Nucleon Case Submission - Section B - Group 3

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Nucleon Case Study


Economics of Strategy

GROUP 3
Naveed
Ramkumar D
Sohom Karmakar
Sumanraj E
Prakash R

PGP/19/150
PGP/19/219
PGP/19/231
PGP/19/232
PGP/19/158

SWOT

Strengths
R&D powerhouse
Strong patent
position of CRP-1
Leader in BioTech

Opportunities
Mammalian host
research
Forward integration
Tie Ups

Weaknesses
Low Financials
Low Marketing
potential

Threats
Uncertainty due to
Patent Law
Competitors
Failure of Drug

Options

What are the options?


Phase I and
II

Phase III

Option 1
Internal Pilot (Phase 1&2) and Internal Commercial Manufacturing (Phase 3)
Year

NPV

Total Cost
Incurred
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

Revenue
3350
1840
6204
4000
4000
4000
5000
26480
39800
50000
52000
60000
$66,586.20

Assumption
WACC = 10%

Option 2
Internal Pilot (Phase 1&2) and Licensing (Phase 3)
Year

NPV

Total Cost
Incurred
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

Revenue
3350
1840
2204
0
0
0
0
12370
9950
12500
13000
15000
$17,923.63

Assumption
WACC = 10%

Option 4
Contract (Phase 1&2) and Licensing (Phase 3)
Year

NPV

Total Cost
Incurred
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

Revenue
250
1995
2550

12370
9950
12500
13000
15000
$20,353.76

Assumption
WACC = 10%

Option 5
Licensing (Phase 1,2&3)
Year

NPV

Total Cost
Incurred
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002

Assumption

Revenue
3000

2685
4975
6250
6500
7500
$13,167.32

WACC = 10%

Conclusion
Even though the return on investment is very high for option 1, the total

investment will be a sunk cost if either of the phase fails or if there is a new
development in the process. Since risk is very high it is not ideal to go for
option 1
Return on investment is very low for option 5 i.e. licensing of all the phases
If Nucleon opts for contract/licensing in phase 1 and 2, then it should not
choose internal commercial manufacturing for phase 3 since they lack
capabilities to carry out maintenance, procurement, quality assurance,
technical support etc., Hence option 3 is negated
Among the remaining two options (i.e. 2 &4 ),option 4 has a better NPV than
option 2 and hence it should be chosen
Moore should chose contract manufacturing in Phase 1 and 2 and License
manufacturing in phase 3 because of low risk and better return

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