, additional
of population mangroves relocation
displacemen area
t especially
in residential
area nearer
to coastline

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 29


2.7. Exposure Database

The Exposure Database provides the baseline information pertaining to the elements at risk. This will
provide the location, vulnerability/sensitivity and adaptive capacity attributes of the exposed elements
which are necessary information when conducting a climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) and
climate and disaster risk assessment (CDRA). The process involve gathering of baseline map and attribute
data on exposure, vulnerability and adaptive capacity as basis for CCVA and DRA.

2.7.1. Population Exposure Map and compile attribute information

By using the land use map, the population exposure map was prepared. Map 1 present the
population exposure map and attribute table containing the exposure sensitivity/vulnerability and
adaptive capacity indicators using the Community-based Monitoring System (CBMS) database, PSA
census and focus group discussions with sectoral representatives.

30 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 10. Population Exposure Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique

EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

Residential Area (Hectares)

Hectare of Residential Area

living in dwelling units with

Percentage of Households
Percentage of people with
Percentage of young (< 5
Percentage of population

malnourished individuals

Government Capacity to
Living below the poverty
y.o.) and old (above 65)

Government Resources
Access to Post Disaster
*Population Density per

Percentage of Informal

Houeshold capacity to
salvageable materials
walls made of light to
Barangay Population

Philhealth Coverage

relocate or to retrofit
Percentage of

Generate Job
dependents

disabilities

Financing
Barangay

threshold
Settlers
Affected Below Local Majority
Poblacion 68.3746 4505 66 1 0.80 25.99 1.53 4.15 0.02 population 59.40 Poverty governme of non-
has houshold nt residenti
Maradiona 53.5245 1613 30 7.5 1.24 24.24 2.23 3.84 0.31 access to 48.48 have resources al
post limited are very structure
disaster finacial limited to s can
Concepcion 22.0681 1263 57 0.55 0.40 22.01 1.50 4.28 0.08 financing 38.32 capacity to gerenate conform
through relocate or jobs to added
Borocboroc 37.3251 1261 34 8.55 1.74 20.86 2.38 5.71 0.24 Cooperati 50.36 retrofit however it zoning
ve and while those can do regulatio
other above referals to n in the
Rombang 15.0434 1016 68 2.46 1.08 24.80 2.17 4.13 0.10 financial 65.35 Poverty regional medium
lending level may and term
institution have national while
Sinaja 14.0675 887 63 1.13 1.13 23.45 2.37 2.71 0.34 s and 44.42 capacity to governme residenti
LGU relocate or nt or al
Delima 19.5279 790 40 12.78 0.76 24.81 2.15 3.80 0.13 assistanc 54.81 retrofit but it through structure
e fund. may take private s may
Affected them intities have
Ipil 18.8263 744 40 3.9 0.40 19.49 2.28 4.97 0.40 population 47.04 meduim to difficultie
are willing long term. s to
Buenavista 11.2352 504 45 4.76 0.00 19.64 2.78 10.32 0.60 to retrofit 27.78 conform
but may in a short
take them term.
Salvacion 7.4924 497 66 5.23 2.21 23.54 2.01 5.23 0.20 medium to 38.23
long term.
Mojon
6.6142 461 70 1.73 0.00 26.90 3.47 8.46 0.00 50.11

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 31


Map 1. Population Exposure Map

32 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


2.7.2. Urban Use Area Exposure Map and compile attribute information
The urban use area exposure database cover land uses such as commercial, residential, agri-
industrial, tourism, parks and recreation and cemetery and memorial park. Map 2 present the urban
exposure map and attribute table containing the exposure sensitivity/vulnerability and adaptive capacity
indicators of each land uses.

Table 11. Urban Use Area Exposure Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

Percentage of buildings with walls

dilapidated/ condemned condition

Structures not employing hazard-


Existing Land Use (Specific Use)

Retrofit or Relocate or Conform


Total Area Allocation per Land

Local Government Capacity to


made with light to salvageable

infrastructure-related hazard
No access/area coverage to

Capacity And Willingness to


Replacement cost (PhP per

Impose/ Implement Zoning


Available Alternative Sites
Percentage of building in

resistant building design

Government Resources
with New Regulations

Insurance Coverage
mitigation measures
Use per Barangay

square meter)

Regulations
Barangay

materials

Borocboro Residential 37.3251 5,400 Residual Very Low Moderate Very High
c Agri-industrial 0.1563 8,672 Residual Residual Very Low Very High
Parks &
3.7091 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Parks & Willingness
4.0334 0 NA NA NA Very High to relorate is Majority of Local Majority of
Recreation Due to
Buenavista quite little the government non
Residential 11.2352 5,400 Moderate Low Moderate Very High limited
especially to structures resources are residential
land area,
Socialized the had no very limited structures
10.6230 3,583 Low Residual Very High Very High alternative
Housing residential current but funds for can conform
site is
area property adaptation with added
Residential 68.3746 5,400 Very Low Residual Low Very High very
considering insurance can be zoning
limited,
Commercial 23.9202 8,672 Residual Residual Low Very High the influence coverage. sourced out regulations
Poblacion of livelihood.
Tourism 7.6511 3,580 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High
Parks &
3.9091 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Cemetery 1.1389 3,825 Residual Residual Very High Very High

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 33


Table 11. Urban Use Area Exposure Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

Percentage of buildings with walls

dilapidated/ condemned condition

Structures not employing hazard-


Existing Land Use (Specific Use)

Retrofit or Relocate or Conform


Total Area Allocation per Land

Local Government Capacity to


made with light to salvageable

infrastructure-related hazard
No access/area coverage to

Capacity And Willingness to


Replacement cost (PhP per

Impose/ Implement Zoning


Available Alternative Sites
Percentage of building in

resistant building design

Government Resources
with New Regulations

Insurance Coverage
mitigation measures
Use per Barangay

square meter)

Regulations
materials
Barangay

Concepcion Residential 22.0681 5,400 Residual Residual Low Very High


Rombang Residential 15.0434 5,400 Residual Residual Moderate Very High
Residential 14.0675 5,400 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High
Sinaja
Cemetery 2.5458 3,825 Residual Residual Very High Very High
Residential 19.5279 5,400 Residual Residual Moderate Very High in the medium
Delima
Tourism 1.0934 3,580 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High However, term while
majority majority of the
Parks & In terms of of the hence residential
1.5808 0 NA NA NA Very High from the
Recreation retrofitting, owners mitigating structures
regional and
Residential 18.8263 5,400 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High there is have measures may have
Ipil national
Parks & willingness capacitie is very difficulties
2.8869 0 NA NA NA Very High government
Recreation for highly s to necessary conforming
s or through
vulnerable purchase to with added
Residential 53.5245 5,400 Very Low Residual Moderate Very High public
Maradiona structures within the increase regulations
private
Tourism 3.1826 3,580 Moderate Low Very High Very High but may take short adaptive and will
partnerships
Parks & medium to term to capacity require a
3.218 0 NA NA NA Very High long term. medium longer term
Recreation
term. for them to
Residential 7.4924 5,400 Moderate Low Very High Very High undertake.
Salvacion
Parks &
5.5206 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Residential 6.6142 5,400 Moderate Low Very High Very High
Mojon Socialized
1.8690 3,583
Housing Low Low Very High Very High

Very high=>50%, High>30-50%, Moderate>15-30%, Low >5-15%, Very Low>2-5%, Residual 0-2%

34 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 2. Urban Use Area Exposure Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 35


2.7.3. Natural Resource Production Areas Exposure Map and compile attribute information
Natural resource production areas refer to areas used for agricultural, fisheries and forestry based
production. These shall cover such as croplands, fishery areas and grassland of the municipality. Areas was
derived from the land use map of the municipality done through barangay level land use mapping with
the consultation from the barangays using Google earth imagery. The areas are aggregated to the
barangay level to account for the differences in the vulnerability/sensitivity and adaptive capacity
indicators per barangay. Table 1.7.3 present attribute table containing the exposure sensitivity/vulnerability
and adaptive capacity indicators of each land uses and is better showed in Map 3.

Table 12. Natural Resources Production Areas Exposure Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique

EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY


Number of farming dependent

attended climate field schools


Number farming families who

access to hazard information


Average output per hectare

Percentage of farmers with


families using sustainable

Percentage of production

Percentage of areas with

Percentage of areas with

Government Resources
Early Warning Systems
area with infrastructure
Percentage of farming
Dominant crop/variety

production techniques

Agricultural Extension

Alternative Livelihood
Services of the Local
Total area allocation

Access to Insurance
water impoundment
irrigation coverage

Government
households

(hectares)
Barangay

produced

coverage
(Php)

Majority Only 41% Approximat Only 25% Available


Rice,
Sinaja 51 148.3698 133,500 30 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% of of the the ely 50% of of the resources
Sugarcane farmers farming the farming farming of the
have families families families LGU is
31 74.7801 Rice, Citrus 81,500 25 0% 100% 100% 50% 0%
Salvacion access to had have have not
2 2.9432 Tilapia 12,408 2 0% 100% 100% 0% crop availed the access to access to enough
insurance agricultural early alternative to finance
through extension warning livelihood infrastruct
Rice, the services of system opportuniti ure in
Peanut, initiative the LGU. (EWS) es. support
Rombang 87 116.8417 Corn, 156,000 30 0% 100% 70% 50% 0% of the related to to
vegetables, Mun. agricultural agricultur
Sugarcane Agricultur production e and
al Office. fishery.

36 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 12. Natural Resources Production Areas Exposure Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique

EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

Number farming families who attended

Agricultural Extension Services of the


Percentage of farmers with access to
Percentage of farming families using

Percentage of production area with

Percentage of areas with irrigation


sustainable production techniques
Average output per hectare (Php)
Dominant crop/variety produced

Percentage of areas with water


Total area allocation (hectares)
Number of farming dependent

Government Resources
Early Warning Systems
infrastructure coverage

Alternative Livelihood
Access to Insurance
climate field schools

hazard information

Local Government
impoundment
households
Barangay

coverage
Rice, Most of At the Neverthel Currently, However,
103 58.2905 192,000 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0% their same time, ess, EWS skills outsourcin
Sugarcane
Poblacion damage the limited can be training g of funds
Tilapia, crop are personnel further related to can be
5 11.1809 25,456 2 0% 100% 100% 0%
Bangus insured of the MAO improved farming made from
3.1209 Nipa 45,000 0% 100% 100% 0% with a had no with the activities the
minimal capacity to assistanc and other regional
Mojon 61 73.7152 Rice 117,000 25 0% 100% 75% 75% 0% amount develop e of the skills have and
required. and provincial been national
Maradiona 101 73.6149 Rice 117,000 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0% Most of the provide agricultur extended agencies
2 0.6235 Tilapia 12,408 2 0% 100% 100% 0% damaged extension al office to farming supportive
insured program and families to to
Rice, production and regional equipped agriculture.
87 126.9853 133,500 35 0% 100% 75% 75% 0%
Sugarcane area had services in office of their skills
Ipil
availed a shorter the not just in
Tilapia,
5 7.2531 25,456 5 0% 100% 100% 0% insurance period of agricultur farming but
Bangus
claim but time. al to fit in for other
5 2.5455 Nipa 45,000 0% 100% 100% 0% claim is to the income
very needs of generating
Delima 73 80.1187 Rice 117,000 35 0% 100% 75% 100% 0% insufficient the activities
Rice, to farmers and job
Concepcion 98 123.1571 192,000 30 0% 100% 95% 100% 0% compensat opportuniti
Sugarcane
e the es.
Borocboroc 68 103.9267 Rice 117,000 25 0% 100% 75% 90% 0% damage
Rice,
Buenavista 38 49.8915 133,500 25 0% 100% 50% 50% 0%
Sugarcane

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 37


Map 3. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure Map

38 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


2.7.4. Critical Point Facilities Map and compile Attribute information
Critical point facilities cover the various point facilities associated with the delivery of basic social
services such as health station/center, schools, social welfare facilities, government building and protective
services and other point facilities associated of water power, communication bridges and evacuation
centers.

Table 13. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique

EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

Capacity (Bed/ Local


Area Wall Structure
Classroom Existing Insurance Government
Barangay Type Name (sqaure Materials employing hazard
capacity, Loading Condition Coverage Resources for
meter) Used resistant design
capacity) Risk Mitigation
Borocboroc Barangay
Health Station 50.00 Concrete Good No No
Health Station
Child
Borocboroc Child
Borocboroc Development 50.00 1 classroom Concrete Good No No
Development Center
Center
Borocboroc Multi- For LGU owned
Multi-purpose Hall 50.00 Concrete Needs Repair No No
purpose Hall buildings,
Buenavista resources for
Elementary School 680.50 6 classrooms Concrete Good No No retrofiting and
Elementary School
relocation is very
Buenavista Multi- limited. However,
Buenavista Multi-purpose Hall 45.00 Concrete Good No No
purpose Hall funds can be set
Child aside for the
Buenavista Child purpose bu it will
Development 50.00 1 classroom Sawali Needs Repair No No
Development Center significantly affect
Center
Concepcion Barangay the implementation
Health Station Concrete Good No No of other local
Health Station 80.00
development
Concepcion programs and
Elementary School 8 classrooms Concrete Good No No
Elementary School 983.40 projects.
Concepcion Concepcion Multi-
Multi-purpose Hall Concrete Needs Repair No No
purpose hall 45.00
Child
Concepcion Child
Development 1 classroom Concrete Good No No
Development Center 70.00
Center

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 39


Table 13. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique

EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

Capacity
Structure
(Bed/
Area employing Local Government
Classroom Wall Materials Existing Insurance
Barangay Type Name (sqaure hazard Resources for Risk
capacity, Used Condition Coverage
meter) resistant Mitigation
Loading
design
capacity)

Elementary School BDI Elementary School 9 classrooms Concrete Good No No


462.50
Delima Multi-purpose Needs
Delima Multi-purpose Hall Concrete No No
Hall 30.00 Repair
Child Development Delima Child
1 classroom Semi-concrete Dilapidated No No
Center Development Center 60.00

Child Development Ipil Child Development


1 classroom Semi-concrete Dilapidated No No Schools are either
Center Center 50.00
privately owned or
Ipil managed by the
Multi-purpose Hall Ipil Multi-purpose Hall Concrete Needs Repair No No DepEd which
50.00
retrofiting can be
Bridge Belison Bridge 20 tons Concrete Good No No coursed through the
agency concerned.
Maradiona Elementary Funds for planned
Elementary School 10 classrooms Concrete Good No no adaptation (i.e.
School 806.80
retrofiting and
relocation) can be
Bridge Maradiona Bridge 20 tons Concrete Needs Repair No No
outsourced through
Maradiona other sources of funds
Maradiona Multi-
Multi-purpose Hall Concrete Needs Repair No No such as to regional
purpose Hall 55.00
and national agencies
Child Development Maradiona Child with possible
1 classroom Concrete Needs Repair No No counterpart from the
Center Development Center 60.00
LGU.
Mojon Elementary
Elementary School 6 classrooms Concrete Good No No
School 495.20

Child Development Mojon Child


1 classroom Concrete Good No No
Mojon Center Development Center 40.00
Mojon Multi-purpose
Multi-purpose Hall Concrete Good No No
Hall 35.00

Bridge Pansalgan Bridge 15 tons Concrete Good No No

40 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 13. Critical Point Facilities Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

Capacity
Structure
(Bed/
Area Wall employing Local Government
Classroom Existing Insurance
Barangay Type Name (sqaure Materials hazard Resources for Risk
capacity, Condition Coverage
meter) Used resistant Mitigation
Loading
design
capacity)
22
Elementary School Belison Central School 3,938.30 Concrete Good No No
classrooms
Belison Little Angels Semi-
Elementary School 510.00 7 classrooms Good No No
Study Center concrete

27
Secondary School Belison National School 2,203.50 Concrete Good No No
classrooms
Belison Catholic
Preschool Center 230.00 1 classroom Concrete Good No No
Preschool Center
For LGU owned
Semi- buildings, resources
Preschool Center Belison Christian Center 60.00 1 classroom Needs Repair No No
concrete for retrofiting and
Kaputli kag Kapawa relocation is very
Preschool Center 80.00 1 classroom Concrete Good No No limited. However,
Learning Center
funds can be set
Building Young Minds Semi- aside for the purpose
Poblacion Preschool Center 70.00 1 classroom Needs Repair No No
Learning Center concrete bu it will significantly
affect the
Poblacion Multi-purpose
Multi-purpose Hall 60.00 Concrete Good No No implementation of
Hall
other local
development
Police Station Belison Police Station 120.00 Concrete Good No No
programs and
projects.
Fire Station Belison Fire Station 50.00 Concrete Good No No
PWD Center Belison PWD Center 50.00 Concrete Good No No
Senior Citizen Belison Senior Citizen
50.00 Concrete Good No No
Center Center
Cellsite Globe Cellsite 25.00 Steel Good No No
Cellsite Smart Cellsite 25.00 Steel Good No No

Post Office Belison Post Office 45.00 Concrete Needs Repair No No

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 41


Table 13. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison, Antique
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY

Capacity
Structure
(Bed/
Area employing Local Government
Classroom Wall Materials Existing Insurance
Barangay Type Name (sqaure hazard Resources for Risk
capacity, Used Condition Coverage
meter) resistant Mitigation
Loading
design
capacity)
Child Development Poblacion Child
50.00 1 classroom Concrete Good No No
Center Development Center

Poblacion Child Development National Child


50.00 1 Classroom Concrete Good No No
Center Development Center

Health Station Municipal Health Center 120.00 1 bed Concrete Good No No


Schools are either
Rombang Multi-purpose
Multi-purpose Hall 80.00 Concrete Needs Repair No No privately owned or
Hall
managed by the
Child Development Rombang Child DepEd which
45.00 1 classroom Concrete Needs Repair No No retrofiting can be
Center Development Center
Rombang coursed through the
Rombang Barangay agency concerned.
Health Station 150.00 Concrete Good No No
Health Station Funds for planned
Rombang Elementary adaptation (i.e.
Elementary School 882.50 7 classroom Concrete Needs Repair No No retrofiting and
School
relocation) can be
Salvacion Multi-purpose
Multi-purpose Hall 30.00 Concrete Needs Repair No No outsourced through
Hall
Salvacion other sources of funds
Child Development Salvacin Child such as to regional
90.00 1 classroom Concrete Needs Repair No No
Center Development Center and national agencies
Sinaja-Salvacion with possible
Elementary School 292.50 8 classroom Concrete Good No No counterpart from the
Elementary School
LGU.
Bridge Sinaja Bridge 10 tons Concrete Needs Repair No No

Sinaja Multi-purpose Hall Sinaja Multi-purpose Hall 125.00 Concrete Needs Repair No No

Child Development Sinaja Child Development


20.00 1 classroom Semi-concrete Needs Repair No No
Center Center
Belison Water District
Pumping Station 55.00 Semi-concrete Good No No
Pumping Station

42 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 4. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 43


2.7.5. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Map and compile attribute information

Lifeline utilities refer to major linkage and distribution systems associated with transportation access
system and power, water and communication distribution/line systems. The exposure map for lifeline utilities
was derived from existing road, power and water inventory maps available in the municipality.

Table 14. Lifeline Facilities Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison


EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
Replacement
Road Hazard Available
Cost per Surface Existing Insurance
Barangay Road Name Classificatio Resistant Government
linear type Condition Coverage
n Design Resources
kilometer
All existing Considering
Ballarta Street Barangay Concrete Good No roads do not the limited
10,000,000
Concepcion have damage income of the
National Highway National Asphalt Good Yes insurance LGU, funds
25,000,000
coverage for road
Rombang addressing of improvement
Provincial Concrete Good No
Provincial Road 20,000,000 damages are or
Rombang
mostly done establishment
National Highway National Asphalt Good Yes through repairs of new local
25,000,000
Mojon Sibalom using either roads is very
Barangay Concrete Good No local limited.
Road 10,000,000
Mojon government Although,
Duaman Street Barangay Concrete Good No funds resources such is given
10,000,000 such as due priority in
National Highway National Asphalt Good Yes municipal or the
25,000,000 barangay 20% prioritization
Maradiona
Maradiona- Needs Major development of programs
Municipal Gravel No
Buenavista FTMR 20,000,000 Repair fund or those and project to
National Highway National Asphalt Good Yes funded by be funded out
25,000,000 national and of the 20% DF
Delima
Silangan Bagong regional line of the
Barangay Concrete Good No
Lipunan Road 10,000,000 agencies. municipality.

44 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 14. Lifeline Facilities Attribute Table, Municipality of Belison
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
Replacement
Road Hazard Available
Cost per Surface Existing Insurance
Barangay Road Name Classificatio Resistant Government
linear type Condition Coverage
n Design Resources
kilometer
National All existing roads Barangays had
Borocboroc National Asphalt Good Yes do not have also funding for
Highway 25,000,000
damage insurance rehabilitation of
National coverage barangay roads,
National Asphalt Good Yes
Highway 25,000,000 addressing of yet still very
Municipal Gravel No damages are limited. Provincial
Igtuba Road Needs Major
20,000,000 mostly done roads is under the
Regimiento Concret Repair through repairs responsiblity of
Municipal No using either local the province and it
Street 20,000,000 e Good
Poblacion government funds has available
Feliciana resources such as funds for the
Municipal Gravel Good No
Extension Road 20,000,000 municipal or improvement but
barangay 20% still depending on
Feliciana Street Municipal Gravel Good No development fund the current
20,000,000
Regimiento or those funded by priorities. DPWH
Municipal Gravel Good No national and however, have
Street 20,000,000
regional line avaiable financial
National agencies.Water resources to fund
National Asphalt Good Yes
Highway 25,000,000 distribution lines for the national
Ipil
Needs Major are maintained by road
Igtuba Road Municipal Gravel No
20,000,000 Repair the Belison Water improvements or
Sinaja-Salvacion Concret District while retrofitting within
Salvacion Municipal Good No powerlines by the the municipality
FTMR 20,000,000 e
Antique Electric but fund
Sinaja Provincial Concret Cooperative availability will
Sinaja Provincial Good No (ANTECO) also depend on
Road 20,000,000 e
current priorities
No of the agency.
Level III pipelines Water pipe PVC Good No
information
All
Barangays No
Main Powerlines Powerline Good Yes
information

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 45


Map 5. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Map

46 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


2.8. Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment
Based on the initial scoping (step 2) and taking off from the summary matrix, the estimated impact
area where the climate stimuli will manifest were determine (refer to Table 4.1). Being a coastal
municipality, the climate stimulus which could have a greater impact in the municipality is sea level rise.
Impact area is mapped (Map 6) to represent the area coverage to facilitate the identification of
potentially affected area. Potential increase in the current sea level by 0.82m in 2100 (using RCP 8.5) can
be experience by the municipality based on the climate change projection if no mitigating measures will
be undertaken.

Table 15. Impact Area and Climate Stimuli, Municipality of Belison, Antique
Climate Stimuli Impact Area System/s of Interest Sub-sectors
 Population  Agricultural
 Natural Resource Based production area  Social
Increasing daily rainfall of  Critical Point Facilities  Commercial
All barangays
more than 200mm in 2020  Urban use area  Institutional
 Infrastructure and lifeline utilities  Tourism
 Residential
 Population  Agricultural
 Natural Resource Based production area  Social
Increasing temperature for
 Critical Point Facilities  Commercial
all seasons in 2020 and All barangays
 Urban use area  Institutional
2050
 Infrastructure and lifeline utilities  Tourism
 Residential
 Population  Agricultural
 Natural Resource Based production area  Social
Potential increase in the Coastal areas 1
 Critical Point Facilities  Commercial
current sea level by 0.82m meter above mean
in 2100 (using RCP 8.5) sea level  Urban use area  Institutional
 Infrastructure and lifeline utilities  Tourism
 Residential

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 47


Map 6. Sea Level Rise Impact Area

48 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


The exposure database serves as source of information on exposure which includes the location and
attributes of the system of interest. Exposure data gathered in step 3 serves as the baseline information to
describe elements in the impact area. Based on the overlay of the exposure maps and the impact area,
the exposed elements of each system of interest were identified. The exposed elements to storm surge are
presented in the following tables and maps.

2.8.1. Population Exposure to Sea Level Rise


Using the GIS, and the data from CBMS Survey 2017, the exposure of population to sea level rise was
determined. The total affected area in hectares is 156.7619, with a total of 3,642 exposed population or
42.18% of the total population. Figure 6 present the exposure mapping and the details in Table 16.

Figure 8. Population Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 49


Table 16. Population Exposure to Sea Level Rise, Municipality of Belison
Climate Stimulus: Sea Level Rise (1m) RCP 8.5
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS
A B C D E F J H I J K L M

salvageable materials

Percentage of people
Barangay Population

Exposed Population3

walls made of light to

Percentage of young
*Population Density

population living in

Households Living
dwelling units with

below the poverty


Residential Area1

(< 5 y.o.) and old


Residential Area

Informal Settlers

with disabilities
per Hectare of

Percentage of

Percentage of

Percentage of

Percentage of
Affected Area

malnourished
Percentage4

dependents
(Hectares)2

(above 65)
(Hectares)

individuals
Barangay

Exposure

threshold
Poblacion 68.3746 4505 66 37.0481 884 19.62 1.00 0.80 25.99 1.53 4.15 0.02
Maradiona 53.5245 1613 30 41.4126 960 59.52 7.50 1.24 24.24 2.23 3.84 0.31
Borocboro
37.3251 1261 34 30.0892 540 42.82 8.55 1.74 20.86 2.38 5.71 0.24
c
Sinaja 14.0675 887 63 14.0675 421 47.46 1.13 1.13 23.45 2.37 2.71 0.34
Delima 19.5279 790 40 12.0525 252 31.90 12.78 0.76 24.81 2.15 3.80 0.13
Ipil 18.8263 744 40 14.5996 356 47.85 3.90 0.40 19.49 2.28 4.97 0.40
Salvacion 7.4924 497 66 7.4924 229 46.08 5.23 2.21 23.54 2.01 5.23 0.20
156.761
TOTAL 3,642 42.18
9
1 Residential Area Population derived by dividing the estimated population and residential areas
2 Estimated exposed areas expressed in hectares are GIS derived
3 Estimated affected population are GIS derived using the CBMS Survey data
4 Exposure percentage derived by dividing the estimated exposed population to the barangay population

50 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 7. Population Exposure to Sea Level Rise

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 51


2.8.2. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise

The estimation of the exposure of the natural resource production area was determine using the GIS
as reflected in Figure 9. As computed the estimated affected area expressed in hectares is 319.6072 or
64.50% of the total allocation of affected barangays. The estimated exposed value reaches to
P38,047,088.00. Map 8 reflect the picture of the exposure and is presented in detailed in Table 17.

