Mazzucato grw036
Mazzucato grw036
Mazzucato grw036
24–48
Abstract: Economic theory justifies policy when there are concrete market failures. The article shows
how in the case of innovation, successful policies that have led to radical innovations have been more
about market shaping and creating through direct and pervasive public financing, rather than market
fixing. The paper reviews and discusses evidence for this in three key areas: (i) the presence of finance
from public sources across the entire innovation chain; (ii) the concept of ‘mission-oriented’ policies
that have created new technological and industrial landscapes; and (iii) the entrepreneurial and lead
investor role of public actors, willing and able to take on extreme risks, independent of the business
cycle. We further illustrate these three characteristics for the case of clean technology, and discuss how
a market-creating and -shaping perspective may be useful for understanding the financing of trans-
formative innovation needed for confronting contemporary societal challenges.
Keywords: financing innovation, innovation policy, market failure theory, renewable energy finance,
direction of innovation
JEL classification: G20, H81, O33, O38, Q48
I. Introduction
Schumpeter’s focus on innovation and inter-firm competition made him place finance
at the centre of his analysis. He called the banker the ‘ephor’ of the exchange economy
(Schumpeter, 2002 [1912], p. 74). He did not, however, look at the problem of what
kind of finance is the best to serve the purposes of innovation. The works of other
prominent economists such as Veblen, Keynes, and Minsky have focused instead pre-
cisely on the problem of the quality of finance. Unlike the Modigliani–Miller theorem
which assumes that financial structures are inconsequential to the workings of the real
economy (Modigliani and Miller, 1958), they saw the quality of finance as central to
as a way to address the so-called grand societal challenges such as climate change,
natural resource scarcity, ageing, and improved healthcare (European Commission,
2011). As these challenges require ‘transformative’ innovation (Mazzucato, 2016), it
is crucial to understand the source and type of finance that might be able to initi-
ate and sustain such a transformation. Is there enough patient finance to fund long-
term investments in the real economy and in particular for such high-risk societal
challenges?
To answer this question we can learn from the lessons of previous technological
revolutions (e.g. IT, biotech, nanotech), where different forms of public funds had
been essential in providing the high-risk and early funding (Block and Keller, 2011;
Mazzucato, 2013a). Most often, such investments had a ‘mission-oriented’ nature,
actively creating new industrial landscapes that served a need (man on moon, or agri-
cultural needs) that did not exist before (Mowery, 2010; Foray et al. 2012). The green
technological revolution today is witnessing a similar dynamic whereby it is mission-
oriented public funds that are investing in the most capital-intensive and high-risk areas
(Mazzucato and Semieniuk, 2016). Such investment is provided not only for the supply
side (research and development) but also for the demand side: deployment and diffu-
sion (Climate Policy Initiative, 2013).
And yet the classic market failure perspective on public investment in innovation
does not justify the breadth and depth of public investments that we observed across
the entire innovation chain, from basic research to applied research, early-stage financ-
ing of companies, and demand-side procurement policies (Mazzucato, 2013a). At best
it can justify investments where there are clear market failures, such as the presence of
positive externalities (e.g. public goods such as basic research requiring public invest-
ment in basic science) and negative externalities (e.g. pollution requiring carbon taxes).
But as the history of innovation shows, the great extent of public commitment that is
required entails more of a market-making and market-shaping approach than a simple
market-fixing one (Mazzucato, 2016). Furthermore, the systems-of-innovation litera-
ture has also not adequately addressed the issue of the quantity and quality of public
investment needed to address the market-creating process.
In this paper we review evidence of market-shaping public financing of innova-
tion, and discuss views of the state that are helpful for understanding it. Section
II confronts market-failure arguments with the recent history of financing innova-
tion, especially in the IT and pharmaceutical sectors in the US. It is argued that the
quantity and quality of public finance for innovation cannot be explained through a
standard market-fixing framework. Section III argues that better understanding the
‘mission-oriented’ role of the state, and the ‘entrepreneurial state’ activities across
the whole innovation chain, can provide key insights for understanding the type of
finance needed for transformative innovation that addresses challenges such as climate
change. Here we focus on the need to understand the market-making and market-
shaping, not only market-fixing role of public finance. In section IV we substantiate
this with evidence of ‘market-making’ activity of public funds in the renewable energy
sector. We conclude that without a market-making agenda, climate change targets
and the required technological revolution in energy will not take off. In section V we
discuss future research questions related to the use of a market-making and -shaping
framework to guide innovation policy, and address caveats regarding the possibility
also of ‘government failure’.
