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Exploring the Basic Income
Guarantee
Series Editor
Karl Widerquist
Georgetown University, Doha, Qatar
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5 Conclusion
Richard Pereira
Appendix 1
Appendix 2
Index
List of Figures
Fig. 4.1 Economic rent from oil extraction
Table 3.6 Hypothetical model for additional income tax for incomes
above CHF 30,000 per year
Abstract
The different ways in which basic income can be financed are set out
in this chapter as a guide to reading the book. A decent basic
income is presented as the goal of this work, as opposed to some
basic income proposals that may be viewed as potentially worse
than status quo income security programmes in various countries.
Protecting vital public programmes such as universal health care or
public education, for example, is essential to implementation of a
decent basic income, as is setting it at a sufficient level to ensure a
dignified existence and a measure of social inclusion. Proposals that
set out to cut public programmes in wholesale fashion and set a low
level of basic income are rejected. Income security programme
redundancies are discussed in this light along with differing models
and methods of financing basic income.
Financing Approaches
Most commonly, basic income proposals rearrange existing income
transfers and combine them into a single basic income programme.
Welfare payments and their associated bureaucracies are eliminated,
and numerous other related programmes are similarly streamlined
into one more efficient, de-bureaucratized basic income. Publicly
provided pensions, various child benefit programmes the state may
have in place, food allowances or food stamps, special tax
deductions for low-income households (and tax deductions for high-
income households), social housing programmes and payments,
charities to address national poverty issues, all can be viewed as
partially or fully redundant with a basic income in place. Eliminating
much of this complexity and cost can allow for a higher basic income
payment than what individuals currently receive from various income
support programmes.
In addition to these savings which go towards financing basic
income, it is common to discuss a rearranging of the tax system to
help finance basic income, particularly a basic income at a decent
level. Some proposals exclusively focus on increasing the progressive
income tax rate structure already in place, that is, the more income
one has the higher the marginal tax rate one pays (see, e.g.,
Appendix 2 for historical marginal tax rates in the United States). In
his chapter Pereira contends that if we first address tax leakages,
such as tax evasion and avoidance through tax havens and
numerous tax shelters, personal income taxes do not have to be
raised to provide a universal basic income. A personal tax cut could
be implemented along with introduction of basic income Pereira
claims, as savings from programme redundancies are so significant,
combined with addressing tax leakage.
Other proposals may focus on increasing corporate income
taxation rates, which have been reduced in many countries by
substantial amounts in recent decades, as a financing measure.
Large-scale government subsidies and tax exemptions for corporate
enterprises (corporate welfare) are also often targeted as being
better redirected to a universal basic income. Some proposals focus
on value-added taxes (VAT) or consumption taxes to raise most or
all of the additional revenue that may be needed to finance a basic
income. Carbon levies (or a carbon tax) are also promoted to raise
and distribute revenues universally, simultaneously addressing
environmental policy objectives and income insecurity. James
Hansen – former Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space
Studies – is among the most prominent proponents of the Carbon
Fee and Dividend model (often referred to as fee and dividend).
Different approaches can be employed or mixed to achieve a desired
level of basic income. It is incorrect to assume that personal income
taxes must be raised to finance a decent level of basic income.
Critics of basic income often assume very large increases in personal
income tax rates are required.
Jörimann models a basic income for Switzerland along the lines
of a universal demogrant, as opposed to a negative income tax
model. While Pereira describes and contrasts both universal
demogrant and NIT models of basic income, with no personal
income tax increases required, Jörimann does factor in personal
income tax rises to achieve the desired level of basic income for
Switzerland. The Swiss case study in Chapter 3 proposes a generous
basic income of 2,500 Swiss francs per month, or CHF 30,000
annually for adults 18 years of age and above. A lesser amount is
provided for children.1
Flomenhoft analyses the Australian case in Chapter 4 by focusing
on economic rents. What would a universal dividend paid to all
members of society, based on economic rent, look like? While Alaska
and Norway currently collect large amounts of economic rent
primarily from oil resources, and distribute these proceeds for the
benefit of society (with only Alaska paying out a universal dividend),
they do not capture many other forms of rent that could be used to
pay out a much larger dividend. Capturing economic rent from a
variety of natural and social resources could result in a universal
dividend approximating a basic income, or it could supplement a
basic income. The universal dividend based on such rents is also
interesting in that it is paid out equally to adults and children – there
is not a differentiating amount based on age.