Figure 9. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping

52 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 17. Natural Resources Production Areas Exposure to Sea Level Rise, Municipality of Belison, Antique
Climate Stimulus: Sea Level Rise (1m) RCP 8.5
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS

families using sustainable

Percentage of production

Percentage of areas with

Percentage of areas with


Number farming families

area with infrastructure


dependent households

Exposure Percentage2

Percentage of farmers
Percentage of farming
Dominant crop/variety

production techniques

with access to hazard


who attended climate
Total area allocation

water impoundment
Average output per
Number of farming

irrigation coverage
Exposed Value3
Exposed Area

hectare (Php)

field schools
(Hectares)1

information
(hectares)
Barangay

produced

coverage
Rice,
Sinaja 51 148.3698 103.9294 70.05 133,500 13,874,575 30 0% 100% 100% 50% 0%
Sugarcane

31 74.7801 Rice, Citrus 74.7801 100.00 81,500 6,094,578 25 0% 100% 100% 50% 0%
Salvacion
2 2.9432 Tilapia 2.9432 100.00 12,408 36,519 2 0% 100% 100% 0%
Rice,
103 58.2905 35.1116 60.24 192,000 6,741,427 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0%
Sugarcane
Poblacion Tilapia,
5 11.1809 11.1809 100.00 25,456 284,621 2 0% 100% 100% 0%
Bangus
3.1209 Nipa 3.1209 100.00 45,000 140,441 0% 100% 100% 0%
101 73.6149 Rice 5.2793 7.17 117,000 617,678 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0%
Maradiona
2 0.6235 Tilapia 0.6235 100.00 12,408 7,736 2 0% 100% 100% 0%
Rice,
87 126.9853 41.4615 32.65 133,500 5,535,110 35 0% 100% 75% 75% 0%
Sugarcane
Ipil Tilapia,
5 7.2531 7.2531 100.00 25,456 184,635 5 0% 100% 100% 0%
Bangus
5 2.5455 Nipa 2.5455 100.00 45,000 114,548 0% 100% 100% 0%
Delima 73 80.1187 Rice 14.5659 18.18 117,000 1,704,210 35 0% 100% 75% 100% 0%
Rice,
Concepcion 98 123.1571 9.9196 8.05 192,000 1,904,563 30 0% 100% 95% 100% 0%
Sugarcane
Borocboroc 68 103.9267 Rice 6.8927 6.63 117,000 806,446 25 0% 100% 75% 90% 0%
Total 816.9101 319.6072 64.50 38,047,088
1 Estimated exposed areas expressed in hectares based on overlay is GIS derived
2 Exposure percentage derived by dividing the affected area by the total barangay allocation
3 Estimated affected value derived by multiplying average output per hectare with the affected area

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 53


Map 8. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise

54 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


2.8.3. Urban Use Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise

The estimation of the exposure of the urban use area was determine using the GIS. The estimated
total land area allocation for urban uses of the municipality as reflected in step 3 is 334.0816 hectares.
However, only seven (7) barangays are affected of sea level rise. As computed the estimated total
allocation for urban uses of land for the affected barangays is 276.7136 hectares. The affected area
expressed in hectares is 201.9434 or 88.39% of the total allocation of the affected barangay. The estimated
exposed value reaches to P9,941,366,012.00.
Figure 10. Urban Use Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 55


Table 18. Urban Use Areas Exposure to Sea Level Rise, Municipality of Belison, Antique
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS
Percentage of Structures not No access/area
Total Area Replacemen Percentage
buildings with employing coverage to
Existing Land Allocation Exposed t cost of building in
Exposure Exposed walls made with hazard- infrastructure-
Barangay Use (Specific per Land Area in (PhP per dilapidated/
Percentage2 Value (Php) 3 light to resistant related hazard
Use) Use per Hectares1 square condemned
salvageable building mitigation
Barangay meter) condition
materials design measures
Residential 37.3251 30.089 80.61 5,400 1,624,806,000 Residual Very Low Moderate Very High

Borocboroc Agri-industrial 0.1563 0.1563 100.00 8,672 13,554,336 Residual Residual Very Low Very High
Parks &
3.7091 3.7091 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Residential 68.3746 37.0481 54.18 5,400 2,000,597,400 Very Low Residual Low Very High
Commercial 23.9202 11.6818 48.84 8,672 1,013,045,696 Residual Residual Low Very High
Poblacion
Tourism 7.6511 7.6511 100.00 3,580 273,909,380 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High
Parks &
3.9091 3.9091 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Residential 14.0675 14.0675 100.00 5,400 759,645,000 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High
Sinaja
Cemetery 0.7472 0.592 79.23 3,825 22,644,000 Residual Residual Very High Very High
Residential 19.5279 12.0525 61.72 5,400 650,835,000 Residual Residual Moderate Very High

Delima Tourism 1.0934 1.0934 100.00 3,580 39,143,720 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High
Parks &
1.5808 1.5808 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Residential 18.8263 14.5996 77.55 5,400 788,378,400 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High
Ipil Parks &
2.8869 2.8869 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Residential 53.5245 41.4126 77.37 5,400 2,236,280,400 Very Low Residual Moderate Very High

Maradiona Tourism 3.1826 3.1826 100.00 3,580 113,937,080 Moderate Low Very High Very High
Parks &
3.2180 3.2180 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Residential 7.4924 7.4924 100.00 5,400 404,589,600 Moderate Low Very High Very High
Salvacion Parks &
5.5206 5.5206 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High
Recreation
Total 201.9434 88.39 9,941,366,012
1 Estimated exposed areas expressed in hectares based on hazard overlay is GIS derived
2 Exposure percentage derived by dividing the affected area by the total barangay allocation
3 Estimated exposed value derived by multiplying replacement cost per square meter and the estimated exposed area in hectares multiplied by 10,000 (1 hectare=10,000 sq.meter

56 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 9. Urban Use Area Exposure to Sea Level Rise

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 57


2.8.4. Critical Point Facilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise

The critical point facilities exposure to sea level rise was determined by overlaying the critical point
facility exposure map prepared in step 3 with the impact area map. Out of the fifty two (52) critical point
facilities, twenty eight of it are exposed to sea level rise.

Figure 11. Critical Point Facilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping

58 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 19. Critical Point Facilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise, Municipality of Belison, Antique

EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS


Storeys/ Capacity (Bed/ Structure
Area Length Classroom Wall Materials Existing employing
Barangay Facility Type Name (square
capacity, Loading Used Condition hazard resistant
meter)
capacity) design
Borocboroc Barangay
Health Station 1 Concrete Good No
Health Station 50.00

Child Development Borocboroc Child


Borocboroc 1 1 classroom Concrete Good No
Center Development Center 50.00
Borocboroc Multi-purpose
Multi-purpose Hall 1 Concrete Needs Repair No
Hall 50.00

Elementary School BDI Elementary School 1 9 classrooms Concrete Good No


462.50
Delima
Multi-purpose Hall Delima Multi-purpose Hall 1 Concrete Needs Repair No
30.00
Child Development Ipil Child Development
1 1 classroom Mixed Dilapidated No
Center Center 50.00
Ipil Multi-purpose Hall Ipil Multi-purpose Hall 2 Concrete Needs Repair No
50.00
Bridge Belison Bridge 144.00 24 (m) 20 tons Concrete Good No

Maradiona Elementary
Elementary School 1 10 classrooms Concrete Good No
School 806.80

Bridge Maradiona Bridge 1 20 tons Concrete Needs Repair No


Maradiona
Maradiona Multi-purpose
Multi-purpose Hall 1 Concrete Needs Repair No
Hall 55.00

Child Development Maradiona Child


1 1 classroom Concrete Needs Repair No
Center Development Center 60.00
Private Elementary Belison Little Angels Study
1 7 classrooms Mixed Good No
School Center 510.00
Poblacion
Preschool Center Belison Christian Center 1 1 classroom Mixed Needs Repair No
90.00

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 59


Table 19. Critical Point Facilities Exposure to Storm Surge, Municipality of Belison, Antique

EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS


Capacity (Bed/
Structure
Area Classroom
Storeys/ Wall Materials Existing employing
Barangay Facility Type Name (square capacity,
Length Used Condition hazard resistant
meter) Loading
design
capacity)
Kaputli kag Kapawa
Preschool Center 1 1 classroom Concrete Good No
Learning Center 80.00
Poblacion Multi-
Multi-purpose Hall 1 Concrete Good No
purpose Hall 60.00

PWD Center Belison PWD Center 1 Concrete Good No


50.00
Poblacion Cellsite Globe Cellsite Steel Good No
25.00
Cellsite Smart Cellsite Steel Good No
25.00
Poblacion Child
Child Development Center 1 1 classroom Concrete Good No
Development Center 50.00
National Child
Child Development Center 1 1 Classroom Concrete Good No
Development Center 50.00
Salvacion Multi-
Multi-purpose Hall 1 Concrete Needs Repair No
purpose Hall 30.00
Salvacion
Salvacin Child
Child Development Center 1 1 classroom Concrete Needs Repair No
Development Center 90.00

Sinaja-Salvacion
Elementary School 1 8 classroom Concrete Good No
Elementary School 292.50

Bridge Sinaja Bridge 18.00 4.5m 10 tons Concrete Needs Repair No

Sinaja Multi-purpose
Sinaja Multi-purpose Hall 1 Concrete Needs Repair No
Hall 35.00

Sinaja Child
Child Development Center 1 1 classroom Mixed Needs Repair No
Development Center 20.00
Belison Water District
Pumping Station 1 Mixed Good No
Pumping Station 25.00

60 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 10. Critical Point Facilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 61


2.8.5. Lifeline Utilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise

The lifeline utilities exposure to sea level rise was determined by overlaying the lifeline utilities exposure
map prepared in step 3 with the impact area map of sea level rise. The total road segment exposure
identified in step 3 is 11.6182 kms. Main power line and water distribution lines are 6.7932 and 22.7508
kilometers, respectively. Based on the result derived from GIS, the total lifeline utilities exposed to sea level
rise is 22.1833 linear kilometers with 6.4113 kilometers of it is total road segment length. This is equal to 61.42%
of the total exposed lifeline utilities.
Figure 12. Lifeline Utilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise Mapping

62 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 20. Lifeline Facilities Exposure to Storm Surge, Municipality of Belison
SENSITIVITY INDICATORS
EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Total Exposed
Road Replacement Percentage Value of Hazard
Segment Length Surface Existing
Barangay Road Name Classificatio Cost per linear of exposed Resistant
Length (Linear type Condition
n kilometer Exposure2 lifeline3 Design
(Linear kms) kms)1

National Highway National 25,000,000 Asphalt Good Yes


0.7210 0.6989 96.93 17,472,500
Maradiona
Maradiona-Buenavista Needs Major
Municipal 20,000,000 Gravel No
FTMR 2.2309 0.1857 8.32 3,714,000 Repair
Borocboroc National Highway National 25,000,000 Asphalt Good Yes
0.8518 0.7662 89.95 19,155,000
National Highway National 25,000,000 Asphalt Good Yes
0.8602 0.7708 89.61 19,270,000
Delima
Silangan Bagong
Barangay 10,000,000 Concrete Good No
Lipunan Road 0.4322 0.2175 50.32 2,175,000
National Highway National 25,000,000 Asphalt Good Yes
2.4000 0.7300 30.42 18,250,000
Needs Major
Igtuba Road Municipal 20,000,000 Gravel No
0.5375 0.2774 51.61 5,548,000 Repair
Poblacion
Regimiento Street Municipal 20,000,000 Concrete Good No
0.3271 0.1598 48.85 3,196,000
Feliciana Extension
Municipal 20,000,000 Gravel Good No
Road 0.3419 0.0452 13.22 904,000

Ipil National Highway National 25,000,000 Asphalt Good Yes


0.5056 0.5055 99.98 12,637,500
Sinaja-Salvacion
Salvacion Municipal 20,000,000 Concrete Good No
FTMR 1.0852 1.0852 100.00 21,704,000
Sinaja Provincial
Sinaja Provincial 20,000,000 Concrete Good No
Road 1.3248 0.9691 73.15 19,382,000
Main powerlines No information 6.7932 3.6936 54.37 Good No
Municipal
Wide Level III pipelines Water pipe No information Good No
22.7508 12.0784 53.09
Total 41.1622 22.1833 61.42
1 Estimated exposed lifeline expressed in linear kilometer are GIS generated
2 Percentage of Exposure derived by dividing the exposed segment length with the total segment length
3 Estimated affected value derived by multiplying replacement cost per linear kms and affected linear distance

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 63


Map 11. Lifeline Utilities Exposure to Sea Level Rise

64 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


2.9. Sensitivity Analysis and potential impacts
Due to its topography and geographical location facing the Sulu Sea and absence of island or islet
to protect it, the municipality of Belison is very is prone to sea level rise climate stimulus. The frequent hazard
affecting the municipality is coastal flooding due to sea surface water increase and sea level rise. Affected
barangays are the six (6) coastal barangays namely, Salvacion, Poblacion, Ipil, Delima, Borocboroc and
Maradiona including, the barangay Sinaja located along the river bank of Sibalom. These areas has been
the subject of seasonal destructive coastal flooding which caused substantial damage to agriculture land
and crops, infrastructure, dwelling and occasional loss of lives. Based on the climate change sensitivity
assessment (CCVA) conducted and determination of exposed elements, the municipality is highly sensitive
to sea level rise climate stimulus. Results of the CCVA reveals that 3,642 or 42.18% of population are exposed
to sea level rise. The total area for natural resource production expressed in hectares which are exposed
to sea level rise is 319.6072 or 64.50%. In the case of urban use areas, 201.9434 hectares or 83.39% of the
total allocated area per barangary is exposed. With regards to critical point facilities, out of 53 exposed
elements, 28 or 53.85% of it are exposed to sea level rise. For lifeline utilities, the total segment length
exposed is 22.1833 linear kilometres or 61.42% of the total exposed segment length.

2.10. Degree of Impact


After attending the Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment (CDRA) conducted by the DILG, the LGU
had organized workshop sessions attended by different stakeholders coming from various sectors to seek
their participation in the determination of degree of impact of its climate stimuli. The participants where
group into three (3) sectors such as economic, social and infrastructure sector group and they were asked

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 65


to give their subjective degree of impacts scores, guided by the information in exposure, sensitivity and list
of potential impacts. The final composite degree of damage score will be the average of scores derived
representing the consensus opinion of the participants. The degree of impact scores were based on Matrix
1- Degree of Impact Score. Based on the estimated exposure and the degree of sensitivities of the exposed
units and identified potential impacts, each group has assigned their qualitative scores to the degree of
impact for population, urban use areas, natural resource production areas, critical point facilities and
lifeline utilities.

Matrix 1. Degree of Impact Score


Threat level Descriptive Parameters
Large numbers of serious injuries or loss of lives (define what is large for the LGU – what % of exposed population)
Regional decline leading to widespread business failure, loss of employment and hardship.
Major widespread damages and loss to environment and infrastructure, with progressive, irrecoverable damage.
HIGH  Major widespread drought
(5)  Major widespread occurrence of water-based and vector-borne diseases leading to higher morbidity and mortality
 Major widespread interruptions of water supplies and public health
 Major widespread loss of power generation and power supplies
 Local government services would cease to be effective
Isolated instances of serious injuries or loss of lives
Regional local economic development impacts and stagnation. Serious impacts on livelihood.
Severe and widespread decline in the quality of life within the community
Severe damages and a danger of continuing damage to infrastructure and environment
MEDIUM HIGH Very significant instance of widespread drought
(4)  Very significant occurrence of water-based and vector-borne diseases leading to higher morbidity and mortality
 Very significant interruptions of water supplies and public health
 Very significant loss of power generation and power supplies
 Local government services struggle to remain effective and would be seen to be in danger of failing completely

66 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 1. Degree of Impact Score
Threat level Descriptive Parameters
Small number of injuries involving the public Significant general
reduction in livelihoods.
Isolated but significant instances of environmental and infrastructure damage that might be reversed with intensive
efforts.
MEDIUM  Isolated drought in Metro Manila
(3)  Isolated but significant occurrence of water-based and vector-borne diseases leading to higher morbidity and
mortality
 Isolated but significant interruptions of water supplies and public health
 Isolated but significant loss of power generation and power supplies
 Local government services under severe pressure on several fronts.
Minor injuries to public
Individually significant but isolated livelihood impacts.
Minor instances of environmental and infrastructure damage that
could be reversed
 Minor occurrence of drought
MEDIUM LOW (2)
 Minor occurrence of water-based and vector-borne diseases leading to higher morbidity and mortality
 Minor interruptions of water supplies and public health
 Minor loss of power generation and power supplies. Isolated instances of government services being under severe
pressure.

Appearance of a threat but no actual harm to public safety Minor impact on livelihood
No significant infrastructure and environmental damage.
 Non-significant occurrence of drought
 No significant occurrence of water-based and vector-borne diseases leading to higher morbidity and mortality
LOW  No significant interruptions of water supplies and public health
(1)
 No significant loss of power generation and power supplies
 Minor instances of disruption to local government services.

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 67


2.11. Adaptive Capacity Evaluation
The adaptive capacity of each system were evaluated by referring to the adaptive capacity
indicators in the exposure database. These indicators of adaptive capacities describe whether the system
is able to accommodate to cope with
Matrix 2. Adaptive Capacity Score and Description
the impacts with very minimal
Adaptive
Degree of disruption or short to long term
Capacity Description
Adaptive Capacity detrimental effects/impacts.
Rating

The system is not able to accommodate changes


in the climate. Addressing the impacts will be Similar to the step in assigning of
Low 1 costly. The LGU and property owners will require
external assistance to address the impacts.; degree of impact score, the
Significantly increases impact stakeholders were asked to
Medium-Low 2 Slightly increases impact
qualitatively assign the adaptive
Addressing the impacts will require significant
cost but it is still within the capacity of the system capacity score for each element
Medium 3 to adapt to potential impacts. It can exposed using the suggested scoring
accommodate within its resources the cost for
adapting and mitigating impacts; Slightly reduces system. Low adoption capacities can
the impact
be described as systems/areas where
Medium-High 4 Significantly reduces impact
the transformation/adaption process
The system is able to accommodate changes in will be medium to long term and far
High 5 climate. There are adaptation measures in place
to address impacts. The system has adequate exceeds local capacities requiring
and available funds
national to international intervention.
High adaptive capacities area areas where transformation can implemented on the short term where the

68 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


cost/resources, knowledge are within the capacities of the element exposed requiring minimal intervention
from the local government. The adaptive capacity score and description is presented in Table 4.5.
Adaptive Capacity score and description.

2.12. Vulnerability Index

The vulnerability index was determined by dividing the degree of impact score of the adaptive
capacity scores. Based on the computed vulnerability index, the index score was categorized into
categories presented in Matrix 3. The vulnerability category indicates whether the vulnerability of the
system is high or low. Areas with high vulnerability can be described as areas where the expected impacts
of the climate stimuli is high due to the exposure and sensitivities, and the adaptive capacities are low to
accommodate or cope with the expected impacts. System with low vulnerability is described as system
where the impacts are considered high but adaptive capacities are also high.

Vulnerability Index = Degree of Impact


Adaptive Capacity

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 69


Matrix 3. Vulnerability Index Scores

Vulnerability Index Vulnerability Score Color Code

High 4.1-5 Dark Red

Medium-High 3.1-4.0 Pink

Medium 2.1-3.0 Yellow

Medium-Low 1.1-2.0 Light Green

Low <1.1 Dark Green

2.13. Vulnerability Maps

Vulnerability maps indicate the level of vulnerability for population, natural resource production area
areas, urban use areas, critical point facilities and lifeline utilities. These maps shall facilitate the
identification of decision areas which shall be the subject of land use related policy and program
intervention. Vulnerability maps in each element are presented in Map 12 to Map 16.

70 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 12. Population Vulnerability Map to Sea Level Rise

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 71


Table 21. Population CCVA, Municipality of Belison
Climate Stimulus: Sea Level Rise (1m) RCP 8.5
ADAP-
DEGREE TIVE
BARANGAY EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY OF CAPA- VULNERABILITY
IMPACT CITY

A B C D E F G

Houeshold capacity to relocate or


Percentage of population living in

Percentage of Households Living


dwelling units with walls made of
*Population Density per Hectare

and old (above 65) dependents


Percentage of Informal Settlers

Percentage of young (< 5 y.o.)


light to salvageable materials

Percentage of malnourished
Residential Area (Hectares)

below the poverty threshold


Percentage of people with
Affected Area (Hectares)

Government Capacity to

Government Resources
Access to Post Disaster
Exposure Percentage
Barangay Population

Philhealth Coverage
Exposed Population
of Residential Area

Vulnerability Score
Vulnerability Index
Generate Job
individuals
disabilities

Financing

to retrofit

Score

Score
Barangay

The affected Below Local Majority of


Poblacion 68.3746 4505 66 37.0481 884 19.62 1.00 0.80 25.99 1.53 4.15 0.02 population 59.40 Poverty government non- 3 3 Low 1.00
has access household resources residential
to post have are very structures
disaster limited limited to can conform Medium-
Maradiona 53.5245 1613 30 41.4126 960 59.52 7.50 1.24 24.24 2.23 3.84 0.31 48.48 4 2 2.00
financing financial generate with added Low
through the capacity jobs zoning
Belison Multi- to relocate however it regulation in Medium-
Borocboroc 37.3251 1261 34 30.0892 540 42.82 8.55 1.74 20.86 2.38 5.71 0.24 Puporse 50.36 or retrofit can do the medium 3 2 1.50
Low
Cooperative while referrals to term.
and other those regional Majority of
financial above and residential Medium-
Sinaja 14.0675 887 63 14.0675 421 47.46 1.13 1.13 23.45 2.37 2.71 0.34 leanding 44.42 Poverty national structures 4 2 2.00
Low
institutions level may government may have
and LGU have or through difficulties
assistance capacity private comforming
Delima 19.5279 790 40 12.0525 252 31.90 12.78 0.76 24.81 2.15 3.80 0.13 fund. The 54.81 to relocate entities to the added 2 2 Low 1.00
majority or retrofit regulation
affected but it may and may take
population take them them
are willing to medium to medium to Medium-
Ipil 18.8263 744 40 14.5996 356 47.85 3.90 0.40 19.49 2.28 4.97 0.40 retrofit their 47.01 long term. long term to 4 1 4.00
High
highly conform to
vulnerable new
struction but regulation.
Medium-
Salvacion 7.4924 497 66 7.4924 229 46.08 5.23 2.21 23.54 2.01 5.23 0.20 may take 38.32 4 1 4.00
High
them medium
to long term.