Public financing of innovation: new questions 27
1 Excellent reviews of the impact of positive externalities and incomplete information on innovation
financing is provided in Hall (2002) and Hall and Lerner (2009), and more recent evidence is reviewed in Kerr
and Nanda (2015). The role for government in the face of negative externalities (climate change) is laid out
in Jaffe et al. (2005).
28 Mariana Mazzucato and Gregor Semieniuk
research. Yet while technological revolutions have always required publicly funded sci-
ence, what is often ignored by the market-failure framework are the complementary
public funds that were spent by a network of different institutions further on in the
innovation process as well. In other words, the public sector has been crucial for basic
research as well as for applied research, and for providing early-stage high-risk finance
to innovative companies willing to invest. It was also important for the direct creation
of markets through procurement policy (Edler and Georghiou, 2007) and bold demand
policies that have allowed new technologies to diffuse (Perez, 2013). Thus, Perez argues
that without the policies for suburbanization, mass production would not have had the
effect it did across the economy.
Figure 1 indicates (at its bottom) some of the key public agencies in the US innova-
tion landscape, including the National Institutes of Health (NIH), NASA, DARPA,
Small Business Innovation Research Program, National Science Foundation (NSF),
etc. that were active across the entire innovation chain. Such organizations have been
‘mission driven’, that is, have directed their actions based on the need to solve big prob-
lems and in the process actively created new technological landscapes, rather than just
fixing existing ones (Foray et al., 2012). Downstream investments included the use of
procurement policy to help create markets for small companies, through the public
Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) scheme, which historically has provided
more early-stage high-risk finance to small and medium-sized companies than private
venture capital (Keller and Block, 2012), as Figure 3 shows. And guaranteed govern-
ment loans are regularly used to pump prime companies, such as the $465m guaranteed
government (Department of Energy) loan received by Tesla to produce the ‘Tesla S’ car.
Likewise, Compaq and Intel benefited from early-stage funding to set up the compa-
nies, not from venture capital but from the SBIR programme. While it is a common
perception that it is private venture capital that funds start-ups, evidence shows that
most high-growth innovative companies receive their early-stage high-risk finance from
public sources, such as Yozma in Israel (Breznitz and Ornston, 2013); venture funds
in public banks (Mazzucato and Penna, 2016); and the SBIR programme funds in the
US (Keller and Block, 2012). Venture capital entered the biotech industry mainly in
the late 1980s and early 1990s, meanwhile the state had already made most large-scale
investments in the 1950s and 1960s (Lazonick and Tulum, 2011; Vallas et al., 2011).
In all these cases, government intervention was far from ‘neutral’, as the market fail-
ure framework would recommend. Instead, it deliberately targeted industries and even
enterprises with a massive amount of public venture capital assistance (Figure 2).
In the case of IT, as Figure 3 illustrates, all of the technologies that have made Apple’s
i-products (iPhone, iPad, etc.) ‘smart’ were initially funded by different mission-ori-
ented public-sector institutions: the Internet by the Defense Activated Research Projects
Agency (DARPA); global positioning system (GPS) by the US Navy; touchscreen dis-
play by the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA); and the voice-activated personal assis-
tant Siri by DARPA again (Mazzucato, 2013a). These ‘mission-oriented’ institutions
(Mowery, 2010; Foray et al., 2012) actively created new industrial and technological
Figure 2: Number of SBIR and Small Business Technology Transfer (STTR) grants compared to
private venture capital
Lithium-ion batteries
SIRI
DoE
DARPA
Signal Compression
Army Research Office First generation iPod iPod Touch and iPhone (2007)
(2001) iPad (2010)
Source: http://officeofbudget.od.nih.gov/approp_hist.html
Innovation is highly uncertain: for every success (e.g. the Internet) there are many fail-
ures. High failure rates are just as common upstream (in R&D projects) as downstream in
public financing of firms. It is thus essential to better understand how portfolios are man-
aged in mission-oriented agencies—such as Yozma in Israel, Sitra in Finland, or SBIR in
the USA. This requires a lead investor understanding of public funds that goes beyond
the need to correct for asymmetric information. It is not a matter of lacking information,
but rather the willingness to engage in big thinking, and its underlying uncertainty.
