BHJNK
BHJNK
POLI 2057
Mr. Rohrer
4/20/12
John Mearsheimer’s work in ‘The Tragedy of Great Power Politics’ follows the realist
thought of ‘offensive realism’ throughout history. In the book his theory on offensive realism is
a knew thought that branches out from Waltz’s realist theory and explains the reasons why there
is so much aggression between the great powers in our world today and in the past. In his theory
he sets out to explain to the reader how the great power strategies have developed what our
international system is today. Surrounding his theory he outlines what he thinks the true
definition of power is and how that plays a crucial role in how alliances have formed around our
Mearsheimer’s objective throughout the book is to persuade the audience that his theory
of offensive realism is well developed with substantial evidence and endeavors to cover every
aspect of the inner workings of the international system. In the book he states that with his theory
of offensive realism every great power in our world is vying for more power and for the position
of hegemony, which is their ultimate goal. The book sets out to break down the different
important aspects of the international system and how offensive realism best explains how great
powers are going to act when faced with war and peace. Mearsheimer outlines the book in a
progressive manner that starts off by explaining how the world believes that after the Cold War
there is a chance to attain perpetual peace across the global. However, Mearsheimer’s objective
with the book clearly states that this is not possible because of the ever-present security dilemma.
With that being said he claims “there are no status quo powers in the international system, save
for the occasional hegemon that wants to maintain its dominating position over potential rivals.”
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(2) With his theory of offensive realism he explains that great powers are never going to be
content with the what they have and that they will always want more which is why he believes
his theory is the best explanation for how the international system works.
The offensive realism theory that Mearsheimer has created endeavors to unveil the inner
workings of the international systems structure and how that is the crucial element in
understanding how states work. As stated above he talks about the ever-present security dilemma
and since great powers fear one another they are going to do everything they can to change the
balance of power in their favor until they reach the potential goal of being a hegemon. However
he clearly states that it is impossible for any great power to achieve global hegemony so this is
why the world will always be in a power competition. This following quote helps to shed more
light on this component of the theory: “Although its main goal would be containment, the distant
hegemon would also look for opportunities to undermine the threat and reestablish a rough
balance of power in the region, so that it could return home. In essence, regional hegemons act as
offshore balancers in other areas of the world, although they prefer to be the balancer of last
resort.” (141) His theory is largely based on three different components. The first component
deals with how the great powers interact with one another and how they will do anything to
anyone to gain the power they need to survive. With this first component he gives the example
that “ multipolar systems are more war-prone than are bipolar systems, and that multipolar
systems of them all.” (5) The second component in the theory is how testable is it in real world
international politics and how well it holds up with historical events. He revolves this part of the
theory around the events happening from the beginning of the French Revolution until the end of
the twentieth century. The last component is how he uses his theory to make predictions about
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future international political events. He states that his theory is mainly a descriptive theory but
that it also is a prescriptive theory because it explains how states should act according to
offensive realism in order to survive. (11) The theory revolves around the different aspects of
power and what it really means. He talks about the two different types of power: latent
(population size and the economy) and actual power (which is military). He argues that military
power is the most important type of power one can have along with having sufficient land power
The central concepts that Mearsheimer talks about in this book are his six concepts of
power and the pursuit of power. The first concept is about the reasoning’s behind why states
compete for power. This concept is based on five assumptions that when used together explain
why states act in an aggressive way. The second is about the amount of power states are trying to
achieve and if it is ever enough. Third concept asks what power really is. Fourth explains the
different type of strategies that are used by states in order to achieve power and maintain it. The
fifth concept revolves around the actual concept of war. The final concept asks when great
The central argument that is throughout the book is that in order for states to survive they
need to think offensively and utilize their relative power and in doing so they will get closer to
their goal of become a hegemon. “States cannot depend on others for their own security. Each
state tends to see itself as vulnerable and alone, and therefore it aims to provide for its own
survival.” (33) The best situation is to become the hegemon in the international system and when
that is achieved that is the only time that pursuit of power is halted. However, as Mearsheimer
states it is impossible to become a global hegemon so the best hope for great powers is to
become a regional hegemon. “States that achieve regional hegemony seek to prevent great
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powers in other regions from duplicating their feat. Regional hegemons, in other words, do not
want peers.” (41) The main fact is that all of the great powers fear each other in the international
system. This comes from the fact that the great powers all have military capability and will
utilize this against one another for survival and since they are in an anarchic state there is a lot of
imperfect information that causes them to be unsure of one another. The more power that a great
power has at its disposal, the more fear it causes in the other great powers. Mearsheimer states
that it is important to differentiate between potential and actual power because potential power is
mainly military power, which is made up of the states wealth and population size and actual
In testing his theory of offensive realism Mearsheimer tests the theory with historical
events in the past two centuries, specifically “citing territorial conquests of Japan and Germany
before 1945 and Soviet policies after 1917 as evidence.” (Kupchan) He states that in order for
him to prove that offensive realism does in fact work he had to demonstrate that “1) the history
of great-power politics involves primarily the clashing of revisionist states, and 2) the only status
quo powers that appear in the story are regional hegemons—i.e., states that have achieved the
pinnacle of power.” (168) He provides evidence that it is hard to find leaders of great powers that
are ok with the power that they currently have who also have the ability to incur more power. “In
sum, security considerations appear to have been the main driving force behind the aggressive
policies of Germany, Japan, and the Soviet Union.” (170) The theory tests how different
distributions of power such as balanced and unbalanced multipolar, and bipolar powers affected
war outcomes. His evidence showed that in the twenty first century “ Europe remains bipolar
(US as offshore balancer and Russia) and Northeast Asia is multipolar (China, Russia and US as
offshore balancer) but with no potential hegemon and relative weakness of China and Russia.”