72 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 13. Natural Resource Production Area Vulnerability Map to Sea Level Rise

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 73


Table 22. Natural Resources Production Areas CCVA, Municipality of Belison, Antique
Climate Stimulus: Sea Level Rise: (1m) RCP 8.5

DEGREE ADAPTIVE
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY INDICATORS OF IMPACT CAPACITY
VULNERABILITY

A B C
D E F

Number farming families who attended climate

Percentage of areas with water impoundment


Percentage of farmers with access to hazard

Percentage of areas with irrigation coverage

Agricultural Extension Services of the Local


Number of farming dependent households

Percentage of farming families using

Percentage of production area with


sustainable production techniques
Average output per hectare (Php)
Dominant crop/variety produced
Total area allocation (hectares)

Exposed Area (Hectares)1

Government Resources
Early Warning Systems
infrastructure coverage
Exposure Percentage2

Alternative Livelihood
Access to Insurance

Vulnerability Score
Vulnerability Index
Exposed Value3

Government
field schools

information

Score

Score
Barangay

Rice, Majority of Only 41% of Approximately Only 25% of Available Medium-


Sinaja 51 148.3698 103.9294 70.05 133,500 13,874,575 30 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% farmers have the the 50% of the the farming resources of 4 2 2.00
Sugarcane Low
access to farming farming families have the LGU is
crop families had families have access to not enough Medium-
31 74.7801 Rice 74.7801 100.00 81,500 6,094,578 25 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% 4 1 4.00
insurance availed the access to alternative to finance High
Salvacion through the agricultural early warning livelihood infrastructure Medium-
2 2.9432 Tilapia 2.9432 100.00 12,408 36,519 2 0% 100% 100% 0% initiative of extension system opportunities. in support to 4 1 4.00
High
the Municipal services of (EWS) related Currently, agriculture
Rice, Agricultural the LGU. At to agricultural skills training and fishery.
103 58.2905 35.1116 60.24 192,000 6,741,427 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0% 3 3 Low 1.00
Sugarcane Office. Most the same production. related to However,
of their time, the Nevertheless, farming outsourcing
Poblacion 5 Tilapia, damage crop limited EWS can be activities and of funds can Medium-
11.1809 11.1809 100.00 25,456 284,621 2 0% 100% 100% 0% 3 2 1.50
Bangus are insured personnel of further other skills be made Low
with a the MAO improved with (i.e. food from the
Medium-
3.1209 Nipa 3.1209 100.00 45,000 140,441 0% 100% 100% 0% minimal had no the processing, regional and 3 2 1.50
Low
amount capacity to assistance of beauty and national
101 73.6149 Rice 5.2793 7.17 117,000 617,678 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0% required. develop and the provincial wellness, agencies 2 2 Low 1.00
Maradiona Most of the provide agricultural massage, supportive to
2 0.6235 Tilapia 0.6235 100.00 12,408 7,736 2 0% 100% 100% 0% damaged extension office and etc.) have agriculture. 2 2 Low 1.00
insured program and regional office been
Rice, production services in a of the extended to Medium-
87 126.9853 41.4615 32.65 133,500 5,535,110 35 0% 100% 75% 75% 0% 3 2 1.50
Sugarcane area had shorter agricultural to farming Low
availed period of fit in to the families to
Tilapia, insurance time. needs of the equipped their Medium-
Ipil 5 7.2531 7.2531 100.00 25,456 184,635 5 0% 100% 100% 0% 4 3 1.33
Bangus claim from farmers skills not just Low
the in farming but
5 2.5455 Nipa 2.5455 100.00 45,000 114,548 0% 100% 100% 0% insurance for other 2 3 Low 0.67
agency but income
claim is very generating Medium-
Delima 73 80.1187 Rice 14.5659 18.18 117,000 1,704,210 35 0% 100% 75% 100% 0% 3 2 1.50
insufficient to activities and Low
Rice, compensate job
Concepcion 98 123.1571 9.9196 8.05 192,000 1,904,563 30 0% 100% 95% 100% 0% the damage. opportunities. 2 2 Low 1.00
Sugarcane

Borocboroc 68 103.9267 Rice 6.8927 6.63 117,000 806,446 25 0% 100% 75% 90% 0% 2 2 Low 1.00

74 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 14. Urban Use Area Vulnerability Map to Sea Level Rise

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 75


Table 23. Urban Use Area CCVA, Municipality of Belison
Climate Stimulus: Sea Level Rise : (1m) RCP 8.5
DEGREE
ADAPTIVE
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY INDICATORS OF VULNERABILITY
CAPACITY
IMPACT
A B C D E F
Percentage Structures Capacity And Local
No access/area
Total Area of buildings Percentage not Willingness to Government
Existing coverage to
Allocation Exposed Replacement with walls of building in employing Retrofit or Available Capacity to
Land Use Exposure Exposed Value infrastructure- Insurance Government Vulnerability Vulnerability
Barangay per Land Area in cost (PhP per made with dilapidated/ hazard- Relocate or Alternative Impose/ Score Score
(Specific Percentage2 (Php)3 related hazard Coverage Resources Index Score
Use per Hectares1 square meter) light to condemned resistant Conform with Sites Implement
Use) mitigation
Barangay salvageable condition building New Zoning
measures
materials design Regulations Regulations
Willingness to Majority of Due to Local Majority of
Residential 37.3251 30.089 80.61 5,400 1,624,806,000 Residual Very Low Moderate Very High 3 2
relorate is the limited land government non residential Medium-Low 1.50
Agri- quite little structures area, resources are structures can
Borocboroc industrial 0.1563 0.1563 100.00 8,672 13,554,336 Residual Residual Very Low Very High especially to had no alternative very limited conform with 4 2
Medium-Low 2.00
the residential current site is very but funds for added zoning
Parks & area property limited, adaptation regulations in
3.7091 3.7091 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 1
Recreation considering insurance hence can be the medium Low 1.00
the influence coverage. mitigating sourced out term while
Residential 68.3746 37.0481 54.18 5,400 2,000,597,400 Very Low Residual Low Very High 3 3
of livelihood. However, measures is from the majority of the Low 1.00
In terms of majority of very regional and residential
Commercial 23.9202 11.6818 48.84 8,672 1,013,045,696 Residual Residual Low Very High retrofitting, the owners necessary to national structures 3 2
Medium-Low 1.50
Poblacion there is have increase governments may have
Tourism 7.6511 7.6511 100.00 3,580 273,909,380 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High willingness for capacities adaptive or through difficulties 3 2
Medium-Low 1.50
highly to purchase capacity public private conforming
Parks & vulnerable within the partnerships with added
3.9091 3.9091 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 1
Recreation structures but short term regulations Low 1.00
may take to medium and will
Residential 14.0675 14.0675 100.00 5,400 759,645,000 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High 4 2
medium to term. require a Medium-Low 2.00
Sinaja long term. longer term for
Cemetery 0.7472 0.592 79.23 3,825 22,644,000 Residual Residual Very High Very High them to 1 2
Low 0.50
undertake.
Residential 19.5279 12.0525 61.72 5,400 650,835,000 Residual Residual Moderate Very High 2 2
Low 1.00

Delima Tourism 1.0934 1.0934 100.00 3,580 39,143,720 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High 2 2
Low 1.00
Parks &
1.5808 1.5808 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 1
Recreation Low 1.00
Residential 18.8263 14.5996 77.55 5,400 788,378,400 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High 4 1
Medium-High 4.00
Ipil
Parks &
2.8869 2.8869 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 1
Recreation Low 1.00
Residential 53.5245 41.4126 77.37 5,400 2,236,280,400 Very Low Residual Moderate Very High 4 2
Medium-Low 2.00

Maradiona Tourism 3.1826 3.1826 100.00 3,580 113,937,080 Moderate Low Very High Very High 3 2
Medium-Low 1.50
Parks &
3.2180 3.2180 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 1
Recreation Low 1.00
Residential 7.4924 7.4924 100.00 5,400 404,589,600 Moderate Low Very High Very High 4 1
Medium-High 4.00
Salvacion
Parks &
5.5206 5.5206 100.00 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 1
Recreation
Low 1.00

76 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 15. Critical Point Facilities Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 77


Table 24. Critical Point Facilities CCVA, Municipality of Belison, Antique
Climate Stimulus: Sea Level Rise (1m) RCP 8.5

DEGREE OF ADAPTIVE
EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS ADAPTIVE CAPACITY IMPACT CAPACITY
VULNERABILITY

A B C D E F

Capacity (Bed/ Structure


Local Government
Storeys/ Exposed Classroom Wall Materials Existing employing Insurance Vulnerability Vulnerability
Barangay Facility Type Name Resources for Score Score
Length Area capacity, Loading Used Condition hazard resistant Coverage Index Score
Risk Mitigation
capacity) design

Borocboroc For LGU owned


buildings, resources
Health Station Barangay Health 1 Concrete Good No No 3 1 Medium 3.00
50.00 for retrofiting and
Station relocation is very
Child Borocboroc Child limited. However,
Borocboroc Development Development funds can be set
1 1 classroom Concrete Good No No 3 1 Medium 3.00
50.00 aside for the
Center Center purpose bu it will
Multi-purpose Borocboroc Multi- Needs significantly affect
1 Concrete No No the implementation 3 1 Medium 3.00
Hall purpose Hall 50.00 Repair
of other local
Elementary BDI Elementary development Medium-
1 9 classrooms Concrete Good No No programs and 4 2 2.00
School School 462.50 projects. Schools
Low
Delima
ae either privately
Multi-purpose Delima Multi- Needs
1 Concrete No No owned or managed 3 1 Medium 3.00
Hall purpose Hall 30.00 Repair by the DepEd which
Child Ipil Child retrofiting can be
coursed through the
Development Development 1 1 classroom Semi-concrete Dilapidated No No 3 1 Medium 3.00
50.00 agency concerned.
Center Center Funds for planned
Ipil Multi-purpose Ipil Multi-purpose Needs adaptation (i.e.
1 Concrete No No retrofiting and 3 1 Medium 3.00
Hall Hall 50.00 Repair relocation) can be
outsourced through
Bridge Belison Bridge 24 (m) 20 tons Concrete Good No No other sources of 3 3 Low 1.00
144.00
funds such as to
Elementary Maradiona regional and Medium-
1 10 classrooms Concrete Good No No 4 2 2.00
School Elementary School 806.80 national agencies Low
with possible
Needs Medium-
Bridge Maradiona Bridge 1 20 tons Concrete No No counterpart from 3 2 1.50
Repair the LGU. Low
Maradiona Multi-purpose Maradiona Multi- Needs
1 Concrete No No 3 1 Medium 3.00
Hall purpose Hall 55.00 Repair
Child Maradiona Child
Needs
Development Development 1 1 classroom Concrete No No 3 1 Medium 3.00
60.00 Repair
Center Center

78 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 24. Critical Point Facilities CCVA, Municipality of Belison, Antique
Climate Stimulus: Sea Level Rise (1m) RCP 8.5

ADAPTIVE DEGREE OF ADAPTIVE


EXPOSURE INDICATORS SENSITIVITY INDICATORS IMPACT CAPACITY
VULNERABILITY
CAPACITY

A B C D E F
Capacity (Bed/ Structure Local
Classroom Wall employing Government
Storeys/ Exposed Existing Insurance Vulnerability Vulnerability
Barangay Facility Type Name capacity, Materials hazard Resources Score Score
Length Area Condition Coverage Index Score
Loading Used resistant for Risk
capacity) design Mitigation
Belison Little Angels Study Semi- For LGU owned Medium-
Elementary School 1 7 classrooms Good No No buildings, 4 1 4.00
Center 510.00 concrete resources for High
Semi- Needs retrofiting and Medium-
Preschool Center Belison Christian Center 1 1 classroom No No relocation is 4 1 4.00
90.00 concrete Repair High
very limited.
Kaputli kag Kapawa Learning However, funds Medium-
Preschool Center 1 1 classroom Concrete Good No No can be set 4 1 4.00
Center 80.00 High
aside for the
purpose bu it
Multi-purpose Hall Poblacion Multi-purpose Hall 1 Concrete Good No No 3 1 Medium 3.00
60.00 will significantly
affect the
Poblacion PWD Center Belison PWD Center 1 50.00 Concrete Good No No implementation 3 1 Medium 3.00
of other local Medium-
Cellsite Globe Cellsite 25.00 Steel Good No No development 4 3 1.33
programs and Low
projects. Medium-
Cellsite Smart Cellsite Steel Good No No Schools ae 4 3 1.33
25.00 either privately
Low
Poblacion Child Development owned or
Child Development Center 1 1 classroom Concrete Good No No managed by 3 1 Medium 3.00
Center 50.00
the DepEd
National Child Development which retrofiting
Child Development Center 1 1 Classroom Concrete Good No No can be coursed 3 1 Medium 3.00
Center 50.00
through the
Needs agency
Multi-purpose Hall Salvacion Multi-purpose Hall 1 30.00 Concrete No No 3 1 Medium 3.00
Repair concerned.
Salvacion Funds for
Salvacin Child Development Needs Medium-
Child Development Center 1 1 classroom Concrete No No planned 4 1 4.00
Center 90.00 Repair adaptation (i.e. High
Sinaja-Salvacion Elementary retrofiting and Medium-
Elementary School 1 8 classroom Concrete Good No relocation) can 4 2 2.00
School 292.50 No be outsourced Low
Needs through other
Bridge Sinaja Bridge 4.5 m 10 tons Concrete No sources of 3 1 Medium 3.00
18.00 Repair No funds such as
to regional and
Needs national
Sinaja Multi-purpose Hall Sinaja Multi-purpose Hall 1 Concrete No 3 1 Medium 3.00
35.00 Repair No agencies with
possible
Sinaja Child Development Semi- Needs counterpart Medium-
Child Development Center 1 1 classroom No 4 1 4.00
Center 20.00 concrete Repair No from the LGU. High
Belison Water District Semi-
Pumping Station 1 Good No 5 1 High 5.00
Pumping Station 25.00 concrete No

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 79


Map 16. Lifeline Utilities Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise

80 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 25. Lifeline Facilities CCVA, Municipality of Belison
Climate Stimulus: Sea Level Rise (1m) RCP 8.5
SENSITIVITY INDICATORS DEGREE OF ADAPTIVE
EXPOSURE INDICATORS IMPACT CAPACITY VULNERABILITY
ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
A B C D E F

Total Road Exposed


Replacement Value of Hazard Available
Road Segment Length Percentage Existing Insurance Vulnerability Vulnerability
Barangay Road Name Cost per linear exposed Surface type Resistant Government Score Score
Classification Length (Linear of Exposure Condition Coverage Index Score
kilometer lifeline2 Design Resources
(Linear kms) kms)1

All existing Considering the Medium-


Yes roads do not limited income of 3 2 1.50
National Highway National 25,000,000 0.7210 0.6989 96.93 17,472,500 Asphalt Good have damage the LGU, funds Low
Maradiona
Maradiona-Buenavista Needs insurance for road Medium-
No coverage improvement or 2 1 2.00
FTMR Municipal 20,000,000 2.2309 0.1857 8.32 3,714,000 Gravel Repair Low
addressing of establishment of
damages are new local roads is Medium-
Borocboroc Yes 3 2 1.50
National Highway National 25,000,000 0.8518 0.7662 89.95 19,155,000 Asphalt Good mostly done very limited. Low
through repairs Although, such is
using either given due priority Medium-
Yes 3 2 1.50
National Highway National 25,000,000 0.8602 0.7708 89.61 19,270,000 Asphalt Good local in the Low
Delima government prioritization of
funds resources programs and
Silangan Bagong No such as project to be 3 1 Medium 3.00
10,000,000 0.4322 0.2175 50.32 2,175,000 Concrete
Lipunan Road Barangay Good municipal or funded out of the
barangay 20% 20% DF of the
Medium-
Yes development municipality. 3 2 1.50
National Highway National 25,000,000 2.4000 0.7300 30.42 18,250,000 Asphalt Good fund or those Barangays had Low
funded by also funding for
Needs national and rehabilitation of Medium-
No regional line barangay roads, 2 1 2.00
Igtuba Road Municipal 20,000,000 0.5375 0.2774 51.61 5,548,000 Gravel Repair Low
agencies. yet still very
Poblacion Water limited. Provincial
Medium-
No distribution lines roads is under the 2 1 2.00
Regimiento Street Municipal 20,000,000 0.3271 0.1598 48.85 3,196,000 Concrete Good are maintained responsiblity of Low
by the Belison the province and
Water District it has available Medium-
Feliciana Extension No while funds for the 2 1 2.00
Road Municipal 20,000,000 0.3419 0.0452 13.22 904,000 Gravel Good powerlines by improvement but Low
the Antique still depending on
Electric the current Medium-
Ipil Yes 3 2 1.50
National Highway National 25,000,000 0.5056 0.5055 99.98 12,637,500 Asphalt Good Cooperative priorities. Low
(ANTECO) DPWH however,
Sinaja-Salvacion
Salvacion No have avaiable 3 1 Medium 3.00
FTMR Municipal 20,000,000 1.0852 1.0852 100.00 21,704,000 Concrete Good financial
resources to fund Medium-
Sinaja No for the national 4 1 4.00
Sinaja Provincial Road Provincial 20,000,000 1.3248 0.9691 73.15 19,382,000 Concrete Good road High
No improvements or Medium-
No retrofitting within 4 2 2.00
Main powerlines Powerline information 6.7932 3.6936 54.37 Good the municipality
Low
but fund
No availability will
No also depend on 5 1 High 5.00
information 22.7508 12.0784 53.09 current priorities
Level III pipelines Water pipe Good of the agency.

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 81


2.14. Summary of Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment Issues

Based on the vulnerability maps generated for the various exposure units, the decision areas or
elements were highlighted and identify. Significant findings from the working tables prepared in the
previous steps describing the area or elements in terms of the level of vulnerability, highlighting the various
contributing factors such as exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity were considered in technical
findings. Implications when the identified vulnerabilities in the various decision areas are not addressed
were also listed down. Finally, the various policy interventions were identified to reduce the level of
vulnerability by addressing the exposure, sensitivity with consideration of current adaptive capacities. The
LGU is guided by the acceptability ratings and disaster threshold levels presented in Table 4.14 to ensure
that identified land use policy and strategy decisions will contribute in to the treatment of potential impacts
that are within acceptable or tolerable levels in the long term.

Matrix 4. Disaster Thresholds and acceptability rating per exposure type


Disaster Thresholds/Exposure Unit

Acceptability Resource Production


Urban Areas Population Critical Points Lifelines
Rating Areas
More than 40% of exposed
Disruption of service
More than 20% of the production areas/means of
Damages leads to the lasting one week or
≥20% of exposed population are livelihood such as fishponds,
Highly disruption of services more (for
buildings are severely affected and in need crops, poultry and livestock
Unacceptable which may last one Municipalities) and one
damaged of immediate and other agricultural/forest
week or more day for Highly
assistance products are severely
Urbanized Areas
damaged;

82 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 4. Disaster Thresholds and acceptability rating per exposure type
Disaster Thresholds/Exposure Unit

Acceptability Resource Production


Urban Areas Population Critical Points Lifelines
Rating Areas

20-<40% of exposed
Disruption of service by
production areas/means of
Disruption of services approximately five days
>10-20% of exposed >10-<20% of affected livelihood such as fishponds,
which may last three for municipalities and
Highly Intolerable buildings are severely population in need of crops, poultry and livestock
days to less than a less than 18 hour
damaged immediate assistance and other agricultural/forest
week disruption for highly
products are severely
urbanized areas
damaged;

5-20% of exposed production


Disruption of service by
areas/means of livelihood
approximately three
>5-10% of buildings >5%-10% of affected such as fishponds, crops, Disruption of service
days for municipalities
Tolerable areas are severely population in need of poultry and livestock and lasting for one day to
and less than six hour
damaged immediate assistance other agricultural/forest less than three days
disruption for highly
products are severely
urbanized areas
damaged;

≤5 % and belowof exposed


Disruption of service by
production areas/means of
≤5%-10% of the approximately one day
≤5% and above of livelihood such as fishponds, Disruption of service
affected population in for municipalities and
Acceptable buildings are severely crops, poultry and livestock lasting less than one
need of immediate less than six hours
damaged and other agricultural/forest day
assistance disruption for highly
products are severely
urbanized areas
damaged;

The following matrix present the climate change vulnerability assessment matrix for all elements and
decision areas for sea level rise climate stimulus (Please refer to Matrices 5-10)

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 83


Matrix 5. CCVA Summary Matrix for Population, Sea Level Rise
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
A B C D
Salvacion  Medium-High population  Potential occurrence of coastal  Identification of new residential
Ipil vulnerability to a sea level rise erosion and submergence of low- areas to accommodate the
(1m height). lying settlement areas causing relocation of populatin living in
 More than 45% of the total reduction of available lands for the low-lying coastal areas
population of each barangay residential uses (impact)  Seek assistance from NGAs in
(Ipil-356 and Salvacion-229) or  Exposure may increase in the future the provision of housing for low
approximately 90 to 100% of the due to geographic location of the income families
total residential area of each municipality added with natural  Disallow further upgrading of
barangay exposed (exposure) population growth and uncontrolled residential areas in the impact
 Percentage of Informal Settlers informal settlers areas
with no security of tenure ranges  Increase in temperature may  Enforcement of Zoning
from 4 to 5% of the total enhance the strength and magnitude Ordinance on non-buildable
barangay households of tropical typhoons and monsoon protections areas (i.e. buffers,
(Sensitivity) winds affecting residential structure water easement, setbacks, open
 Below Poverty household have and its inhabitants in the coastal spaces, special zones, etc.)
limited financial capacity to areas  Provide alternate livelihood
relocate or retrofit while those  Possible realignment of government opportunities for families below
above poverty level may have resources for disaster response, poverty threshold
capacity but it takes into long to reconstruction/rehabilitation  Installation of early warning
medium term (Adaptive  Reduction of available land for devices and contingency plans in
Capacity) residential uses; monitoring potential impact of the
 Local government resources are  Retaining residential lands within the climate change stimulus
very limited to generate jobs coastal areas may be too costly to  Establishment of green
 Majority of the inhabitants are manage and mitigate in the long term easements with trees along the
Philhealth insured (Adaptive coastlines
Capacity)  Integrating mitigation measures
in the municipality’s development
plans, programs and policies

84 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 6. CCVA Summary Matrix for Natural Resource Production Areas, (Agricultural Land), Sea Level Rise
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
A B C D
Salvacion  Medium-High to medium-low agricultural  Permanent submergence  Identify other natural resource
Sinaja crop vulnerability to Sea Level Rise (1m of crop production areas production areas or tap other
Poblacion height) and reduction in available resources areas within the
 Approximately 213.8211 hectares or areas for crop production municipality to provide
26.710M value of rice and sugarcane  Potential reduction in rice alternative livelihood to
crops production areas (Exposure) and sugarcane crop potentially affected families
 Farming families do not use sustainable output/yield causing low  Allocate funds for the
production techniques (Sensitivity) income to farmers Cultivation of saline tolerant
 Farmers have limited knowledge  Potential decrease in crops and trees
regarding potential impacts of Climate municipal food sufficiency  Adoption of crop rotation
Change and storm surge to crop  Detrimental effect on the pattern in coastal agricultural
production since percentage of farmers socio-economic well- areas
who attended the climate field school is being of the farming  Provision of small irrigation
very low (Sensitivity) dependent families programs to farm lands without
 Non-irrigable crop production areas has  Potential increase in the access to irrigation canals
no access to water impoundment poverty incidence of the (Pump irrigation system for
(Sensitivity) municipality open Source, Pump and
 Majority of farmers have access to crop Engine Set)
insurance (Adaptive Capacity)  Provide extension services for
 Only 41% of the farming families had more effective and efficient
availed the agricultural extension agricultural operations and
services of the LGU due to limited emphasis on utilizing areas for
personnel of the office fisheries and others
 Limited alternative livelihood aquaculture production given
opportunities (Adaptive Capacity) the potential changes in the
 Available resources of the LGU is not ecology of the area due to sea
enough to finance infrastructure level rise
supportive to agriculture

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 85


Matrix 7. CCVA Summary Matrix for Natural Resource Production Areas, (Aquaculture), Sea Level Rise
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
A B C D
Poblacion  Medium-High to medium-low inland  Permanent submergence of inland  Shift to sustainable fisheries production
Ipil fisheries vulnerability to Sea Level Rise fisheries production areas or damage suited with mangrove and wetland type
(1m height) of fishponds habitat
 Almost 18.434 hectares or 469,256.00  Economic loses to inland fisheries  Identify other natural resource production
value of fisheries production areas are dependent families areas to provide alternative livelihood or
totally exposed (100% of the total  Potential decrease in municipal food alternate location to potentially affected
aquaculture area) (Exposure) sufficiency families
 Absence of Sea Level Rise mitigation  Need to shift to sea water/brackish  Maintain existing areas for fisheries
infrastructure (Sensitivity) water based fish production production but employing an incremental
 Absence of sustainable fisheries tightening competition among adaptation or mitigation approach
production techniques (Sensitivity) fisherfolks  Provide extension services for more
 Low level of fisheries extension services  Reduction of 18.434 hectares of effective and efficient agricultural
provided due to the absence of inland fish production areas and operations and emphasis on utilizing
Agricultural Technician for Fisheries potential loss in income areas for fisheries and others aquaculture
assigned in the office of the Municipal  Potential increase in the poverty production given the potential changes in
Agriculture incidence of the municipality the ecology of the area due to storm
 Outsourcing of funds can be made from  Provision of alternate livelihood or surge
the regional and national agencies utilizing other resources for  Establish buffer zones on mangrove and
supportive to fishery. agriculture production to potentially mudflat areas vis-à-vis built-up and
 Limited alternative livelihood affected families may affect other aquaculture areas
opportunities (Adaptive Capacity) economic development  Encourage participation of stakeholders
 Available resources of the LGU is not project/programs and end users of aquatic resources in the
enough to finance infrastructure implementation of fisheries policies, laws
supportive to agriculture and ordinances

86 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 8. CCVA Summary Matrix for Urban Use Areas, Sea Level Rise
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
A B C D
Poblacion, Delima &  Medium-Low exposure to sea level rise  Permanent submergence of  Setback/ buffer
Maradiona – Tourism (1m height) with a total of 11.9625 tourism potential areas requirements must be
Areas hectares (Poblacion-7.6511, Delima-  Economic loses from observed as per Water code
1.0934, Maradiona-3.2180) or 100% of income in tourism and foreshore
the total area for Tourism purposes  Need to identify alternate  Enforcement of Zoning
(Exposure) site for tourism purposes but Ordinance on non-buildable
 High proportion of building with walls it will require a big capital to protections areas (i.e.
made of light to salvageable materials, the owners buffers, water easement,
and mostly is in dilapidated state  Increase in temperature setbacks, open spaces,
(Sensitivity) may enhance the strength special zones, etc.)
 Majority of the structures do not employ and magnitude of tropical  Mangrove reforestation
hazard-resistant building design and no typhoons and monsoon along the coastlines, rivers
protection infrastructure coverage winds affecting residential and other natural waterways
(Sensitivity) structure and its inhabitants (to include balling and
 Willingness to relocate is very little in the coastal areas replanting of mangroves at
considering the nature of business and  Structural mitigation of appropriate sites)
services (Adaptive Capacity) building and construction of  Integrating storm surge
 Majority of the resort owner is willing to sea walls will be very costly mitigation measures in the
retrofit their highly vulnerable structures but needs to be prioritize to municipality’s development
and to conform with added zoning protect and preserve the plans, programs and
regulations but it will require a medium areas policies
term (Adaptive Capacity)  Possible realignment of  Enforce anti-dumping and
 Alternative site is very limited but local government resources for burning of wastes in the
government can sourced out fund for disaster response, coastal areas
adaptation from the regional to national reconstruction/rehabilitation
agency or through public-private
partnership (Adaptive Capacity)