In other words, public investments in innovation have been critical for sustaining high
levels of risk-taking and innovation across different stages of the business cycle. More
generally, this section has supplied evidence for continual, widespread, and directed public
financing of innovation—across the entire innovation chain—that a market failure frame-
work has difficulty justifying. The market itself—in different sectors—has been an out-
come of this investment (Polanyi, 1944; Evans, 1995; Mazzucato, 2016). Hence rather than
accusing public actors of crowding out market actors, more research needs to be applied to
building an alternative theory that acknowledges the large influence of public actors, and
shines a better light on how public finance of innovation impacts the evolution of markets.
and evaluating future investments. Such a framework can benefit from insights from
the work of Karl Polanyi, who in his seminal work, The Great Transformation (1944),
describes the role of the state in forcing the so-called free market into existence: ‘the
road to the free market was opened and kept open by an enormous increase in continu-
ous, centrally organized and controlled interventionism’ (p. 144). Polanyi’s perspective
debunks the notion of state actions as ‘interventions’. It is rather one in which mar-
kets are deeply embedded in social and political institutions (Evans, 1995), and where
markets themselves are outcomes of social and political processes. Indeed, even Adam
Smith’s notion of the free market is amenable to this interpretation. His free market
was not a naturally occurring state of nature, ‘free’ from government interference. For
Smith the ‘free market’ meant a market ‘free from rent’, which requires much policy-
making (Smith, 1776).
Polanyi analyses not only how markets form over the course of economic develop-
ment. His thinking can also be applied to understanding the most modern forms of
markets, and in particular those driven by innovation. As discussed above, market fail-
ure theory provides little guidance for the more ambitious role that the state has histori-
cally played in shaping and creating markets, and not just fixing them. This requires
what Schumpeter (2002 [1912], p. 97) calls dynamic not static economics. A dynamic
economic framework that could be useful for justifying public policies must account for
the role of the state in directing investments, creating markets, and taking on risks and
uncertainties as investor of first resort, not only lender of last resort.
To develop a transformational market-creating/-shaping policy approach, it is nec-
essary to rethink the role of the state in fostering innovation-led growth. Two useful
frameworks are here presented: the ‘mission-oriented’ innovation policy framework
(Mowery, 2010; Foray et al., 2012) policies and the work of Mazzucato (2013a) on the
‘entrepreneurial state’ in its leading risk-taking role.
We consider the climate change challenge which is widely seen as requiring not only a
transformation of the energy system but also on a short time scale, and on which lead-
ing climate scientists and economists are currently reaffirming that not enough is done
and not fast enough (Guardian, 2016a, b). Not enough progress is made in replacing
the greenhouse gas emitting fossil fuels with a renewable power supply, and one bot-
tleneck is the finance for renewable energy innovation.
