Class Notes 08 August 2021

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Project Information Table

Draw a Network Diagram

A-B-D-F-G-H= 18 Weeks

A-B-D-E-H= 14 Weeks

A-C-E-H = 13 Week
Project Information Table

USing the CPM, calculate the ES,EF, LS and LF

Activ ity
Sy mbol
ES EF
LS LF
Duration

B 5 D F
2 5 7 7 12 12 G 13
2 3 5 5 2 7 7 5 12
A 2
12 1 13
0
0 2 2
E 9 H
2 C 6 7 13 18
7 11 2 13 13 5 18
4 11
Find the Critical Path
1. Caluculate slack for each activity
EF=ES+Activity Duration
LS=LF-Activity Duration (LS-ES) or (LF-EF)

Activity
A =0
B= 0
C=5
D=0
E=4
F=0
G=0
H=0
13 C 22.5 22.5 37
E
13 9.5 22.5 22.5 37
14.5
37 G 41
A a. Critical activities of the
0 4.5 4.5 B 13 37 4 41
project
0 4.5 4.5 4.5 8.5 13 b. Expected Time for each activity
c. Project Variance
13 D 20 20 F 32.8
d. P robability that this project can be completed on or
17.2 7 24.2 24.2 12.8 37 before the 15 months deadline.

A= [2+4(4)+9]/6 =4.5
B=[5+4(8)+14]/6 =8.5
C=[4+4(10)+13]/6 =9.5
D=[4+4(7)+10]/6 =7
E=[11+4(14)+20]/6 =14.5
F=[9+4(13)+16]/6 = 12.8
G=[2+4(4)+6]/6 =4

v = [(b – a)/6]2
A=[(9-2)/6]^2 =1.36
Critical Path =A+B+C+E+G=41
B=[(14-5)/6]^2 =2.25
C=[(13-4)/6]^2 =2.25
D=[(10-4)/6]^2 =1
E=[(20-11)/6]^2 =2.25
F=[(16-9)/6]^2 =1.36
G=[(6-2)/6]^2 =0.44

s2 = Project variance
= å(variances of activities
on critical path)

=1.36+2.25+2.25+2.25+0.44
=8.55

Project standard deviation


sp = Square root of Project variance
=2.92

What is the probability that the project is completed by the 42nd Month deadline?

Z = Due Date–Expected date of completion / Standard Deviationsp


=(42-41)/2.92

=1/2.92

= 0.34 .63307 x 100


=63.31%
3 C 7 7 E 10
3 4 7 7 3 10
10 G 14
A a. Critical activities of the
0 1 1 B 3 10 4 14
project
0 1 1 1 3
2 b. Expected Time for each activity

D 5 c. Project Variance
3 5 F 6 d. P robability that this project can be completed on or
7 2 9 9 10 before the 15 months deadline.
1
A= [2+4(4)+9]/6 =4.5
B=[5+4(8)+14]/6 =8.5
C=[4+4(10)+13]/6 =9.5
D=[4+4(7)+10]/6 =7
E=[11+4(14)+20]/6 =14.5
F=[9+4(13)+16]/6 =
G=[2+4(4)+6]/6 =

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