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 87


Matrix 8. CCVA Summary Matrix for Urban Use Areas, Sea Level Rise
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
A B C D
Poblacion (Sitio  Medium-Low exposure to sea level rise  Permanent submergence of  Allocate funds for additional
Baybay) & Salvacion (1m height) with a total of 44.4505 residential lands in the acquisition and development
– Coastal Residential hectares (Poblacion-37.0481, coastal areas of relocation sites and
Areas Salvacion-7.4924) or 100% of the total  Potential backlog of 44.4505 construction of core shelters
area for residential purposes in the hectares of residential areas  Survey, mapping and zoning
coastal areas of the two barangays  Need to identify residential of coastal habitats
(Exposure) sites to accommodate the  Controlling development of
 High proportion of building with walls affected families settlements along coastal
made of light to salvageable materials,  Structural mitigation of areas
and mostly is in dilapidated state building and construction of  Establishment of artificial
(Sensitivity) sea walls will be very costly reefs to promote marine life
 Majority of the structures do not employ but needs to be prioritize to in areas with a generally
hazard-resistant building design and no protect and preserve the featureless bottom, to control
protection infrastructure coverage areas erosion, block ship passage,
(Sensitivity)  Possible realignment of or improve surfing
 Willingness to relocate is very little government resources for  Transfer the affected families
considering the influence of livelihood disaster response, to relocation site and provide
(mostly fishing families) (Adaptive reconstruction/rehabilitation alternative livelihood
Capacity)  Retaining residential lands  Establish an integrated solid
 Majority is willing to retrofit their highly within the coastal areas may waste management system
vulnerable structures and to conform be too costly to manage and the coastal barangays
with added zoning regulations but it will mitigate in the long term  Enforcement of Zoning
require a long term (Adaptive Capacity)  Provision of alternative Ordinance on non-buildable
 Alternative site for residential purposes livelihood to affected families protections areas (i.e.
is very limited but local government can is very hard to identify buffers, water easement,
sourced out fund for adaptation from the considering their skills and setbacks, open spaces,
regional to national agency (Adaptive potentials special zones, etc.)
Capacity)

88 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 9. CCVA Summary Matrix for Critical Point Facilities, Sea Level Rise
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
A B C D
Child Development  Medium-high exposure to sea level rise (1m  Potentials submergence of  Elevation of facilities to cope up
Centers and Preschool height) of all Child Development Centers in all facilities to sea water with the height of sea level
Centers (All Coastal coastal barangays or 7 out of 11 structures or  Potential reduction in the  Construction of sea walls or
Barangays) 63.6% (Exposure) efficiency of social welfare breakwater along the coastal
 Although majority of the building is made of services in all coastal barangays areas
concrete materials but mostly is in dilapidated  Relocating the facility is not  Construction of additional
state and needs major repair (Sensitivity) feasible due to inavailability of social welfare buildings to
 Majority of the structures do not employ hazard- alternate site serve as alternate facility in
resistant building design and no protection  The barangay is forced to retrofit safer areas to anticipate
infrastructure coverage (Sensitivity) the structure to adapt the impact potential disruption or
 Although funds from the LGU can be set aside for of sea level rise in a short to reduction in service capacity
retrofitting, but it will significantly affect the medium term
implementation of other local development
programs and projects (Adaptive Capacity)

Elementary Schools  High exposure of school areas to sea level rise  Potentials submergence of  Elevation of future structures
(Maradiona, BDI, Sinaja, (1m height) or 100% of the area of each school facilities to sea water (Classrooms) to cope up with
Belison Little Angels) with a total of 34 classrooms is exposed to sea  Potential reduction in the the height of sea level
level rise (Exposure) efficiency of social services in all  Construction of sea walls or
 Majority of the structures do not employ hazard- coastal barangays resulting to breakwater along the coastal
resistant building design and no protection lower literacy rate areas
infrastructure coverage (Sensitivity)  Relocating the facility is not  Request DepEd to retrofit
 Schools are either privately owned or managed by feasible due to inavailability of existing structures or
the DepEd which retrofiting can be coursed alternate site rehabilitate dilapidated
through the agency concerned with possible  The DepEd is forced to retrofit the structures conforming to
counterpart from the LGU (Adaptive Capacity) structure to adapt the impact of zoning and building regulations
sea level rise in a short to medium
term

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 89


Matrix 10. CCVA Summary Matrix for Lifeline Utilities, Sea Level Rise
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
A B C D
National Highways (All  Around 2.7006 kilometers of national highway  Potential submergence of utilities  Elevation of horizontal utilities to
coastal barangays) and the major transportation access of all to sea water, hampering the flow of cope up with the height of sea
barangays exposed to sea level rise (1m height) transportation not just in the level
(Exposure) municipality but to the whole  Request DPWH to widen the
 Majority of the utilities are asphalted, is in good province national highway and employ
condition and had hazard resistant design,  Possible distraction in the delivery hazard resistant design
nevertheless there are portion of the segment of basic services  Provision of alternate road
which needs for widening to accommodate the  Potential damage or disruption of access
volume of traffic (Sensitivity) key transportation infrastructure
 Resources to fund the improvement and affecting the area access and
retrofitting of the road segment is available in the linkages
DPWH, however depending on the current
priority of the agency (Adaptive Capacity)

Level III Water  Approximately 12.0784 or 53.09% of the Level III  Potential contamination of water  Integrate hazard design in future
Distribution Lines (All water distribution lines of the Belison Water source and supply due to sea level expansions
Coastal Barangays) District exposed to sea level rise (Exposure) rise  Maintain water chlorination and
 Although existing condition is good but possibility  Potential reduction of potable water conduct regular water testing to
of water contamination may occur during storm supply which may impact well- monitor the potability of the water
surge since the design is not hazard resistant being and way of life source and supply
(Sensitivity)  Possible outbreak of water borne  Advise the water district to
 Water distribution lines do not have insurance diseases conduct regular flushing
coverage and addressing of damages is mostly  Higher water rates and increase
done through repairs using the district’s fund. pressure for competing water uses
(Adaptive Capacity)  Increase morbidity and mortality

90 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Chapter 3 DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT

Looking at the predictions of the changes of climate for 2020 and 2050 we see that an overall slight
increase in temperature and precipitation is eminent. However, this does not tell the whole story. What
cannot be measured or predicted is how the weather will be more extreme. Larger and more frequent
storm events and longer and more common drought events can be expected. The manifestations of
climate change in the form of sea level rise, storm surge, drought, flooding, stronger and intensified
typhoons and climate change related outbreaks have impacts on the municipality’s economy,
environment, and infrastructure and on the municipality’s 11 barangays. Given its coastal location and
rivers around it, Belison is greatly vulnerable to the impacts of disaster brought about of climate change,
and has already experienced noticeable adverse effects in recent years. Without concerted action, the
hazard that the municipality will face as a result of climate change are expected to intensify in the medium
or long term. With this scenario the response must be two pronged: adaptation and mitigation.

To enhance the municipality’s adaptive capacity to the impacts brought by different hazards due
to climate change, disaster risk assessment were undertaken with the following objectives:
• To determine the risk areas
• To be able to analyze adaptive capacities of identified risk areas
• To decide priority areas to implement policy interventions, adaptation and mitigation
programs and projects

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 91


3.1. Risk Assessment by Type of Hazard

3.1.1. Rain induced landslide


Rain Induced Landslides (RIL) are downward and outward movement of materials caused by floods
and excessive rain. It is a geological phenomenon which includes a wide range of ground movement,
such as rockfalls, deep failure of slopes and shallow debris flows, which can occur in offshore, coastal and
onshore environments. Although the action of gravity is the primary driving force for a landslide to occur,
there are other contributing factors affecting the original slope stability.

The Geohazards Mapping and Assessment Team (GMAT) of the Mine and Geosciences Bureau
(MGB) has conducted an updating of Geohazard Maps for flooding and landslide susceptibility to all
barangays of the municipality in 2017. Table 36 are the results and recommendations of the assessment
per purok of every barangay. At the same time the hazard Map is presented to identify the affected areas.

92 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 26. Landslide Threat Advisory
Landslide
Barangay Purok Recommendations
Susceptibility Rating
Borocboroc 1 to 7 None
Concepcion 1 to 7 None
Salvacion 1 to 3 None 1. Install/improve drainage canals along the road (if applicable)
Poblacion 1 to 7 None
Maradiona 1 to 7 None 2. Houses, schools and other important structures must not be
constructed known/ identified landslide (steep slopes, mid-
Ipil 1 to 7 None slopes, and foot slopes of mountains and hills)
Sinaja 1 to 3 None
3. Evacuate residents away from flood-prone areas during
Delima 1 to 7 None heavy, prolonged rains, typhoons and/or earthquakes.
1 None
2 None 4. Repair/replace damaged structures (if applicable) and
ensure its stability during earthquakes and typhoons.
3 None
Rombang 4 None 5. Relocate houses and other structures to safer areas and
5 None away from landslide areas especially if tension cracks
become larger and soil movement/landslide continues.
6 None
7 None 6. Develop an early warning system.
1 Moderate 7. Constant communication and updates within the barangay
2 Moderate and with nearby barangays about geohazard situations.
Buenavista 3 Moderate 8. Disaster preparedness and rescue training for barangay
4 Moderate officials and residents of the barangay

5 Low 9. Observe for/and or monitor for presence of mass movement


1 Moderate (e.g. landslides, tension cracks), saturated ground or seeps
and sunken or displaced road surfaces and report to the
2 Moderate MGB/municipal authorities.
Mojon
3 Moderate to High
4 Moderate
Source: Mines and Geoscience Bureau, DENR

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 93


Map 17. Rain induced landslide hazard Map

94 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.1.2. Storm Surge
A storm surge is a rise above the usual water level along the shore that is the result of strong onshore
winds and/or reduced atmospheric pressure; the actual surge height is the difference of the observed
water level minus the predicted tide. On September 28, 2009, Belison experienced a storm surge affecting
47 households or 194 families of Barangay Salvacion. This had totally damaged 4 houses while 44 units were
partially damaged. Roads, public plaza, basketball court, stage and streetlights and houses were
damaged having a total cost of Php1, 320,000.00.

When the LGU conducted the Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment (CDRA), the total affected
residential area by the storm surge (5m height) in hectares is 158.1880, with a total of 3,642 exposed
population or 42.18% of the total population. As computed the estimated affected area of natural
resource production area expressed in hectares is 319.6072 or 64.50% of the total allocation of affected
barangays and the estimated exposed value reaches to P38,047,088.00. Out of the fifty two (52) critical
point facilities, twenty eight of it are vulnerable to storm surge and the total lifeline utilities vulnerable to
storm surge is 22.1833 linear kilometers with 6.4113 kilometers of it is total road segment length and the rest
are for power and water lines. This is equal to 61.42% of the total exposed lifeline utilities. Map 18 shows the
storm surge impact map in the municipality of Belison.

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 95


Map 18. Storm Surge hazard Map

96 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.1.3. Ground Shaking
Ground shaking is a hazard created by seismic earth movements. During an earthquake, seismic
waves travel rapidly away from the source and through the earth’s crust. Upon reaching the ground
surface, they produce shaking that may last from seconds to minutes. Using the Rapid Earthquake Disaster
Assessment System (REDAS) developed by PHILVOLCS, six earthquake scenarios were identified that can
generate ground shaking, liquefaction and earthquake induced landslide to the province. However, in
the six scenarios simulated from REDAS, the most devastating is the fifth scenario simulated from Negros
Trench. This could trigger PEIS VIII (Very Destructive) ground shaking that will result devastating damages to
structures. The municipalities vulnerable to PEIS VIII ground shaking are the following: Anini-y, Tobias Fornier,
Hamtic, San Jose, Sibalom, Belison, Patnongon, Bugasong, Tibiao, Culasi, Barbaza and Caluya. The
barangays of the municipality which can possibly experience Intensity VIII are Concepcion, Rombang,
Sinaja, Salvacion, Poblacion, Mojon, Buenavista, Ipil, Delima, Borocboroc, Maradiona. The total area
affected is 1,978.20 hectares affecting the total population. Table 37 presents the complete data.

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 97


Table 27. Population Exposed to Ground Shaking Hazard

Population Households Exposed Exposed % of Affected


Barangay Name Hazard Code Area (Has) Risk Category
2017 2017 Population Households Population

Borocboroc 1,216 294 PEIS VIII 181.01 1,216 294 100% Very High
Buenavista 380 92 PEIS VIII 290.81 380 92 100% Very High
Concepcion 1,199 266 PEIS VIII 228.89 1,199 266 100% Very High
Delima 811 198 PEIS VIII 102.47 811 198 100% Very High
Ipil 783 191 PEIS VIII 158.24 783 191 100% Very High
Maradiona 1,488 377 PEIS VIII 225.92 1,488 377 100% Very High
Mojon 572 152 PEIS VIII 162.62 572 152 100% Very High
Poblacion 4,611 1,082 PEIS VIII 322.46 4,611 1,082 100% Very High
Rombang 1,106 256 PEIS VIII 106.23 1,106 256 100% Very High
Salvacion 457 109 PEIS VIII 82.63 457 109 100% Very High
Sinaja 891 195 PEIS VIII 116.92 891 195 100% Very High
Total 13,514 3,212 1,978.20 13,514 3,212

Source: Computed as per data

98 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 19. Ground Shaking Hazard Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 99


3.1.4. Liquefaction
Liquefaction is a process where particles of loosely- consolidated and water saturated deposits and
sand are rearranged into a more compact state. This results in the squeezing of water and sediments
towards the surface in the form of “sand fountain” and creating a condition resembling “quicksand”. In
this phenomenon, the strength of the soil is reduced to the point where it is unstable to support structures.
From the six scenarios simulated from REDAS, Belison is one of the municipalities susceptible to High
Exceedance Liquefaction Hazard. The barangays affected are: Concepcion, Salvacion, Sinaja, Rombang,
Poblacion, Mojon, Ipil, Delima, Borocboroc, Maradiona with a total area susceptible to high liquefaction
of 1,524.77 hectares with 5,068 exposed population and 1,286 exposed households. In moderately
susceptible area, the exposed number of population is 5,001 with 1,152 exposed number of households.
(Please see tables and map)
Table 28. Population Exposed to Liquefaction Hazard in Highly Susceptible Area
Barangay Name Population 2017 Households Hazard Code Area Exposed Exposed % of Affected Risk Category
2017 (Hectares) Population Households Population
Borocboroc 1,216 294 HSA 181.01 714 178 58.72% High
Concepcion 1,199 266 HSA 228.89 182 39 15.18% Low
Delima 811 198 HSA 102.47 139 44 17.14% Low
Ipil 783 191 HSA 158.24 381 100 48.66% Moderate
Maradiona 1,488 377 HSA 225.92 981 246 65.93% High
Poblacion 4,611 1,082 HSA 322.46 1,518 405 32.92% Moderate
Rombang 1,106 256 HSA 106.23 126 36 11.39% Low
Salvacion 457 109 HSA 82.63 434 101 94.97% Very High
Sinaja 891 195 HSA 116.92 593 137 66.55% High
Total 12,562 2,968 1,524.77 5,068 1,286

100 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 29. Population Exposed To Liquefaction Hazard in Moderately Susceptible Area
Barangay Name Population Households 2017 Hazard Area Exposed Exposed % of Affected Risk Category
2017 Code (Hectares) Population Households Population

Borocboroc 1,216 294 MSA 181.01 445 113 36.60% Moderate


Concepcion 1,199 266 MSA 228.89 179 39 14.93% Low
Delima MSA 102.47 452 114 55.73% High
198
811
Ipil MSA 158.24 254 61 32.44% Moderate
191
783
Maradiona 1,488 377 MSA 225.92 337 75 22.65% Low
Mojon MSA 162.62 68 17 11.89% Low
152
572
Poblacion 4,611 1,082 MSA 322.46 2,987 664 64.78% High
Rombang 1,106 256 HAS 106.23 129 35 11.66% Low
Salvacion MSA 82.63 31 7 6.78% Low
109
457
Sinaja MSA 116.92 119 27 13.36% Low
195
891
Total 3,120 1,687.39 5,001 1,152
13,134

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 101


Map 20. Liquefaction Hazard Map

102 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.1.5. Tsunami
Tsunami or tidal wave, also known as a seismic sea wave, is a series of waves in a water body caused
by the displacement of a large volume of water, generally in an ocean or a large lake. Earthquakes,
volcanic eruptions and other underwater explosions (including detonations of underwater nuclear
devices), landslides, glacier calving, meteorite impacts and other disturbances above or below water all
have the potential to generate a tsunami. From the tsunami hazard map generated by PHILVOCS, Belison
is one of the municipalities prone to tsunami affecting nine (9) of its barangay namely: Rombang,
Concepcion, Sinaja, Salvacion, Poblacion, Ipil, Delima, Borocboroc, Maradiona with total area prone to
tsunami of1,524.77 hectares with 8,015 exposed population and 2,012 households.

Table 30. Population Exposed to Tsunami Hazard

Population Households Hazard Area Exposed Exposed % of Affected


Barangay Name Risk Category
2017 2017 Code (Hectares) Population Households Population
Maradiona 1,488 377 Tsu_Prone 225.92 1,223 299 82.19% High
Borocboroc 1,216 294 Tsu_Prone 181.01 944 238 77.63% High
Delima 811 198 Tsu_Prone 102.47 432 122 53.27% High
Ipil 783 191 Tsu_Prone 158.24 551 141 70.37% High
Poblacion 4,611 1,082 Tsu_Prone 322.46 3,817 963 82.78% Very High
Sinaja 891 195 Tsu_Prone 116.92 376 89 42.20% Moderate
Salvacion 891 195 Tsu_Prone 82.63 448 105 50.28% Very High
Concepcion 1,199 266 Tsu_Prone 228.89 113 25 9.42% Low
Rombang 1,106 256 Tsu_Prone 106.23 111 30 10.04% Low
Total 12,996 3,054 1,524.77 8,015 2,012

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 103


Map 21. Tsunami Hazard Map

104 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.1.6. Drought

Belison had also been a victim of dry spells and droughts/El Niño since 1990 to the present which
tremendously reduced crop production of farmers. The crop production area of the municipality of Belison
is moderately vulnerable to drought with vulnerability index value of 0.587 or moderate. Its sensitivity value
is 0.46 percent (moderate) with the following indicators considered: absence of El Nino for the year (0-2 -
very low); high presence of intermittent rivers and streams; high dependency of agricultural lands on
irrigation (31-40%); and long duration of drought from three to four months (high). Likewise, the municipality
has high exposure to drought with 0.69 value influenced by the following indicators: 61-80 percent of
production areas are affected by the last two occurrence of drought; and high percentage of yield losses
due to drought (61-70%). Adaptive capacity of the municipality is valued at 0.6 or moderate; 41 percent
to less than 21 percent of farm lands with small irrigation programs; and only 21 percent to less than 10
percent adopts crop diversification.

3.1.7. Flooding

The most destructive hazard affecting the entire sector of the municipality is flooding. The Sibalom River
which is the largest river system in Antique cuts through the southern part of the municipality, directly
affecting four (4) barangays – Rombang, Concepcion Sinaja, and Salvacion. During times of heavy
torrential rain the river can be a highly destructive force, eroding banks and occasionally inundating
communities and crops. Another river that is also a danger to the municipality is the Belison River, as it

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 105


passes through a more heavily populated part of Belison, the Poblacion. Other barangay located along
the coastal area such as Borocboroc, Delima, Ipil, Maradiona, Poblacion and Salvacion also experience
coastal flooding during heavy prolonged rains and typhoons. The Geohazards Mapping and Assessment
Team (GMAT) of the Mine and Geosciences Bureau (MGB) has conducted an updating of Geohazard
Maps for flooding and landslide susceptibility to all barangays of the municipality in 2017. The following are
the results and recommendations of the assessment per purok of every barangay.

Table 31. Flooding Threat Advisory


Barangay Purok Flooding Susceptibility Rating Recommendations
1 Moderate to High 1. Install/improve drainage canals along the
2 Moderate to High road (if applicable)
Borocboroc
3 Moderate to High
4 Moderate to High 2. Houses, schools and other important
1 Low structures must not be constructed in
2 Low known/ identified flood-prone areas and
along rivers and creeks.
3 Low
Concepcion 4 Low 3. Evacuate residents away from flood-prone
5 Low areas during heavy, prolonged rains,
6 Low typhoons and/or earthquakes.
7 Low, High
1 High to Very High 4. Repair/replace damaged structures (if
Salvacion 2 High applicable) and ensure its stability during
3 High earthquakes and typhoons.
1 Low
5. Relocate houses and other structures to
2 Low
safer areas and away flood-prone areas
3 Low
especially if tension cracks become larger
Poblacion 4 Low and soil movement/landslide continues.
5 Low to Moderate
6 Low to Moderate 6. Regular dredging and de-clogging of
7 Low waterways/canals
Maradiona 1 Moderate to High

106 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


2 Moderate to High 7. Follow the correct easement from bodies of
3 High water
4 Moderate
8. Develop an early warning system.
5 Moderate 9. Constant communication and updates within
6 Moderate the barangay and with nearby barangays
7 Moderate about geohazard situations.
1 Moderate
2 Moderate to High 10. Disaster preparedness and rescue training
for barangay officials and residents of the
3 Moderate barangay
Ipil 4 High
5 Moderate 11. Observe for/and or monitor for presence of
6 Moderate mass movement (e.g. landslides, tension
cracks), saturated ground or seeps and
7 Moderate to High
sunken or displaced road surfaces and
1 Moderate report to the MGB/municipal authorities.
Sinaja 2 High
3 High to Very High
Delima 1 to 7 Moderate
1 Low
2 High
3 High
Rombang 4 High
5 High to Very High
6 High
7 High
1 to 4 None
Buenavista
5 Low
1 Low
2 None
Mojon
3 None
4 None
Source: Mines and Geoscience Bureau, DENR

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 107


Map 22. Flooding Hazard Map

108 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.2. Likelihood of occurrence

With the influence of increased rainfall, the municipality, especially coastal barangays and those
traverse by river basin are very prone to flooding. These areas has been the subject of seasonal destructive
hazard when heavy torrential rains occurs which caused substantial damage to crops, infrastructure,
dwelling and occasional loss of lives. To determine the Matrix 11. Indicative Likelihood of Occurrence Scores
time interval for flooding hazard to occur again, its Measure of Return Period in
Likelihood
likelihood was determined. The likelihood of the hazard is Likelihood Years

an estimate of the period of time a hazard event is likely Frequent Every 1-3 years
6
to repeat itself expressed in years. This broadly defines a
Moderate Every >3-10 years
5
returned period of a hazard. Knowing the time interval for
Occasional Every >10-30 years
a hazard event to occur again is important because it 4
Every >30-100
gives an idea of how often a threat from a hazard may be Improbable
years 3
expected. From the hazard inventory matrix prepared in Every >100-200
Rare event
years 2
Step 2, an indicative likelihood of occurrence score
Very rare event Every >200 years
relative to the recurrence period of the hazard was assign 1
Source: Adapted from Reference Manual on Mainstreaming Disaster
using the Table 42 and 43. Risk Reduction and Climate Change Adaptation in the Comprehensive
Land Use Plan, NEDA-HLURB-UNDP, 2012

3.3. Exposed Elements


Determining exposure involves the estimation of the number of affected individuals, structure or
extent of area located within the hazard susceptible areas. These is done by overlaying hazard map and

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 109


the elements exposure map. Based on the map overlying, the estimated exposed elements can be
computed and summarized including the vulnerability attributes of the elements exposed. These
vulnerability attributes will be the basis for estimating the severity of consequences in succeeding tasks. The
five system of interest were consider during the risk Matrix 12. Flood Hazard Inventory, Municipality of Belison

assessment to wit: Population, natural resource Likelihood


Flooding Estimated Likelihood of of
production areas, urban use areas, critical point Susceptibility Flood Depth Occurrence Occurrence
Score
facilities and lifeline utilities. Flood susceptibility of each
High ≥1 meter or Every >30-
3
area to be assessed was categorized into low, (HSA) more 100 years
Moderate Every >10-30
moderately and highly susceptible with an estimated ≤ 1 meter 4
(MSA) years
flood depth, likelihood of occurrence and score from Low Every >3-10
≤ meter 5
(LSA) years
Matrix 12.

3.3.1. Population Exposure Estimation to Flooding

Population exposure was determine by overlaying the population exposure map with the hazard
map facilitated through GIS. (As presented in figure 13). The overlying append the information from the
hazard map which contains the hazard descriptors to the population exposure database and table using
the CBMS Survey data. Table 32. reflects the population exposure estimation and picture out in Map 23.

110 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Figure 13. Population Exposure Estimation to flood mapping

Based on the result of risk assessment, ten (10) out of eleven (11) barangays is vulnerable to flooding
hazard. Flood susceptibility can either be low, moderate or high. There are four barangays with a highly
susceptible areas. These barangays are traverse by the Sibalom River: Rombang, Concepcion, Sinaja and
Salvacion. The total affected residential are for flood with a flood height of ≥1 meter or more is 257.9217 or
94% of the total residential areas and putting in risk the lives of 8,343 population. The whole details is
presented in Table 32 and Map 23.