Innovation in renewable energy has been especially difficult to finance for private
actors because of the competition from incumbent fossil fuels. Profits have been depend-
ent on public subsidies that ensure temporary competitiveness. With those subsidies in
the form of feed-in tariffs, tax credits, and power purchase agreements, investment in
the renewable energy sector, along the innovation chain from R&D over piloting and
demonstration to deployment, stood at US$ 285 billion in 2015 and has been rising by
less than 1 per cent annually since 2011 (UNEP, 2016, p.12). In contrast with this slow
growth, the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) estimates that 9 per cent
compound annual growth rate in investment over the next 15 years is required to keep
global warming to a 2°C temperature rise (IRENA, 2016, p. 121).2
IRENA, like others, does not specify the sources of the historical or future finance
for the renewable energy sector. However, the report suggests that policy-makers should
play an ‘enabling’ role and ‘correct for market distortions to create a level playing field’
(IRENA, 2016, p. 20), which reflects the report’s market failure lens. In fact, from the
market failure perspective, the damages from climate change are a negative externality
of energy production, hence require a corrective tax, while innovation requires correct-
ing the positive externality of knowledge-spillovers. Hence, carbon taxes and public
R&D spending are recommended (Newell, 2010; Fisher et al., 2013). But existing pub-
lic-sector policies fail to tax carbon, not least due to the difficulty of agreeing on one tax
internationally, and subsidies have been employed instead. Hence, the main conclusion
that a market failure perspective can draw is that existing policies—besides R&D sup-
port—are inefficient, and should instead focus on a carbon tax and small interventions
to start the ‘private innovation machine’ (Veugelers, 2012).
This approach, however, overlooks what the public sector in fact does, besides giving
subsidies in the market for electricity producers. The public sector is much more active
in directly financing renewable energy innovation, creating markets, and, in the process,
taking on high risks. We go through the same set of three areas of public activity as in
section III, and highlight how in each of these, some public actors’ behaviour is charac-
teristic of a market-shaping role of the public sector.
2 IRENA’s and UNEP’s numbers are slightly different as the former includes investment in large hydro
(dams above 50 MW capacity) and industry and building efficiency, which the latter excludes.
36 Mariana Mazzucato and Gregor Semieniuk
the US that are charged to deliver ‘use-inspired’ basic research for renewable energy
(DoE, 2016, see also Anadón, 2012). But public actors are distributed and highly active
further along the chain: more applied research and development takes place in such
diverse settings as the German Fraunhofer Institutes (e.g. on Solar Energy Systems),
or the state-owned company development funded by the Chinese Ministry of Science
and Technology’s ‘863’ program (Kempener et al., 2010, p. 37). Moreover, several pub-
licly owned agencies are engaged in financing the commercialization of technologies
through providing venture capital: the Sustainable Development Technology Canada
alone spent US$100m (at current exchange rates) in venture funding (SDTC, 2016),
which represents some 7 per cent of global private venture capital funding in 2015
(which stood at US$1.3 billion). In 2014, the US Advanced Research Project Agency-
Energy (ARPA-E) single-handedly funded commercialization-oriented projects to the
tune of US$188m, or almost 20 per cent of that year’s private venture capital spending
(ARPA-E, 2015). The Chinese State Council’s Innovation fund supported one thousand
energy efficiency and renewable energy ventures with RMB 1 billion already between
1999 and 2002 (Cherni and Kentish, 2007, p. 3619) and the Global Energy Efficiency
and Renewable Energy Fund (GEEREF) is a publicly run fund-of-funds with €112m in
Norwegian and German government funds, and advised by the European Investment
Bank, that leverages additional private funds and invests in renewable energy private
equity (GEREEF, 2016). Government activity is also widespread at the demonstration
level of new technologies; a recent study of demonstration projects (first of a kind) in
concentrating solar power, wind power, and biofuels finds that the median public share
of funds financing those projects is above 50 per cent (Nemet et al., 2016).
At the subsequent market-creation and deployment stage, another variety of pub-
lic actors are active, ranging from government agencies and investment funds, through
tremendous amounts invested by state banks, to state-owned utilities, which have pio-
neered European offshore wind farm deployment (Mazzucato and Semieniuk, 2016).
State-owned utilities are also behind China’s rise to by far the biggest national capacity
of wind energy installed, as much as the whole of Europe at the end of 2015 (GWEC,
2016). In fact, at the deployment stage, publicly controlled organizations (where the pub-
lic has at least a 51 per cent share for stock-market listed organizations), are now respon-
sible for almost half of global asset finance for utility scale power plants (Mazzucato and
Semieniuk, 2016). For smaller capacity, public actors provide important demand-side
finance, such as subsidies for rooftop photovoltaic cells and individual wind turbines in
Germany by the German development bank, KfW (KfW, 2015), and also larger-scale
solar and hydro power plants in China by its Ministry of Finance (Lo, 2014).