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(Harvard 2) According to an essay done by Peter Gowan, he states that Mearsheimer uses the
thoughts of Thomas Hobbes to substantiate his claim of offensive realism even more by
explaining the power struggle within the great powers. Peter Gowan then claims that
Mearsheimer passes over the works done by Arno Mayer in Politics and Diplomacy of
Peacemaking (1967), this work makes the fact evident of “how deeply the calculations of the
victorious powers were affected by the fears of the Russian Revolution just as the great
expansion of American power after the Second World War was hugely facilitated by the
preoccupation of so many states with their domestic security in the face of communism;”
(Gowan). He then talks about exercises in social power politics involving the wars of Korea and
Vietnam.
Mearsheimer is a realist and follows along closely with the thoughts made by Waltz and
Morgenthau but he branches out from Waltz’s structural theory when he talks about the
distribution of power, international politics and foreign policy. The two realist theories that
Mearsheimer states as the ones that stand out from the rest are Morgenthau’s human nature
realism and Waltz’s defensive realism which both talk about the different areas of power and
why states pursue power which Mearsheimer’s theory revolves around. Mearsheimer’s theory is
opposite of Waltz’s especially when it comes to the possible theories on foreign policy because
of all of the different options that go on at the very state level and the fact that Waltz doesn’t
really talk about foreign policy in the structure of his theory because he doesn’t think that it plays
into the behaviors of individual states. Contrary to Mearsheimer’s theory, Waltz does not believe
that the great powers are naturally aggressive and that they are just trying to survive. In Waltz’s
theory he emphasizes that in international politics the great powers pay more attention to
balancing the powers among each other. He does however agree with Mearsheimer that the
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powers live in a state of anarchy but where he differs is in the thought that the great powers will
act defensively in order to not upset the existing balance of power. “The first concern of states is
to maintain their position in the system.” (20) Another area the Waltz’s theory of realism differs
from Mearsheimer’s is when he states that the great powers need to be careful and not acquire a
lot of power because when they have a lot of power behind them it causes the other powers to
rally up against them, which he then says that this will leave them in a worse off position than if
they had just been more worried about balancing the powers. Waltz believes in status quo powers
in the international system and that there is really no causes for war to happen because he thinks
nothing will be gained from war and that a states military power should be used more for defense
than offense. Mearsheimer’s theory of offensive realism is also a structural theory like Waltz’s
but the point at where it differs is over the question of how much power states want. (21)
neorealist theory (Toft) Morgenthau’s theory of human nature realism concentrates on the
assumption that “states are led by human beings who have a ‘will to power’ hardwired into them
at birth.”(19) Mearsheimer’s theory agrees that states will always want more power but he
disagrees with Morgenthau on the assumption that it is human nature that drives the want for
power and not that the states are living in an anarchical world.
Liberalism has an all-together different view from realist when it comes to international
relations. In the case of offensive realism Liberalist would say that with reason and increased
economies there will be no need for war and that great powers will be satisfied once they have
achieved this. They believe that states are the main actors in the international system and that
with some internal arrangement such as a democracy will end up being the best working political
system in which all states will become democracies and not want to go to war with one another.
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Liberalist have a very optimistic or utopian view on how the world politics works opposed to the
realist view which is more pessimistic especially offensive realist theories that believe that there
will always be a power struggle which leads to an ever present security dilemma. Realist
thoughts on state survival is challenged in two ways: “Proponents of globalization often argue
that states today are concerned more with achieving prosperity than with worrying about their
survival. Getting rich is the main goal of post-industrial states, maybe even the all-consuming
goal.”(370) Mearsheimer states that there are problems with this realist thought that his theory
explains the outcomes and why this occurs. “In particular, there is always the possibility that a
serious economic crisis in some important region, or in the world at large, will undermine the
prosperity that this theory needs to work.” (370) He gives the example of the United States and
the recent economic crisis and that even though the United States contained the crisis it isn’t to
say that it couldn’t happen again and end up spread across the world.
Overall Mearsheimer did what he set out to accomplish in his theory of offensive realism.
He explained his views on the security dilemma amongst the great powers around the world
throughout history and how his offensive realism theory in his opinion along with supporting
evidence best explains the power struggles that have existed over time. He also endeavored to
predict future outcome of great powers using his theoretical framework of realism thought. In
short he explained that the great powers would do everything in their power to survive and
Gowan, Peter. "A Calculus of Power." New Left Review. New Left Review, July 2002. Web. 15
John J. Mearsheimer, The Tragedy of Great Power Politics (New York: Norton, 2001). Harvard
<http://www.people.fas.harvard.edu/~plam/irnotes07/Mearsheimer2001.pdf>.This source is a
PDF from research done by someone at Harvard University. The site shows no author or
Kupchan, Charles A. "Review of The Tragedy of Great Power Politics." The International
History Review (2003). Council on Foreign Relations. Whitney Shepardson Senior Fellow, Sept.
politics/p6659>
Mearsheimer, John J. The Tragedy of Great Power Politics. New York: W.W. Norton &, 2003.
Toft, Peter. "John J. Mearsheimer: An Offensive Realist between Geopolitics and Power." Journal
of International Relations and Development 8.4 (2005): 381-408. Palgrave Macmillan Journals.
http://www.palgrave-journals.com/jird/journal/v8/n4/full/1800065a.html