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 111


Table 32. Population Exposure Estimation to Flood, Municipality of Belison
HAZARD EXPOSURE
A B C D E F G H I J
Likelihood *Population
Affected
Flood of Residential Barangay Density per Exposed Exposure
Barangay Flood Depth Area
Susceptibility Occurrence Area (Hectares) Population Hectare of Population3 Percentage4
(Hectares)2
Score Residential Area1
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 68.3746 4505 66 6.6047 124 2.75%
Poblacion
LSA 5 ≤ meter 68.3746 4505 66 61.7699 984 21.84%
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 53.5245 1613 30 5.3729 140 8.68%
Maradiona
LSA 5 ≤ meter 53.5245 1613 30 48.1516 1234 76.50%
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 37.3251 1261 34 0.5757 124 9.83%
Borocboroc
LSA 5 ≤ meter 37.3251 1261 34 36.7494 984 78.03%
HSA 3 ≥1 meter or more 14.0675 887 63 0.0257 36 4.06%
Sinaja MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 14.0675 887 63 13.3313 557 62.80%
LSA 5 ≤ meter 14.0675 887 63 0.7105 112 12.63%
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 19.5279 790 40 1.1261 184 23.29%
Delima
LSA 5 ≤ meter 19.5279 790 40 18.4018 569 72.03%
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 18.8263 744 40 4.5221 208 27.96%
Ipil
LSA 5 ≤ meter 18.8263 744 40 14.3042 522 70.16%
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 7.4924 497 66 6.5944 257 51.71%
Salvacion
LSA 5 ≤ meter 7.4924 497 66 0.898 195 39.24%
HSA 3 ≥1 meter or more 22.0681 1263 57 0.0596 17 1.35%
Concepcion MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 22.0681 1263 57 8.6699 346 27.40%
LSA 5 ≤ meter 22.0681 1263 57 13.3386 553 43.78%
HSA 3 ≥1 meter or more 15.0434 1016 68 1.0010 53 5.22%
Rombang MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 15.0434 1016 68 10.1660 750 73.82%
LSA 5 ≤ meter 15.0434 1016 68 3.8764 206 20.28%
MSA 3 ≤ 1 meter 6.6142 461 70 0.2646 49 10.63%
Mojon
LSA 4 ≤ meter 6.6142 461 70 1.4073 138 29.93%
Notes: HSA- High Susceptible Area, MSA-Moderately Susceptible Area, LSA-Low Susceptible Area

112 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 23. Population Flood Exposure Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 113


3.3.2. Natural Resource Production Areas Exposure Estimation to Flooding

The estimated exposed natural resource production areas of the municipality was computed and
summarized based on the map overlaying facilitated through GIS, including its vulnerability attributes (refer
to figure 14). The total area allocated for natural resource production is 1,057.359 has. utilized for crop
production with dominant commodities such as rice, corn, sugarcane, peanuts, vegetables and for
aquaculture intended for tilapia and bangus production. Result of assessment shows that the estimated
area allocated for natural resource production which is vulnerable to flooding is 1,007.464 has. or 95.3% of
the total allocated area. This has an estimated value of P135,662,161.00. Table 33 shows the details of
exposure of the natural resource production areas of the municipality to flooding together with the
exposure map (Map 24).
Figure 14. Natural Resource Production Area Exposure Estimation to flood mapping

114 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 33. Natural Resource Production Areas Exposure Estimation to Flooding
HAZARD EXPOSURE
Likelihood Average
Total area Exposed
Storm Surge of Dominant crop/variety Exposure potential Exposed
Barangay Flood Depth allocation Area
Susceptibility Occurrence produced Percentage income per Value3
(hectares) (Hectares)
Score hectare/year
≥1 meter or
HSA 3 148.3698 Rice, Sugarcane 60.3684 40.7% 133,500 8,059,181
more
Sinaja MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 148.3698 Rice, Sugarcane 70.1341 47.3% 133,500 9,362,902
LSA 5 ≤ meter 148.3698 Rice, Sugarcane 17.8673 12.0% 133,500 2,385,285
≥1 meter or
HSA 3 74.7801 Rice, Citrus 38.3218 51.2% 81,500 3,123,227
more
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 74.7801 Rice, Citrus 36.4567 48.8% 81,500 2,971,221
Salvacion
LSA 5 ≤ meter 74.7801 Rice, Citrus 0.0016 0.0% 81,500 130
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 2.9432 Tilapia 2.9432 100.0% 81,500 239,871
MSA 4 ≤ meter 73.6149 Rice 61.2355 83.2% 117,000 7,164,554
Maradiona LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 73.6149 Rice 12.3794 16.8% 117,000 1,448,390
LSA 5 ≤ meter 0.6235 Tilapia 0.6235 100.0% 12,408 7,736
MSA 4 ≤ meter 58.2905 Rice, Sugarcane 49.8892 85.6% 192,000 9,578,726
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 58.2905 Rice, Sugarcane 8.4013 75.1% 192,000 1,613,050
Poblacion
MSA 4 ≤ meter 11.1809 Tilapia, Bangus 11.1809 100.0% 25,456 284,621
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 3.1209 Nipa 3.1209 100.0% 45,000 140,441
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 126.9853 Rice, Sugarcane 111.0936 87.5% 133,500 14,830,996
LSA 5 ≤ meter 126.9853 Rice, Sugarcane 15.8898 12.5% 133,500 2,121,288
MSA 4 ≤ meter 7.2531 Tilapia, Bangus 0.1448 2.0% 25,456 3,686
Ipil
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 7.2531 Tilapia, Bangus 7.1083 98.0% 25,457 180,956
MSA 4 ≤ meter 2.5455 Nipa 2.4335 95.6% 44,999 109,505
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 2.5455 Nipa 0.1119 4.4% 45,000 5,036
MSA 4 ≤ meter 80.1187 Rice 67.726 84.5% 117,000 7,923,942
Delima
LSA 5 ≤ meter 80.1187 Rice 12.3918 15.5% 117,000 1,449,841

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 115


Table 33. Natural Resource Production Areas Exposure Estimation to Flooding
HAZARD EXPOSURE
Average
Likelihood of Total area
Storm Surge Dominant crop/variety Exposed Area Exposure potential Exposed
Barangay Occurrence Flood Depth allocation
Susceptibility produced (Hectares) Percentage income per Value3
Score (hectares)
hectare/year
HSA 3 ≥1 meter or more 123.1571 Rice, Sugarcane 43.0196 34.9% 192,000 8,259,763

Concepcion MSA 4 ≤ meter 123.1571 Rice, Sugarcane 38.0648 30.9% 192,000 7,308,442

LSA 5 ≤ meter 123.1571 Rice, Sugarcane 42.0727 34.2% 192,000 8,077,958


MSA 4 ≤ meter 103.9267 Rice 76.4842 73.6% 117,000 8,948,651
Borocboroc
LSA 5 ≤ meter 103.9267 Rice 27.4425 26.4% 117,000 3,210,773

MSA 4 ≤ meter 73.7152 Rice 68.7610 93.3% 117,000 8,045,033


Mojon
LSA 5 ≤ meter 73.7152 Rice 4.9542 6.7% 117,001 579,646
Peanut, Corn,
HSA ≥1 meter or more 116.8417 52.5410 45.0% 156,000 8,196,396
3 vegetables
Peanut, Corn,
Rombang MSA ≤ meter 117.8417 14.2808 12.1% 156,000 2,227,805
4 vegetables
Peanut, Corn,
LSA ≤ meter 118.8417 42.1% 156,000 7,803,109
5 vegetables, 50.0199
Notes: HSA- High Susceptible Area, MSA-Moderately Susceptible Area, LSA-Low Susceptible Area

116 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 24. Natural Resource Production Area Flood Exposure Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 117


3.3.3. Urban Use Areas Exposure Estimation to Flood

Through GIS, the estimated exposed urban use areas of the municipality was computed and
summarized, including its vulnerability attributes. The total area intended for urban use is 348.0499, however
the area which is exposed to flooding hazard is 321.7145 or 92.4% of the total allocation. The specific use
of these land use are either residential, tourism, socialized housing, commercial, cemetery, etc. Please refer
to Table 34 and Map 25 for a detailed information.

Figure 15. Urban Use Area Exposure Estimation to Flood Mapping

118 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 34. Urban Use Areas Exposure Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Likelihood of Total Area Exposed Replacement
Flood Existing Land Use Exposure Exposed Value
Barangay Occurrence Flood Depth Allocation per Land Area in cost (PhP per
Susceptibility (Specific Use) Percentage (Php)3
Score Use per Barangay Hectares square meter)
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Residential 37.3251 0.5757 1.5% 5,400 31,087,800
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 37.3251 36.7494 98.5% 5,400 1,984,467,600
Borocboroc
LSA 5 ≤ meter Agri-industrial 0.1563 0.1563 100.0% 8,672 13,554,336
LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 3.7091 3.7091 100.0% 0 0
≥1 meter or
HSA 4 Residential 14.0675 0.0257 0.2% 5,400 1,387,800
more
MSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Residential 14.0675 13.3313 94.8% 5,400 719,890,200
Sinaja
LSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 14.0675 0.7105 5.1% 5,400 38,367,000
MSA 5 ≤ meter Cemetery 3.2930 0.2493 7.6% 3,825 9,535,725
LSA 4 ≤ meter Cemetery 3.2930 1.5491 47.0% 3,825 59,253,075
MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 68.3746 6.6047 9.7% 5,400 356,653,800
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 68.3746 61.7699 90.3% 5,400 3,335,574,600
MSA 4 ≤ meter Commercial 23.9202 0.2821 1.2% 8,672 24,463,712
LSA 5 ≤ meter Commercial 23.9202 19.7705 82.7% 8,672 1,714,497,760
MSA 4 ≤ meter Tourism 7.6511 5.7007 74.5% 3,580 204,085,060
Poblacion
LSA 5 ≤ meter Tourism 7.6511 1.9504 25.5% 3,580 69,824,320
MSA 4 ≤ meter Cemetery 1.1390 0.2131 18.7% 3,825 8,151,075
LSA 5 ≤ meter Cemetery 1.1390 0.9256 81.3% 3,825 35,404,200
MSA 4 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 3.9091 2.686 68.7% 0 0
LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 3.9091 1.2231 31.3% 0 0
MSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 19.5279 1.1261 5.8% 5,400 60,809,400
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 19.5279 18.4018 94.2% 5,400 993,697,200
Delima
LSA 5 ≤ meter Tourism 1.0934 1.0934 100.0% 3,580 39,143,720
LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 1.5808 1.5808 100.0% 0 0
MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 18.8263 4.5221 24.0% 5,400 244,193,400
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 18.8263 14.3042 76.0% 5,400 772,426,800
Ipil
MSA 4 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 2.8869 0.8800 30.5% 0 0
LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 2.8869 2.0069 69.5% 0 0

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 119


Table 34. Urban Use Areas Exposure Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Likelihood of Total Area Exposed Replacement
Flood Existing Land Use Exposure Exposed Value
Barangay Occurrence Flood Depth Allocation per Land Area in cost (PhP per
Susceptibility (Specific Use) Percentage (Php)3
Score Use per Barangay Hectares square meter)

MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 53.5245 5.3729 10.0% 5,400 290,136,600


LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 53.5245 48.1516 90.0% 5,400 2,600,186,400
Maradiona
LSA 4 ≤ meter Tourism 3.1826 3.1826 100.0% 3,580 113,937,080
LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 3.2180 3.2180 100.0% 0 0

MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 7.4924 6.5944 88.0% 5,400 356,097,600

LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 7.4924 0.898 12.0% 5,400 48,492,000


≥1 meter or
Salvacion HSA 3 Parks & Recreation 5.5206 2.7218 49.3% 0 0
more
MSA 4 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 5.5206 2.2453 40.7% 0 0

LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 5.5206 0.5535 10.0% 0 0


≥1 meter or
HSA Residential 22.0681 0.0596 0.3% 5,400 3,218,400
3 more
MSA ≤ meter Residential 22.0681 8.6699 39.3% 5,400 468,174,600
Concepcion 4
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 22.0681 13.3386 60.4% 5,400 720,284,400

LSA 5 ≤ meter Commercial 6.6707 6.6707 100.0% 8,672 578,483,104


Socialized Housing
MSA ≤ meter 1.8690 0.6415 34.3% 4,800 30,792,000
4 Site
Socialized Housing
LSA ≤ meter 1.8690 0.4571 24.5% 4,800 21,940,800
Mojon 5 Site
MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 6.6142 0.2646 4.0% 5,400 14,288,400
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 6.6142 1.4073 21.3% 5,400 75,994,200
≥1 meter or
HSA Residential 15.0434 1.0010 6.7% 5,400 54,054,000
3 more
MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 15.0434 10.1660 67.6% 5,400 548,964,000
Rombang
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 15.0434 3.8764 25.8% 5,400 209,325,600
LSA 5 ≤ meter Cemetery 0.1259 0.1259 100.0% 3,825 4,815,675
1 Estimated exposed areas expressed in hectares based on hazard overlay is GIS derived
2 Exposure percentage derived by dividing the affected area by the total barangay allocation
3 Estimated affected value derived by multiplying replacement cost per square meter and the estimated exposed area in hectares multiplied by 10000

120 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 25. Urban Use Area Flood Exposure Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 121


3.3.4. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Estimation to Flood

The critical point facilities flood hazard susceptibility was determined by overlaying the critical point facility
exposure map prepared in step 3
with the impact area map to
determine the exposed critical point
facilities of the municipality including
its vulnerability attributes. The total
critical point facilities in the
municipality are 52. Considering that
only ten (10) barangays are
vulnerable to flooding hazard, only
48 out of the total critical point
facilities are vulnerable to flooding.
Complete details is provided in Table Figure 16. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Estimation to Flood mapping
35 and Map 26.

Table 35. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Estimation to Flood


HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Likelihood of Capacity (Bed/
Flood Flood Exposed Area
Barangay Occurrence Facility Type Name Classroom capacity,
Susceptibility Depth (sq.m.)
Score Loading capacity)
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Health Station Borocboroc Barangay Health Station 50.00
Borocboroc LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center Borocboroc Child Development Center 50.00 1 classroom
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Borocboroc Multi-purpose Hall 50.00
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Health Station Concepcion Barangay Health Station 80.00
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Concepcion Elementary School 983.40 8 classrooms
Concepcion
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Concepcion Multi-purpose hall 45.00
Concepcion Child Development
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center 70.00 1 classroom
Center
Notes: HSA- High Susceptible Area, MSA-Moderately Susceptible Area, LSA-Low Susceptible Area

122 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 35. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Capacity (Bed/
Likelihood of
Flood Flood Exposed Area Classroom
Barangay Occurrence Facility Type Name
Susceptibility Depth (sq.m.) capacity, Loading
Score
capacity)
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School BDI Elementary School 462.50 9 classrooms

Delima LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Delima Multi-purpose Hall 30.00

LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center Delima Child Development Center 1 classroom
60.00
MSA 4 ≤1 meter Bridge Igtuba Bridge 20 tons
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Elementary School Belison Central School 3,938.30 22 classrooms
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Elementary School Belison Little Angels Study Center 510.00 7 classrooms
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Secondary School Belison National School 2,203.50 27 classrooms

LSA 5 ≤1 meter Preschool Center Belison Catholic Preschool Center 1 classroom


230.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Preschool Center Belison Christian Center 1 classroom
90.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Preschool Center Kaputli kag Kapawa Learning Center 1 classroom
80.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Preschool Center Building Young Minds Learning Center 70.00 1 classroom
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Poblacion Multi-purpose Hall 60.00
Poblacion
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Police Station Belison Police Station 120.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Fire Station Belison Fire Station 50.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter PWD Center Belison PWD Center 50.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Senior Citizen Center Belison Senior Citizen Center 50.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Cellsite Globe Cellsite 25.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Cellsite Smart Cellsite 25.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Post Office Belison Post Office 30.00

LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center Poblacion Child Development Center 1 classroom
50.00
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Child Development Center National Child Development Center 50.00 1 Classroom
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Health Station Municipal Health Center 90.00 1 bed
Notes: HSA- High Susceptible Area, MSA-Moderately Susceptible Area, LSA-Low Susceptible Area

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 123


Table 35. Critical Point Facilities Exposure Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Flood Likelihood of Capacity (Bed/
Exposed Area
Barangay Susceptibilit Occurrence Flood Depth Facility Type Name Classroom capacity,
(sq.m.)
y Score Loading capacity)

MSA 4 ≤1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Rombang Multi-purpose Hall 50.00

MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center Rombang Child Development Center 45.00 1 classroom
Rombang
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Rombang Elementary School 882.50 7 classroom

MSA 4 ≤1 meter Health Station Rombang Barangay Health Station 150.00

MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Salvacion Multi-purpose Hall 30.00


Salvacion
4 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center Salvacin Child Development Center 1 classroom
MSA 90.00
MSA 4 ≤1 meter Elementary School Sinaja-Salvacion Elementary School 292.50 8 classroom

MSA 4 ≤1 meter Bridge Sinaja Bridge 10 tons

Sinaja MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Sinaja Multi-purpose Hall 35.00

4 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center Sinaja Child Development Center 1 classroom


MSA 20.00
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Pumping Station Belison Water District Pumping Station 25.00
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Maradiona Elementary School 806.80 10 classrooms
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Bridge Maradiona Bridge 20 tons
Maradiona
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Maradiona Multi-purpose Hall 55.00
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center Maradiona Child Development Center 60.00 1 classroom
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Elementary School Mojon Elementary School 495.20 6 classrooms
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Child Development Center Mojon Child Development Center 40.00 1 classroom
Mojon
LSA 5 ≤1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Mojon Multi-purpose Hall 35.00
MSA 4 ≤1 meter Bridge Pansalgan Bridge 15 tons
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Child Development Center Ipil Child Development Center 50.00 1 classroom
Ipil LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Ipil Multi-purpose Hall 50.00
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Bridge Belison Bridge 20 tons
Notes: HSA- High Susceptible Area, MSA-Moderately Susceptible Area, LSA-Low Susceptible Area

124 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 26. Critical Point Facilities Flood Exposure Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 125


3.3.5. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Estimation to Flood

The lifeline utilities exposure to


flooding was determined by overlaying
the lifeline utilities exposure map
prepared in step 3 with the impact area
map of flood. Based on the overlying
derived from GIS, the total lifeline utilities
susceptible to flood is 22.1833 linear
kilometers with 6.4113 kilometers of it is
total road segment length. This is equal
to 61.42% of the total exposed lifeline
utilities. Table 36 summarized the
susceptible of the exposed elements to
flood including the vulnerability Figure 17. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Estimation to flood Mapping
attributes and exposure map.

Table 36. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Estimation to Flood


HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Likelihood Replacement Total Road
Exposed Value of
Flood of Road Cost per Segment Percentage
Name Flood Depth Length exposed
Susceptibility Occurrenc Classification linear Length of Exposure2
(Linear kms) 1 lifeline3
e Score kilometer (Linear kms)
Maradiona National
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter National 25,000,000 0.7210 0.7210 100.00% 7,704,650
Highway
Maradiona-Buenavista
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 20,000,000 2.2309 1.3284 59.55% 26,568,180
FTMR
Maradiona-Buenavista
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 20,000,000 2.2309 0.3082 13.81% 6,163,720
FTMR
Borocboroc National
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter National 25,000,000 0.8518 0.8518 100.00% 21,294,825
Highway
Delima National
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter National 25,000,000 0.8602 0.8602 100.00% 21,505,325
Highway
Silangan Bagong
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Barangay 10,000,000 0.4322 0.1245 28.82% 1,245,440
Lipunan Road
Notes: HSA- High Susceptible Area, MSA-Moderately Susceptible Area, LSA-Low Susceptible Area

126 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 36. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Total Road
Likelihood Replacement
Segment Exposed Percentage Value of
Flood of Flood Road Cost per
Name Length Length of exposed
Susceptibility Occurrenc Depth Classification linear
(Linear (Linear kms) 1 Exposure2 lifeline3
e Score kilometer
kms)
Silangan Bagong
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Barangay 0.4322 0.3077 71.18% 3,076,580
Lipunan Road 10,000,000
Poblacion National
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter National 2.4000 0.0619 2.58% 1,547,575
Highway 25,000,000
Poblacion National
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter National 2.4000 2.3381 97.42% 58,453,100
Highway 25,000,000
Poblacion to Igtuba
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 0.5375 0.3529 65.65% 7,057,740
Road 20,000,000
Poblacion to Igtuba
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 0.5375 0.1846 34.34% 3,691,600
Road 20,000,000
Regimiento Street LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 0.3271 0.3271 100.00% 6,542,000
20,000,000
Feliciana Street LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 0.2226 0.2226 100.00% 4,451,960
20,000,000
Feliciana Extension
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 0.3419 0.0539 15.78% 1,078,980
Road 20,000,000
Feliciana Extension
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 0.3419 0.2880 84.22% 5,759,160
Road 20,000,000
Ipil National Highway MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter National 0.5056 0.0919 18.18% 2,298,550
25,000,000
Ipil National Highway LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter National 0.5056 0.4136 81.81% 10,340,325
25,000,000
Igtuba Road MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 0.4697 0.4697 100.00% 9,394,520
20,000,000
Igtuba-Igcabugao Road MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 1.1150 0.9252 82.98% 18,504,540
20,000,000
Sinaja-Salvacion
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 1.0852 1.0232 94.29% 20,464,320
FTMR 20,000,000
Sinaja-Salvacion
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 1.0852 0.0620 5.71% 1,239,140
FTMR 20,000,000
Ballarta Street LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 0.4078 0.4078 100.01% 4,078,330
Barangay 10,000,000
Concepcion National
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter National 0.9227 0.9227 100.00% 23,068,300
Highway 25,000,000
1 Estimated exposed lifeline expressed in linear kilometer are GIS generated
2 Percentage of Exposure derived by dividing the exposed segment length with the total segment length

3 Estimated affected value derived by multiplying replacement cost per linear kms and affected linear distance

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 127


Table 36. Lifeline Utilities Exposure Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS
Likelihood Replacement Total Road
Exposed Value of
Flood of Road Cost per Segment Percentage
Name Flood Depth Length exposed
Susceptibility Occurrenc Classification linear Length of Exposure2
(Linear kms) 1 lifeline3
e Score kilometer (Linear kms)
≥1 meter or
Sinaja Provincial Road HSA 3 Provincial 20,000,000 1.3248 0.0405 3.06% 809,580
more
Sinaja Provincial Road MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Provincial 20,000,000 1.3248 1.1303 85.32% 22,605,800
Sinaja Provincial Road LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Provincial 20,000,000 1.3248 0.1540 11.62% 3,079,780

Mojon Provincial Road MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Provincial 20,000,000 0.8593 0.2118 24.65% 4,236,180

Mojon Provincial Road LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Provincial 20,000,000 0.8593 0.5042 58.67% 10,083,020
Rombang National
5 ≤ 1 meter 25,000,000 0.4036 0.4036 100.00% 10,090,300
Highway LSA National
Rombang Provincial
4 ≤ 1 meter 20,000,000 0.5789 0.0049 0.84% 97,600
Road MSA Provincial
Rombang Provincial
5 ≤ 1 meter 20,000,000 0.5789 0.5740 99.16% 11,480,360
Road LSA Provincial
Power Distribution Line MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Powerline - 6.7932 0.2994 4.41% -
Power Distribution Line LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Powerline - 6.7932 6.4938 95.59% -
Water Distribution Line MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Waterline - 22.7508 5.2397 23.03% -
Water Distribution Line LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Waterline - 22.7508 17.5112 76.97% -
1 Estimated exposed lifeline expressed in linear kilometer are GIS generated
2 Percentage of Exposure derived by dividing the exposed segment length with the total segment length
3 Estimated affected value derived by multiplying replacement cost per linear kms and affected linear distance

128 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 27. Lifeline Utilities Flood Exposure Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 129


3.4. Consequence Analysis

Assigning the severity of consequence score was based on expected magnitude of the hazard
(hazard characterization), the extent of exposure (determine through hazard exposure mapping) and the
vulnerabilities of the exposed elements (compiled in the exposure database), the combination of which is
the basis for determining the severity of consequence rating. Estimating the degree of damage is
qualitatively assigned using the degree of damage score matrix presented in Matrix 13.

Matrix 13. Severity of Consequence Score


Severity of
Natural Resources Critical Point
Category Consequence Population Urban Use Areas Lifeline Utilities
Production Areas Facilities
Score
≥40% of exposed
≥40% of Non-Residential Disruption of
production areas/means
≥20% of the based structures are Damages may lead service by lasting
of livelihood such as
population are severely damaged to the disruption of one week or more
fishponds, crops, poultry
Very High 4 affected and OR services which may (for Municipalities)
and livestock are other
in need of >20% of Residential last one week or and one day fo
agricultural/forest
immediate Structures are severely more Highly Urbanized
products are severely
damaged Areas
damaged;
>20 to <40% of Non-
10 t0 <20% of Disruption of
20 to <40% of exposed Residential based
affected service by
production areas/means structures are severely
population in Damages may lead approximately five
of livelihood such as damaged
need of to the disruption of days for
fishponds, crops, poultry
High 3 immediate services which may municipalities and
and livestock are other OR
assistance. 1- last three days to less than 18 hour
agricultural/forest
10 deaths and less than a week disruption for
products are severely >10-20% of Residential
or 10 or 100 highly urbanized
damaged; Structures are severely
injuries areas
damaged

130 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 13. Severity of Consequence Score
Severity of Natural
Critical Point
Category Consequence Population Resources Urban Use Areas Lifeline Utilities
Facilities
Score Production Areas

10 to <20% of
>10 to 20% of Non-
exposed
Residential based
5% to <10% of production
structures are Disruption of service
affected areas/means of
severely damaged Damages may lead to by approximately
population in livelihood such as
the disruption of three days for
need of fishponds, crops,
Moderate 2 OR services lasting for municipalities and
immediate poultry and
one day to less than less than six hour
assistance. 1-10 livestock are other
>5 to 10% of three days desruption for highly
injuries expected agricultural/forest
Residential urbanized areas
injuries products are
Structures are
severely
severely damaged
damaged;
<10% and below
of exposed
≤10% of production
5% of the production
based structures are
affected areas/means of Disruption of service
severely damaged
population in livelihood such as Damages may lead to by approximately one
need of fishponds, crops, the disruption of day for municipalities
Low 1 OR
immediate poultry and services lasting for and less than six hour
assistance. livestock are other less than one day desruption for highly
≤5% of dwelling
Cases of minor agricultural/forest urbanized areas
units are severely
injuries products are
damaged
severely
damaged;

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 131


3.5. Risk Estimation
The risks for various exposure units was estimated by multiplying the likelihood of occurrence score
to severity of consequence. After the computation of the risks scores, it was reclassify into risk categories
using the Risk Score Matrix (refer to Table 50.) and the Risk maps was prepared. The resulting risk
score/categories and risk maps provide a qualitative index of various location of high risk areas in the
locality.
Matrix 14. Risk Score
Likelihood of Severity of Consequence Score
Indicative Likelihood of
Occurrence Very High High Moderate Low
Occurrence
Score 4 3 2 2

Frequent (1-3 Years) 6 24 18 12 6

Moderate (4-10 Years) 5 20 15 10 5


Occasional Slight
Chance 4 16 12 8 4
(11-30 Years)
Improbable
(31-100 Years) 3 12 9 6 3

Rare
(101-200 Years) 2 8 6 4 2

Very rare
(>200 years) 1 4 3 2 1

132 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.5.1. Population Risk Estimation to Flooding
The table below (Table 37) presents the population risk estimation to flood of the barangays of the
municipality of Belison. At the same time, population risk map indicting the spatial extent and distribution
of risk (high, moderate, low) was prepared (Map 28). These will guide the identification of decision areas
for flooding hazard where site/areal issues and concerns can be articulated and the general policy
directions and options can be identified and enumerated.