Finally, this public activity along the chain is completed with finance from the world’s
31 export credit agencies (OECD, 2016), that guarantee payment for national champions,
when they develop risky renewable energy projects abroad, financed by foreign capital.
For instance, the Danish export credit agency has sponsored wind farm development to
the tune of circa US$1.5 billion, by insuring developers against risk with a repayment
guarantee. One of the firms so supported is the Danish national champion Vestas, one
of the world’s leading wind turbine manufacturers and developers (EKF, 2016). Figure 5
summarizes the discussion, by replacing the public actors from other sectors, shown
above in Figure 1, with those specific to renewable energy innovation finance.
The data also show that this variety of public actors is not neutral, but gives directions
to innovation. Public actors invest in portfolios that favour one or another technology.
Public financing of innovation: new questions 37
Figure 5: Mission-oriented finance along entire innovation chain in the renewable energy sector
Figure 6 shows the portfolios of asset finance for deployment invested by four differ-
ent types of public actors, aggregated over individual organizations within each type.3
The portfolios are constructed by finding the share of each actor type’s total renewable
energy finance that it invests in a particular technology. The shares are calculated sepa-
rately for two periods: 2004–8, and 2009–14. Clearly, the different types of actors held
widely differing portfolios. In the aggregate, government agencies invested in a relatively
balanced portfolio across technologies—governments have not picked one winner tech-
nology, but supported innovation across a suite of alternatives within renewable energy.4
State banks, on the other hand, concentrated more than half of their investments in
only two technologies in both periods. However, state banks were in turn more diversi-
fied than publicly owned utilities, which, outside China, targeted the financing of wind
energy, and especially offshore wind investments after 2008. This distinguished them
not only from other public actors but also from privately owned utilities whose share of
investments in offshore was lower than that for state banks (they invested heavily in less
risky onshore wind). We have separated out Chinese state-owned utilities, which are the
main vehicle for Chinese renewable energy investment and were the main driver behind
China’s rapid rise to the number one in terms of installed wind capacity. While the
review of organizations was selective, it emerges that in countries with a strong renew-
able energy sector, public organizations were active along the innovation chain, which is
typical of the market-shaping behaviour of the public actors we discussed above.
3 The data are based on our research in a companion piece (Mazzucato and Semieniuk, 2016), where we
merge a deal-by-deal asset finance dataset from BNEF for the period 2004–14 with organization indicators
to identify which organizations invest in which deals. For corporations, we labelled those as public where the
public sector owned at least 51 per cent of the shares. Based on the organization identifiers, we distinguished
whether the public organization is a government agency or research institute, a public financial institution, a
publicly owned utility, or another state-owned company.
4 Of course, government agencies also heavily fund nuclear power and the US Department of Energy
was funding and carrying out the innovations leading to the shale-gas technology (Trembath et al., 2012).
38 Mariana Mazzucato and Gregor Semieniuk
Notes: The share of the portfolio invested in each of 11 technologies is on the y-axis. The dark bars show the
share of investment in the period 2004–8, the light bars the share of investment in the period 2009–14 that go
to a particular technology. CSP stands for concentrating solar power, PV stands for photovoltaics. Marine refers
to energy gained from the ocean, whether through wave or tidal energy.
Source: Authors’ calculations based on Bloomberg New Energy Finance data. Data sources are explained in
Mazzucato and Semieniuk (2016).
national security by reducing dependence on the then expensive crude oil from OPEC
countries. Contemporary innovation is justified by multiple missions (Anadón, 2012),
but the most visible issue is that of climate change, with the mission being to limit
global warming to 2°C or preferably 1.5°C (United Nations, 2015, p. 2). Befittingly,
at the Paris Conference of the Parties on climate change in 2015, twenty governments
unveiled ‘Mission Innovation’, and set themselves the goal to double their national
R&D spending on clean energy over the next 5 years. As with previous missions, these
investments are not justified by correcting a market failure but by achieving a goal. In
Public financing of innovation: new questions 39
this specific case: the halting of global warming. As with previous missions, the pub-
lic sector here also seeks to draw in private-sector investments, and a simultaneously
launched ‘Breakthrough Coalition’ has 28 investor members that represent private-sec-
tor leadership in key economic sectors (Mission Innovation, 2016).