Footnotes
1 Charles Murray’s plan provides no basic income for children, and for adults it would
start at 21 years of age instead of 18, see: In Our Hands: A Plan to Replace the Welfare
State (2016), and “A Guaranteed Income for Every American” The Wall Street Journal,
June 3, 2016. This presents a significant problem for the those aged 18–21 who currently
undertake large-scale debt loads at this crucial time in their lives when attending
university or college, particularly in the United States, Canada or England, for instance
where tuition fees are very high and have been rising aggressively in recent decades.
Part 1
Foundations for a Basic Income
Guarantee
© The Author(s) 2017
Richard Pereira (ed.), Financing Basic Income, Exploring the Basic Income
Guarantee, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-54268-3_2
Abstract
This chapter addresses the cost objection to basic income, which
rests upon the claims that (a) it is too expensive to implement and
(b) that personal income taxes will have to be raised to such a high
level as to make it politically infeasible. A Canadian case study is
used to demonstrate that the cost savings of implementing basic
income are often greatly underestimated or neglected, and that
personal income taxes do not need to be raised. Personal income
taxes could be reduced while implementing a decent basic income.
With the exception of the third option, these are large numbers
relative to the scale of the Canadian economy ($1.45 trillion GDP in
2006; over $44,000 for every man, woman and child in the country
(Statistics Canada 2007a), and over $1.8 trillion GDP in 2013
(Statistics Canada 2013)2). In a separate section of their Table 1,
below these intimidating numbers, Young and Mulvale (2009: 24)
outline the “Cost of existing income security programs (2005)”.
These include Old Age Supplement, Child Tax Benefit, Provincial
payments to individuals (e.g. income assistance) and four other
items totalling $135 billion per year. The net cost of the “relatively
generous guaranteed income option” above ($15,000 per adult,
$4,000 per child) according to them is $286 billion, and they state
that “It thus appears that a full-fledged version of guaranteed
income is out of our immediate financial reach” (Young and Mulvale
2009: 25).
In a footnote at the end of the study linked to the $286 billion
figure above (n 55), Young and Mulvale write that “This figure does
not take account of the additional income tax that would be paid
with a guaranteed income system in place. This additional revenue
could lower the net cost of the benefit by 20 to 30 per cent” (Young
and Mulvale 2009: 34). They do not specify where this additional
income tax generation will come from; whether it is from the obvious
fact that people’s incomes will be higher by the UBI amount, thus
corresponding with a higher income tax bracket, or other possibilities
in addition to this. And they do not provide the dollar figure of this
lower net cost item, which is valued as high as $85.8 billion.3 Other
possibilities for additional income tax generation are numerous with
introduction of UBI and Young and Mulvale may therefore be
underestimating this aspect. For example, Krozer (2010) explains the
economic multiplier effect UBI will have through broadening and
deepening endogenous consumption. The removal of labour market
work disincentives linked with existing welfare programmes offers
greater labour force participation and resulting increases in taxable
income, as a second example. Emery et al. (2013: 11–14) provide
additional reasons for why productivity and labour-force participation
are currently depressed, which UBI/GAI is uniquely suited to address
based on their results obtained from analysing other universal
income security programmes. Young and Mulvale’s total net cost for
UBI could thus be reduced by up to $86 billion, and possibly more,
on this point alone.4
The LICO level Young and Mulvale use above is one measure of
the poverty line (low income cut-off), with its after-tax level for a
family of 1 person being approximately $15,000 for the comparable
years of 2005 and 2006 (but as high as $17,570 in urban areas with
populations of 500,000 and over). Families of two persons are
deemed by Statistics Canada to have a poverty line income level
(after tax) of approximately $18,000 per year under this
measurement (but as high as $21,384 in urban areas with the
largest populations). Families of three and four persons have poverty
line income levels of approximately $22,000 and $27,000,
respectively, for 2005–2006 (Statistics Canada 2007b: 18).
In his presentation to the North American Basic Income
Guarantee Conference in Toronto in 2012, Jonathan Rhys Kesselman
(Professor, School of Public Policy, Simon Fraser University and
Canada Research Chair in Public Finance) made similar and stronger
claims that a UBI is not feasible in Canada. In a subsequent essay
Kesselman (2013) repeatedly claims the cost of implementing a UBI
is “gargantuan” and leads off with an example of a benefit of
$10,000 per capita. “With Canada’s population of 35 million”
Kesselman writes, “the gross budgetary cost of this basic income
clocks in at a massive $350 billion”. He states further:
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