Table 37. Population Risk Estimation to Flood, Municipality of Belison


HAZARD EXPOSURE VULNERABILITY

dwelling units with walls


*Population Density per

Percentage of young (<


Percentage of Informal
Exposure Percentage4
Hectare of Residential

5 y.o.) and old (above

Percentage of people
savageable materials
Exposed Population3
Barangay Population

population living in

Households Living
Occurrence Score

below the poverty


Residential Area

65) dependents

Score_Average
made of light to

with disabilities
Percentage of

Percentage of

Percentage of

Consequence
malnourished
Affected Area
Susceptibility

Likelihood of
Storm Surge

Flood Depth

(Hectares)2
(Hectares)

Severity of
individuals
Barangay

Risk

threshold
Settlers
Risk

Area1
Score
Category
QxC

MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 68.3746 4505 66 6.6047 124 2.75% 1.00% 0.80% 25.99% 1.53% 4.15% 0.02% 1
4 Low
Poblacion
LSA 5 ≤ meter 68.3746 4505 66 61.7699 984 21.84% 1.00% 0.80% 25.99% 1.53% 4.15% 0.02% 4
20 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 53.5245 1613 30 5.3729 140 8.68% 7.50% 1.24% 24.24% 2.23% 3.84% 0.31% 2
8 Moderate
Maradiona
LSA 5 ≤ meter 53.5245 1613 30 48.1516 1234 76.50% 7.50% 1.24% 24.24% 2.23% 3.84% 0.31% 4
20 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 37.3251 1261 34 0.5757 124 9.83% 8.55% 1.74% 20.86% 2.38% 5.71% 0.24% 2
8 Moderate
Borocboroc
LSA 5 ≤ meter 37.3251 1261 34 36.7494 984 78.03% 8.55% 1.74% 20.86% 2.38% 5.71% 0.24% 4
20 High
≥1 meter or
HSA 3 14.0675 887 63 0.0257 36 4.06% 1.13% 1.13% 23.45% 2.37% 2.71% 0.34% 1
more 3 Low
Sinaja MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 14.0675 887 63 13.3313 557 62.80% 1.13% 1.13% 23.45% 2.37% 2.71% 0.34% 4
16 High
LSA 5 ≤ meter 14.0675 887 63 0.7105 112 12.63% 1.13% 1.13% 23.45% 2.37% 2.71% 0.34% 3
15 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 19.5279 790 40 1.1261 184 23.29% 12.78% 0.76% 24.81% 2.15% 3.80% 0.13% 4
16 High
Delima
LSA 5 ≤ meter 19.5279 790 40 18.4018 569 72.03% 12.78% 0.76% 24.81% 2.15% 3.80% 0.13% 4
20 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 18.8263 744 40 4.5221 208 27.96% 3.90% 0.40% 19.49% 2.28% 4.97% 0.40% 4
16 High
Ipil
LSA 5 ≤ meter 18.8263 744 40 14.3042 522 70.16% 3.90% 0.40% 19.49% 2.28% 4.97% 0.40% 4
20 High

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 133


Table 37. Population Risk Estimation to Flood, Municipality of Belison
HAZARD EXPOSURE VULNERABILITY

*Population Density per Hectare of

Percentage of population living in

Percentage of Households Living


dwelling units with walls made of
Likelihood of Occurrence Score

and old (above 65) dependents


Percentage of Informal Settlers

Percentage of young (< 5 y.o.)


light to savageable materials

Percentage of malnourished
Residential Area (Hectares)

below the poverty threshold


Storm Surge Susceptibility

Percentage of people with


Affected Area (Hectares)2

Severity of Consequence
Exposure Percentage4
Exposed Population3
Barangay Population

Residential Area1

Score_Average
Flood Depth

disabilities

individuals
Barangay

Risk
Risk
Score
Category
QxC

MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 7.4924 497 66 6.5944 257 51.71% 5.23% 2.21% 23.54% 2.01% 5.23% 0.20% 3
12 High
Salvacion
LSA 5 ≤ meter 7.4924 497 66 0.898 195 39.24% 5.23% 2.21% 23.54% 2.01% 5.23% 0.20% 4
20 High

HSA 3 ≥1 meter or 22.0681 1263 57 0.0596 17 1.35% 0.55% 0.40% 22.01% 1.50% 4.28% 0.08%
more 1 3 Low
Concepcion MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 22.0681 1263 57 8.6699 346 27.40% 0.55% 0.40% 22.01% 1.50% 4.28% 0.08%
4 16 High
LSA 5 ≤ meter 22.0681 1263 57 553 43.78% 0.55% 0.40% 22.01% 1.50% 4.28% 0.08%
13.3386 4 20 High
≥1 meter or
HSA 3 15.0434 1016 68 1.0010 53 5.22% 2.46% 1.08% 24.80% 2.17% 4.13% 0.10%
more 2 6 Moderate
Rombang MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 15.0434 1016 68 750 73.82% 2.46% 1.08% 24.80% 2.17% 4.13% 0.10%
10.1660 4 16 High
LSA 5 ≤ meter 15.0434 1016 68 206 20.28% 2.46% 1.08% 24.80% 2.17% 4.13% 0.10%
3.8764 4 20 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 6.6142 461 70 0.2646 49 10.63% 1.73% 0.00% 26.90% 3.47% 8.46% 0.00%
2 8 Moderate
Mojon
LSA 5 ≤ meter 6.6142 461 70 1.4073 138 29.93% 1.73% 0.00% 26.90% 3.47% 8.46% 0.00%
4 20 High

134 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 28. Population Flood Risk Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 135


3.5.2. Natural Resource Production Area Risk Estimation to Flooding
The table below (Table 38) presents the natural resource production area risk estimation to flooding
of the barangays of the municipality of Belison. At the same time, risk map indicting the spatial extent and
distribution of risk (high, moderate, low) was prepared (Map 29). These will guide the identification of
decision areas for flooding hazard natural resource production areas.

Table 38. Natural Resource Production Areas Risk Estimation to Flood


HAZARD EXPOSURE SENSITIVITY INDICATORS

Average potential income

Percentage of production
Likelihood of Occurrence

Percentage of areas with

Percentage of areas with


Number farming families

Severity of Consequence
area with infrastructure
sustainable production
Exposure Percentage2

per hectare/year (Php)

Percentage of farming
Dominant crop/variety

Percentage of farmers
with access to hazard
who attended climate
Total area allocation

water impoundment
Flood Susceptibility

irrigation coverage
Exposed Value3

Score_Average
families using
Exposed Area

field schools

information
(Hectares)1

techniques
(hectares)

produced

coverage
Barangay Flood Depth Risk Risk
Score

Score Category

≥1 meter or
HSA 3 148.3698 Rice, Sugarcane 60.3684 40.7% 133,500 8,059,181 30 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% 3
more 9 Moderate
Sinaja MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 148.3698 Rice, Sugarcane 70.1341 47.3% 133,500 9,362,902 30 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% 4
16 High
LSA 5 ≤ meter 148.3698 Rice, Sugarcane 17.8673 12.0% 133,500 2,385,285 30 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% 2
10 Moderate
≥1 meter or
HSA 3 74.7801 Rice, Citrus 38.3218 51.2% 81,500 3,123,227 25 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% 4
more 12 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 74.7801 Rice, Citrus 36.4567 48.8% 81,500 2,971,221 25 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% 4
16 High
Salvacion
LSA 5 ≤ meter 74.7801 Rice, Citrus 0.0016 0.0% 81,500 130 25 0% 100% 100% 50% 0% 1
5 Moderate
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 2.9432 Tilapia 2.9432 100.0% 81,500 239,871 2 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 4
16 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1meter 58.2905 Rice, Sugarcane 49.8892 85.6% 192,000 9,578,726 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0% 4
16 High
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 58.2905 Rice, Sugarcane 8.4013 75.1% 192,000 1,613,050 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0% 4
20 High
Poblacion
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 11.1809 Tilapia, Bangus 11.1809 100.0% 25,456 284,621 2 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 4
16 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 3.1209 Nipa 3.1209 100.0% 45,000 140,441 0 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 4
16 High
MSA 4 ≤ meter 73.6149 Rice 61.2355 83.2% 117,000 7,164,554 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0% 4
16 High
Maradiona LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 73.6149 Rice 12.3794 16.8% 117,000 1,448,390 30 0% 100% 100% 100% 0% 3
15 High
LSA 5 ≤ 1meter 0.6235 Tilapia 0.6235 100.0% 12,408 7,736 2 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 4
20 High

136 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 38. Natural Resource Production Areas Risk Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE SENSITIVITY INDICATORS

access to hazard information


Percentage of farmers with
Exposed Area (Hectares)1

who attended climate field

families using sustainable


Average potential income

Severity of Consequence
Percentage of production
Likelihood of Occurrence

Percentage of areas with

Percentage of areas with


Number farming families
Exposure Percentage2

area with infrastructure


per hectare/year (Php)

Percentage of farming

production techniques
Dominant crop/variety
Total area allocation

water impoundment
Flood Susceptibility

irrigation coverage
Exposed Value3

Score_Average
(hectares)
Risk

produced

coverage
schools
Risk

Score
Barangay Flood Depth Scor
Category
e

MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 126.9853 Rice, Sugarcane 111.0936 87.5% 133,500 14,830,996 35 0% 100% 75% 75% 0% 4
16 High
LSA 5 ≤ 1meter 126.9853 Rice, Sugarcane 15.8898 12.5% 133,500 2,121,288 35 0% 100% 75% 75% 0% 3
15 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 7.2531 Tilapia, Bangus 0.1448 2.0% 25,456 3,686 5 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 1
4 Low
Ipil
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 7.2531 Tilapia, Bangus 7.1083 98.0% 25,457 180,956 5 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 4
20 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 2.5455 Nipa 2.4335 95.6% 44,999 109,505 0 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 4
16 High
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 2.5455 Nipa 0.1119 4.4% 45,000 5,036 0 0% 100% 100% 0% 0% 1
5 Moderate
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 80.1187 Rice 67.726 84.5% 117,000 7,923,942 35 0% 100% 75% 100% 0% 4
16 High
Delima
LSA 5 ≤ 1meter 80.1187 Rice 12.3918 15.5% 117,000 1,449,841 35 0% 100% 75% 100% 0% 3
15 High
HSA 3 ≥1 meter or 123.1571 Rice, Sugarcane 43.0196 34.9% 192,000 8,259,763 30 0% 100% 95% 100% 0% 3
more 9 Moderate
Concepcion MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter 123.1571 Rice, Sugarcane 38.0648 30.9% 192,000 7,308,442 30 0% 100% 95% 100% 0% 3
12 High
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 123.1571 Rice, Sugarcane 42.0727 34.2% 192,000 8,077,958 30 0% 100% 95% 100% 0% 3
15 High
MSA 4 ≤ 1meter 103.9267 Rice 76.4842 73.6% 117,000 8,948,651 25 0% 100% 75% 90% 0% 4
16 High
Borocboroc
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 103.9267 Rice 27.4425 26.4% 117,000 3,210,773 25 0% 100% 75% 90% 0% 3
15 High
≤ 1meter 73.7152 Rice 68.7610 93.3% 117,000 8,045,033 25 0% 100% 75% 75% 0%
MSA 4 4 16 High
Mojon
≤ 1 meter 73.7152 Rice 4.9542 6.7% 117,000 579,646 25 0% 100% 75% 75% 0%
LSA 5 1 5 Moderate
Peanut, Corn,
HSA 3 ≥1 meter or 116.8417 52.5410 45.0% 156,000 8,196,396 30 0% 100% 70% 50% 0%
vegetables, Sugarcane
more 4 12 High
Peanut, Corn,
Rombang MSA 4 ≤ 1meter 117.8417 14.2808 12.1% 156,000 2,227,805 30 0% 100% 70% 50% 0%
vegetables, Sugarcane
2 8 Moderate
Peanut, Corn,
LSA 5 ≤1 meter 118.8417 42.1% 156,000 7,803,109 30 0% 100% 70% 50% 0%
vegetables, Sugarcane
50.0199 4 20 High

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 137


Map 29. Natural Resource Production Area Flood Risk Map

138 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.5.3. Urban Use Areas Risk Estimation to Flood

Table 39 presents the urban use areas risk estimation to flooding of the barangays of the municipality
of Belison. At the same time, risk map indicting the spatial extent and distribution of risk (high, moderate,
low) was prepared (Map 30). These will guide the identification of decision areas for flooding hazard where
site/areal issues and concerns for urban use can be articulated and the general policy directions and
options can be identified and enumerated.

Table 39. Urban Use Areas Risk Estimation to Flood


HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY

Exposed Value (Php)3

condemned condition

infrastructure-related
savageable materials
Total Area Allocation

buildings with walls

employing hazard-
Occurrence Score

Existing Land Use

Replacement cost

made with light to

resistant building

hazard mitigation
per Land Use per

Exposed Area in

(PhP per square

No access/area
Structures not

Score_Average
Percentage of

Percentage of
(Specific Use)
Susceptibility

Likelihood of

Consequence
Storm Surge

Percentage2
Flood Depth

coverage to
dilapidated/
building in
Hectares1

measures
Severity of
Barangay

Exposure

design
meter)
Risk Risk
Score Category
Barangay

MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Residential 37.3251 0.5757 1.5% Residual Very Low Moderate Very High 4 Low
5,400 31,087,800 1
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Residential 37.3251 36.7494 98.5% Residual Very Low Moderate Very High 20 High
5,400 1,984,467,600 4
Borocoboroc
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Agri-industrial 0.1563 0.1563 100.0% 8,672 Residual Residual Very Low Very High 20 High
13,554,336 4
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Parks & Recreation 3.7091 3.7091 100.0% 0 NA NA NA Very High 5 Moderate
- 1
HSA 3 ≥1 meter Residential 14.0675 0.0257 0.2% 5,400 1,387,800 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High 3 Low
or more 1
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Residential 14.0675 13.3313 94.8% 5,400 719,890,200 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High 16 High
4
Sinaja LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 14.0675 0.7105 5.1% 5,400 38,367,000 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High 10 Moderate
2
MSA 4 ≤ meter Cemetery 3.2930 0.2493 7.6% 3,825 9,535,725 Residual Residual Very High Very High 4 Low
1
LSA 5 ≤ meter Cemetery 3.2930 1.5491 47.0% 3,825 59,253,075 Residual Residual Very High Very High 20 High
4
MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 19.5279 1.1261 5.8% 5,400 60,809,400 Residual Residual Moderate Very High 4 Low
1
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 19.5279 18.4018 94.2% 5,400 993,697,200 Residual Residual Moderate Very High 20 High
4
Delima
LSA 5 ≤ meter Tourism 1.0934 1.0934 100.0% 3,580 39,143,720 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High 20 High
4
LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 1.5808 1.5808 100.0% 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 5 Moderate

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 139


Table 39. Urban Use Areas Risk Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY

Exposed Value (Php)3

condemned condition

infrastructure-related
savageable materials
Total Area Allocation

buildings with walls

employing hazard-
Occurrence Score

Existing Land Use

Replacement cost

made with light to

resistant building

hazard mitigation
per Land Use per

Exposed Area in

(PhP per square

No access/area
Structures not

Score_Average
Percentage of

Percentage of
(Specific Use)
Susceptibility

Likelihood of

Consequence
Storm Surge

Percentage2
Flood Depth

coverage to
dilapidated/
building in
Hectares1

measures
Severity of
Barangay

Exposure

design
meter)
Risk Risk
Score Category
Barangay

MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Residential 68.3746 6.6047 9.7% 5,400 Very Low Residual Low Very High 8 Moderate
356,653,800 2
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Residential 68.3746 61.7699 90.3% 5,400 3,335,574,600 Very Low Residual Low Very High 20 High
4
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Commercial 23.9202 0.2821 1.2% 8,672 24,463,712 Residual Residual Low Very High 4 Low
1
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Commercial 23.9202 19.7705 82.7% 8,672 1,714,497,760 Residual Residual Low Very High 20 High
4
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Tourism 7.6511 5.7007 74.5% 3,580 204,085,060 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High 16 High
4
Poblacion
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Tourism 7.6511 1.9504 25.5% 3,580 69,824,320 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High 20 High
4
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Cemetery 1.1390 0.2131 18.7% 3,825 8,151,075 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High 8 Moderate
2
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Cemetery 1.1390 0.9256 81.3% 3,825 35,404,200 Moderate Very Low Very High Very High 20 High
4
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Parks & Recreation 3.9091 2.686 68.7% 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 4 Low
1
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Parks & Recreation 3.9091 1.2231 31.3% 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 5 Moderate
1
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Residential 18.8263 4.5221 24.0% 5,400 244,193,400 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High 16 High
4
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Residential 18.8263 14.3042 76.0% 5,400 772,426,800 Very Low Very Low Moderate Very High 20 High
4
Ipil
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Parks & Recreation 2.8869 0.8800 30.5% 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 4 Low

LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Parks & Recreation 2.8869 2.0069 69.5% 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 5 Moderate

MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 53.5245 5.3729 10.0% 5,400 290,136,600 Very Low Residual Moderate Very High 8 Moderate
2
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 53.5245 48.1516 90.0% 5,400 2,600,186,400 Very Low Residual Moderate Very High 20 High
4
Maradiona
100.0
LSA 4 ≤ meter Tourism 3.1826 3.1826 3,580 113,937,080 Moderate Low Very High Very High 16 High
% 4
100.0
LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 3.2180 3.2180 0 0 NA NA NA Very High 1 5 Moderate
%

140 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 39. Urban Use Areas Risk Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY

Exposed Value (Php)3

condemned condition

infrastructure-related
savageable materials
Total Area Allocation

buildings with walls

employing hazard-
Occurrence Score

Existing Land Use

Replacement cost

made with light to

resistant building

hazard mitigation
per Land Use per

Exposed Area in

(PhP per square

No access/area
Structures not

Score_Average
Percentage of

Percentage of
(Specific Use)
Susceptibility

Likelihood of

Consequence
Storm Surge

Percentage2
Flood Depth

coverage to
dilapidated/
building in
Hectares1

measures
Severity of
Barangay

Exposure

design
meter)
Risk Risk
Score Category
Barangay

MSA 4 ≤ meter Residential 7.4924 6.5944 88.0% 5,400 356,097,600 Moderate Low Very High Very High High
4 16
LSA 5 ≤ meter Residential 7.4924 0.898 12.0% 5,400 48,492,000 Moderate Low Very High Very High Moderate
2 10
≥1 meter
Salvacion HSA 3 Parks & Recreation 5.5206 2.7218 49.3% 0 0 NA NA NA Very High Low
or more 1 3
MSA 4 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 5.5206 2.2453 40.7% 0 0 NA NA NA Very High Low
1 4
LSA 5 ≤ meter Parks & Recreation 5.5206 0.5535 10.0% 0 0 NA NA NA Very High Moderate
1 5

HSA ≥1 meter Residential 22.0681 0.0596 0.3% 5,400 3,218,400 Residual Very Low Very High Very High Low
3 or more 1 3

MSA ≤ meter Residential 22.0681 8.6699 39.3% 5,400 468,174,600 Residual Very Low Very High Very High High
Concepcion 4 4 16

LSA ≤ meter Residential 22.0681 13.3386 60.4% 5,400 720,284,400 Residual Very Low Very High Very High High
5 4 20
LSA ≤ meter Commercial 6.6707 6.6707 100.0% 8,672 578,483,104 Residual N/A Very High High
5 4 20
Socialized Housing
MSA ≤ meter 1.8690 0.6415 34.3% 4,800 30,792,000 Moderate Low Very High Very High High
4 Site 4 16
Socialized Housing
LSA ≤ meter 1.8690 0.4571 24.5% 4,800 21,940,800 Moderate Low Very High Very High High
5 Site 4 20
Mojon
MSA ≤ meter Residential 6.6142 0.2646 4.0% 5,400 14,288,400 Moderate Low Very High Very High Low
4 1 4
LSA ≤ meter Residential 6.6142 1.4073 21.3% 5,400 75,994,200 Moderate Low Very High Very High High
5 4 20
≥1 meter
HSA Residential 15.0434 1.0010 6.7% 5,400 54,054,000 Low Low Very High Very High Moderate
3 or more 2 6
MSA ≤ meter Residential 15.0434 10.1660 67.6% 5,400 548,964,000 Low Low Very High Very High High
4 4 16
Rombang
LSA ≤ meter Residential 15.0434 3.8764 25.8% 5,400 209,325,600 Low Low Very High Very High High
5 4 20
LSA ≤ meter Cemetery 0.1259 0.1259 100.0% 3,825 4,815,675 Low Low Very High Very High High
5 4 20

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 141


Map 30. Urban Use Area Flood Risk Map

142 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.5.4. Critical Point Facilities Risk Estimation to Flood
The critical point facilities risk estimation to flood of the barangays of the municipality of Belison is
presented in Table 40. At the same time, risk map indicting the spatial extent and distribution of risk (high,
moderate, low) was prepared (Map 31) to guide the identification of decision areas for flooding hazard
critical point facilities so that general policy directions and options can be identified and enumerated.

Table 40. Critical Point Facilities Risk Estimation to Flood


HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY
Capacity
Structure
Likelihood (Bed/ Severity of
Flood Exposed Wall employin
of Flood Classroom Existing Conseque Risk Risk
Barangay Suscepti- Facility Type Name Area Materials g hazard
Occurrence Depth capacity, Condition nce Score_ Score Category
bility (sq.m.) Used resistant
Score Loading Average
design
capacity)
Borocboroc Barangay Health
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Health Station Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
Station 50.00
Child Development Borocboroc Child Development
Borocboroc LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 1 classroom Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
Center Center 50.00
Needs
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Borocboroc Multi-purpose Hall Concrete No 1 5 Moderate
50.00 Repair
Concepcion Barangay Health
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Health Station Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
Station 80.00
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Concepcion Elementary School 8 classrooms Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
983.40
Concepcion
Needs
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Concepcion Multi-purpose hall Concrete No 1 5 Moderate
45.00 Repair
Child Development Concepcion Child Development
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 1 classroom Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
Center Center 70.00
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School BDI Elementary School 9 classrooms Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
462.50
Needs
Delima LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Delima Multi-purpose Hall Concrete No 1 5 Moderate
30.00 Repair
Child Development Semi-
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Delima Child Development Center 1 classroom Dilapidated No 1 5 Moderate
Center 60.00 concrete
Child Development Semi-
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Ipil Child Development Center 1 classroom Dilapidated No 1 5 Moderate
Center 50.00 concrete
Needs
Ipil LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Ipil Multi-purpose Hall Concrete No 1 5 Moderate
50.00 Repair
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Bridge Belison Bridge 20 tons Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate

LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Maradiona Elementary School 10 classrooms Concrete Good No Moderate
806.80 1 5
Needs
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Bridge Maradiona Bridge 20 tons Concrete No Moderate
Repair 1 5
Maradiona
Needs
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Maradiona Multi-purpose Hall Concrete No Moderate
55.00 Repair 1 5
Child Development Maradiona Child Development Needs
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 1 classroom Concrete No Moderate
Center Center 60.00 Repair 2 10

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 143


Table 40. Critical Point Facilities Risk Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY
Capacity
Structure
Likelihood (Bed/ Severity of
Flood Exposed Wall employing
of Flood Classroom Existing Consequen Risk Risk
Barangay Suscepti- Facility Type Name Area Materials hazard
Occurrence Depth capacity, Condition ce Score_ Score Category
bility (sq.m.) Used resistant
Score Loading Average
design
capacity)

LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Mojon Elementary School 6 classrooms Concrete Good No Moderate
495.20 1 5
Child Development
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Mojon Child Development Center 1 classroom Concrete Good No Moderate
Center 40.00 1 5
Mojon
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Mojon Multi-purpose Hall Concrete Good No Moderate
35.00 1 5
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Bridge Pansalgan Bridge 15 tons Concrete Good No Moderate
2 8
MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Bridge Igtuba Bridge 20 tons Concrete Good No Moderate
2 8
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Belison Central School 22 classrooms Concrete Good No Moderate
3,938.30 1 5
Semi-
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Belison Little Angels Study Center 7 classrooms Good No Moderate
510.00 concrete 1 5
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Secondary School Belison National School 27 classrooms Concrete Good No Moderate
2,203.50 1 5
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Preschool Center Belison Catholic Preschool Center 1 classroom Concrete Good No Moderate
230.00 1 5
Semi- Needs
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Preschool Center Belison Christian Center 1 classroom No Moderate
90.00 concrete Repair 1 5
Kaputli kag Kapawa Learning
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Preschool Center 1 classroom Concrete Good No Moderate
Center 80.00 1 5
Building Young Minds Learning Semi- Needs
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Preschool Center 1 classroom No Moderate
Center 70.00 concrete Repair 1 5
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Poblacion Multi-purpose Hall Concrete Good No Moderate
60.00 1 5
Poblacion LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Police Station Belison Police Station Concrete Good No Moderate
120.00 1 5
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Fire Station Belison Fire Station Concrete Good No Moderate
50.00 1 5
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter PWD Center Belison PWD Center Concrete Good No Moderate
50.00 1 5
Senior Citizen
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Belison Senior Citizen Center Concrete Good No Moderate
Center 50.00 1 5
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Cellsite Globe Cellsite Steel Good No Moderate
25.00 1 5
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Cellsite Smart Cellsite Steel Good No Moderate
25.00 1 5
Needs
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Post Office Belison Post Office Concrete No Moderate
30.00 Repair 1 5
Child Development Poblacion Child Development
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 1 classroom Concrete Good No Moderate
Center Center 50.00 1 5
Child Development
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter National Child Development Center 1 Classroom Concrete Good No Moderate
Center 50.00 1 5
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Health Station Municipal Health Center 1 bed Concrete Good No Moderate
90.00 1 5

144 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Table 40. Critical Point Facilities Risk Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY
Capacity
Structure
Likelihood (Bed/ Severity of
Flood Exposed Wall employin
of Flood Classroom Existing Consequen Risk Risk
Barangay Suscepti- Facility Type Name Area Materials g hazard
Occurrence Depth capacity, Condition ce Score_ Score Category
bility (sq.m.) Used resistant
Score Loading Average
design
capacity)

Needs
4 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Rombang Multi-purpose Hall Concrete No Moderate
MSA 50.00 Repair 2 8
Child Development Rombang Child Development Needs
4 ≤ 1 meter 1 classroom Concrete No Moderate
MSA Center Center 45.00 Repair 2 8
Rombang
Semi- Needs
5 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Rombang Elementary School 7 classroom No Moderate
LSA 882.50 Concrete Repair 1 5
4 ≤ 1 meter Health Station Rombang Barangay Health Station Concrete Good No 12 High
MSA 150.00 3
Needs
4 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Salvacion Multi-purpose Hall Concrete No 8 Moderate
MSA 30.00 Repair 2
Salvacion
Child Development Needs
4 ≤ 1 meter Salvacin Child Development Center 1 classroom Concrete No 12 High
MSA Center 90.00 Repair 3
4 ≤ 1 meter Elementary School Sinaja-Salvacion Elementary School 8 classroom Concrete Good No 12 High
MSA 292.50 3
Needs
4 ≤ 1 meter Bridge Sinaja Bridge 10 tons Concrete No 8 Moderate
MSA Repair 2
Needs
Sinaja 4 ≤ 1 meter Multi-purpose Hall Sinaja Multi-purpose Hall Concrete No 8 Moderate
MSA 35.00 Repair 2
Child Development Semi- Needs
4 ≤ 1 meter Sinaja Child Development Center 1 classroom No 12 High
MSA Center 20.00 concrete Repair 3
Belison Water District Pumping Semi-
4 ≤ 1 meter Pumping Station Good No 16 High
MSA Station 25.00 concrete 4

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 145


Map 31. Critical Point Facilities Flood Risk Map

146 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.5.5. Lifeline Utilities Risk Estimation to Flood
Table 41 is the table for lifeline utilities risk estimation to flood of the barangays of the municipality of
Belison and Map 32 is the risk map indicting the spatial extent and distribution of risk (high, moderate, low).
These will guide the identification of decision areas for flooding hazard lifeline utilities where site/areal issues
and concerns can be articulated so that general policy directions and options can be identified and
enumerated.