But crucially, the mission orientation goes beyond R&D agencies. Thus the
ARPA-E mission is to catalyse the development of transformational, high-impact
energy technologies. The mission of the German KfW Group is to support change
and encourage forward-looking ideas—in Germany, Europe, and throughout the
world. And the German Fraunhofer Institutes put it succinctly: ‘We are creative.
We shape technology. We design products. We improve methods and techniques. We
open up new vistas. In short, we forge the future’ (Fraunhofer Institutes, 2016). In
Germany, moreover, the ‘Energiewende’, the project to base the German energy sup-
ply largely on renewable energy sources, has seen the government introducing legis-
lation favouring the mission of an energy transformation since 1990s (Hake et al.,
2015). The Renewable Energy Law (EEG) states in its 2017 version that its aim is to
develop a sustainable energy supply to protect climate and environment, and stipu-
lates an 80 per cent share of electricity from renewable energy by 2050, and 40–45 per
cent in 2025 (EEG, 2016, §1). Clearly, the organizations setting out these missions are
active beyond the R&D ambit.
Agencies in the energy sector have also been able to attract top talent. The US
Department of Energy was led by Nobel Prize winning physicist, Stephen Chu (2009–
13), now replaced by another MIT physicist, Ernest Moniz, and ARPA-E founding
director, Arun Majumdar (2009–12) is a leading engineer in thermoelectric materials.
In sum, a slate of the most influential public institutions funding renewable energy
research do not understand themselves as fixing market or system failures—they see
themselves as pushing new and exciting horizons.
5 High-risk technologies are marine energy, concentrating solar power, offshore wind, concentrator PV,
second-generation biofuels, thin film PV before 2011, and c-si PV before 2008. Financing of all other tech-
nologies shown on the x-axis of Figure 6 is excluded.
40 Mariana Mazzucato and Gregor Semieniuk
Figure 7 correlates the private investment into high-risk assets with the participation
of public actors in private high-risk finance. It plots the share of total private funds
invested in high-risk assets in any single year against the share of these high-risk funds
that are invested into an asset in which at least one public actor is also investing. In
2004, only about 1 per cent of private funds went into high-risk projects and, of these,
only 18 per cent had a public co-investor. Both shares increased over time, so much so
that a decade later, in 2014, around 10 per cent of private funds went towards high-risk
investments, while the share of these high-risk projects co-funded by a public organiza-
tion stood at above 50 per cent. The correlation is high (indicated by the grey linear fit),
when one excludes three exceptional years—2009 through 2011—during which mas-
sive Keynesian stabilization programmes kicked in, inundating markets with grants and
loan guarantees. That coincided with private actors financing more risky projects with
private funds only (but backed by public guarantees). From this time hails, for instance,
the Ivanpah powerplant, the largest concentrating solar power plant in the US, which
Figure 7: Scatter of annual share of high-risk private renewable energy investments involving a public
financing partner (x axis) vs the annual share of private funds invested into high-risk assets (y axis).
The inset shows a time series of the share of finance that public actors provide in the joint deals with
private actors
Notes: Edges connect subsequent years. The dotted lines indicate years with significant grant and loan guaran-
tee support as part of post-crisis government stimuli that imply indirect public support to high-risk deals carried
out exclusively with private funds.
Public financing of innovation: new questions 41
was financed by private investors, but backed by a US$1.6 billion loan guarantee from
the US Department of Energy. The inset shows, moreover, that when public actors
have participated in high-risk deals, they have tended to finance on average between 30
and 50 per cent of the deal’s volume. These statistics show that as more public actors
were stepping forward to finance assets, the private side became more willing to invest
in the higher-risk deployment. While causality cannot be attributed, the strong posi-
tive correlation between public participation and private risk-taking suggests that the
public sector’s appetite for high-risk investments was important for a significant share
of deployment of those technologies that have farthest to go in terms of innovation
through learning by doing.