Table 41. Lifeline Utilities Risk Estimation to Flood


HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY
Total
Road Exposed
Likelihood of Replacement Value of Hazard Severity of
Flood Flood Road Segment Length % of Existing Risk Risk
Name Occurrence Cost per linear exposed Surface type Resistant Consequence
Susceptibility Depth Classification Length (Linear Exposure Condition Score Category
Score kilometer lifeline2 Design Score_Average
(Linear kms)1
kms)

Maradiona National ≤1
LSA 5 National 25,000,000 100.00% Asphalt Good Yes 1 5 Moderate
Highway meter 0.7210 0.7210 7,704,650
Maradiona-Buenavista ≤1 Needs Major
MSA 4 Municipal 20,000,000 59.55% Gravel No 2 8 Moderate
FTMR meter 2.2309 1.3284 26,568,180 Repair
Maradiona-Buenavista ≤1 Needs Major
LSA 5 Municipal 20,000,000 13.81% Gravel No 1 5 Moderate
FTMR meter 2.2309 0.3082 6,163,720 Repair
≤1
Delima National Highway LSA 5 National 25,000,000 100.00% Asphalt Good Yes 1 5 Moderate
meter 0.8602 0.8602 21,505,325
Silangan Bagong Lipunan ≤1
MSA 4 Barangay 10,000,000 28.82% Concrete Good No 2 8 Moderate
Road meter 0.4322 0.1245 1,245,440
Silangan Bagong Lipunan ≤1
LSA 5 Barangay 10,000,000 71.18% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
Road meter 0.4322 0.3077 3,076,580
≤1
Poblacion National Highway MSA 4 National 25,000,000 2.58% Asphalt Good Yes 1 4 Low
meter 2.4000 0.0619 1,547,575
≤1
Poblacion National Highway LSA 5 National 25,000,000 97.42% Asphalt Good Yes 1 5 Moderate
meter 2.4000 2.3381 58,453,100
≤1 Needs Major
Poblacion to Igtuba Road MSA 4 Municipal 20,000,000 65.65% Gravel No 3 12 High
meter 0.5375 0.3529 7,057,740 Repair
≤1 Needs Major
Poblacion to Igtuba Road LSA 5 Municipal 20,000,000 34.34% Gravel No 2 10 Moderate
meter 0.5375 0.1846 3,691,600 Repair
≤1
Regimiento Street LSA 5 Municipal 20,000,000 100.00% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
meter 0.3271 0.3271 6,542,000
≤1
Feliciana Street LSA 5 Municipal 20,000,000 100.00% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
meter 0.2226 0.2226 4,451,960
≤1
Feliciana Extension Road MSA 4 Municipal 20,000,000 15.78% Concrete Good No 2 8 Moderate
meter 0.3419 0.0539 1,078,980
≤1
Feliciana Extension Road LSA 5 Municipal 20,000,000 84.22% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
meter 0.3419 0.2880 5,759,160

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 147


Table 41. Lifeline Utilities Risk Estimation to Flood
HAZARD EXPOSURE INDICATORS VULNERABILITY
Total
Road Exposed
Likelihood of Replacement Value of Hazard Severity of
Flood Road Segment Length % of Existing Risk Risk
Name Occurrence Flood Depth Cost per linear exposed Surface type Resistant Consequence
Susceptibility Classification Length (Linear Exposure Condition Score Category
Score kilometer lifeline2 Design Score_Average
(Linear kms)1
kms)

Ipil National Highway MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter National 18.18% Asphalt Good Yes 1 4 Low
25,000,000 0.5056 0.0919 2,298,550
Ipil National Highway LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter National 81.81% Asphalt Good Yes 1 5 Moderate
25,000,000 0.5056 0.4136 10,340,325
Needs
Igtuba Road MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 100.00% Gravel No 2 8 Moderate
20,000,000 0.4697 0.4697 9,394,520 Repair
Needs
Igtuba-Igcabugao Road MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 82.98% Gravel No 2 8 Moderate
20,000,000 1.1150 0.9252 18,504,540 Repair
Sinaja-Salvacion FTMR MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 94.29% Concrete Good No 2 8 Moderate
20,000,000 1.0852 1.0232 20,464,320
Sinaja-Salvacion FTMR LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Municipal 5.71% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
20,000,000 1.0852 0.0620 1,239,140
≥1 meter or
Sinaja Provincial Road HS 3 Provincial 3.06% Concrete Good No 3 9 Moderate
more 20,000,000 1.3248 0.0405 809,580
Sinaja Provincial Road MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Provincial 85.32% Concrete Good No 2 8 Moderate
20,000,000 1.3248 1.1303 22,605,800
Sinaja Provincial Road LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Provincial 11.62% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
20,000,000 1.3248 0.1540 3,079,780
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 100.01% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
Ballarta Street Barangay 10,000,000 0.4078 0.4078 4,078,330
Concepcion National
LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter 100.00% Asphalt Good Yes 1 5 Moderate
Highway National 25,000,000 0.9227 0.9227 23,068,300
4 ≤ 1 meter 24.65% Concrete Good No 1 4 Low
Mojon Provincial Road MSA Provincial 20,000,000 0.8593 0.2118 4,236,180
5 ≤ 1 meter 58.67% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
Mojon Provincial Road LSA Provincial 20,000,000 0.8593 0.5042 10,083,020
5 ≤ 1 meter 100.00% Asphalt Good Yes 1 5 Moderate
Rombang National Highway LSA National 25,000,000 0.4036 0.4036 10,090,300
4 ≤ 1 meter 0.84% Concrete Good No 2 8 Moderate
Rombang Provincial Road MSA Provincial 20,000,000 0.5789 0.0049 97,600
5 ≤ 1 meter 99.16% Concrete Good No 1 5 Moderate
Rombang Provincial Road LSA Provincial 20,000,000 0.5789 0.5740 11,480,360
Power Distribution Line MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Powerline - 4.41% N/A Good No 2 8 Moderate
6.7932 0.2994 -
Power Distribution Line LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Powerline - 95.59% N/A Good No 1 5 Moderate
6.7932 6.4938 -
Water Distribution Line MSA 4 ≤ 1 meter Waterline - 23.03% PVC Good No 3 12 High
22.7508 5.2397 -
Water Distribution Line LSA 5 ≤ 1 meter Waterline - 76.97% PVC Good No 2 10 High
22.7508 17.5112 -

148 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Map 32. Lifeline Utilities Flood Risk Map

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 149


3.6. Risk Evaluation
The following table present the risk evaluation for flooding hazard in each system of interest and
decision areas as per result of risk estimation conducted.

Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk


Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Population
High Risk population Potential occurrence of coastal Identification of new
Residential areas to flooding hazard and erosion and submergence of residential areas to
located close along during monsoon low-lying settlement areas accommodate the
Salvacion the mouth of Sibalom seasons sea level rise causing reduction of available 3 3 3 relocation of population
River and along the causes coastal flooding lands for residential uses and living in the low-lying
coastline. to the area (more than displacement of population coastal areas
1 meter flood depth) (impact)
More than 60% of the Seek assistance from
total exposed Exposure may increase in the NGAs in the provision of
population (6,320 out future due to geographic housing for low income
of 10,927) and 100% of location of the municipality families
Sinaja 1 2 1.5
the total residential added with natural population
area of each barangay growth and uncontrolled
susceptible to flooding informal settlers
hazard.
Percentage of Informal Disallow further
Settlers with no upgrading of residential
Extreme rainfall may increase
security of tenure areas in the impact areas
the depth of flood and coastal
ranges from 4 to 5% of Enforcement of Zoning
Rombang flooding affecting residential 2 2 2
the total barangay Ordinance on non-
structure and its inhabitants in
households buildable protections
the coastal areas
(Sensitivity) areas (i.e. buffers, water
easement, setbacks, etc.
Desilting of rivers and
de-clogging of canals

150 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priotiy
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Below Poverty Possible realignment of
household have government resources for Enact Forced and Pre-
limited financial disaster response, emptive Evacuation
capacity to relocate or reconstruction/rehabilitation Ordinance Conduct
retrofit while those which will greatly affect the regular drills and
Delima 2 3 2.5
above poverty level implementation of other trainings on disaster risk
may have capacity developmental programs and management and
but it takes into long projects preparedness
to medium term preferably to the high
(Adaptive Capacity) risk barangays
Local government Reduction of available land Provide alternate
resources are very for residential uses; livelihood opportunities
Ipil limited to generate 2 3 2.5 for families below
jobs poverty threshold

Installation of early
Majority of the Retaining residential lands warning devices (Flood
inhabitants are within the coastal areas may Monitoring Device) and
Maradiona 3 2 2.5
Philhealth insured be too costly to manage and contingency plans in
(Adaptive Capacity) mitigate in the long term monitoring potential
impact of floods
The vision of the municipality Establishment of green
to provide a safe and well- easements with trees
balanced environment for its along the coastlines
constituents is at stake
Integrating mitigation
measures in the
municipality’s
development plans,
programs and policies

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 151


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Decision Areas Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Natural Resource
Production Areas
(Crop Production)
Agricultural areas High Risk agricultural area Possible submergence of Identify other natural
near Sibalom River to flooding hazard. crop production areas resource production
and Belison River . which may cause reduction areas or tap other
in crop production resources areas within
Rombang 2 1 1.5 the municipality to
provide alternative
livelihood to potentially
affected families
Approximately 425.2727 Potential reduction in rice Allocate funds for the
hectares or 70.070M value and sugarcane crop Cultivation of flood
of rice and sugarcane output/yield causing low tolerant crops and trees
Concepcion crops production areas income to farmers 2 2 2
(Exposure)

Farming families do not Potential decrease in Adoption of crop rotation


use sustainable production municipal food sufficiency pattern in flood risk areas
Poblacion techniques (Sensitivity) 1 2 1.5

Available resources of the Enforce 20m setback for


LGU is not enough to agricultural activities
finance infrastructure along riverine as per
supportive to agriculture Water Code

152 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Farmers have limited Detrimental effect on the Provision of small
knowledge regarding socio-economic well- irrigation programs for
potential impacts of being of the farming upland farming (Pump
Flooding hazard to crop dependent families irrigation system for open
Ipil production since 1 3 2 Source, Pump and Engine
percentage of farmers who Set)
attended the climate field
school is very low
(Sensitivity)
Majority of farmers have Potential increase in the Improve the EWS by
access to crop insurance poverty incidence of the asking the assistance of
(Adaptive Capacity) municipality the provincial agricultural
office and regional office
of the agriculture

Only 41% of the farming The vision of the Provide extension


families had availed the municipality to become a services for more effective
agricultural extension progressive agricultural and efficient agricultural
services of the LGU due to community will be operations with emphasis
limited personnel of the jeopardized on utilizing areas for other
office crop production aside from
rice and sugarcane given
the potential changes in
the ecology of the area
due to frequent flooding
Limited alternative Encourage farmers to use
livelihood opportunities sustainable production
(Adaptive Capacity) techniques through the
assistance of the MAO

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 153


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Natural Resource
Production Areas
(Aquaculture)
Fish pond area located High Risk inland Possible submergence Shift to sustainable
adjacent to Belison fisheries to flooding of inland fisheries fisheries production
River and close to the Hazard. production areas or 2 3 2.5 suited with mangrove
coastline damage of fishponds and wetland type habitat

Ipil Almost 18.434 hectares Identify other natural


or 469,256.00 value of resource production
fisheries production areas to provide
areas are totally Economic loses to alternative livelihood or
exposed (98% of the inland fisheries alternate location to
total aquaculture area) dependent families potentially affected
(Exposure) families

Absence of flooding Potential decrease in Maintain existing areas


mitigation infrastructure municipal food for fisheries production
(Sensitivity) sufficiency but employing an
incremental adaptation
Absence of sustainable Need to shift to sea or mitigation approach
fisheries production water/brackish water Provide extension
techniques (Sensitivity) based fish production services for more
tightening competition effective and efficient
among fisherfolks agricultural operations
and emphasis on
utilizing areas for
fisheries and other
aquaculture production
given the potential
changes in the ecology
of the area

154 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Natural Resource
Production Areas
(Aquaculture)
Low level of fisheries Reduction of 18.434 Establish buffer zones
extension services provided hectares of inland fish on mangrove and
due to the absence of production areas and mudflat areas vis-à-vis
Agricultural Technician for potential loss in income built-up and aquaculture
Fisheries assigned in the areas
office of the Municipal
Poblacion Agriculture 2 2 2
Outsourcing of funds can be Potential increase in the Encourage participation
made from the regional and poverty incidence of the of stakeholders and end
national agencies supportive municipality users of aquatic
to fishery. resources in the
implementation of
fisheries policies, laws
and ordinances
Limited alternative livelihood Provision of alternative Provide skills training for
opportunities (Adaptive livelihood or utilizing other fish preservation and
Capacity) resources for agriculture processing to affected
production to potentially families for alternative
affected families may livelihood
affect other economic
development
project/programs
Available resources of the
LGU is not enough to
finance infrastructure
supportive to fishery

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 155


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave

Urban Use Areas


High tourism areas to Potential submergence Setback/ buffer requirements
flooding hazard with a of tourism potential must be observed as per
total of 11.9625 hectares areas Water code and foreshore
(Poblacion-7.6511,
Maradiona Tourism Tourism areas close Delima-1.0934,
Maradiona-3.2180) or 2 2 2
Areas to the coastline
100% of the total area for
Tourism purposes
(Exposure)

High proportion of building Economic loses from Enforcement of Zoning


with walls made of light to income in tourism Ordinance on non-buildable
salvageable materials, protections areas (i.e.
and mostly is in buffers, water easement,
dilapidated state setbacks, open spaces,
(Sensitivity) special zones, etc.)

Majority of the structures Need to identify Mangrove reforestation


do not employ hazard- alternate site for along the coastlines, rivers
resistant building design tourism purposes but it and other natural waterways
and no protection will require a big (to include balling and
Tourism areas close infrastructure coverage capital to the owners replanting of mangroves at
Delima Tourism Areas 3 2 2.5
to the coastline (Sensitivity) appropriate sites)

156 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave

Urban Use Areas


Willingness to relocate is Increase in rainfall may Integrating flood mitigation
very little considering the enhance the depth of measures in the
nature of business and floods and coastal municipality’s development
services (Adaptive flooding which may plans, programs and policies
Capacity) possibly cause coastal
erosion putting the Enforce anti-dumping and
structures (resort) into burning of wastes in the
at risk coastal areas
Majority of the resort owner Structural mitigation of Establishment of artificial
is willing to retrofit their building and reefs to promote marine life
highly vulnerable structures construction of sea in areas with a generally
Poblacion Tourism Tourism areas close and to conform with added walls will be very costly featureless bottom, to control
3 3 3
Areas to the coastline zoning regulations but it will but needs to be erosion, block ship passage,
require a medium term prioritize to protect and or improve surfing
(Adaptive Capacity) preserve the areas
Alternative site is very Possible realignment Construction of sea walls or
limited but local of government breakwater along the coastal
government can sourced resources for disaster areas by outsourcing funds
out fund for adaptation from response, from OCD, PSF and other
the regional to national reconstruction/rehabilit funding agencies and
agency or through public- ation which will greatly promote private-public
private partnership affect the partnership with the resort
(Adaptive Capacity) implementation of owners in the maintenance
other developmental of the structure
programs and projects

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 157


Decision Areas Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Critical Point
Facilities
Salvacion Child Flood plains located High Risk Child Potential submergence of Renovate the structure for
Development Center in Barangay Development Centers to facilities to flood waters elevation of facilities to cope up
Salvacion flooding hazard of ≤1 meter 3 3 3 with the height of flood
occuring >10 to 30 years
(Exposure)
Majority of the structures do Relocating the facility is not Conduct regular drills and
not employ hazard-resistant feasible due to unavailability trainings on disaster risk
building design and no of alternate site preparedness to affected
protection infrastructure constituents
coverage (Sensitivity)
Although funds from the The barangay is forced to Regular declogging of
LGU can be set aside for allocate sufficient waterways and desilting of
retrofitting, but it will appropriation to retrofit the rivers
significantly affect the structure to adapt the impact
implementation of other of flood in a short to medium
local development term which will greatly affect
programs and projects the implementation of other
(Adaptive Capacity) developmental programs and
projects
Pump Station Belison Flood Plains 24 sq. m exposed to flood Potential submergence of Establishment of additional
Located in Brgy. of ≥ 1 meter flood depth facility to flood waters which pumping station to serve as
Sinaja occurring 10-30 years may cause disruption of 3 3 3 alternate facility in safer areas
water supply to anticipate potential disruption
or reduction in service capacity
Although majority of the Possible reduction in the Construction of revetment walls
building is made of concrete efficiency of social welfare along the riverbank through
materials but mostly is in services (Child Development 2 2 2 outsourcing of funds from the
dilapidated state and needs Services) DPWH and other national
major repair (Sensitivity) agencies

158 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Critical Point
Facilities
Existing condition in good Encourage the water
Sinaja Child Flood plains located but the structure do not Reduction of potable water supply district to acquire
2 2 2
Development Center in Barangay Sinaja employed hazard resistant which may impact the well-being insurance coverage
design (vulnerability) and way of life of the constituents
The structure is made of Establishment of
semi concrete materials Possible outbreak of water borne elevated tank to ensure
and is in good condition diseases safe water supply to the
(Vulnerability) consumers
No property insurance Higher water rates and increase
coverage and addressing of pressure for competing water uses
damage is mostly done
through repairs using the Possible Increase in morbidity and
district's fund (Adaptive mortality rate
Capacity)
Funds for planned The mission of the municipality to
adaptation (I.E) retrofiting uplift the quality of life of its
and relocation is very constituents by providing necessary
limited due to low income of basic services will be jeopardized
the district and
unavailability of relocation
site. (Adaptive Capacity)
The barangay is forced to allocate
sufficient appropriation to retrofit the
structure to adapt the impact of flood
in a short to medium term which will
greatly affect the implementation of
other developmental programs and
projects

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 159


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Critical Point
Facilities
Rombang Health Flood plains located 150 sq. m. exposed to flood of ≤ Potential submergence Renovate the structure for
Station in Brgy. Rombang 1 meter flood depth occurring of facility to flood waters elevation to cope up with the
every > 10-30 years (Exposure) causing damages to the 3 2 2.5 height of flood
structure Provision of efficient drainage
system and waterways
Building is made of concrete Establishment of flood control
materials and existing condition Provision of health (spur dike) through
is good however it do not employ services will be outsourcing of funds from the
hazard mitigation design hampered which may national agencies
(Vulnerability) No property impact the health and
insurance coverage well-being of the
(Vulnerability) constituents
LGU resosurces for retrofiting Possible Increase in Desilting of rivers and regular
and relocation is very limited. morbidity and mortality declogging of canals and
(Adaptive Capacity) rate waterways
LGU funds can be set aside for Relocating the facility is Planting of bamboo along the
retrofiting and relocation but it not feasible due to riverbanks to minimize soil
will significantly affect the unavailability of erosion
implementation of other alternate site
development programs and
projects. (Adaptive Capacity)

Funds for planned adaptation The mission of the Recommend to proper


can out sourced through other municipality to uplift the authorities to regulate the
sources of funds such us from quality of life of its quarrying activities within the
the DOH with posible [conterpart constituents by riverine of Sibalom River
from the LGU (Adaptive providing necessary
Capacity) basic services will be
jeopardized

160 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Lifeline Utilities
Water Distribution Main destribution Approximately 12.0784 or Potential contamination of Integrate hazard design in
Lines line located in the 53.09% of the Level III water water source and supply future expansions
flood plains of brgy. distribution lines of the due to flooding
Sinaja connecting Belison Water District
3 3 3
the pumping station exposed to flooding hazard
to the destribution (Exposure)
lines in the whole
service area
Although existing condition is Possible shortage of Maintain water chlorination
good but possibility of water potable water supply which and conduct regular water
contamination may occur may impact the health, well- testing to monitor the
during flooding since the being and way of life of the potability of the water source
design is not hazard resistant people and supply
(Sensitivity)

Water distribution lines do Possible outbreak of water Advise the water district to
not have insurance coverage borne diseases conduct regular flushing
and addressing of damages
is mostly done through
repairs using the district’s
fund. (Adaptive Capacity)
Higher water rates and
increase pressure for
competing water uses

Potential Increase in the


morbidity and mortality rate
of the municipality

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 161


Decision Area Policy Interventions/Risk
Decision Areas Technical Findings Implications Risk Acceptability/Prioritization Management Option
Description
AA AB AC AD AE AF AG
Priority Priority Priority
Score_1 Score_n Score_Ave
Lifeline Utilities
Poblacion to Igtuba Municipal Road high risk municipal road Potential submergence of utilities to Elevation of horizontal
Road located adjacent to to flooding hazard (1m flood waters, hampering the daily utilities to minimize the
Belison River and flood depth occuring 10- activities of the people effect of flood
connecting FTMR 30 years) (Exposure)
and other sitio's of 1 2 1.5
the Municipality. Road is covered of gravel Distraction in the delivery of basic
and is in bad condition services due to flooded roads
(Sensitivity)
Maradiona-Buenavista Road segment do not Potential damage or disruption of Provision of alternate road
FTMR have hazard resistant key transportation infrastructure access
3 3 3
design. (Sensitivity) affecting the area access and
linkages
Sinaja-Salvacion Possible isolation of the inner Employ hazard resistant
FTMR barangays (Buenavista & Salvacion) design in the construction
during flooding due to absence of 2 2 2 of alternate road access
alternate road access
Considering the limited The vision of the municipality to
income of the LGU, funds provide a safe and well-balanced
for road improvement or environment for its constituents is at
establishment of new stake Provision of efficient
local roads is very limited drainage system and
(Adaptive Capacity) waterways
No available Alternative
redundant route The mission of the municipality to
(Adaptive capacity) uplift the quality of life of its
constituents by providing necessary
basic services will be jeopardized

162 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


3.7. SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
Based on the assessment conducted, the major decision areas for each system of interest was
determined. The following is the summary of land use constraints and issues related to climate and
disaster risk.
POPULATION: Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise POPULATION: Risk to Flooding Hazard