The exceptional measures taken in 2009–11 by governments indicate that in the
energy sector, over the last business cycle, public financing was significantly driven
by a coordination failure logic. Figure 8 shows clearly how the grants for renewable
energy research, development, and demonstration given out by the US Department
of Energy (DoE) and all other grant-giving organizations spiked in those 3 years
and dropped back almost to pre-crisis levels. A similar, albeit less pronounced pat-
tern can be detected in investment behaviour of the big development banks—China
Development Bank, KfW, and European Investment Bank. However, while declining,
these banks have kept their investment at a much higher level than pre-financial crisis.
Similarly, while US institutions such as the EFRCs and ARPA-E were initially funded
with stimulus money (Anadón, 2012), their annual funds have to date been maintained
and the EFRCs even expanded in their numbers. At the same time, of course, the world
economy is widely seen to remain in ‘secular stagnation’ (Summers, 2016). It remains
to be seen how public funding for renewables will be impacted if and when a business
cycle boom occurs.
In sum, the patterns we see in public financing for innovation in renewable energy,
and clean tech more generally, are very far removed from the indirect policies recom-
mended by a market failure approach. A market-shaping perspective that sees the state
as entrepreneurial and risk-taking, and distinguishes public actors with missions, high-
lights these patterns. In spite of these massive interventions, the grand challenge to keep
temperature rises to a modest level suggests that even the existing activities have been
Figure 8: Annual total of grants given for clean energy research, development, and demonstration,
split into US Department of Energy (DoE) and other grant givers
insufficient to mobilize the finance that is forecast as needed for achieving the mission
of limiting global warming. The market-creating and -shaping perspective leads to the
conclusion that even more active public-sector involvement in financing innovation is
needed to realize the 9 per cent compound annual growth rate in clean energy invest-
ment that IRENA estimates is needed over the next 15 years.
It is, of course, possible to argue that the public financing stymied overall financ-
ing as opposed to boosting it, and we return to this caveat in our concluding discus-
sion. Yet the evidence also from earlier transformative innovations, the problem that
markets first have to be created before they can be corrected, and the seriousness of
this and other grand challenges should caution against foregone conclusions. It seems
risky not to explore the possibility that public actors that help direct innovation to cer-
tain mission-determined outcomes through massive financing of innovation may be an
important driver of the transformation of how we produce energy.
V. Conclusion
In this article we have focused on the strategic role of public financing of innovation
and the way it can shape and create markets. We have looked at three key features
of this process: (i) investing along the entire innovation chain, not only in classic
public-good areas; (ii) the mission-oriented nature of the agencies involved; and (iii)
their lead risk-taking role, independent of the business cycle. We have argued that
looking at these three features of the system help to see the limits of the traditional
market-failure framework. We then applied this perspective to the emerging clean
technology sector, as an example of transformative innovation needed to confront a
societal challenge.
The market-shaping approach suggests that public financing must be proactive
and bold, creating directions, and transcending the role envisaged by market- or also
system-fixing approaches. This is even more important for contemporary ‘societal
challenges’, where the need for transformative innovation is particularly pressing.
For the challenge to mitigate climate change, if the recent international agreements
to fight climate change are to have effect, it is important for public organizations
financing innovation to be mission-oriented and entrepreneurial. We have shown
that public actors are active; yet given the estimated need for investment in this sec-
tor, this is not enough. To experience a full blown clean energy revolution, the les-
sons from the IT revolution are clear: the visible public hand is required; it must be
distributed across the whole innovation chain through different actors; and justifica-
tions for the investments cannot be limited to periods with low interest rates. Even
if the world was experiencing high growth, it would not be enough for tax breaks to
incentivize green investments. They would need to be crowded in by public funding,
simply because there is as yet no market that can work efficiently with private actors
at its centre.
Two caveats to these statements are in order. First, there is no automatism whereby
public involvement in financing innovation leads to superior outcomes; what we have
argued against here is the assumption that public-sector financing is systematically infe-
rior to that by private actors. While the examples above focus on public investments that
Public financing of innovation: new questions 43
have led to important successes (e.g. the Internet, GPS, shale gas, blockbuster drugs),
there are also government investments that end in failure. These include products like
the Concorde aircraft, which ultimately failed commercially; the discovery of new
drugs (of which most attempts fail); or the provision of guaranteed loans to companies
which then might go bankrupt. A recent example of the last includes the guaranteed
loan of $528m provided by the US Department of Energy to the company Solyndra for
the production of solar cells. This was followed by the company’s bankruptcy when the
price of silicon chips fell dramatically, leaving the taxpayer to pick up the bill (Wood,
2012). As stressed above, however, any venture capitalist will argue that attempts to
innovate require exploring new and difficult paths, and that occasional failure is part of
that journey. Innovation is intrinsically uncertain (Dosi and Edigi, 1991) and results in
failures from time to time. This trial-and-error process, in which tolerance of failure is
also the road to success, is accepted in the private sector. Failure of government invest-
ments, on the contrary, is regarded as a sign of incompetence (The Economist, 2010). If
the government acts as lead risk-taker, then it should be accepted that there are failures,
as long as there are successes. It is important then, not to categorically dismiss public
financing because some of the projects fail, but to ask what are well-designed policies
for public financing of innovation. Part of the problem is that the focus on market fail-
ure has led to relatively little research and insight on ‘good practice’, and we see here an
important area of research to be advanced.
A second caveat regards the motivations behind public-sector financing. Public choice
theory and related new public management theory have highlighted the problems asso-
ciated with government failure arising from rent-seeking, whereby public officials are
captured by vested private interests (Tullock et al., 2002). Rents arise when value is
extracted through special privileges (Krueger, 1974), and when a company or individ-
ual grabs a large share of wealth that would have been produced without their input
(Stiglitz, 2012 p. 32). Then financing for innovation could go to those special interests
that are not the best innovators but those with the best connections to the public fund-
ing agencies. Our lens, far from denying this problem, sheds a different light on it. The
question is whether rent-seeking is more problematic with a weak, passive state than
with a strong one. It could be that rent-seeking is even more damaging when the public
sector only attempts to facilitate rather than create additionality through mission-ori-
ented policies that crowd in the private sector, making private investments happen that
would not have anyway, a problem discussed in the economic development literature
(Khan and Kwame, 2000). Or whether it is more problematic when theory tells a wrong
story about who the innovators are (e.g. the ‘entrepreneurs’ or the venture capitalists),
excluding the risk-taking role of the public sector. Thus if the state is described as sim-
ply fixing markets, not actively shaping and creating them, it may over time also become
less confident, and more easily corruptible by different actors who call themselves the
‘wealth creators’. It is these actors who can then convince policy-makers to hand out
favours in order to increase their ‘private’ wealth. In the US, capital gains tax fell by
50 per cent in 5 years at the end of the 1970s as a result of pressure from the National
Venture Capital Association (Lazonick and Mazzucato, 2013). More recently, instead,
big tech corporations have been lobbying the US government substantially more than
Wall Street’s biggest financial companies (Bloomberg, 2016). In fact, some rent-seeking
may be encouraged precisely by the problematic assumptions regarding the role and
value of public investment.
44 Mariana Mazzucato and Gregor Semieniuk
The article has emphasized the need of innovation for patient strategic capital that is
lacking in the private sector, due to both the short-termism of the private financial sys-
tem, but also the properties of innovation: highly uncertain, cumulative, collective, and
with very long lead times. This leads to a depth and breadth of public investment that
is broader than traditional perspectives admit. In particular we emphasized how the
impact of ‘mission oriented’ public investment along the entire innovation chain, and
across the phases of the business cycle, is something that the green tech industry can
learn from the experiences in sectors such as biotech and ICT. The theoretical contri-
bution of such evidence is that economic policy should be more about market-shaping
and -creating than just market or system ‘fixing’.
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