DA 6 DA 6

DA 5 DA 5
DA 4 DA 4

DA 3 DA 3

DA 2 DA 2

DA 1
DA 1

Major Decision Area: BARANGAY SALVACION

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 163


Matrix 15. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Population
Major Decision Description Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
Area B C D
A
Salvacion  Residential areas of  Medium-High population  Potential occurrence of coastal  Identification of new residential areas to
the barangay vulnerability to sea level rise erosion and submergence of low- accommodate the relocation of
located in the flood (1m height) and high risk lying settlement areas causing population living in the low-lying coastal
plains, close along population to flooding hazard reduction of available lands for and flood prone areas
the mouth of (more than 1 meter flood residential uses (impact)  Seek assistance from NGAs in the
Sibalom River and depth) (exposure)  Exposure may increase in the future provision of housing for low income
along the coastline.  More than 45% of the total due to geographic location of the families
population (229) exposed to municipality added with natural  Disallow further upgrading of residential
sea level and 100% to flooding population growth and uncontrolled areas in the impact areas
and total residential area is informal settlers  Enforcement of Zoning Ordinance on
exposed to both Sea level rise  Increase in temperature may non-buildable protections areas (i.e.
and flooding (exposure) enhance the strength and magnitude buffers, water easement, setbacks,
 Percentage of Informal Settlers of tropical typhoons and monsoon open spaces, special zones, etc.)
with no security of tenure is 7% winds affecting residential structure  Provide alternate livelihood
with 5% of the households and its inhabitants in the coastal opportunities for families below poverty
living in makeshift and has 6% areas threshold
poverty threshold(Sensitivity)  Possible realignment of government  Installation of early warning system and
 Below Poverty household have resources for disaster response, contingency plans in monitoring
limited financial capacity to reconstruction/rehabilitation potential impact of the climate change
relocate or retrofit while those  Reduction of available land for stimulus and flooding hazard
above poverty level may have residential uses;  Establishment of green easements with
capacity but it takes into long to  Retaining residential lands within the trees along the coastlines and
medium term (Adaptive coastal areas may be too costly to riverbanks
Capacity) manage and mitigate in the long term  Integrating mitigation measures in the
 Local government resources  Possible occurrence of vector and municipality’s development plans,
are very limited to generate water borne diseases affecting the programs and policies
jobs health of the constituents  Enact Forced and Pre-emptive
 38% of the inhabitants are  The vision of the municipality to Evacuation Ordinance
Philhealth insured (Adaptive provide a safe and well-balanced  Conduct regular drills and trainings on
Capacity) environment for its constituents is at disaster risk management and
stake preparedness preferably to the high risk
barangays
 De silting of rivers and de-clogging of
canals

164 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


NATURAL RESOURCE PRODUCTION AREAS: NATURAL RESOURCE PRODUCTION AREAS:
Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise Risk to Flooding Hazard

DA 4 DA 4
DA 3
DA 3

DA 2 DA 2
DA 1
DA 1

Major Decision Area (Crop Production): IPIL


(Aquaculture): POBLACION FISHPOND AREAS

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 165


Matrix 16. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Natural Resource Production Areas, (Crop Production)
Major Decision Description Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
Area B C D E
A
Ipil  Agricultural areas  Medium-High agricultural crop  Possible  Identify other natural resource production
along the river vulnerability to Sea Level Rise (1m height) submergence of crop areas or tap other resources areas within
bank of Belison and high risk to flooding hazard production areas the municipality to provide alternative
River and in the  Approximately 127 hectares or 16.9M which may cause livelihood to potentially affected families
flood plains of the value of rice and sugarcane crops reduction in crop  Allocate funds for the Cultivation of saline
barangay. production areas (Exposure) production tolerant and flood tolerant crops and
 Farming families do not use sustainable  Potential reduction in trees
production techniques (Sensitivity) rice and sugarcane  Adoption of crop rotation pattern
 Farmers have limited knowledge regarding crop output/yield  Provision of small irrigation programs for
potential impacts of Climate Change and causing low income to upland farming (Pump irrigation system
flooding hazard to crop production since farmers for open Source, Pump and Engine Set)
percentage of farmers who attended the  Potential decrease in  Improve the EWS by asking the
climate field school is very low (Sensitivity) municipal food assistance of the provincial agricultural
 Non-irrigable crop production areas has no sufficiency office and regional office of the
access to water impoundment (Sensitivity)  Detrimental effect on agriculture
 Majority of farmers have access to crop the socio-economic  Encourage farmers to use sustainable
insurance (Adaptive Capacity) well-being of the production techniques through the
 Only 41% of the farming families had farming dependent assistance of the MAO
availed the agricultural extension services families  Enforce 20m setback for agricultural
of the LGU due to limited personnel of the  Potential increase in activities along riverine as per Water
office the poverty incidence Code
 Limited alternative livelihood opportunities of the municipality  Provide extension services for more
(Adaptive Capacity)  The vision of the effective and efficient agricultural
 Available resources of the LGU is not municipality to operations with emphasis on utilizing
enough to finance infrastructure supportive become a progressive areas for other crop production aside
to agriculture agricultural from rice and sugarcane given the
community will be potential changes in the ecology of the
jeopardized area due to sea level rise and frequent
flooding

166 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 17. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Natural Resource Production Areas, (Aquaculture)

Major Decision Description Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions


Area B C D E
A
Poblacion  Fish pond area located  Medium-High inland fisheries  Permanent submergence of  Shift to sustainable fisheries production
adjacent to Belison vulnerability to Sea Level Rise (1m inland fisheries production suited with mangrove and wetland type
River and close to the height) and High Risk to flooding areas or damage of fishponds habitat
coastline Hazard (exposure)  Economic loses to inland  Identify other natural resource
 Almost 11.434 hectares or fisheries dependent families production areas to provide alternative
469,256.00 value of fisheries  Potential decrease in livelihood or alternate location to
production areas are totally municipal food sufficiency potentially affected families
exposed (95% of the total  Need to shift to sea  Maintain existing areas for fisheries
aquaculture area) (Exposure) water/brackish water based production but employing an
 Absence of Sea Level Rise and fish production tightening incremental adaptation or mitigation
flooding hazard mitigation competition among fisherfolks approach
infrastructure (Sensitivity)  Reduction of 11.434 hectares  Provide extension services for more
 Absence of sustainable fisheries of inland fish production areas effective and efficient agricultural
production techniques (Sensitivity) and potential loss in income operations and emphasis on utilizing
 Low level of fisheries extension  Potential increase in the areas for fisheries and others
services provided due to the poverty incidence of the aquaculture production given the
absence of Agricultural Technician municipality potential changes in the ecology of the
for Fisheries assigned in the office  Provision of alternate area due to storm surge
of the Municipal Agriculture livelihood or utilizing other  Establish buffer zones on mangrove and
 Outsourcing of funds can be made resources for agriculture mudflat areas vis-à-vis built-up and
from the regional and national production to potentially aquaculture areas
agencies supportive to fishery. affected families may affect  Encourage participation of stakeholders
 Limited alternative livelihood other economic development and end users of aquatic resources in
opportunities (Adaptive Capacity) project/programs the implementation of fisheries policies,
 Available resources of the LGU is laws and ordinances
not enough to finance infrastructure  Provide skills training for fish
supportive to fishery preservation and processing to affected
families for alternative livelihood

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 167


URBAN USE AREAS: Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise URBAN USE AREAS: Risk to Flooding Hazard

DA 3 DA 3

DA 2
DA 2

DA 1
DA 1

Major Decision Area: TOURISM AREAS IN BARANGAY POBLACION

168 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 18. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Urban Use Areas
Major Description Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
Decision Area B C D E
A
Poblacion-Tourism  Tourism areas close to  Medium-Low exposure to sea  Permanent submergence of  Setback/ buffer requirements must
Areas the coastline and prone level rise (1m height) and high tourism potential areas be observed as per Water code and
to coastal flooding risk to flooding hazard with a total  Economic loses from income in foreshore
of 7.6511 hectares or 100% of tourism  Enforcement of Zoning Ordinance
the total area for Tourism  Need to identify alternate site for on non-buildable protections areas
purposes (Exposure) tourism purposes but it will require (i.e. buffers, water easement,
 High proportion of building with a big capital to the owners setbacks, open spaces, special
walls made of light to  Increase in rainfall may enhance zones, etc.)
salvageable materials, and the depth of floods and coastal  Mangrove reforestation along the
mostly is in dilapidated state flooding which may possibly cause coastlines, rivers and other natural
(Sensitivity) coastal erosion putting the waterways (to include balling and
 Majority of the structures do not structures (resort) into at risk replanting of mangroves at
employ hazard-resistant building  Increase in temperature may appropriate sites)
design and no protection enhance the depth of sea level and  Integrating flooding mitigation
infrastructure coverage strength and magnitude of tropical measures in the municipality’s
(Sensitivity) typhoons and monsoon winds development plans, programs and
 Willingness to relocate is very which may greatly affect the policies
little considering the nature of sensitive structures  Enforce anti-dumping and burning
business and services (Adaptive  Structural mitigation of building and of wastes in the coastal areas
Capacity) construction of sea walls will be  Establishment of artificial reefs to
 Majority of the resort owner is very costly but needs to be prioritize promote marine life in areas with a
willing to retrofit their highly to protect and preserve the areas generally featureless bottom, to
vulnerable structures and to  Possible realignment of control erosion, block ship
conform with added zoning government resources for disaster passage, or improve surfing
regulations but it will require a response,  Construction of sea walls or
medium term (Adaptive reconstruction/rehabilitation which breakwater along the coastal areas
Capacity) will greatly affect the by outsourcing funds from OCD,
 Alternative site is very limited but implementation of other PSF and other funding agencies
local government can sourced developmental programs and and promote private-public
out fund for adaptation from the projects partnership with the resort owners
regional to national agency or in the maintenance of the structure
through public-private
partnership (Adaptive Capacity)

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 169


Critical Point Facilities: Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise Critical Point Facilities: Risk to Flooding Hazard

DA 2
DA 2 DA 1
DA 1
DA 3 DA 3
DA 4 DA 4

Major Decision Area: BELISON WATER DISTRICT PUMPING STATION

170 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 19. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Critical Point Facilities
Decision Description Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
Areas B C D
A
Belison Water  Low-lying and Flood  High exposure to sea level rise  Potential submergence of facility  Establishment of additional pumping
District Pumping Plains Located in Brgy. (1m height) and high risk to to flood and saline waters which station to serve as alternate facility
Station (Sinaja) Sinaja and close to the flooding hazard with 24 sq. m may cause disruption of water in safer areas to anticipate potential
river bank of Sibalom exposed to flood of ≥ 1 meter supply disruption or reduction in service
River flood depth occurring 10-30  Reduction of potable water supply capacity
years (Exposure) which may impact the well-being  Encourage the water district to
 Existing condition in good but and way of life of the constituents acquire insurance coverage
the structure do not employed  Reduction of potable water supply  Establishment of elevated tank to
hazard resistant design which may impact the well-being ensure safe water supply to the
(vulnerability) and way of life of the constituents consumers
 The structure is made of semi  Higher water rates and increase
concrete materials and is in good pressure for competing water
condition (Vulnerability) uses
 No property insurance coverage  Possible Increase in morbidity
and addressing of damage is and mortality rate
mostly done through repairs  The mission of the municipality to
using the district's fund (Adaptive uplift the quality of life of its
Capacity) constituents by providing
 Funds for planned adaptation necessary basic services will be
(I.E) retrofitting and relocation is jeopardized
very limited due to low income of  Possible occurrence of water
the district and unavailability of borne diseases
relocation site. (Adaptive
Capacity)

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 171


Lifeline Utilities: Vulnerability to Sea Level Rise Lifeline Utilities: Risk to Flooding Hazard

DA 3 DA 3

DA 2
DA 2

DA 1
DA 1

Major Decision Area: MARADIONA-BUENAVISTA FTMR

172 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


Matrix 20. Major Decision Area Summary Matrix for Lifeline Utilities
Major Decision Description Technical Findings Implications Policy Interventions
Area B B C D
A
Maradiona-  Low-lying Farm to Market  Medium-low exposure to sea  Potential submergence of the  Pave and elevate the road to
Buenavista Farm- Road located in the flood level rise (1m height) and high portion of road to sea water and minimize the effect of flood and
to-Market Road plains and connecting risk municipal road to flooding flood water hampering the flow of sea level rise
barangay Buenavista and hazard (1m flood depth transportation and delivery of  Provision of alternate road access
other sitio's of the Municipality occurring 10-30 years) basic services  Employ hazard resistant design in
to the main transportation (Exposure)  Distraction in the delivery of the construction of alternate road
access  Road is covered of gravel and is basic services due to flooded access
in bad condition (Sensitivity) roads  Provision of efficient drainage
 Road segment do not have  Potential damage or disruption of system and waterways
hazard resistant design. key transportation infrastructure  Access funds to finance the
(Sensitivity) affecting the area access and paving of the said road
 Considering the limited income linkages
of the LGU, funds for road  Possible isolation of the inner
improvement or establishment barangay (Buenavista) and
of new local roads is very limited sitio’s during flooding and sea
(Adaptive Capacity) level rise due to absence of
 No available Alternative alternate road access
redundant route (Adaptive  The vision of the municipality to
capacity) provide a safe and well-balanced
environment for its constituents
is at stake
 The mission of the municipality to
uplift the quality of life of its
constituents by providing
necessary basic services will be
jeopardized

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 173


Chapter 4 ADAPTIVE CAPACITY ANALYSIS

Rural resiliency refers to the capacity of a rural region to adapt to changing external circumstances
in such a way that a satisfactory standard of living is maintained, while coping with its inherent ecological,
economic and social vulnerability. Although rural areas are facing rapid changes and uncertainties in the
economic, social, and infrastructure sector that affect their future, little attention has been paid to the
resilience of these areas. The concept of rural resilience determines the degree to which a specific rural
area is able to tolerate alteration before reorganizing around a new set of structures and processes. It can
be described by how well a rural area can simultaneously balance ecosystem, economic and cultural
functions. As such, the rural resilience perspective refers to a rural
area’s ability to cope with its inherent economic, ecological and
cultural vulnerability.

The municipality’s adaptive capacity relies on regular


services, programmes, national policies, and civil society
organization networks for support. Current measures addressing
climate risks are mandate-driven and concentrate on social
Erosion in the coastal area of Brgy Salvacion
services disaster responses directed towards addressing the
impacts of flooding and storm surges. This is evident in the policies, programs and projects pursued by the
municipality such as implementation of buffers along the shoreline and the edges of the rivers. Planting of

174 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


trees and other vegetation in these buffer zones to help control erosion and protect structures and other
property from damage. Construction of drainage system and efforts to construct a sea wall within the
coastline are very visible. However, private sector participation is very minimal, implying heavy
dependence on local drawn resources and aid from national agencies. Noticeable in these measures is
the absence of cooperation of the people in the implementation of these policies. Base on earlier
assessments of threat levels, flooding has a very high impact to the municipality. Despite of the policies on
buffer zone, still many of the constituents violates the policy. Many are still irresponsible in managing their
waste making drainage system as dumping areas. As impacts are context-specific, adaptive measures
should likewise be so hence, cooperation of the private sector is very necessary.

It is also worth noting that measures to address the impacts of drought are also very limited. Although
the municipality is moderately vulnerable to this hazard, yet it frequently experiences such hazard in recent
decades and because the municipality is an agriculture-based municipality, there is a need to address
such hazards. In terms of hazard, the municipality is most intense on averting the impacts of typhoons and
flooding, and least equipped for sea level rises and drought. The municipality’s lessons from past typhoons
and flooding events have improved the community’s risk reduction responses, as seen in the foregoing
measures that it has been pursuing.

By sector, social sector posted the highest level of adaptive capacity as seen in the focus on climate
change related outbreaks hazards solutions and considering its short-term and disaster-response paradigm
adopted for its services. The infrastructure sector has the lowest level of adaptive capacity, seeing the

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 175


limited financial resources of the municipality to put up an effective and sufficient structural solution for
water-related hazards. The economic sector is in the medium score since its capacity heavily relies on the
performance of infrastructure sectors, which generally scored low in many of the hazards identified.

4.1. CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION AND ADAPTATION INITIATIVES

Looking at the predictions of the changes of climate for 2020 and 2050 we see that an overall slight
increase in temperature and precipitation is eminent. However, this does not tell the whole story. What
cannot be measured or predicted is how the weather will be more extreme. Larger and more frequent
storm events and longer and more common drought events can be expected. The manifestations of
climate change in the form of sea level rise, storm surge, drought, flooding, stronger and intensified
typhoons and climate change related outbreaks have impacts on the municipality’s economy,
environment, and infrastructures and on the municipality’s 11 barangays. Given its coastal location and
rivers around it, Belison is greatly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, and has already
experienced noticeable adverse effects in recent years. Without concerted action, the challenges the
municipality will face as a result of climate change are expected to intensify in the medium or long term.
With this scenario the response must be two pronged: adaptation and mitigation.

Presented below is the list of mitigation and adaptation initiatives of the municipality as per climate
change hazard to which its community and vulnerable sector is facing.
4.1.1. Storm surge

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This hazard due to climate change frequently occurs in the coastal barangays of the municipality
especially during southwest monsoon. As reported by the Mines and Geosciences Bureau, large extent of
the marine lands has worn away towards the sea, and coastal area has regressed by more than 1
kilometer. If not addressed this hazard will cause great loss of infrastructure and diminution of municipal
land since erosion is eating away what limited land the municipality possesses. To mitigate and enhance
adaptive capacity the initiatives below will be undertaken:

Period of
Program/Project/Activities Responsible Office
Implementation
Establishment of green easements with trees along the coastlines MENRO, Barangay 2018-2025
Procurement and installation of early warning MDRRMO 2019-2026
devices and systems at coastal communities/barangays Barangay
Construction of complete and well-designed seawalls in all coastal barangays MEO 2018-2020
Setback/ buffer requirements must be observed as per Water code in MAO, Farmers 2018-2020
agricultural activities (20 m is required) Associations
Restore degraded mangrove areas MENRO 2019-2025
Installation of Automated Rain Gauges (ARG) and (WLS) in monitoring MDRRMO 2019-2027
potential hazards such as storm surges
Conduct inventory and assessment of informal settlers/structures along the MPDO 2018-2025
coastline, riverbanks and waterways
Provide relocation site for informal settlers/squatters along the river banks, MEO 2018-2027
foreshore areas and waterways
Transfer informal settlers to relocation site and provide alternative livelihood to MEO, MENRO 2018-2019
affected settlers
Establish buffer zones on mangrove and mudflat areas vis-à-vis built-up and MAO, MENRO, 2019-2027
aquaculture areas MPDO
Allocate funds for the Cultivation of saline tolerant crops and trees MAO 2018-2025

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 177


4.1.2. Flooding
The municipality of Belison is highly susceptible to flooding affecting its entire sector. To enhance the
municipality’s adaptive capacity to the impacts brought by this hazard due to climate change, the
following mitigation and adaptation initiatives will be undertaken:

Period of
Program/Project/Activities Responsible Office
Implementation
Construction of municipal-wide drainage system for diversion of water MEO, MPDO 2018-2027
channels to minimize floods
Construction of drainage system along national highway in MEO, MPDO 2017-2026
coordination with DPWH
Construction/repair of bank protection, sea walls, breakwater along MEO 2018-2027
coastal and riverine barangays
Elevation of horizontal/vertical facilities and infrastructure (including MEO 2018-2027
barangay halls, day care centers, roads, etc.)
Clearing of river mouth and other floodway channels from obstruction MEO, MENRO, Barangay 2018-2025
Mangrove reforestation along the coastlines, rivers and other natural MENRO, Barangay 2018-2025
waterways (to include balling and replanting of mangroves at
appropriate sites) together with the CENRO
Conduct trainings and disaster preparedness on flood MDRRMO 2019
Installation of early warning devices and signage MDRRMO 2018-2025
Prohibition of burning of solid wastes and promoting composting MENRO, MSWMB 2019-2026
Improvement of existing facilities that can form part of a network of MEO, MDRRMO, MPDO 2018-2020
emergency evacuation centers equipped with appropriate facilities
(gyms, barangay multi-purpose halls, schools, etc.) for vulnerable
communities
Dredging/desilting of rivers and creeks MEO 2018-2020
Concreting of climate resilient roads as emergency lifeline services in MEO 2019-2025
times of disaster

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Period of
Program/Project/Activities Responsible Office
Implementation
Allocate funds for additional acquisition and development of relocation MEO, MPDO, MBO 2019-2027
sites and construction of core shelters
Prohibition of construction of houses and establishments in danger MEO, MPDO 2018-2025
zones
Enforcement of Zoning Ordinance on non-buildable protections areas MPDO, MEO, Zoning 2018-2027
(i.e. buffers, water easement, setbacks, open spaces, special zones,
etc.)
Formulation of Contingency Plan for all hazards MDRRMC 2018-2019
Relocation of population exposed to flooding to areas with low Mayor’s Office 2019-2027
exposure to flooding
Integrating flood prevention and mitigation measures in the MPDO, SB, All planning 2018-2025
municipality’s development plans, programs and policies body
Prioritization of MDRRMC/BDRRMCs’ emergency tools and MDRRMC, BDRRMC 2018-2020
equipment for flooding events

4.1.3. Sea level rise

The municipality with very high vulnerability to sea level rise in the coastal and marine areas
throughout the whole province is Belison. If this hazard brought by climate change will not properly address,
it will cause great impacts in the long run. When not given due mitigation and adaptation activities, such
hazard will have a great impact to its population whose livelihood is totally dependent to fishing. Hence,
the technical working group identified the following mitigation and adaption to increase the municipality’s
adaptive capacity.

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 179


Period of
Program/Project/Activities Responsible Office
Implementation
Integrating sea level rise prevention and mitigation measures in the municipality’s MPDO, SB, All planning 2018-2025
development plans, programs and policies body
Construction of mitigating infrastructures MEO, Barangay 2018-2025
 seawalls and dikes for barangays along the coastline
 rip-rapping of canals
De-clogging of drainages and other man-made canals (municipal-wide and within MEO, Barangay 2019-2026
the barangays)
Allocate funds for the Cultivation of saline tolerant crops and trees MAO 2018-2020
Adoption of crop rotation pattern in coastal agricultural areas MAO, Farmers 2018-2020
Associations
Survey, mapping and zoning of coastal habitats MAO, Fisherfolks Assn 2019-2025
Relocation of population exposed to sea level rise hazards Mayor’s Office 2018-2027
Controlling development of settlements along riverbanks and coastal areas Zoning, MENRO 2018-2019
Mangrove and associates reforestation along costal lines and riparian areas MENRO 2019-2027
Establishment of artificial reefs to promote marine life in areas with a generally MAO, MENRO 2018-2025
featureless bottom, to control erosion, block ship passage, or improve surfing
Setting up of monitoring and information and education campaign projects at the MENRO, MPDO, 2018-2020
coastal/river barangays MDRRMO
Prioritization of MDRRMC/BDRRMCs’ emergency tools and equipment for sea MDRRMC, BDRRMC 2019-2027
level rise hazards
Tree growing activities along river banks and coastal areas MENRO, Barangay 2019-2025
Establish an integrated solid waste management system MENRO Barangay 2018-2025
in all barangays of the municipality especially in the coastal barangays
Provide alternative livelihood to fisherfolks to lessen the pressure on marine and MSWDO, MAO 2018-2025
other coastal resources
Enforcement of Coastal Zone Management Plan Mayor’s Office, MAO, 2018-2027
MENRO
Encourage participation of stakeholders and end users of aquatic resources in MAO, MENRO, 2018-2027
the implementation of fisheries policies, laws and ordinances Fisherfolks Associations

180 CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT


4.1.4. Drought/Dry Spells

Although the municipality of Belison is moderately vulnerable to drought, yet its exposure to this
hazard brought by climate change is high. Thereby, there is a need to identify mitigation and adaptation
initiatives in order to address its impacts. The following initiatives are listed in the table:

Period of
Program/Project/Activities Responsible Office
Implementation
Tree growing activities within the urban and rural areas MENRO, Barangay 2018-2026
Small irrigation programs to farm lands (Pump irrigation system for open MAO 2019-2025
Source, Pump and Engine Set)
Advocacy and IEC for household water conservation MENRO 2019-2020
Adoption of crop diversification MAO, Farmers Associations 2018-2020
Allocation of funds to distribute drought resilient seeds varieties to farmers MAO, MPDO, MBO 2018-2021
Implementation of irrigation projects and facilities in coordination with the MAO, Farmers-Irrigators 2020-2025
NIA Association
Planting of drought tolerant varieties of rice MAO, Farmers Associations 2018-2027
Adjustment of cropping patterns MAO, Farmers Associations 2018-2027
Provide alternate livelihood to farmers especially during off-season of MSWDO 2018-2025
harvest
Provide extension services for more effective and efficient agricultural MAO 2019-2020
operations during drought season
Regular clearing and maintenance of irrigation canals MAO, Farmers-Irrigators 2018-2027
Association
Integrating concerns on drought, extended dry spells and El Niño in the All planning bodies 2018-2027
municipality’s development plans, programs and policies

CLIMATE AND DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT 181


4.1.5. Typhoon with Strong Winds
Though the municipality had afforded some protection by the mountains to the east and its
westward facing shoreline, damages of strong winds brought by typhoon will be more frequent as a result
of climate change. To make the LGU more adaptive to this hazard, the following initiatives will be
undertaken.

Period of
Program/Project/Activities Responsible Office
Implementation
Construction of climate resilient evacuation centres with complete facilities MEO, MSWDO 2018-2026
Installation of early warning devices and signage MDRRMO 2019-2025
Development of natural wind breakers (mangrove areas) and structural MEO, MENRO 2019-2020
windbreakers
Crop pattern adjustment MAO, Farmers 2018-2020
Association
Using more drought and saline tolerant species to further create resiliency MAO, Farmers 2018-2021
to changing climate patterns Association, MENRO
Localization of building codes to adjust building design, especially houses, MEO, Zoning 2020-2025
according to local climatic conditions (range of wind speeds during
typhoons)
Enforcement of Zoning Ordinance on non-buildable protections areas (i.e. MPDO, MEO, Zoning 2018-2027
buffers, water easement, setbacks, open spaces, special zones, etc.)
Prohibition of construction of houses and establishments in danger zones MEO, MPDO 2018-2027
Concreting of climate resilient roads as emergency lifeline services in MEO 2018-2025
times of disaster
Formulation of Contingency Plan for Typhoon with strong winds MDRRMC 2019-2020
Prioritization of MDRRMC/BDRRMCs’ emergency tools and equipment for MDRRMC, BDRRMC 2018-2027
typhoonhazards
Conduct trainings and disaster preparedness on typhoon MDRRMO 2018-2020
Installation of early warning devices and signage MDRRMO 2019

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